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Genesis Energy Q2 FY17 Performance Report

Quarterly Update25 January 2017GNEUtilities

REINVIGORATED STRATEGY UNDERWAY

During the quarter Genesis Energy announced a reinvigorated strategy focused

on optimising its business to improve short term returns, innovation for medium

term growth and investing for long term value creation. Despite continued

challenges in the retail sector, there was growth in the target LPG market.


In a competitive retail environment, electricity customer connections remained

under pressure finishing the quarter down 1.2% on Q1 FY2017 to 514,155 at 31

December 2016. The decline in customer connections combined with reduced

national demand relative to the same period last year saw a reduction in both

mass market and time of use (TOU) electricity volumes sold by 3.2% and 3.6%

respectively. The move towards digitisation is evidenced by increased uptake in

app downloads and the use of self service. Genesis Energy and Energy Online

app downloads totalled 105,043 at the end of December 2016.


Retail gas sales during the quarter remained flat at 1.7 PJ on Q2 FY2016, whilst

year to date volumes sold were up 1% on the prior year.


Q2 FY2017 provided further growth in the retail LPG segment for Genesis Energy.

LPG customer connections of 17,513 at 31 December 2016 were up 5% on Q1

FY2017 and up 22% on Q2 FY2016. Retail LPG sales volumes of 1,101 tonnes were

up 25% compared to the same period last year as a result of increased customer

connections and Genesis Energy’s strategy to pursue greater LPG market share.

A continued trend from Q1 FY2017 of greater inflows into Genesis Energy

catchments along with a planned Unit 5 outage at Huntly in November 2016

resulted in the Company being able to prioritise renewable generation over

thermal generation. Hydro generation during Q2 FY2017 was 22% higher than the

same period last year whilst total thermal generation was down 37%. The wet

conditions and high national storage levels lead to a supressed average price

received for generation (GWAP) of $47.07/GWh, which was 31% lower than the

price received a year ago. Offsetting this is a 21% reduction in the cost of fuel

from $37.22/MWh to $29.36/MWh over the same period which lessens the

impact of lower prices on margins.

During Q2, Rankine units operated on gas for 77% of the time. Total coal fired

generation was 92% lower than Q2 FY2016, with the coal stockpile at 360

kilotonnes at 31 December 2016. Genesis Energy is also reporting Equipment

Availability and Forced Outage Factors this quarter which remain on target

including the planned outage at Unit 5 in November 2016.

Kupe’s Q2 FY2017 production was up on Q2 FY2016 due to the extended outage in

in Q2 FY2016 (despite a 12 day unplanned outage in November 2016). Genesis

Energy’s share of gas sales of 1.7PJ and oil production of 89kbbl were above the

same period last year by 26.4% and 9.7% respectively. Year to date LPG sales are

2.5kt behind that of a year ago due to an outage on one of the LPG production

machines.

During Q2 FY2016, there was one lost time injury during the quarter. The Total

Recordable Injury Frequency Rate (TRIFR) at 31 December 2016 was 0.26 against

0.88 at 31 December 2015. There were 808 full time equivalent employees at the

end of Q2 compared to 860 a year ago as a result of recent cost saving initiatives.

FY 2017 Q2 MARKET

AND OPERATIONAL

INFORMATION

Q2

This disclosure includes market and

operational information for

Genesis Energy Limited for the quarter

ending 31 December 2016 (Q2).

5%

Total LPG customer

connections up in Q2

versus Q1 FY2017

92%

Total coal fired

generation was down

compared with Q2

FY2016

218t

Retail LPG sales were up

on Q2 FY2016

31%

Average price received

for generation was

$21/GWh lower than Q2

FY2016


QUARTERLY

OPERATIONAL UPDATE

| SECOND QUARTER FY2017

2















20%

21%

22%

23%

24%

25%

26%

27%

28%

29%

30%

450,000

460,000

470,000

480,000

490,000

500,000

510,000

520,000

530,000

540,000

550,000

Q1 FY12

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1 FY13

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1 FY14

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1 FY15

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1 FY16

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1 FY17

Q2

Market Share

Customers by connections

Customer Connections

Share of Total Market (RHS)

Source: Company data, Electricity Authority

Electricity Customer Connections and Market

30%

32%

34%

36%

38%

40%

42%

44%

46%

48%

50%

80,000

85,000

90,000

95,000

100,000

105,000

110,000

115,000

120,000

125,000

130,000

Q1 FY12

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1 FY13

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1 FY14

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1 FY15

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1 FY16

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1 FY17

Q2

Market Share

Customers by connections

Customer Connections

Share of Total Market (RHS)

Source: Company data, Gas Industry Co

Natural Gas Customer Connections and Market

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

Q1 FY12

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1 FY13

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1 FY14

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1 FY15

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1 FY16

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1 FY17

Q2

GWh

GWh

Electricity Sales Volumes (GWh)

