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Global Dairy Update January 2017

Operational Update12 January 2017FCGConsumer Staples

1
GLOBAL DAIRY

UPDATE

JANUARY 2017

KEY DATES

Late March 2017

Interim Results

Announcement

1 June 2017

Measurement Date for Share

Standard 2017/18 Season

Late September 2017

Annual Results

Announcement

1 December 2017

Compliance Date for Share

Standard 2017/18 Season

• In December the significant decrease in

Fonterra New Zealand milk collections

continued, down 5% on the same month

last year.

• Milk production followed the same trend

as last month with continued decreases in

New Zealand, Australia and Europe while

United States maintained growth.

To view the latest Fonterra

GlobalDairyTrade results –

To view charts that illustrate

year-on-year changes

in production, exports

and imports –

To view the latest on

Fonterra milk collection –

2
OUR MARKETS

FONTERRA MILK COLLECTION 2016/17 SEASON

NORTH ISLAND

Decrease for the season from

1 July to 31 December

8

Decrease for the season from

1 June to 31 December

AUSTRALIA

2

SOUTH ISLAND

%

To view a table that shows our

detailed milk collection in New

Zealand and Australia compared

to the previous season –

Decrease for the season from

1 June to 31 December

Decrease for the season from

1 June to 31 December

76

%%%

NEW ZEALAND MILK COLLECTION

VOLUME M LITRESDAY

JUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDECJANFEBMARAPRMAY

















Fonterra’s milk

collection across

Australia for the six

months to 31 December

reached 65 million

kgMS, 7.6% lower than

December last season.

In December milk collection

was 12 million kgMS, 1%

ahead of the same month

last season.

North Island milk

collection in December was

111 million kgMS, 6% behind

December last season.

South Island milk

collection in December was

75 million kgMS, 3% behind

December last season.

NEW ZEALAND

Fonterra’s milk collection

across New Zealand for

the seven months to

31 December reached

881 million kgMS, 5.5%

lower than the same

period last season.

This resulted in December

collections of 186 million

kgMS, 5% behind the same

month last season.

3
OUR MARKETS

FONTERRA GLOBALDAIRYTRADE RESULTS

RENNET CASEIN

3.7

1.6

SMP

7.7

%

%

BMPCHEDDAR

1.8

%%

%%

%

Fonterra GDT sales

by destination:

Dairy commodity prices

and New Zealand

dollar trend

Fonterra GDT results at

last trading event

3 January 2017:

The next trading event will be held on 17 January 2017. Visit www.globaldairytrade.info for more information.

To view more information,

including a snapshot of the

rolling year-to-date results –

LATEST AUCTION

FINANCIAL

YEAR-TO-DATE

USD 6,234/MT

USD 3,894/MTUSD 3,096/MTUSD 2,705/MT

5.1

Change in Fonterra’s

weighted average product

price from previous event

%

Fonterra’s weighted

average product price


(USD/MT)

Fonterra product quantity

sold on GDT

3,559

USD

21

BUTTER

0.4

7.70.3

AMFWMP

USD 4,308/MT

USD 3,294/MTUSD 5,352/MT

NORTH ASIA (INCLUDING CHINA)

SOUTH EAST ASIA

MIDDLE EAST AND AFRICA

LATIN AMERICA

OTHER

21,266

MT

316,280

MT

GDT PRICE INDEXNZDUSD SPOT RATE

JAN OCT MAR

MAY

AUG

OCT

DEC

MAR MAY AUG JAN










, 

.



.


.

.

.

.

PRICE INDEX

NZD  USD

000’ MT

4

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION

Global Dairy Market

The charts on the right

illustrate the year-on-year

changes in production,

exports and imports for a

range of countries that are

important players in global

dairy trade.

The absolute size of the

bars represents the change

in production, exports or

imports, relative to the same

period the previous year.

PRODUCTION

AUSTRALIA

UNITED STATES

NEW ZEALANDEU

NOV JUN MAY APR JAN DEC AUG OCT SEP JUL FEB MAR 

LIQUID MILK M LITRES











,

,

NOTE: Data for EU and Australia to October and New Zealand and US to November.

NOTE: Data for EU to September; New Zealand, US and Australia to October.

NOTE: Data for Asia, Middle East and Africa and Latin America to September, China to November.

SOURCE: Government milk production statistics/GTIS trade data/Fonterra analysis.

EXPORTS

AUSTRALIA

UNITED STATES

NEW ZEALANDEU

JUN MAY APR FEB JAN DEC NOV OCT SEP AUG JUL MAR 

MT ’

s















IMPORTS

MIDDLE EAST & AFRICALATIN AMERICA

ASIACHINA

OCT MAY APR JAN NOV DEC JUL SEP AUG FEB MAR JUN 

MT ’

s















5
Fonterra milk

production

The table on the right

shows Fonterra milk solids

collected in New Zealand

and Australia compared

to the previous season.


SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION

MILK COLLECTION

(MILLION KGMS)

DECEMBER

2016

DECEMBER


2015

MONTHLY

CHANGE

SEASON-

TO-DATE

2016/17

SEASON-

TO-DATE

2015/16

SEASON-

TO-DATE

CHANGE

Total Fonterra

New Zealand

186.2195.6(4.8%)881.0932.4(5.5%)

North Island111.1118.2(6.0%)553.1597.6(7.5%)

South Island75.277.4(2.9%)327.8334.8(2.1%)

Fonterra Australia12.312.20.8%65.370.7(7.6%)

Fonterra GDT results

This table provides more

information on the latest

results, including a snapshot

of the year-to-date results.

Fonterra GDT Results

This chart shows Fonterra

GDT prices and volumes over

the past 12 months.

LAST TRADING EVENT

(3 JANUARY 2017)

YEAR-TO-DATE


(FROM 1 AUGUST 2016)

Quantity Sold on GDT

(Winning MT)

21,266316,280

Change in Quantity Sold on GDT

over same period last year

(12.7%)(11. 0%)

Weighted Average Product Price

(USD/MT)

3,5593,125

Change in Weighted Average

Product Price over same period

last year

43.3%31. 7%

Change in Weighted Average

Product Price from previous event

(5.1%)–

WEIGHTED AVERAGE PRICEQUANTITY SOLD

JAN

DEC

AUG

JUL

MAR

APR

MAY

JUN

NOV

OCT

SEP

FEB



,

,
,

,

,

,

,

,

,

,

WEIGHTED AVERAGE PRICE USDMT

QUANTITY SOLD  MT

6
AMF

Anhydrous Milk Fat.

BMP

Butter Milk Powder.

DIRA

Dairy Industry Restructuring

Act 2001 (New Zealand).

Farmgate Milk Price

The price for milk supplied in

New Zealand to Fonterra by

farmer shareholders.

Fluid and Fresh Dairy

The Fonterra grouping

of fluid milk products

(skim milk, whole milk

and cream – pasteurised

or UHT processed),

concentrated milk products

(evaporated milk and

sweetened condensed milk)

and yoghurt.

Reference Products

The dairy products used

in the calculation of the

Farmgate Milk Price, which

are currently WMP, SMP,

BMP, butter and AMF.

Season

New Zealand: A period

of 12 months to 31 May

in each year.

Australia: A period of

12 months to 30 June

in each year.

SMP

Skim Milk Powder.

WMP

Whole Milk Powder.


GLOSSARY

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

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