Wellington Drive Independent Research Report
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
LIMITED
1
Eastbourne
Advisory
Limited
does
not
warrant
the
accuracy
of
any
information
or
forecasts
in
this
report.
Recommendations
may
not
be
appropriate
and
investors
must
consider
their
own
circumstances
and
seek
independent
advice.
Analyst:
Andrew
Mortimer
Email:
agbmortimer@gmail.com
Mobile:
+64-‐(0)27-‐457
5730
Date:
23
March
2017
Wellington
Drive
Well
“Beyond
the
Motor”
Ticker:
WDT
Price
($):0.235
Market
Cap
($m):$53.4
52-‐wk
Range:
$0.08
-‐
$0.265
n Under
the
leadership
of
Greg
Allen
over
the
past
five
years,
a
strategy
to
improve
market
diversification
and
volumes
through
expanding
geographical
markets,
developing
new
advanced
motors
and
connected
refrigeration
controllers,
improve
margins
through
supply
chain
cost
reduction,
and
reduce
operating
costs
and
inventory
turn
has
met
with
considerable
success.
n Under
this
strategy
Gross
Margins
have
improved
from
5.0%
FY11
to
24.0%
FY16
and
resulted
in
the
delivery
of
a
modest
maiden
EBITDA
surplus.
n Frequent
capital
raisings
since
listing
have
been
exhausting
for
investors
but
there
is
now
significant
light
at
the
end
of
the
tunnel
with
the
company
expecting
significant
growth
in
profitability
over
the
medium
term
on
the
basis
of
recent
new
product
launches.
n In
FY17
the
company
expects
further
very
significant
revenue
growth
and
earnings
growth
as
customer
wins
and
the
adoption
of
new
products
occurs.
Revenue
growth
is
expected
in
the
range
of
30-‐40%
and
EBITDA
likely
in
the
low
millions
(we
forecast
$2.6m).
n WDT
recently
announced
the
signing
of
customer
terms
&
conditions
for
SCS™
Connect
with
a
very
large
unnamed
global
consumer
brand
that
may
come
on
stream
during
FY17.
However
we
note
the
timing
and
quantum
of
revenue
growth
is
difficult
to
forecast
and
is
likely
to
be
lumpy
near
term
as
new
customers
on-‐board
and
existing
customers
adopt
WDT’s
new
products.
n Electric
motors,
and
the
systems
they
drive,
are
the
largest
single
consumer
of
electrical
power.
Changing
consumer
behaviour,
government
incentives
and
regulations
are
expected
to
fuel
very
strong
(double
digit)
growth
for
energy
efficient
motors
for
the
foreseeable
future
according
to
industry
research.
n The
company’s
new
strategy
goes
well
beyond
specialised
electric
motors
where
the
market
is
relatively
fragmented,
commoditised
and
price
sensitive.
It
has
been
extended
to
include
proprietary
connected
smart
refrigeration
controllers
and
cooler
fleet
management
software,
taking
the
company
into
the
Internet
of
Things
(IoT)
sector
–
where
there
is
increased
opportunity
to
add
value
for
customers
and
margins
are
significantly
more
attractive.
n Assuming
the
company
is
successful
and
meets
its
expectations,
it
will
create
significant
shareholder
value
in
our
view.
Nevertheless
while
early
indicators
are
positive,
WDT
must
remain
innovative
and
ahead
of
the
pack
in
what
remain
very
competitive
markets,
particularly
for
motors
and
an
investment
carries
significant
risk
given
it
is
in
the
early
stages
of
a
turnaround.
n At
the
current
share
price
of
23.5c
the
market
appears
to
be
implying
significantly
lower
margins,
lesser
volume
growth
or
lower
pricing
or
a
combination
relative
to
our
expectations
all
else
being
equal.
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
RESEARCH
23
March
2017
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
LIMITED
2
Eastbourne
Advisory
Limited
does
not
warrant
the
accuracy
of
any
information
or
forecasts
in
this
report.
Recommendations
may
not
be
appropriate
and
investors
must
consider
their
own
circumstances
and
seek
independent
advice.
Investment
Fundamentals
Executive
Summary
Founded
in
1986
and
listed
in
2001
and
coming
from
a
very
long
period
of
losses
and
associated
capital
raisings,
investors
may
now
recapture
lost
value
and
more
as
the
company
guides
to
a
period
of
significant
growth
and
profitability. The
company
has
raised
$117.2m
of
capital
since
listing,
incurred
accumulated
losses
of
$112m
and
had
closing
equity
of
$2.7m
FY16.
We
understand
around
50%
of
shareholders
by
number
are
small
investors,
many
of
whom
have
been
significantly
diluted
over
the
years.
As
a
backdrop,
ever
rising
energy
prices,
increasing
awareness
about
the
benefits
of
using
energy
efficient
motors,
increasing
concern
over
greenhouse
emissions
and
Government
incentives
and
regulations
will
push
the
demand
for
energy
efficient
motors
and
controllers
in
low
power
requirement
applications.
Electric
motors,
and
the
systems
they
drive,
are
the
largest
single
consumer
of
electrical
power.
In
aggregate,
they
use
twice
as
much
energy
as
lighting
applications.
Industry
research
points
to
very
strong
growth
rates
for
energy-‐efficient
motor
systems.
In
the
case
of
SCS
Connect
adoption,
this
is
mainly
driven
by
the
accelerating
demand
for
connecting
industrial
equipment
(in
this
case
commercial
coolers)
to
the
internet,
gathering
Big
Data
from
fleets
of
equipment,
increasing
the
intelligence
of
the
equipment
and
improving
the
sales
and
cost
performance
of
the
fleet
through
deploying
cloud
based
software
and
reporting
tools
to
assist
operating
teams
in
making
better
business
decisions
(the
Internet
of
Things
or
IoT).
Gartner
Inc.
forecast
6.4bn
“things”
would
be
connected
in
2016
(supporting
total
service
spending
of
US$235bn)
rising
to
20.8bn
“things”
by
2020
(growth
of
15%-‐20%
per
annum)
and
that
consumer
uses
will
continue
to
account
for
the
greatest
number
of
connected
things,
while
enterprise
will
account
for
the
largest
spending.
WDT
had
earlier
flagged
and
then
achieved
a
modest
EBITDA
profit
for
FY16
and
management
has
expectations
for
strong
growth
in
revenues
and
earnings
thereafter.
Prior
to
2012
WDT
had
historically
not
been
profitable
for
a
variety
of
reasons
including
high
costs
of
production,
poor
manufacturing
economics
in
the
ventilation
market,
carrying
of
excess
inventory,
the
ordering
of
significant
quantities
of
product
that
were
not
demanded
by
the
market
as
EC
motor
adoption
was
still
in
the
very
early
stages,
a
lack
of
scale
and
a
general
lack
of
operational
focus.
Financial'and'valuation'metrics
Year'to'31'December
Adjusted(Earnings(($m)
EPS(Adjusted((c)
EPS(Growth((%)
P/E((X)
EV/EBITDA((X)
Net(DPS((c)
Imputation((%)
Net(Yield((%)
Gross(Yield((%)
Source:(Company(data,(estimates
2015A2016A2017F2018F2019F
F2.9(F2.5(0.53.15.9
NAF1.0(0.21.22.2
NANAF120%495%84%
NAF24.0(119.620.110.9
NANA25.613.88.6
NA0.00.00.00.0
NA0.00.00.00.0
NANA0.00.00.0
NANA0.00.00.0
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
RESEARCH
23
March
2017
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
LIMITED
3
Eastbourne
Advisory
Limited
does
not
warrant
the
accuracy
of
any
information
or
forecasts
in
this
report.
Recommendations
may
not
be
appropriate
and
investors
must
consider
their
own
circumstances
and
seek
independent
advice.
These
issues
have
been
addressed
since
2012.
The
company
now
has
a
customer-‐
centric
strategy
versus
a
‘build
it
and
they
will
come’
strategy,
a
completely
new
approach
to
managing
product
demand
and
supply,
and
a
new
supply
chain
model
with
low
cost
factories
in
Vietnam,
Malaysia
and
China
that
has
significantly
improved
its
working
capital
position
with
receivables
and
payables
near
matched.
Inventory
turnover
has
improved
from
~3X
to
~8X
between
2014
and
2016.
A
strategy
to
improve
product
cost
and
thus
margins
through
improvements
in
the
supply
chain
and
reduce
operating
costs
has
been
met
with
great
success
with
Gross
Margins
improving
from
5.0%
FY11
to
24.0%
FY16
with
further,
albeit
smaller,
improvements
in
motor
margins
expected
in
FY17.
The
company
is
targeting
motor
margins
of
25%
which
is
understood
to
be
in
line
with
tier
1
manufacturers.
