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MLN – February 2017 monthly update

Investor Presentation15 February 2017MLNFinancials

1
Monthly Update

February 2017

MLN NAV

$

0.82

SHARE PRICE

$

0.80

DISCOUNT

2.8

%

as at 31 January 2017

Carmel Fisher

Managing Director,

Fisher Funds

A word from the Manager — Making portfolios great

Welcome to 2017, it’s good to be talking to you again. We

haven’t been in touch since mid-December; not that we would

have got a word in, what with the countless column centimetres

devoted to all things Trump.

With each passing week I am asked “what do you make of this

Trump thing?” The question is asked not with a social or moral

response in mind, but rather, what does Trump’s presidency

mean for investment markets and economic matters? My

response is usually short, “I don’t know, and neither does

anyone.” I don’t mean to sound rude, but my view is by all

means have an opinion on the man, his personality, his hairstyle

and his utterings, but try not to let that opinion, or anyone

else’s, spill into your investment thinking.

Of course Trump is big news; most newly elected US Presidents

are. He’s controversial, but arguably, so was President Barack

Obama when he took possession of the White House keys

eight years ago.

Obama’s reign wasn’t expected to be good for share markets

as he was not exactly pro-business. But guess what? The US

share market lifted nearly 300% during his time in office.

There’s no denying Trump is pro-business, and that explains

why the US share market rallied after his election. Though, as

with all presidents, it’s the doing not the talking that matters

in the end. So far, he’s walked the talk on several significant

campaign issues such as the Mexican wall and immigration

restrictions, but it remains to be seen whether — and how

soon — Trump implements the corporate and personal tax

cuts that should stimulate economic growth and underpin the

US share market. We are going to be distracted by politics for

a long while. Trump has only begun to unveil his policies and

you just know there’s a lot of rhetoric to bombard us yet. We’ve

got a few European elections happening this year, as well as

our own domestic election now set for September, so political

distractions are here to stay.

But being fixated with politics, just like being fixated with

anything really, can lead to a loss of perspective and a focus on

the wrong things, leaving the right things unattended.

One financial columnist said recently, “Trump’s stated objective

is to Make America Great Again. Our objective should be to

make our portfolios great, all the time.” I agree.

With that in mind, our focus has been on the businesses we

own in your portfolios and the mix of currencies and asset

classes that combine to give you diversification.

Each single investment and each asset class will at some

point be affected by politics, as interest rates respond to

economic trends and policies. Our goal is to be positioned

correctly so that we are on the right side of the trend, or at

least, if our investments temporarily fall out of favour, we

remain confident that the intrinsic value is intact and they

remain appropriate assets to own over the long term.

It pays to remember that just as we are getting our heads

around the Trump effect on our clients’ portfolios, the

managers of our portfolio companies are doing the same

thing. They too will be positioning their businesses to

ensure they remain competitive and that their strategies

will withstand whatever comes out of a President’s mouth or

keyboard.

I read recently that corporate leaders in the US are “learning

to live with Mr Trump, or ‘normalising’, him in the current

jargon”. This is partly necessity — his threats could do them

damage — and it’s partly genuine enthusiasm as he plans to

cut their personal and their corporate income taxes. While

analysts, media and Democrats remain suspicious and even

hostile towards Trump, I am at least pleased (with my investor

hat on) that corporate America is coming to terms with the

new political regime.

We don’t need to like Trump or his politics — and please do

not read any political view into my comments; I don’t have

one. Maybe we just need to ‘normalise’ him and return our

focus to the more important parts of our lives.