Quarterly Mass Market Sales Volumes

Quarterly TOU Sales Volumes

Rolling 12 months sales volumes (RHS)

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

Q1 FY12

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1 FY13

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1 FY14

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1 FY15

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1 FY16

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1 FY17

Q2

PJ

PJ

Retail Gas Sales Volumes (PJ)

Quarterly Mass Market Sales Volumes

Quarterly TOU Sales Volumes

Rolling 12 months sales volumes (RHS)

7.8%

8.0%

8.2%

8.4%

8.6%

8.8%

9.0%

9.2%

9.4%

3.3

3.4

3.5

3.6

3.7

3.8

3.9

4.0

4.1

4.2

4.3

201512

201601

201602

201603

201604

201605

201606

201607

201608

201609

201610

201611

201612

Market Share %

Kilotonnes

Est. Residential LPG 45kg Market Share by Volumes

Rolling 12m Sales

Rolling 12m Market Share (RHS)

Source: Genesis Energy/LPGA/MBIE

NEW DISCLOSURE

65%

66%

67%

68%

69%

70%

71%

72%

73%

74%

75%

65,000

67,000

69,000

71,000

73,000

75,000

77,000

79,000

81,000

83,000

85,000

Q1 FY12

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1 FY13

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1 FY14

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1 FY15

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1 FY16

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1 FY17

Q2

% of total gas customer connections

Customers by connections

Dual Fuel Customer Connection Base

Dual Fuel Customer Connections

Dual Fuel % of Total Gas Customers (RHS)

Source: Company data

340

380

420

460

500

540

580

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

Q1 FY12

Q2Q3Q4

Q1 FY13

Q2Q3Q4

Q1 FY14

Q2Q3Q4

Q1 FY15

Q2Q3Q4

Q1 FY16

Q2Q3Q4

Q1 FY17

Q2

thousand of barrelsthousand of barrels

Kupe Oil Production Volumes (kbbl)

Quarterly Production Volumes

Rolling 12 months production volumes (RHS)

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

9.0

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

Q1 FY12

Q2Q3Q4

Q1 FY13

Q2Q3Q4

Q1 FY14

Q2Q3Q4

Q1 FY15

Q2Q3Q4

Q1 FY16

Q2Q3Q4

Q1 FY17

Q2

PJPJ

Kupe Gas Sales Volumes (PJ)

Quarterly Sales VolumesRolling 12 months sales volumes (RHS)

| SECOND QUARTER FY2017

3












10%

12%

14%

16%

18%

20%

22%

24%

26%

Jun-12

Aug-12

Oct-12

Dec-12

Feb-13

Apr-13

Jun-13

Aug-13

Oct-13

Dec-13

Feb-14

Apr-14

Jun-14

Aug-14

Oct-14

Dec-14

Feb-15

Apr-15

Jun-15

Aug-15

Oct-15

Dec-15

Feb-16

Apr-16

Jun-16

Aug-16

Oct-16

Dec-16

% annualised

Genesis Energy vs. Industry Electricity Customer Connection Switching

Genesis Energy Monthly Switching Rate

NZ Electricity Market Monthly Switching Rate

Genesis Energy 12 Month Rolling Switching Rate

Industry rolling 12m

Source: Genesis Energy,

Electricity Authority

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Jun-10

Sep-10

Dec-10

Mar-11

Jun-11

Sep-11

Dec-11

Mar-12

Jun-12

Sep-12

Dec-12

Mar-13

Jun-13

Sep-13

Dec-13

Mar-14

Jun-14

Sep-14

Dec-14

Mar-15

Jun-15

Sep-15

Dec-15

Mar-16

Jun-16

Sep-16

Dec-16

Electricity

-

GWh

Electricity

-

GWh

Genesis Energy Electricity Sales Volumes

Total MMTOU ContractTOU SpotTOU HedgedRolling 12m Total Sales Volumes (RHS)

