Marlin Global Limited logo

MLN – March 2017 monthly update

Operational Update10 March 2017MLNFinancials

A word from the Manager — Meeting expectations
Actress Pamela Anderson famously said “It’s great to be a

blonde. With low expectations it’s very easy to surprise people”.

I can attest to the fact that brunettes rarely get away with low

expectations; neither do redheads or chief executives of listed

companies (most of whom are grey haired these days).

At this time of the year, managing expectations is what it’s

all about for listed companies, and it is always with a little

trepidation that we await the profit reporting season. Have

our companies done what they said they’d do? Have they

communicated openly to the investment community in the past

six months to manage expectations and guide profit forecasts to

within cooee of actual results? And are their outlook statements

positive enough to prompt analysts to raise expectations for the

next round of profit results?

Unfortunately, the job of chief executives has become even harder

in recent times because a) analysts remain fixated on the bottom

line of company results even though earnings often tell only a

partial story and b) reactions are often outsized compared to

results, such as a 2% profit “miss” against forecasts resulting in a

10% plus share price fall.

It’s fair to say that our expectations of our portfolio companies

have not been dashed so far in the first two months of the year,

but neither have we been blown away by companies over-

delivering. We fared well through the recent profit result round

and have enjoyed exploiting opportunities when the market either

had the wrong expectations or reacted inappropriately to what

were actually good results.

Managing expectations is a year-round job for politicians and

central bankers. Talk of what we might expect from President

Trump and, to a lesser extent, the Federal Reserve has been a

significant distraction and pastime for market participants this

year. But a distraction is all it is.

The economic and political environment has so far not proven

contrary to expectations; the world is rolling along mostly as

anticipated, despite all the daily noise suggesting otherwise. Just

as company earnings should not be viewed in a vacuum (but in the

context of the underlying business fundamentals and long-term

strategy) economic and political news needs to be considered in

the context of the broad economic outlook which, so far this year,

remains positive and entirely consistent with expectations.

I was very pleased last week to announce the appointment

of Bruce McLachlan as our new Chief Executive Officer, to

take over the reins as I retire from my executive role. Bruce

will be joining Fisher Funds from 18 April 2017 and I really am

delighted as he has a wealth of experience in the financial

sector and importantly, a passion for client service.

When we began our search for a new chief executive,

we knew we wanted someone who understood and was

excited about maintaining and growing the wealth of New

Zealanders. We looked for someone who would continue our

longstanding performance record and our commitment to

exceptional client service. Bruce was an obvious choice for

the role.

Bruce has been CEO of The Co-Operative Bank for the past

four years. Under his leadership, the bank has consistently

achieved top rankings in customer satisfaction and client

service. Previously, Bruce worked for 10 years at Westpac NZ,

where his roles included leading both its business banking

and retail banking businesses; he was also Westpac NZ’s

acting CEO during 2008/9.

I will remain a director of the Marlin Board and a member of

the Board sub-committees, including the Marlin Investment

Committee and look forward to seeing

you at the Annual Shareholder

Meetings later this year.

Carmel Fisher

Managing Director,

Fisher Funds

1

Monthly Update

March 2017

MLN NAV

$

0.85

SHARE PRICE

$

0.79

DISCOUNT

6.9

%

as at 28 February 2017

Introducing Fisher

Funds’ new CEO:

Bruce McLachlan

Sector Split
as at 28 February 2017

Key Details

as at 28 February 2017

FUND TYPE

Listed Investment Company

INVESTS IN

Growing international companies

LISTING DATE

1 November 2007

FINANCIAL YEAR END

30 June

TYPICAL PORTFOLIO SIZE

30-40 stocks

INVESTMENT CRITERIA

Long-term growth

PERFORMANCE

OBJECTIVE

Long-term growth of capital and

dividends

TAX STATUS

Portfolio Investment Entity (PIE)

MANAGER

Fisher Funds Management

Limited

MANAGEMENT

FEE RATE

1.25% of gross asset value

(reduced by 0.10% for every 1% of

underperformance relative to the

change in the NZ 90 Day Bank Bill

Index with a floor of 0.75%)

PERFORMANCE

FEE HURDLE

Changes in the NZ 90 Day Bank

Bill Index + 5%

PERFORMANCE FEE

15% of returns in excess of

benchmark and high water mark

HIGH WATER MARK

$0.85 per share

SHARES ON ISSUE

117m

MARKET CAPITALISATION

$92m

GEARING

None (maximum permitted 20%

of gross asset value)

1 Month3 Months1 Year3 Years

(accumulated)

Since Inception

(accumulated)

MLN Adjusted NAV*+3.1%+4.5%+8.5%+12.2% +51.9%

Total Shareholder Return*(1.3%) +1.0% +6.4% +22.0% +49.9%

Gross Performance^+3.3%+5.6%+12.8%+23.9%+108.0%

Benchmark Index^^+3.4%+6.4% +19.4% +42.3% +83.8%

Performance

to 28 February 2017

2

23

%

CONSUMER

DISCRETIONARY

13

%

INDUSTRIALS

18

%

HEALTH CARE

23

%

INFORMATION

TECHNOLOGY

Geographical Split

as at 28 February 2017

2

%

JAPAN

7

%

ASIA (EX JAPAN)

19

%

WEST

EUROPE

5

%

FINANCIALS

64

%

NORTH AMERICA

The Marlin portfolio also holds cash.