Sector Split
as at 31 January 2017

Key Details

as at 31 January 2017

FUND TYPE

Listed Investment Company

INVESTS IN

Growing international companies

LISTING DATE

1 November 2007

FINANCIAL YEAR END

30 June

TYPICAL PORTFOLIO SIZE

30-40 stocks

INVESTMENT CRITERIA

Long-term growth

PERFORMANCE

OBJECTIVE

Long-term growth of capital and

dividends

TAX STATUS

Portfolio Investment Entity (PIE)

MANAGER

Fisher Funds Management

Limited

MANAGEMENT

FEE RATE

1.25% of gross asset value

(reduced by 0.10% for every 1% of

underperformance relative to the

change in the NZ 90 Day Bank Bill

Index with a floor of 0.75%)

PERFORMANCE

FEE HURDLE

Changes in the NZ 90 Day Bank

Bill Index + 5%

PERFORMANCE FEE

15% of returns in excess of

benchmark and high water mark

HIGH WATER MARK

$0.85 per share

SHARES ON ISSUE

117m

MARKET CAPITALISATION

$93m

GEARING

None (maximum permitted 20%

of gross asset value)

1 Month3 Months1 Year3 Years

(accumulated)

Since Inception

(accumulated)

MLN Adjusted NAV*(0.4%)(0.4%)(0.1%)+9.6% +47.3%

Total Shareholder Return*+0.0% +3.5% +7.7% +28.1% +51.7%

Gross Performance^+0.4%+0.8%+4.0%+21.1%+101.4%

Benchmark Index^^(0.4%)+6.0% +13.8% +39.5% +77.7%

Performance

to 31 January 2017

2

24

%

CONSUMER

DISCRETIONARY

14

%

INDUSTRIALS

19

%

HEALTHCARE

23

%

INFORMATION

TECHNOLOGY

Geographical Split

as at 31 January 2017

2

%

JAPAN

7

%

ASIA (EX JAPAN)

21

%

WEST

EUROPE

5

%

FINANCIALS

65

%

NORTH AMERICA

The Marlin portfolio also holds cash.

6

%

TECHNOLOGY

2

%

CONSUMER

STAPLES

^ Gross of fees and tax and adjusting for capital management initiatives

^^ Benchmark index: World Small Cap Gross Index until 30 September 2015 & S&P Large Mid

Cap/S&P Small Cap Index (50% hedged to NZD) from 1 October 2015

*Definitions of non-GAAP measures:

Adjusted Net Asset Value (Adjusted NAV)

The adjusted NAV per share represents the total assets of Marlin Global (investments and cash) minus

any liabilities (expenses and tax), divided by the number of shares on issue. It adds back dividends paid

to shareholders and adjusts for:

»the impact of shares issued under the dividend reinvestment plan at the discounted

reinvestment price;

»shares bought on-market (share buybacks) at a price different to the NAV, and;

» warrants exercised at a price different to the NAV at the time exercised.

Adjusted NAV assumes all dividends are reinvested in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan and

excludes imputation credits.

The directors believe this metric to be useful as it reflects the underlying performance of the

investment portfolio adjusted for dividends, share buybacks and warrants, which are capital allocation

decisions and not a reflection of the portfolio’s performance.

Total Shareholder Return (TSR)

The TSR combines the share price performance, the warrant price performance (when warrants are on

issue), the net value of converting warrants into shares and dividends paid to shareholders.

TSR assumes:

»all dividends paid are reinvested in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan at the

discounted reinvestment price and exclude imputation credits, and;

»all shareholders that have received warrants (for free), have subsequently exercised their

warrants at the warrant expiry date and bought shares (if they were in the money).

The directors believe this metric to be useful as it reflects the return of an investor who reinvests their

dividends and, if in the money, exercises their warrants at warrant maturity date for additional shares.

No metric has been included for investors who choose other investment options.

3

%

ENERGY

January’s Biggest Movers in New Zealand dollar terms
Typically the Marlin portfolio will be invested 90% or more in equities.

The remaining portfolio is made up of another 28 stocks and cash.