The
rollout
of
new
technologies
(e.g.
SCS™
Connect
controllers)
with
higher
margins
should
see
group
margins
continue
to
increase
over
the
medium
term
even
as
lower
margins
on
motors
stabilise.
The
SCS™
(SCS
stands
for
Smart
Control
Solutions)
controller
system
has
been
three
years
in
development
with
its
first
sales
made
in
1H16
.
The
company
has
high
ambitions
for
its
success
in
the
market
near
term. SCS™
Connect
offers
a
cloud-‐based
cooler
fleet
management
solution
to
customers
who
need
to
connect
industrial
devices
to
the
Internet.
The
SCS™
Connect
System
unlocks
the
business
information
sitting
in
a
customers’
cooler
fleet
and
lets
customers
use
that
data
to
improve
commercial
and
operational
performance.
Wellington’s
new
strategy
is
to
deliver
solutions
to
solve
customers’
refrigeration
energy
consumption,
system
control
and
fleet
management
problems
through
the
development
of
Advanced
Motor
and
Intelligent
Control
Solutions.
Wellington
terms
this
strategy
“Beyond
the
Motor”.
The
company’s
strategy
is
now
much
more
than
motors
where
the
market
is
relatively
fragmented,
commoditised
and
price
sensitive
and
has
been
extended
to
include
smart
controllers
and
software
where
margins
are
more
attractive.
WDT
see
its
customers
as
beverage
bottlers
(who
are
the
ultimate
consumer
of
the
product),
brands
(who
steer
what
technology
they
adopt
in
their
coolers)
and
OEMs
(who
actually
manufacture
product
into
coolers
and
ship
to
the
bottler).
In
essence
the
primary
customer
is
a
bottler,
but
the
transactional
customer
is
the
OEM.
Over
the
last
two
years
the
company
has
added
supermarket
and
food
service
refrigerator
manufacturers
to
its
primary
target
customer
list
–
with
the
ultimate
consumer
of
the
product
being
large
international
supermarket
brands
and
restaurant
chains.
WDT
is
mainly
a
B2B
company
and
doesn’t
sell
through
distributors
at
any
scale,
although
does
have
two
smaller
distribution
relationships
(in
the
UK
and
USA).
Consequently,
most
sales
are
direct
and
WDT
has
a
small
global
sales
force.
WDT
supports
two
of
the
largest
consumer
branded
food
and
beverage
retailers
in
the
world
and
a
number
of
large
beer
brands
and
global
refrigeration
original
equipment
manufacturers
(OEMs).
Two
large
global
beverage
brands
are
currently
driving
the
largest
share
of
EC
motors
and
SCS™
controller
growth.
The
two
largest
direct
customers
are
OEMs
who
support
these
branded
food
and
beverage
retailers.
Both
OEM
customers
also
support
major
beer
brands,
ice
cream
brands
and
supermarket
display
case
customers,
providing
a
channel
to
market
for
WDT
to
access
these
customers.
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
RESEARCH
23
March
2017
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
LIMITED
4
Eastbourne
Advisory
Limited
does
not
warrant
the
accuracy
of
any
information
or
forecasts
in
this
report.
Recommendations
may
not
be
appropriate
and
investors
must
consider
their
own
circumstances
and
seek
independent
advice.
WDT’s
functional
currency
is
the
USD.
Its
main
currency
exposure
is
to
its
short
NZD
position
arising
from
its
NZD
denominated
cost
base
estimated
at
around
NZD
$5m
per
annum.
Recent
customer
wins,
and
new
brand
relationships
forged,
are
likely
to
see
revenue
diversification
begin
to
emerge
in
the
current
year
and
beyond
as
those
new
customers
and
brands
adopt
the
new
products
WDT
has
launched
in
the
market
place.
Assuming
the
company
is
successful
and
meets
its
expectations,
it
will
create
significant
shareholder
value
in
our
view.
Nevertheless,
while
early
indicators
are
green,
WDT
must
remain
innovative
and
ahead
of
the
pack
in
what
remain
very
competitive
markets.
We
have
not
assumed
any
dividends
being
paid
over
the
forecast
period
for
two
main
reasons;
first
is
that
with
substantial
tax
losses
available,
dividends
may
not
be
imputed
for
the
foreseeable
future
and
any
capital
return
would
be
more
likely
through
a
buy-‐
back
or
share
cancellation
in
our
view.
Secondly,
and
more
importantly,
the
company
still
has
product
expansion
opportunities
and
cash
generated
may
be
applied
to
further
product
development.
Catalysts
for
Share
Price
Performance
n Announcement
of
contract
wins
for
SCS™
and/or
ECR2
beyond
current
market
expectations.
n Earnings
announcements
ahead
of
guidance.
n Increased
“marketing”
of
the
new
WDT
story
to
increase
investor
knowledge.
n Further
margin
improvement
beyond
market
expectations.
n New
product
launches
and
expansion
of
new
product
platforms.
n Implementing
a
dividend
policy
(although
tax
losses
mean
the
company
would
not
be
able
to
pay
imputed
dividends,
so
more
tax
efficient
distribution
methods
such
a
share
buybacks
may
be
more
appropriate).
n Corporate
activity
in
the
sector.
About
The
Company
Wellington
was
founded
in
1986,
as
Clark
Automotive
Developments
Ltd.
The
company
specialized
in
power
electronics,
including
Inductive
Power
Transfer
technology.
It
also
developed
a
novel
design
of
ironless,
slotless
BLDC
motor,
which
was
patented
in
1989.
In
1996
the
company
changed
its
name
to
Wellington
Drive
Technologies
Ltd,
as
it
changed
its
strategy
to
focus
on
EC
motors
and
their
applications.
From
the
late
1990s
until
the
mid
2000's,
Wellington
operated
primarily
as
a
technology
development
company,
working
with
manufacturers
in
the
appliance
and
other
industries
to
license
and
apply
its
EC
motor
technology.
By
this
time,
the
original
patents
had
been
superseded,
and
Wellington's
technology
was
based
on
new
developments
in
low-‐iron
slotless
motors
and
control
systems.
The
company
listed
on
the
New
Zealand
Stock
Exchange
in
2001.
Wellington
began
manufacturing
its
own
EC
motors
in
2001.
By
the
mid
2000s
it
was
primarily
manufacturing
and
selling
motors
under
its
own
brand,
and
technology
licensing
was
becoming
a
secondary
activity.
Its
first
products
were
targeted
at
the
domestic
ventilation
market.
In
2011
the
company
withdrew
from
the
ventilation
market
due
to
the
poor
economics
of
its
“make
to
order”
approach.
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
RESEARCH
23
March
2017
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
LIMITED
5
Eastbourne
Advisory
Limited
does
not
warrant
the
accuracy
of
any
information
or
forecasts
in
this
report.
Recommendations
may
not
be
appropriate
and
investors
must
consider
their
own
circumstances
and
seek
independent
advice.
In
2004
WDT
added
refrigeration
fan
motors
to
its
product
range,
under
the
"ECR"
brand.
Since
that
date,
WDT
has
supplied
over
7
million
ECR
motors
with
the
guidance
to
near
term
profitability
driven
through
a
substantial
strategic
and
operational
clean-‐
up
led
by
CEO
Greg
Allen,
who
has
cut
costs
of
production,
cleared
excess
and
unwanted
inventories,
increased
the
scale
of
the
company’s
marketing
plans
and
developed
innovative
technology
for
new
markets.
In
2011,
the
company
decided
to
focus
solely
on
its
commercial
refrigeration
business
and
withdraw
from
the
ventilation
market;
and
to
develop
a
range
of
"beyond
the
motor"
technology
products
specifically
for
the
commercial
refrigeration
industry.
Associated
with
a
simplification
of
the
business
the
company
now
has
a
customer-‐
centric
strategy,
improved
its
margins
through
cost
control
including
restructuring
its
supply
chain
and
has
significantly
improved
its
working
capital
position
with
receivables
and
payables
near
matched.
Inventory
turnover
has
improved
from
~3X
to
>7X
between
2014
and
2016.
The
product
range
now
includes
airflow
solutions,
cloud
connected
refrigeration
controls,
and
telemetry
and
refrigeration
fleet
management
software.
Wellington
has
closed
its
Singapore
office
and
now
outsources
manufacturing
to
suppliers
in
Vietnam,
China
and
Malaysia.
The
company
has
offices
in
3
countries
(and
representation
in
a
further
7),
and
manages
supply
chain,
logistics
and
R&D
from
its
headquarters
in
Auckland,
New
Zealand.
Core
Strategy
WDT’s
key
strategy
is
to
go
beyond
the
fragmented
commoditised
and
price
sensitive
motor
sector
to
providing
solutions
to
the
commercial
refrigeration
market.