6

%

TECHNOLOGY

3

%


ENERGY

^ Gross of fees and tax and adjusting for capital management initiatives

^^ Benchmark index: World Small Cap Gross Index until 30 September 2015 & S&P Large Mid

Cap/S&P Small Cap Index (50% hedged to NZD) from 1 October 2015

*Definitions of non-GAAP measures:

Adjusted Net Asset Value (Adjusted NAV)

The adjusted NAV per share represents the total assets of Marlin Global (investments and cash) minus

any liabilities (expenses and tax), divided by the number of shares on issue. It adds back dividends paid

to shareholders and adjusts for:

»the impact of shares issued under the dividend reinvestment plan at the discounted

reinvestment price;

»shares bought on-market (share buybacks) at a price different to the NAV, and;

» warrants exercised at a price different to the NAV at the time exercised.

Adjusted NAV assumes all dividends are reinvested in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan and

excludes imputation credits.

The directors believe this metric to be useful as it reflects the underlying performance of the

investment portfolio adjusted for dividends, share buybacks and warrants, which are capital allocation

decisions and not a reflection of the portfolio’s performance.

Total Shareholder Return (TSR)

The TSR combines the share price performance, the warrant price performance (when warrants are on

issue), the net value of converting warrants into shares and dividends paid to shareholders.

TSR assumes:

»all dividends paid are reinvested in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan at the

discounted reinvestment price and exclude imputation credits, and;

»all shareholders that have received warrants (for free), have subsequently exercised their

warrants at the warrant expiry date and bought shares (if they were in the money).

The directors believe this metric to be useful as it reflects the return of an investor who reinvests their

dividends and, if in the money, exercises their warrants at warrant maturity date for additional shares.

No metric has been included for investors who choose other investment options.

3

%

CONSUMER STAPLES

February’s Biggest Movers in New Zealand dollar terms
Typically the Marlin portfolio will be invested 90% or more in equities.

The remaining portfolio is made up of another 25 stocks and cash.

MEAD JOHNSON

+26

%

COGNIZANT TECHNOLOGY

SOLUTIONS

+14

%

NIKE

+10

%

VARIAN MEDICAL

SYSTEMS

+10

%

ADIDAS

+8

%

5 Largest Portfolio Positions

as at 28 February 2017

ALPHABET

6

%

PAYPAL

5

%

MASTERCARD

5

%

ALIBABA GROUP

4

%

EBAY

4

%

Total Shareholder Return

to 28 February 2017

3

Nov

2007

Nov

2008

Nov

2009

Nov

2010

Nov

2011

Nov

2012

Nov

2014

Nov

2013

Share Price/Total Shareholder Return

Share PriceTotal Shareholder Return

Nov

2015

$

1.00

$

1.20

$

0.8 0

$

0.60

$

0.40

$

1.60

$

0.20

$

0.00

$

1.40

Nov

2016

Disclaimer: The information in this update has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is by
necessity brief. The information and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Marlin Global Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy

or completeness. The update is not intended to constitute professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from an

authorised financial adviser should be taken before making an investment. To the extent that the update contains data relating to the historical performance of Marlin Global Limited or its portfolio

companies, please note that fund performance can and will vary and that future results may have no correlation with results historically achieved.

Marlin Global Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740

Phone: +64 9 484 0365 | Fax: +64 9 489 7139

Email: enquire@marlin.co.nz | www.marlin.co.nz

4

Computershare Investor Services Limited

Private Bag 92119, Auckland 1142

Phone: +64 9 488 8777 | Fax: +64 9 488 8787

Email: enquiry@computershare.co.nz | www.computershare.com/nz

About

Marlin Global

Marlin is an investment company

listed on the New Zealand Stock

Exchange. The company gives

shareholders an opportunity to

invest in a diversified portfolio

of between 30 and 40 growing

international companies (excluding

New Zealand and Australia)

through a single, professionally

managed investment. The aim

of Marlin is to offer investors

competitive returns through capital

growth and dividends.

Capital Management Strategies

Regular Dividends

»Quarterly distribution policy introduced in

August 2010

»Under this policy, 2% of average NAV is targeted

to be paid to shareholders quarterly

»Dividends paid by Marlin may include dividends

received, interest income, investment gains

and/or return of capital

» This policy is well received by shareholders as it

provides an attractive and regular return that is

referable to the NAV

»Shareholders who prefer to have increased

capital rather than a regular income stream have

the opportunity to participate in the company’s

dividend reinvestment plan (DRP)

»Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3%

discount to market price

»Marlin became a portfolio investment entity on

1 October 2007. As a result, dividends paid to

New Zealand tax resident shareholders have not

been subject to further tax

Share Buyback Programme

»Marlin has a buyback programme in place allowing

it (if it elects to do so) to acquire up to 5.7m of its

shares on market in the year to 31 October 2017

»Shares bought back by the company are held as

treasury stock

» Shares held as treasury stock are available to be

re-issued for the dividend reinvestment plan

Warrants

»Warrants put Marlin in a better position to grow

further, improve liquidity, operate efficiently

and pursue other capital structure initiatives as

appropriate

»A warrant is the right, not the obligation, to

purchase an ordinary share in Marlin at a fixed price

on a fixed date

»There are currently no warrants on issue


Management

The Marlin Senior Portfolio

Manager, Roger Garrett,

announced his retirement in

January. Fisher Funds’ Senior

Investment Analyst Ashley

Gardyne, has been appointed

to the role of Senior Portfolio

Manager for Marlin, effective

01 January 2017. Ashley joined

the international team in 2013 and

has been deeply involved with the

Marlin portfolio strategy since.

Ashley is supported by Senior

Investment Analysts, Chris Waters

and Frank Jasper.


Board

The Manager has authority

delegated to it from the

Board to invest according to

the Management Agreement

and other written policies.

The Board of Marlin

comprises independent

directors Alistair Ryan (Chair),

Carol Campbell and Andy

Coupe; and non-independent

director Carmel Fisher.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.