Source: Genesis Energy

| SECOND QUARTER FY2017

4
















$74.23

$76.66

$78.05

$71.49

$77.88

$79.59

$67.23

$78.15

$80.38

$58.23

$73.34

$77.86

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

FY17

FY18

FY19

$/MWh

Otahuhu ASX Futures Settlement Price

As at 31/03/2016

As at 30/06/2016

As at 30/09/2016

As at 19/12/2016

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

Q2 2017Q2 2016Q2 YTD 2017Q2 YTD 2016

GWh

Genesis Energy Generation Volumes Q2 2017

Hau Nui Wind Farm

Tekapo A and B power stations

Waikaremoana Power Scheme

Tongariro Power Scheme

Huntly Unit 6

Huntly Unit 5

Huntly Units 1 to 4 Gas

Huntly Units 1 to 4 Coal

| SECOND QUARTER FY2017

5






















24

300

55

454

82

72

131

128

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Q2 2017

Q2 2016

Q2 YTD 2017

Q2 YTD 2016

GWh

Rankine Unit Generation Output

Coal

Gas

NEW DISCLOSURE

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

18%

20%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Jul-14

Aug-14

Sep-14

Oct-14

Nov-14

Dec-14

Jan-15

Feb-15

Mar-15

Apr-15

May-15

Jun-15

Jul-15

Aug-15

Sep-15

Oct-15

Nov-15

Dec-15

Jan-16

Feb-16

Mar-16

Apr-16

May-16

Jun-16

Jul-16

Aug-16

Sep-16

Oct-16

Nov-16

Dec-16

Forced Outage Factor (FOF) %

Equipment Availability Factor (EAF) %

Plant Performance

Monthly Equipment Availability Factor

Monthly Forced Outage Factor

Equipment

Availability Factor (EAF)

-

the percentage of time a power station is available to generate electricity.

Forced Outage Factor (FOF)

-

the percentage of time a power station is unavailable to generate electricity due to unplanned fail

ure or defect.

NEW DISCLOSURE

| SECOND QUARTER FY2017

2









0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

$-

$10

$20

$30

$40

$50

$60

$70

$80

1-Oct

6-Oct

11-Oct

16-Oct

21-Oct

26-Oct

31-Oct

5-Nov

10-Nov

15-Nov

20-Nov

25-Nov

30-Nov

5-Dec

10-Dec

15-Dec

20-Dec

25-Dec

30-Dec

Lake Storage (GWh)

Wholesale Price ($/MWh)

Daily Average Wholesale Reference Point Prices

and National Hydro Storage

-

Q2 FY2017

Benmore (BEN2201)

Otahuhu (OTA2201)

Storage Long Run Average (RHS)

FY2017 Storage

Source: COMIT/Genesis Energy

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

01-Oct

05-Oct

09-Oct

13-Oct

17-Oct

21-Oct

25-Oct

29-Oct

02-Nov

06-Nov

10-Nov

14-Nov

18-Nov

22-Nov

26-Nov

30-Nov

04-Dec

08-Dec

12-Dec

16-Dec

20-Dec

24-Dec

28-Dec

01-Jan

GWh

Tekapo Storage vs Long Run Average Q2 FY2017

Tekapo Storage

Long Run Average Storage

Source: COMIT

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

01-Oct05-Oct09-Oct13-Oct17-Oct21-Oct25-Oct29-Oct

02-Nov06-Nov10-Nov14-Nov18-Nov22-Nov26-Nov30-Nov

04-Dec08-Dec12-Dec16-Dec20-Dec24-Dec28-Dec

01-Jan

GWh

Waikaremoana Storage vs Long Run Average Q2 FY2017

Waikaremoana StorageLong Run Average Storage

Source: COMIT

| SECOND QUARTER FY2017

3

APPENDIX

OPERATIONAL INFORMATION


Operational Information*FY2017FY2016% ChangeChangeFY2017FY2016% ChangeChange

Market Information

Customer-focus

Electricity Market Share (%)

1

25.1%25.8%-2.8%-0.7%

Gas Market Share (%)

1

38.7%39.8%-2.9%-1.2%

Customer Experience

Customer-focus

Customer Satisfaction (%)

2

96%95%1.1%1%

Total Advanced Meters Installed To Date (#)393,857368,5006.9%25,357

Customer Numbers

Total Customer Connections (#)

3

645,365654,334-1.4%-8,969

Total Customers by Product:

Electricity Customer Connections (#)

4

535,438543,997-1.6%-8,559

Electricity Customer Connections Excluding Vacants (#)

4

514,155522,586-1.6%-8,431

Gas Customer Connections (#)

4

109,927110,337-0.4%-410

Gas Customer Connections Excluding Vacants (#)

4

106,388106,809-0.4%-421

LPG Customer Connections (#)

5

17,51314,32622.2%3,187

Total Electricity Customers by Location:

North Island Electricity Customer Connections (#)

4

428,010434,485-1.5%-6,475

South Island Electricity Customer Connections (#)

4

86,14588,101-2.2%-1,956

Customer Volumes and Price

Volume Weighted Average Electricity Selling Price Mass Market ($/MWh)

6

$243.66$239.441.8%$4.22$239.13$234.951.8%$4.18

Volume Weighted Average Electricity Selling Price TOU ($/MWh)

7

$104.67$99.864.8%$4.81$117.12$111.385.1%$5.73

Mass Market Electricity Sales (GWh)9791,011-3.2%-322,3232,394-3.0%-71

TOU Electricity Sales (GWh)291302-3.6%-11593621-4.5%-28

Total Electricity Sales - Retail (GWh)1,2701,313-3.3%-432,9163,015-3.3%-99

Electricity Sales - Wholesale (GWh)4003951.3%595885711.8%101

Volume Weighted Average Gas Selling Price ($/GJ)