The
commercialisation
of
its
IoT
based
SCS
Connect
technology
to
deliver
valuable
information
to
owners
and
operators
of
commercial
refrigeration
fleets
should
deliver
significant
revenue
and
margin
growth.
WDT
currently
has
high
customer
concentration
risk
with
two
major
OEM
customers
comprising
57%
of
FY16
revenues
(in
2012
there
was
only
one)
although
the
number
of
end
customers
has
increased;
as
a
result
another
key
strategy
is
to
diversify
its
revenue
streams
by
both
increasing
the
number
and
type
of
customers
it
sells
to
and
geographies
it
operates
in.
In
this
respect,
the
company
is
endeavouring
to
foster
new
supermarket
display
case
and
food
service
cooler
customer
relationships.
The
company
also
believes
it
can
further
improve
its
supply
chain,
albeit
it
has
already
picked
the
low
hanging
fruit
in
terms
of
cost
reduction
through
the
step
changes
already
undertaken.
The
SCS™
Connect
System
The
SCS™
product
has
been
three
years
in
development
and
its
first
sales
were
made
in
1H16.
SCS™
Connect
offers
a
cloud-‐based
solution
to
customers
who
need
to
connect
industrial
devices
to
the
Internet.
It
effectively
unlocks
the
business
information
sitting
in
a
customer’s
cooler
fleet
(that
has
not
been
previously
accessible)
and
lets
customers
use
that
data
to
improve
commercial
and
operational
performance.
SCS™
allows
the
customer
to
track
assets,
simplifies
maintenance,
predicts
and
diagnoses
faults
in
the
equipment,
improves
energy
consumption,
provides
connectivity
that
can
manage
coolers
in
the
field
and
allows
customers
to
monitor
cooler
activity
and
relocate
coolers
where
utilisation
is
low.
WDT
manages
the
telemetry
data
and
provides
tools
to
allow
the
customer
to
monitor
their
fleet,
or
can
feed
the
raw
data
to
the
customer
for
their
own
analysis.
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
RESEARCH
23
March
2017
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
LIMITED
6
Eastbourne
Advisory
Limited
does
not
warrant
the
accuracy
of
any
information
or
forecasts
in
this
report.
Recommendations
may
not
be
appropriate
and
investors
must
consider
their
own
circumstances
and
seek
independent
advice.
Where
WDT
provides
data
solutions
for
the
customer,
WDT
currently
derives
small
additive
annuity
revenue
streams.
SCS™
controls
have
an
automatic
power-‐saving
standby,
saving
up
to
40%
of
energy
consumption
compared
to
an
electronic
thermostat.
They
also
feature
other
advanced
energy
saving
features
such
as
LED
light
dimming
and
fan
speed
adjustment,
letting
OEMs
optimise
the
control
of
any
cooler.
For
the
security
of
recorded
and
traceable
food
storage
conditions,
SCS™
Connect
controllers
log
several
months’
of
temperature
and
performance
data,
which
is
viewable
via
a
smartphone
application
or
at
the
desktop.
Wellington's
SCS™
refrigeration
controls
also
have
a
built-‐in
iBeacon.
iBeacon®
is
Apple's
name
for
a
small
Bluetooth
transmitter
(beacon)
which
can
be
used
to
trigger
Apps
in
the
smartphones
of
people
who
pass
nearby.
Although
the
name
and
technical
specification
are
Apple's,
the
beacons
can
be
made
by
anyone,
and
work
with
most
modern
smartphones,
whether
Apple
or
Android.
Because
Apps
react
to
the
specific
locations
of
beacons,
marketers
can
target
shoppers
with
offers
or
information
that
relates
specifically
to
where
they
are
or
what
they're
doing
(providing
the
potential
for
location
based
marketing).
In
return,
marketers
can
learn
about
users'
behaviour
and
habits.
Because
the
SCS™
controller
is
mains
voltage
powered,
it
lasts
the
life
of
the
cooler,
and
the
iBeacon
never
runs
out
of
battery.
To
make
the
best
use
of
an
iBeacon,
the
customer
needs
to
know
where
it
is.
This
lets
them
target
marketing
activity
to
specific
brands,
stores,
or
geographies,
and
build
the
best
picture
of
consumer
behaviour.
Wellington's
SCS™
Connect
identifies
its
location
as
part
of
the
fridge
installation
process,
and
sends
the
location
to
the
SCS™
database.
Conventional
iBeacons
are
not
interactive:
communication
from
the
iBeacon
to
the
phone
is
one
way
only.
Because
the
SCS™
beacon
is
also
a
Bluetooth
connection
to
the
fridge
control,
it
potentially
allows
interactive
behaviour
between
the
fridge
and
the
phone.
For
example
the
fridge
lights
could
blink
when
the
App
beeps,
telling
the
customer
why
they
are
being
beeped
at.
Or
the
SCS™
Connect
could
send
a
message
to
the
phone
when
the
door
is
opened,
telling
the
marketer
whether
their
message
has
really
generated
a
sale.
SCS
Connect
also
support
Google’s
alternative
to
iBeacon,
called
Eddystone.
Eddystone
has
some
different
features
than
iBeacon,
such
as
the
ability
to
operate
via
the
user’s
web
browser
(i.e.
without
the
need
to
download
an
app)
and
to
pass
limited
device
status
data.
The
majority
of
WDT’s
customers
are
currently
iBeacon.
It
is
understood
that
Wellington
is
researching
a
number
of
new
wireless
technology
platforms
to
further
advance
the
connectivity
of
its
SCS
Connect
and
expand
the
service
offerings
available
to
its
customers.
These
technologies
may
take
it
beyond
Bluetooth
to
emerging
‘always
on’
communication
technologies.
Wellington
intends
to
invest
in
advanced
connectivity
solutions
as
part
of
its
long
range
research
and
product
development
plans
–
something
that
is
well
‘beyond
the
motor’.
WDT
Energy
Efficient
EC
Motors
While
there
has
been
some
customer
resistance
to
purchasing
EC
motors
due
to
their
higher
capital
cost
(around
US$16-‐20
versus
$4-‐6
for
a
traditional
shaded
pole
motor)
and
in
spite
of
having
a
short
pay-‐back
period
and
very
attractive
economics,
new
energy
regulations
around
the
globe
are
likely
to
stimulate
higher
demand
over
the
medium
term.
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
RESEARCH
23
March
2017
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
LIMITED
7
Eastbourne
Advisory
Limited
does
not
warrant
the
accuracy
of
any
information
or
forecasts
in
this
report.
Recommendations
may
not
be
appropriate
and
investors
must
consider
their
own
circumstances
and
seek
independent
advice.
In
the
USA,
Federal
Department
of
Energy
(DOE)
regulations
effective
in
2017
are
targeting
commercial
“reach-‐in”
cooler
energy
usage
reductions
of
30%-‐50%,
numbers
which
are
achievable
with
a
WDT
motor
solution
(it
is
understood
this
is
further
improved
when
a
refrigerator
is
controlled
with
the
SCS
Connect).
Further
as
OEM’s
move
away
from
HCFC
refrigerants
and
instead
use
less
complex
hydrocarbons
(like
propane),
they
tend
to
adopt
EC
motors
as
they
migrate.
EC
(Electronically
Commuted,
or
Electronically
Controlled)
motors
are
electric
motors
which
have
permanent
magnets
on
the
rotor
and
use
electronics
to
control
the
voltage
and
current
applied
to
the
motor.
EC
motors
have
no
brushes
and
therefore
avoid
the
sparking
and
shorter
life
of
brushed
motors.
Because
they
have
electronics
controlling
the
stator,
and
do
not
need
to
waste
power
inducing
the
rotor
field,
they
give
better
performance
and
controllability.
EC
motors
are
used
today
in
many
fractional-‐horsepower
applications
where
high
motor
efficiency,
reliability,
and/or
controllability
are
desired.
Refrigeration
accounts
for
up
to
half
of
the
electricity
use
in
a
typical
supermarket
and
because
of
the
risk
of
product
damage,
reliability
and
performance
are
critical.
In
most
cases
EC
motors
use
from
less
than
one
third
to
one
half
of
the
electricity
used
by
the
traditional
"shaded
pole"
induction
motors
used
in
the
ventilation
and
refrigeration
industries,
which
translates
into
lower
operating
costs
and
short
payback
periods.
EC
motors’
high
efficiency
also
means
that
the
motors
run
“cool”,
and
dramatically
reduce
the
amount
of
waste
heat
produced.
Reduced
waste
heat
at
the
evaporator
motor
level
also
typically
results
in
reduced
operation
at
the
compressor
level,
which
allows
further
energy
savings.