BIOTEST

+17

%

ALIBABA

+10

%

UNITED PARCEL

SERVICE

-9

%

BLACKHAWK

NETWORK HOLDINGS

-10

%

COGNIZANT TECHNOLOGY

SOLUTIONS

-11

%

5 Largest Portfolio Positions

as at 31 January 2017

ALPHABET

6

%

PAYPAL

5

%

MASTERCARD

5

%

ALIBABA

4

%

EBAY

4

%

Total Shareholder Return

to 31 January 2017

3

Nov

2007

Nov

2008

Nov

2009

Nov

2010

Nov

2011

Nov

2012

Nov

2014

Nov

2013

Share Price/Total Shareholder Return

Share PriceTotal Shareholder Return

Nov

2015

$

1.00

$

1.20

$

0.8 0

$

0.60

$

0.40

$

1.60

$

0.20

$

0.00

$

1.40

Nov

2016

Disclaimer: The information in this update has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is by
necessity brief. The information and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Marlin Global Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy

or completeness. The update is not intended to constitute professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from an

authorised financial adviser should be taken before making an investment. To the extent that the update contains data relating to the historical performance of Marlin Global Limited or its portfolio

companies, please note that fund performance can and will vary and that future results may have no correlation with results historically achieved.

Marlin Global Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740

Phone: +64 9 484 0365 | Fax: +64 9 489 7139

Email: enquire@marlin.co.nz | www.marlin.co.nz

4

Computershare Investor Services Limited

Private Bag 92119, Auckland 1142

Phone: +64 9 488 8777 | Fax: +64 9 488 8787

Email: enquiry@computershare.co.nz | www.computershare.com/nz

About

Marlin Global

Marlin is an investment company

listed on the New Zealand Stock

Exchange. The company gives

shareholders an opportunity to

invest in a diversified portfolio

of between 30 and 40 growing

international companies (excluding

New Zealand and Australia)

through a single, professionally

managed investment. The aim

of Marlin is to offer investors

competitive returns through capital

growth and dividends.

Capital Management Strategies

Regular Dividends

»Quarterly distribution policy introduced in

August 2010

»Under this policy, 2% of average NAV is targeted

to be paid to shareholders quarterly

»Dividends paid by Marlin may include dividends

received, interest income, investment gains

and/or return of capital

» This policy is well received by shareholders as it

provides an attractive and regular return that is

referable to the NAV

»Shareholders who prefer to have increased

capital rather than a regular income stream have

the opportunity to participate in the company’s

dividend reinvestment plan (DRP)

»Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3%

discount to market price

»Marlin became a portfolio investment entity on

1 October 2007. As a result, dividends paid to

New Zealand tax resident shareholders have not

been subject to further tax

Share Buyback Programme

»Marlin has a buyback programme in place allowing

it (if it elects to do so) to acquire up to 5.7m of its

shares on market in the year to 31 October 2017

»Shares bought back by the company are held as

treasury stock

» Shares held as treasury stock are available to be

re-issued for the dividend reinvestment plan

Warrants

»Warrants put Marlin in a better position to grow

further, improve liquidity, operate efficiently

and pursue other capital structure initiatives as

appropriate

»A warrant is the right, not the obligation, to

purchase an ordinary share in Marlin at a fixed price

on a fixed date

»There are currently no warrants on issue


Management

The Marlin Senior Portfolio Manager,

Roger Garrett, announced his

retirement recently. Fisher Funds’

senior investment analyst Ashley

Gardyne, has been appointed to the

role of Senior Portfolio Manager for

Marlin, effective 01 January 2017.

Ashley joined the international

team in 2013 and has been deeply

involved with the Marlin portfolio

strategy since. Ashley is supported

by Senior Investment Analysts,

Chris Waters and Frank Jasper.

Roger will provide continuity and

analytical support until a new senior

investment analyst is appointed.


Board

The Manager has authority

delegated to it from the Board

to invest according to the

Management Agreement and

other written policies. The Board

of Marlin comprises independent

directors Alistair Ryan (Chairman),

Carol Campbell and Andy

Coupe; and non-independent

director Carmel Fisher.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.