6

$29.54$28.852.4%$0.69$25.43$24.942.0%$0.50

Mass Market Gas Sales (PJ)0.90.96.2%0.12.52.6-1.3%0

TOU Gas Sales (PJ)0.80.8-5.7%0.01.81.74.3%0

Total Retail Gas Sales (PJ)1.71.70.4%0.04.34.20.9%0.0

Retail LPG Sales (tonnes)1,10188324.6%2182,5702,20216.7%368

Electricity Purchases - Retail (GWh)1,3011,408-7.6%-1073,0643,186-3.8%-122

Electricity Purchases - Wholesale (GWh)29725019.1%4873261818.5%114

Retail Gas Purchases (PJ)1.7 1.7 0.5%0.04.4 4.3 1.5%0.1

Average Retail Electricity Purchase Price - LWAP ($/MWh)

8

$47.01$66.72-29.5%($19.72)$53.43$61.90-13.7%($8.47)

LWAP/GWAP Ratio (%)100%98%2.3%2.3%100%100%-0.1%-0.1%

Generation

Gas (GWh)627724-13.4%-971,4321,476-3.0%-44

Coal (GWh)

9

23301-92.4%-27853458-88.4%-404

Total Thermal (GWh)6501,025-36.6%-3751,4851,933-23.2%-448

Hydro (GWh)74961521.7%1341,6131,43112.8%182

Wind (GWh)77-2.8%-0.21213-12.4%-1.6

Total Renewable (GWh)75662221.4%1331,6251,44412.5%181

Total Generation (GWh)1,4061,648-14.7%-241.93,1103,377-7.9%-267.3

Average Price Received for Generation - GWAP ($/MWh)

8

$47.07$68.35-31.1%($21.28)$53.36$61.78-13.6%($8.41)

Generation Emissions (ktCO

2

)

291602-51.8%-311.86601,071-38.3%-410.3

Generation Carbon Intensity (tCO

2

/GWh)207366-43.5%-158.9212317-33.0%-104.7

Total Recordable Injury Frequency Rate

11

0.26 0.88 -70.5%-0.6

Fuel

Gas Purchases (PJ)10.510.5-0.3%0.023.524.3-3.3%-0.8

Coal Purchases (PJ)0.00.7-100.0%-0.7-0.43.0-112.0%-3.3

Wholesale Gas Sales (PJ)3.83.217.7%0.68.08.7-8.6%-0.7

Wholesale Coal Sales (PJ)0.20.2-22.5%-0.10.40.5-25.9%-0.1

Gas Used In Internal Generation (PJ)5.05.6-10.9%-0.6111.211.3-1.2%-0.1

Coal Used In Internal Generation (PJ)

10

0.33.3-91.2%-3.00.75.1-85.6%-4.4

Weighted Average Fuel Cost ($/MWh)

12

$29.36$37.22-21.1%($7.86)$30.04$34.40-12.7%($4.36)

Coal Stockpile - closing balance (kilotonnes)360.6600.4-39.9%-240

Genesis Energy Share

Gas Sales (PJ)1.71.326.4%0.43.83.410.8%0.4

Oil Production (kbbl)88.780.99.7%7.8195.8207.3-5.6%-12

Oil Sales (kbbl)72.456.627.8%15.7146.8158.6-7.4%-12

Average Brent Crude Oil (USD/bbl)49.543.713.2%5.847.747.01.4%0.7

LPG Sales (kilotonnes)5.95.74.3%0.211.514.1-18.0%-2.5

4

Electricity and gas customers are defined by number of connections (ICP).

5

LPG connections are defined by number of customers

11

Rolling 12 month TRIFR per 200,000 hours worked

12

NEW DISCLOSURE - Total fuel burnt divided by total generation

Second Quarter (October to December)Year to Date

10

Results have been revised to reflect changes in coal kilotonnes to PJ conversion rate and volume methodology

6

Average selling price for mass market customers including lines/transmission and distribution and after prompt payment discount

9

Coal generation is calculated by applying coal burn to monthly average heat rates

8

Excludes settlements from electricity derivatives.

Notes:

Kupe Oil and Gas

Energy Management

7

Average selling price for TOU customers including lines/transmission and distribution

1

December 2015 and 2016 market shares based on published customer records from the Electricity Authority and Gas

Industry Company

2

Based on the survey question: "Overall, how satisfied are you with the customer service you have received from

Genesis Energy where 1 is very dissatisfied and 10 is very satisfied?". Survey started in October 2013

3

Based on Genesis Energy customer records. Includes vacant accounts. Excludes LPG customers. Electricity and gas

customers are defined by number of connections.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.