Also,
running
cooler
improves
the
life
of
highly
loaded
motor
parts
like
windings
and
bearings.
EC
motors
also
have
a
wider
operating
range
than
traditional
induction
motors,
which
means
that
one
EC
motor
can
replace
a
number
of
induction
motor
models.
In
this
way,
the
number
of
models
required
by
a
typical
customer
is
significantly
decreased,
which
decreases
and
simplifies
inventory.
This
is
the
main
reason
why
EC
product
lines
usually
include
less
motor
models
than
their
induction
counterparts.
Because
the
motor’s
operation
is
controlled
by
software,
EC
motors
allow
customers
to
optimize
and
integrate
the
motor,
fan
and
controller
with
the
application,
and
to
include
features
like
data
communications,
constant
volume
control,
variable
speed,
etc.
EC
motors
are
also
quieter
(an
important
consideration
in
multi-‐motor
environments
such
as
supermarkets),
have
longer
design
life
and
generally
require
less
maintenance.
As
a
general
rule
of
thumb,
shaded
pole
motors
range
from
15-‐25%
efficiency.
This
means
for
every
Watt
used
to
generate
airflow,
another
4-‐5
Watts
are
wasted
as
heat.
Permanent
split
capacitor
motors
range
from
30-‐50%
efficiency
and
EC
motors
achieve
60-‐75+%
efficiency.
Payback
analysis
involves
many
factors
such
as
the
local
electricity
rate,
duty
cycle
of
the
motors
(and
in
conjunction
with
compressors),
lifetime
failure/replacement
costs,
efficiency
of
the
air
movement
and
operating
conditions.
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
RESEARCH
23
March
2017
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
LIMITED
8
Eastbourne
Advisory
Limited
does
not
warrant
the
accuracy
of
any
information
or
forecasts
in
this
report.
Recommendations
may
not
be
appropriate
and
investors
must
consider
their
own
circumstances
and
seek
independent
advice.
For
high
duty
cycle
applications
such
as
refrigeration
fans,
payback
can
be
as
short
as
a
few
months,
while
for
low
duty
cycle
applications,
energy
savings
may
not
be
a
driver
for
moving
to
EC
motors.
As
noted,
in
general
EC
motors
cost
2-‐4x
the
price
of
an
equivalent
size
AC
motor,
however
the
total
cost
equation
often
comes
out
in
favour
of
the
EC
motor.
As
an
example,
changing
remote
or
integral
(plug-‐in)
display
cases
to
use
WDT
ECR
motors,
with
efficiency
up
to
70%,
can
reduce
electricity
consumption
by
over
two
thirds.
This
leads
to
a
cost
saving
of
$45
or
more,
per
motor
per
year
(based
on
a
power
cost
of
$0.11/kWh).
Payback
can
be
measured
in
months.
WDT
ECR
motors
are
tested
to
a
design
life
of
over
10
years,
so
replacement
and
warranty
costs
can
be
reduced
also.
WDT’s
new
ECR2
motors
give
very
low
levels
of
motor-‐induced
noise
and
vibration
and
as
much
as
4.5dBA
less
than
other
EC
motors.
WDT
ECR
motors
can
be
programmed
in
place,
allowing
individual
cabinets
to
be
tuned
to
maximum
performance
once
installed,
and
can
be
combined
with
the
SCS™
refrigeration
controller
to
control
fan
speeds
in
real
time.
Further,
the
ECR2
model
can
still
operate
efficiently
under
extreme
conditions.
To
cater
for
customer
demand
for
non
EC
motors,
Wellington
also
sells
a
rebranded
Chinese
manufactured
shaded
pole
motor,
mainly
to
China
based
customers,
a
market
where
EC
motors
have
a
low
penetration
rate.
About
the
Markets
The
Market
for
Motors
Ever
rising
energy
prices,
increasing
awareness
about
the
benefits
of
using
energy
efficient
motors
and
smart
refrigeration
controllers,
increasing
concern
over
reducing
greenhouse
gas
emissions
and
an
increase
in
government
incentives
and
regulations
will
push
the
demand
for
energy
efficient
motors
and
control
solutions
in
commercial
refrigeration
applications.
Energy-‐efficient
motors
are
manufactured
with
higher
quality
raw
materials
and
newer
technologies
that
comply
with
the
energy-‐efficiency
standards.
In
addition,
changing
regulatory
policies,
along
with
incentives
offered
by
the
governments
to
support
energy
saving
products,
have
increasingly
incentivised
OEMs
to
switch
to
newer
technologies.
The
maintenance,
operation
and
energy
costs
of
energy
efficient
low
horsepower
motors
contribute
significantly
towards
the
life
cycle
costs,
resulting
in
higher
demand
by
end
customers,
for
better
energy
saving
products.
The
global
electric
motor
sales
market
size
(all
motors)
was
estimated
to
be
around
US$91.75bn
in
2015
and
is
expected
to
grow
at
a
CAGR
of
6.38%
during
2015-‐2020
according
to
MarketsAndMarkets
research.
Electric
motors,
and
the
systems
they
drive,
are
the
largest
single
consumer
of
electrical
power.
In
aggregate,
they
use
twice
as
much
energy
as
lighting
applications,
which
are
the
next
largest
user,
according
to
a
working
paper
by
International
Energy
Agency
(IEA)
1
.
It
is
estimated,
electric
motors
and
the
systems
they
drive
account
for
approximately
50
percent
of
total
global
energy
consumption,
which
equates
to
about
6
billion
metric
tons
of
CO2
a
year.
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
RESEARCH
23
March
2017
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
LIMITED
9
Eastbourne
Advisory
Limited
does
not
warrant
the
accuracy
of
any
information
or
forecasts
in
this
report.
Recommendations
may
not
be
appropriate
and
investors
must
consider
their
own
circumstances
and
seek
independent
advice.
These
numbers
highlight
why
efforts
to
increase
motor
energy
efficiency
are
a
priority
among
industrialized
countries
worldwide.
Motor-‐efficiency
performance
standards
(MEPs)
from
multiple
countries,
including
the
U.S.
and
Europe,
as
well
as
potential
end-‐
user
energy
and
cost
savings,
are
the
key
drivers
accelerating
demand
for
energy-‐
efficient
motor
drives.
Most
developed
countries
already
have
energy
standards
in
place
while
expectations
are
most
developing
nations
to
have
standards
by
2018.
MarketsAndMarkets
estimate
the
total
Global
Energy
Efficient
Motors
Low
Horsepower
market
to
be
around
US$35bn
in
2016
(this
is
the
market
segment
where
WDT
can
compete)
and
growing
at
a
CAGR
of
~12%
p.a.
Of
that,
refrigeration
accounts
for
around
US$3.7bn,
which
is
WDT’s
current
focus.
Technavio’s
research
analysis
predicts
the
global
brushless
DC
motors
market
to
grow
steadily
at
a
CAGR
of
around
13%
during
its
forecast
period
2016-‐2020,
similar
to
and
supporting
that
forecast
by
MarketsandMarkets.
#########
Source'International'Energy'Agency'(IEA)
Source'International'Energy'Agency'(IEA)
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
RESEARCH
23
March
2017
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
LIMITED
10
Eastbourne
Advisory
Limited
does
not
warrant
the
accuracy
of
any
information
or
forecasts
in
this
report.
Recommendations
may
not
be
appropriate
and
investors
must
consider
their
own
circumstances
and
seek
independent
advice.
The
key
point
to
note
is
that
electric
motor
markets
are
very
large
and
expected
to
grow
strongly
and
while
WDT
participates
in
only
a
small
fraction
of
the
market
currently,
there
may
be
high
value
adjacent
markets,
which
WDT
may
choose
to
enter
in
the
future.
However
the
markets
are
very
competitive
with
a
large
number
of
competitors
both
large
and
small.
According
to
MarketsAndMarkets,
the
segments
where
WDT
currently
participates,
vending
machines,
freezers
and
display
cases
are
expected
to
be
among
fastest-‐growing
products
over
the
five
years
from
2013
to
2018,
growing
at
CAGRs
of
17.33%,
15.70%
and
18.0%
respectively.
Bottle
coolers
held
the
highest
revenue
share
at
35%
in
2012
and
are
expected
to
retain
this
dominant
share
over
the
forecast
period.
The
total
global
low
horsepower
market
for
refrigeration
applications
is
forecast
to
be
US$3.7bn,
growing
at
a
CAGR
15%
from
2012
to
2018
and
reaching
~US$5bn
at
the
end
of
the
forecast
period.
Growth
rates
by
application
were
forecast
to
be
highest
for
display
units
and
growth
across
all
categories
of
between
10%
and
18%.
Geographically,
growth
is
expected
to
be
14%-‐19%
across
all
markets
with
APAC
(15.8%)
and
ROW
(18.6%)
highest
as
infrastructure
is
built
out
driving
refrigeration
demand.
WDT
has
only
a
small
presence
in
vending
machines
at
present
as
the
bulk
of
that
segment
uses
smaller
DC
motors
than
WDT
currently
has
in
its
product
range.
However
it
is
an
extremely
accessible
adjacent
segment
and
might
be
a
key
target
market
for
the
company’s
planned
smaller
low
cost
motor.
Global&Energy&Efficient&Motors&Low&HP&By&Application&US$bn&(Type)
Source:(marketsandmarkets
Global Energy Efficient Low Horsepower AC Motors Market
(2013 – 2018)
The global energy efficient low horsepower AC motors market revenue, for the period from
2012 to 2018, is shown in the table below.
TABLE 1
GLOBAL ENERGY EFFICIENT MOTORS: LOW HORSEPOWER AC
MOTORS MARKET REVENUE, 2012-2018 ($BILLION)
Type 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
CAGR %
(2013-
2018)
FHP AC motors
17.54 18.61 19.86 21.23 22.75 24.37 26.12 7.01
1hp-3hp Energy
Efficient AC Motors
5.53 6.63 8.01 9.74 11.93 14.67 18.20 22.37
Total Market
23.07 25.25 27.86 30.98 34.67 39.04 44.32 11.91
Source: MarketsandMarkets Analysis
The overall market for energy-efficient low horsepower AC motors market is expected to grow
from $25.25 billion in 2013 to $44.32 billion in 2018 at a CAGR of 11.91% from 2013 to 2018.
The efficiency of the energy-efficient motors is 1% to 4% higher than the normal motors.
Energy-efficient electric motors have improved motor design and high quality materials in
order to reduce the motor losses, which further improve the motor efficiency. The need to
reduce wastage of electricity and reduce emissions has driven the market for energy-efficient
low horsepower AC motors in various applications.
The revenues of the global energy-efficient low horsepower AC motors by the various
applications have been tabulated below.
MarketsandMarkets
27
Global&Energy&Efficient&Motors&Low&HP&By&Application&US$bn&(Application)
Source:(marketsandmarkets
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
RESEARCH
23
March
2017
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
LIMITED
11
Eastbourne
Advisory
Limited
does
not
warrant
the
accuracy
of
any
information
or
forecasts
in
this
report.
Recommendations
may
not
be
appropriate
and
investors
must
consider
their
own
circumstances
and
seek
independent
advice.
APAC
accounted
for
the
largest
share
of
the
market
in
2015
and
is
expected
to
grow
at
a
CAGR
of
around
14%
during
the
forecast
period.
For
further
illustration
of
the
size
of
the
market,
the
research
estimates
Coca
Cola
alone
has
13m
coolers
in
market
with
the
total
global
fleet
estimated
at
30m
at
an
average
cost
of
US$800
per
cooler
unit,
implying
capital
deployed
of
~US$24bn
(although
this
capital
spend
is
in
part
undertaken
by
Coca
Cola’s
independent
bottler
network).
The
Market
for
IoT
and
Connected
Controllers
For
SCS
Connect,
growth
is
likely
to
be
driven
around
demand
for
“the
internet
of
things”.
The
Industrial
Internet
(of
things)
is
still
at
an
early
stage,
similar
to
where
the
Internet
was
in
the
late
1990s.
The
internet
of
things
refers
to
the
networking
of
physical
objects
through
the
use
of
embedded
sensors,
actuators,
and
other
devices
that
can
collect
or
transmit
information
about
the
objects.
The
data
amassed
from
these
devices
can
then
be
analysed
to
optimise
products,
services,
and
operations
improving
product
sales,
equipment
efficiencies
and
driving
down
costs.
Growth
in
demand
for
the
Internet
of
Things
is
forecast
to
be
very
strong
with
Gartner
Inc.
forecasting
that
from
6.4bn
“things”
connected
in
2016
(supporting
total
service
spending
of
US$235bn),
this
would
rise
to
20.8bn
“things”
by
2020
(growth
of
15%-‐20%
per
annum).
Global&Energy&Efficient&Motors&Low&Horsepower&By&Application&US$bn
Source:(marketsandmarkets
Global Energy Efficient Low Horsepower AC Motors Market
(2013 – 2018)
Some of the major energy efficiency options include cold installation, building heat loads
minimization, process heat load minimization, minimize part load operations by matching loads
and plant capacity online, and adopt variable speed drives for varying process load.
Commercial refrigeration equipment has been considered for this study. These include bottle
coolers, vending machines, freezer cabinets, and display units among others.
TABLE 22
GLOBAL ENERGY EFFICIENT MOTORS: LOW HORSEPOWER
(FHP+1HP-3HP) AC MOTORS MARKET REVENUE, BY REFRIGERATION
APPLICATION, 2012-2018 ($BILLION)
Application 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
CAGR %
(2013-
2018)
Bottle coolers
0.77 0.86 0.97 1.09 1.24 1.42 1.64 13.77
Vending machine
0.07 0.08 0.09 0.10 0.12 0.15 0.17 17.33
Freezer cabinets
0.37 0.42 0.48 0.55 0.63 0.74 0.87 15.70
Display units
0.64 0.74 0.86 1.00 1.19 1.41 1.69 18.00
Others
0.34 0.36 0.40 0.43 0.48 0.53 0.59 10.30
Total
2.18 2.46 2.79 3.18 3.66 4.24 4.96 15.08
Source: MarketsandMarkets Analysis
Vending machines, freezers and display cases are expected to be among fastest-growing
products over the next five years, growing at CAGRs of 17.33%, 15.70% and 18.00%
respectively from 2013 to 2018. Bottle coolers held highest revenue share that is 35% in 2012
and is expected to retain a dominant share for the next five years as well. The global energy
efficient low horsepower AC motors market revenue of refrigeration application by the major
geographies is shown in the following table.
MarketsandMarkets
93
Global&Energy&Efficient&Motors&Low&Horsepower&By&Geography&US$bn
Source:(marketsandmarkets
Global Energy Efficient Low Horsepower AC Motors Market
(2013 – 2018)
TABLE 23
GLOBAL ENERGY EFFICIENT MOTORS: LOW HORSEPOWER
(FHP+1HP-3HP) AC MOTORS REFRIGERATION APPLICATION
MARKET REVENUE, BY GEOGRAPHY, 2012-2018 ($BILLION)
Geography 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
CAGR %
(2013-
2018)
North America
0.59 0.66 0.75 0.84 0.96 1.11 1.29 14.30
Europe
0.51 0.57 0.64 0.71 0.81 0.93 1.08 13.68
APAC
0.90 1.01 1.15 1.34 1.54 1.78 2.09 15.56
ROW
0.18 0.21 0.25 0.30 0.35 0.42 0.50 18.58
Total
2.18 2.46 2.79 3.18 3.67 4.24 4.96 15.08
Source: MarketsandMarkets Analysis
The global energy efficient low horsepower AC motors market revenue of refrigeration
application is estimated to grow at a CAGR of 15.08% from 2013 to 2018, to reach $4.96
billion by the end of 2018. ROW and APAC are the fastest growing regions with CAGRs 18.58%
and 15.56% respectively from 2013 to 2018. The demand for cold storage equipment driven
by the booming infrastructure in these regions is the major driver for the market. China and
India are expected to be the major growing markets for commercial refrigeration equipment in
the next five years. APAC indicates strong growth of energy efficiency low horsepower AC
motors in refrigeration application due to overall growth in the commercial refrigeration
equipment market in the region.
5.4.1 BOTTLE COOLERS
Bottle coolers are refrigeration equipment used for commercial refrigeration of drinks,
beverage sand ice creams. They are found in a number of places like pubs, restaurants, clubs,
and so on. The increase in global incomes augmented with improved infrastructure outlook in
the APAC region will be the major driver for this market. The major components in this
MarketsandMarkets
94
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
RESEARCH
23
March
2017
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
LIMITED
12
Eastbourne
Advisory
Limited
does
not
warrant
the
accuracy
of
any
information
or
forecasts
in
this
report.
Recommendations
may
not
be
appropriate
and
investors
must
consider
their
own
circumstances
and
seek
independent
advice.
McKinsey
Global
Institute
research
estimates
that
number
may
be
as
many
as
26bn
to
30bn
and
that
the
impact
of
the
Internet
of
Things
on
the
global
economy
might
be
as
high
as
$6.2
trillion
by
2025.
Vast
amounts
of
money
are
being
expended
in
the
technology
by
both
Corporates
and
Governments
(e.g.
Cisco
has
committed
to
spending
US$1bn
over
5
years).
Obstacles
to
growth
include;
n The
current
absence
of
industry
standards
(including
connectivity
and
API’s).
n That
security
and
data
privacy
issues
need
to
be
addressed.
n Many
applications
will
require
devices
that
are
self-‐sustaining
and
rely
on
energy
harvesting
or
long-‐life
batteries.
n Connectivity
loads
where
billions
of
devices
will
be
connected
at
any
one
time.
n Some
applications
will
require
low-‐power,
low-‐data-‐rate
connectivity
across
a
range
of
more
than
20
meters,
an
area
in
which
cellular
technologies
and
Wi-‐Fi
often
fall
short.
n Legacy
environments
where
brownfield
innovation
will
be
required
to
support
existing
equipment
on
the
ground.
n Lack
of
skilled
workers
(data
scientists).
n Uncertainty
around
returns
on
investment.
AT
Kearny
estimates
that
of
its
forecast
US$344bn
of
IOT
revenues
in
2020,
US$45bn
or
13%
will
be
spent
on
sensors
and
devices
and
US$237bn
(or
69%)
on
services
and
applications,
with
the
residual
on
infrastructure
and
platforms.
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
RESEARCH
23
March
2017
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
LIMITED
13
Eastbourne
Advisory
Limited
does
not
warrant
the
accuracy
of
any
information
or
forecasts
in
this
report.
Recommendations
may
not
be
appropriate
and
investors
must
consider
their
own
circumstances
and
seek
independent
advice.
While
it
seems
likely
these
obstacles
will
be
overcome,
what
is
much
less
clear
is
who
and
which
industries
would
capture
the
value
of
this
growth.
The
chief
executive
of
CSR
plc,
Joep
van
Beurden,
hypothesises
only
about
10
percent
of
the
financial
value
to
be
captured
is
likely
to
be
in
the
“things”
and
the
rest
is
likely
to
be
in
how
these
things
are
connected
to
the
Internet
(and
the
creation
of
big
data).
CSR
is
a
large,
fabless
semiconductor
company,
previously
listed
on
the
LSE
and
since
acquired
by
Qualcomm
for
US$2.5bn.
CSR
specialises
in
products
utilising
wireless
technologies
including
Bluetooth
and
WiFi.
The
technology
will
be
disruptive
and
there
will
be
winners
and
losers.
The
important
point
to
note
is
that
with
the
SCS
Connect
controller
in
market,
WDT
has
firmly
marked
its
territory
in
the
space,
which
we
consider
essential
to
remain
competitive.
Margins
and
Costs
Since
2011,
WDT’s
Gross
Margins
have
seen
steady
increases
year
on
year,
with
the
exception
of
FY14
when
lower
volumes
in
Latin
America
conspired
to
modestly
reduce
margins
FY14
over
FY13.
This
margin
improvement
has
been
generated
through
a
significant
improvement
in
WDT’s
entire
supply
chain
including
outsourcing
manufacturing
to
low
cost
manufacturing
companies,
introducing
new
competitive
suppliers
in
Vietnam
and
Malaysia,
discontinuing
low
margin
business
lines
and
the
development
of
higher
value
products
(e.g.
ECR2
and
SCS)
and
more
recently
the
targeting
of
higher
value
customers
(e.g.
supermarket
refrigerator
manufacturers).
The
company
is
targeting
motor
margins
of
25%
(in
line
with
our
forecasts)
and
expects
margins
on
its
SCS™
controllers
to
be
higher
than
EC
motor
margins.
At
its
interim
result
1H16,
WDT
disclosed
margins
of
22.4%
and
subsequently
25.7%
in
the
3
rd
quarter
and
24.0%
FY16
and
is
now
achieving
margins
in
line
with
world-‐class
motor
companies.
Likewise
opex
has
been
in
steady
decline
over
the
same
period
dropping
from
$13.8m
FY11
to
$7.4m
FY15
mainly
attributable
to
lower
staff
costs,
the
closing
of
the
Singapore
office
(in
June
2014),
the
relocation
of
the
Auckland
office
to
cheaper
premises
and
business
simplification
enabling
the
company
to
do
more
with
less
people.
FY16
the
company
increased
its
investment
in
headcount
to
enable
the
delivery
of
growth
from
its
SCS
and
ECR2
businesses
increasing
opex
to
$8.5m.
Looking
forward,
we
expect
opex
to
correlate
with
revenue
and
profit
growth.
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
RESEARCH
23
March
2017
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
LIMITED
14
Eastbourne
Advisory
Limited
does
not
warrant
the
accuracy
of
any
information
or
forecasts
in
this
report.
Recommendations
may
not
be
appropriate
and
investors
must
consider
their
own
circumstances
and
seek
independent
advice.
The
motors
market
is
very
fragmented
with
many
global
and
regional
vendors
although
most
specialize
by
motor
size
and/or
applications.
Vendors
are
investing
in
R&D
to
compete
in
the
market
in
terms
of
technology
and
pricing.
They
are
facing
constant
price
pressure
from
regional
vendors,
which
is
leading
to
a
decline
in
the
average
selling
price
of
these
motors
globally.
Increasing
standardization
and
less
price
and
quality
differentiation
among
competitors
is
intensifying
competition.
While
there
are
many
motor
manufacturers,
WDT
sees
its
main
competitors
as
a
privately
owned
German
Company,
ebm-‐pabst,
two
subsidiaries
of
listed
American
Company
Regal
Beloit
(Morrill-‐USA
and
Elco-‐Italy),
and
a
Chinese
privately
owned
motor
manufacturer,
Weiguang.
There
are
many
smaller
scale
motor
manufacturers,
several
of
them
VC
backed,
based
in
the
USA,
Asia
and
Europe
which
the
company
also
occasionally
competes
against.
Some
segments
and
markets
are
more
competitive
than
others,
for
example
(ice
cream
is
more
competitive
than
beer
and
Europe
more
competitive
that
Asia
or
LatAm)
and
so
WDT
has
a
product
range
with
different
attributes
and
price
points
although
it
does
not
currently
cover
all
segments.
WDT
expects
its
new
motors
in
development,
including
a
planned
very
low
cost
EC
motor,
to
help
compete
further
in
ice-‐cream
and
lower
end
coolers
more
broadly
in
the
future.
Wellington’s
new
ECR2
motor
platform
is
seen
as
providing
a
competitive
advantage
due
to
its
industry
leading
70%
efficiency,
its
extremely
quiet
operation
(at
around
37
dBA)
and
its
ability
to
simplify
the
customer
supply
chain
by
having
just
one
SKU
operating
on
any
worldwide
mains
voltage.
It
delivers
all
of
these
attributes
at
a
cost
that
delivers
value
to
its
customers.
The
demand
for
technically
advanced
brushless
DC
motors
may
see
increases
in
the
ASP
over
the
forecast
period.
For
a
list
of
leading
vendors
in
the
motor
market
see
appendix
2.
While
still
competitive,
the
connected
commercial
refrigeration
controller
market
is
much
less
developed
and
it
appears,
anecdotally
at
least,
that
WDT
has
a
very
strong
beachhead
product
in
the
market.
The
IoT
products
and
services
that
go
hand
in
hand
with
the
connected
hardware
are
certainly
nascent
in
the
commercial
refrigeration
market,
but
with
significant
investment
happening
in
IoT
infrastructure
and
Cloud
based
data
tools
and
services
by
major
players
such
and
IBM,
Amazon,
Cisco,
Apple,
Google,
Microsoft,
GE,
Intel,
Siemens,
AT&T
and
Vodafone
the
opportunity
to
leverage
the
available
tools
and
provide
IoT
solutions
is
developing
quickly.
While
there
are
a
number
of
competitor
products
in
market
(Eliwell
owned
by
Schneider
EPA.SU,
Emerson
EMR.N,
Danfoss,
Carel,
Elstat
and
Sollatek),
feedback
from
customers
support
SCS™
as
being
a
functionally
superior
product.
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
RESEARCH
23
March
2017
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
LIMITED
15
Eastbourne
Advisory
Limited
does
not
warrant
the
accuracy
of
any
information
or
forecasts
in
this
report.
Recommendations
may
not
be
appropriate
and
investors
must
consider
their
own
circumstances
and
seek
independent
advice.
Longer
term
there
is
risk
from
the
bigger
players
like
Carel
and
Danfoss
upping
their
game
and
it
is
imperative
WDT
stays
ahead
of
its
competitors
in
terms
of
innovation.
WDT
believes
it
was
first
with
the
idea
of
using
Bluetooth
to
provide
low-‐cost
communications
in
the
commercial
beverage
refrigeration
market
and
hence
developed
a
market
leadership
position.
The
technology
needs
a
lot
of
development
effort
and
fine-‐tuning
to
acquire
the
desired
level
of
performance
and
customer
feedback
suggests
competing
Bluetooth
solutions
don’t
perform
as
well
at
both
a
device
and
application
level
relating
to
accessing
the
connectivity
based
tools.
Secondly
WDT’s
controller
hardware
is
‘next
generation’
in
that
it
has
multiple
inputs
and
outputs
and
hence
can
‘drive’
or
manage
a
number
of
sophisticated
electronic
components
within
the
refrigerator.
Many
competing
refrigeration
controllers
are
essentially
previous
generation
hardware
to
which
a
Bluetooth
transceiver
has
been
added
meaning
the
underlying
electronic
and
control
capability
is
less
capable
(e.g.
WDT’s
controller
can
control
its
variable
speed
EC
motors).
Also,
WDT’s
‘SCS
Report’
cloud
analytics
platform,
‘SCS
Track’
cooler
tracking
software
and
‘SCS
field’
smart
maintenance
tool
suite
are
generally
considered
to
be
best
in
breed
with
many
hardware
competitors
not
providing
the
same
level
of
platform
functionality,
which
can
be
a
major
drawback
for
some
customers
who
want
a
single
supplier
for
both
controller
hardware
and
software.
Current
WDT
Markets
and
share
In
FY16,
WDT’s
revenues
were
geographically
derived
68%
from
LatAm,
13%
EMEA,
10%
APAC
and
9%
USA/Canada.
LATAM
saw
a
strong
resurgence
FY16
from
both
new
customers
and
existing
customers
as
LATAM
economies
improved
although
Brazil
remained
weak.
In
Asia,
WDT’s
largest
customer
market
is
Thailand
followed
by
China
(which
is
mainly
a
shaded
pole
market).
FY16%Global%Revenues%US$m%and%%
Source:(Company((((
16.6,%68%%
2.2,%9%%
2.3,%10%%
3.2,%13%%
LATAM%North%America%APAC%EMEA%
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
RESEARCH
23
March
2017
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
LIMITED
16
Eastbourne
Advisory
Limited
does
not
warrant
the
accuracy
of
any
information
or
forecasts
in
this
report.
Recommendations
may
not
be
appropriate
and
investors
must
consider
their
own
circumstances
and
seek
independent
advice.
Since
2004
the
company
has
sold
in
excess
of
7
million
motors
in
26
countries.
The
company
has
sales
teams
in
New
Zealand,
Mexico,
Brazil,
China,
Singapore,
Turkey,
Italy,
Canada
and
the
USA.
Customers
include
supermarkets,
food
and
beverage
brands,
and
refrigeration
OEM’s
and
parts
distributors.
In
2013
WDT
estimated
its
relevant
market
for
beverage
cooler
motors
was
10.5m
units.
WDT
had
only
a
small
share
of
the
remote
cooler
market
but
around
56%
of
the
plug-‐in
cooler
market.
This
number
excludes
adjacent
opportunities
including
vending
machines
ice-‐makers,
compressors,
retro-‐fit
and
spares.
Manufacturing
has
transitioned
to
a
lower
cost
base
with
improved
capacity
The
company
has
supply
chain
partner
factories
in
China,
Malaysia
and
Vietnam,
ensuring
product
supply
is
distributed
according
to
cost
and
capability,
and
reliance
on
one
supplier
is
reduced.
WDT’s
long
standing
EC
motor
supplier
is
Changzhou
Match-‐Well,
headquartered
in
Changzhou
China.
It
is
understood
they
have
been
a
manufacturing
partner
with
Wellington
since
2005.
In
March
2016
Match-‐Well
opened
a
new
60,000
m
2
factory
in
the
Hi-‐Tech
District
of
Changzhou
City,
China.
WDT’s
2015
interim
report
indicates
that
this
new
facility
has
a
dedicated
factory
for
Wellington’s
motor
products
and
provides
significant
capacity
for
growth.
In
June
2014
WDT
transitioned
its
motor
and
controller
electronics
manufacturing
from
a
China
supplier
to
Singapore
headquartered
electronics
manufacturing
supplier
MEI.
MEI
produces
electronic
parts
for
Wellington
in
its
North
Malaysia
factory.
In
WDT’s
2016
interim
report
it
stated
that
“In
the
first
half
of
2016,
MEI
scaled
production
of
the
SCS
Connect
product
to
support
Wellington’s
new
product
launch
and
has
an
installed
capacity
to
meet
our
customers’
requirements
throughout
2017”.
Also
in
2014,
WDT
initiated
a
strategic
partnership
and
manufacturing
agreement
with
East
West
Manufacturing,
headquartered
in
Atlanta,
USA.
This
partnership
included
manufacturing
of
EC
motors
and
controller
electronics
in
East
West’s
Vietnam
factory
and
East
West
acquiring
an
8%
shareholding
in
WDT’s
common
stock.
East
West
has
recently
completed
a
minority
recapitalisation
with
a
large
US
based
private
equity
fund
to
provide
growth
capital
and
assist
with
capacity
expansion
to
ensure
they
continue
to
meet
WDT’s
growth
needs.
As
a
result
of
these
supply
chain
changes
it
appears
that
WDT
has
implemented
significant
capacity
for
growth.
Opex
savings,
as
a
result
of
eliminating
internal
supply
chain
roles,
were
estimated
at
$0.6m
and
an
unquantified
amount
of
Working
Capital
improvement
was
also
realised.
Having
three
interchangeable
suppliers
increases
competitive
tension
across
the
supply
base.
WDT
now
has
three
competitive
supplier
arrangements
for
its
EC
motors,
motor
electronics
and
controller
components.
The
moves
have
been
associated
with
margins
improving
from
5.0%
to
22.4%
over
the
last
5
years,
through
less
inventory
waste,
increased
production
efficiencies
and
improved
component
and
production
costs.
The
Outlook
looks
strong
The
Company
said
in
its
it
Annual
Report
it
is
experiencing
a
strong
start
to
the
2017
financial
year
both
for
new
and
legacy
products
and
expects
revenue
in
the
first
quarter
to
be
around
$NZ14m
with
an
EBITDA
profit
expected.
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
RESEARCH
23
March
2017
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
LIMITED
17
Eastbourne
Advisory
Limited
does
not
warrant
the
accuracy
of
any
information
or
forecasts
in
this
report.
Recommendations
may
not
be
appropriate
and
investors
must
consider
their
own
circumstances
and
seek
independent
advice.
Gross
Margins
for
the
current
year
are
expected
to
be
higher
than
FY16
mainly
due
to
the
impact
of
higher
component
volumes
reducing
per
unit
cost
(scale)
partially
offset
by
commodity
price
increases
(copper
and
silicon).
Early
estimates
for
the
FY17
year
are
for
revenue
growth
in
the
30%
to
40%
range
and
(as
had
been
previously
guided),
EBITDA
profit
in
the
“low
millions
of
dollars”.
The
company
has
premised
these
forecasts
off
an
exchange
rate
of
NZD:USD
0.70
(spot
0.6920).
The
company
also
said
at
its
projected
cost
structure
an
“EBITDA
of
around
$2
million
would
deliver
an
approximate
breakeven
net
profit”.
We
understand
FY16
the
average
NZD:USD
cross
rate
was
$0.695
and
that
a
10c
depreciation
of
the
NZD
would
have
improved
EBITDA
$1.0m
while
a
10c
appreciation
of
the
NZD
would
have
reduced
EBITDA
$0.6m.
On
higher
forecast
USD
revenues
this
sensitivity
will
be
likely
to
increase.
In
FY16,
WDT
shipped
54%
of
its
annual
motor
volume
in
1H16.
For
FY17,
WDT
expects
1H17
volumes
to
represent
around
50%
of
the
full
year
volume.
Most
bottlers
work
on
annual
budgets
for
cooler
purchases
–
and
decide
in
the
4
th
quarter
what
they
will
spend
and
what
they
will
spend
their
budget
on
(coolers,
compressors,
LED
systems,
controllers
and
motors
etc.)
and
some
volume
for
FY17
will
have
been
allocated
already.
WDT
expects
to
close
a
number
of
deals
with
OEMs
and
bottlers
for
the
major
brands
it
is
currently
trialling
with.
Bottlers
will
have
largely
finalised
their
plans
for
FY17
and
ordering
OEM
coolers
to
be
delivered
from
January
2017
onwards,
with
OEMs
in
turn
ordering
components
(motors
and
controllers)
ahead
of
this.
With
long
lead
times
for
controllers,
logistics
around
actual
demand
for
the
season
ahead
is
always
uncertain
with
very
large
customers
often
leaving
orders
to
the
last
minute
meaning
suppliers
must
be
very
nimble
in
managing
their
own
supply
of
components
and
often
have
to
invest
in
advance
in
component
stock.
WDT
is
currently
trialling
SCS
Connect
products
with
a
large
number
of
bottlers
with
small
and
large
fleets
of
coolers
(those
bottlers
range
from
having
a
few
1000
to
>100,000
deployed
coolers).
In
addition
WDT
is
developing
a
retrofit
solution
expected
to
launch
in
2017.
Large
bottlers
may
have
300-‐500
thousand
coolers
in
market,
which
may
need
a
retrofit
solution.
The
company
had
previously
provided
preliminary
guidance
for
FY17
revenue
growth
in
the
20%
to
30%
range
(now
30-‐40%)
with
EBITDA
in
the
“low
millions
of
dollars”
(guidance
retained).
These
forecasts
were
based
on
SCS™
volumes
more
than
doubling
in
FY17
(and
then
growing
by
around
50%
each
year
for
the
foreseeable
future).
Delivering
this
growth
has
been
noted
as
potentially
requiring
additional
working
capital
and
further
investment
in
WDT’s
skill
base
to
support
customers
and
product
innovation
through
FY17.
A
reasonable
Capital
Position
but
could
do
with
more
to
fund
a
quality
growth
problem
At
the
end
of
FY16,
the
company
had
net
cash
of
$0.6m.
During
2H16
the
company
announced
it
had
arranged
an
expensive,
unsecured
debt
facility
for
$2m
with
its
largest
shareholder
SuperLife
(holding
around
28%
of
WDT’s
common
equity
and
around
71%
of
its
mandatory
convertible
preference
shares).
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
RESEARCH
23
March
2017
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
LIMITED
18
Eastbourne
Advisory
Limited
does
not
warrant
the
accuracy
of
any
information
or
forecasts
in
this
report.
Recommendations
may
not
be
appropriate
and
investors
must
consider
their
own
circumstances
and
seek
independent
advice.
WDT
has
$5.0m
of
mandatory
convertible
preference
shares
on
issue,
which
convert
to
ordinary
equity
in
May
2017.
Treating
this
as
equity
and
excluding
cash,
net
working
capital
stood
at
~$1.0m.
While
we
think
the
capital
position
is
adequate
and
the
company
expects
to
payoff
its
facility
with
SuperLife
in
the
current
year
(it
expires
in
September
2017),
with
further
very
strong
growth
expected
it
may
be
desirable
to
secure
further
funding.
However
with
favourable
terms
on
receivables
and
payables,
working
capital
was
well
controlled
FY16.
Recent
News
On
9
March
2017
the
company
announced
an
exclusive
partnership
with
iProximity,
an
innovative
proximity
marketing
solutions
and
consumer
intelligence
company
based
in
Melbourne.
WDT
said
it
undertook
a
global
search
for
an
enterprise
capable
beacon
management
provider
with
advanced
digital
marketing
expertise,
choosing
iProximity
as
the
best
platform
available.
The
partnership
will
allow
iProximity’s
contextual
marketing
technology
to
integrate
with
WDT’s
SCS
Connect
System,
giving
customers
the
ability
to
move
from
simple
consumer
activation
to
true
consumer
engagement
at
the
point
of
purchase
enabling
WDT’s
customers
to
sell
more
food
and
beverage
product.
Examples
of
what
a
Wellington
and
iProximity
Smarter
Cooler
platform
can
offer
are:
n Waking
a
consumer’s
phone
with
a
branded
message
in
store
with
an
SCS™
enabled
Smarter
Cooler
n Delivering
contextual,
personalised
promotions
based
on
consumer
purchasing
habits
n Delivering
partnering
opportunities
by
engaging
with
retail
partner
Apps
n Driving
messages
to
digital
signage
based
on
who
is
standing
close
by
n Building
real-‐time
data
insights
on
consumer
actions
n Understanding
marketing
campaign
attribution
with
complete
end
to
end
analysis
n Engaging
consumers
with
personalised
and
relevant
offers
driving
brand
engagement.
Wellington
and
iProximity
are
presently
demonstrating
the
Smarter
Cooler
technology
internationally
to
several
prospective
clients
and
expect
to
commence
customer
trials
in
2017.
By
partnering
with
iProximity,
WDT
offers
a
one-‐stop
shop.
Prior
to
this
partnership
customers
would
have
needed
to
acquire
beacon
management
software
from
an
alternative
supplier.
The
marketing
function
of
WDT
customers
are
only
beginning
to
experiment
with
proximity
based
marketing
and
therefore
offering
an
integrated
product
for
trialing
is
appealing
to
customers.
Also
iProximity’s
product
is
‘Enterprise
Grade’
(i.e.
capable
of
scaling
to
hundreds
of
thousands
of
beacons).
Under
the
commercial
model
WDT
own
the
customer
relationship
and
all
commercial
transactions
with
customers,
with
iProximity's
digital
marketing
solution
being
delivered
through
WDT’s
SCS
Connect
Platform.
While
the
direct
economics
are
unlikely
to
be
material
for
WDT
over
the
next
year
or
two,
the
immediate
benefit
is
WDT’s
assertion
that
it
will
offer
best
available
proximity
based
digital
marketing
capability,
further
strengthening
WDT’s
product
offering.The
end
customers
phone
will
need
an
app
which
can
be
triggered
by
the
beacon.
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
RESEARCH
23
March
2017
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
LIMITED
19
Eastbourne
Advisory
Limited
does
not
warrant
the
accuracy
of
any
information
or
forecasts
in
this
report.
Recommendations
may
not
be
appropriate
and
investors
must
consider
their
own
circumstances
and
seek
independent
advice.
iProximity
have
developed
an
app
which
can
be
re-‐skinned
for
customers
if
they
desire
and
this
will
be
the
trial
format.
Longer
term,
customers
are
likely
to
become
increasingly
sophisticated
in
the
functionality
they
will
require
and
app
development
will
probably
in
conjunction
with
their
advertising
agencies,
marketing
divisions
etc.
On
1
February
2017
the
company
pre-‐announced
some
unaudited
figures
for
FY16.
Revenue
was
$35.3m
(+44%).
EBITDA
was
positive
(we
forecast
$0.3m).
WDT
also
reported
net
cash
on
hand
of
$0.6m
(including
$1.5m
drawn
on
the
SuperLife
facility).
The
outlook
for
FY17
was
reaffirmed
and
the
company
continues
to
expect
an
EBITDA
profit
for
2017
in
the
low
$
millions.
Gross
margin
for
the
year
was
24.0%
compared
to
22.2%
in
2015.
Over
the
period
the
company
sold
1.2m
EC
motors
and
1.4m
motors
in
total
(+33%
year
on
year).
The
new
SCS
Connect
and
ECR2
products
contributed
$6m
to
the
Company’s
revenue.
Fourth
quarter
trading
performance
was
very
strong,
with
revenue
of
$10m
compared
to
$6m
for
the
same
period
in
the
prior
year.
On
6
December
2016
the
company
advised
that
a
major
global
beverage
brand
had
approved
it
to
supply
its
SCS
Connect
solution.
The
company
stated
that
this
approval
followed
the
conclusion
of
the
customer’s
comprehensive
technology
sourcing
process
and
that
it
was
now
an
approved
supplier
of
connectivity
hardware
for
use
in
the
brand’s
coolers.
The
company
also
indicated
that
it
continued
to
work
with
the
brand
and
its
network
partners
(OEMs
and
bottlers)
to
establish
the
timing
of
programmes
to
adopt
SCS
Connect
and
the
volumes
Wellington
will
supply
over
the
coming
twelve
months.
We
believe
that
this
is
a
significant
indicator
that
a
major
customer
is
about
to
order
product
and
start
deployment
of
the
SCS
product
in
2017.
While
the
company
didn't
disclose
the
brand
name
or
volumes
it
is
likely
that
this
announcement
supports,
at
least
in
part,
WDT’s
expectations
for
2017
growth
and
profits.
On
23
September
2016
the
company
advised
it
had
secured
a
$2.0
million
loan
facility
from
SuperLife,
WDT’S
largest
shareholder
(and
a
wholly-‐owned
funds
management
subsidiary
of
NZX).
The
loan
facility
is
intended
to
provide
additional
working
capital
to
support
the
company’s
growth
initiatives
and
while
expensive,
will
be
a
useful
bridge
until
the
company
is
conventionally
bankable.
The
key
features
of
the
loan
facility
are:
n It
is
an
unsecured
loan
for
a
maximum
of
NZ$2.0m
to
be
drawn
as
required;
n It
has
a
term
of
one
year
(expiry
is
in
September
2017);
n Interest
is
payable
at
14.75%
p.a.
calculated
on
a
quarterly
basis
in
arrears;
n A
revolver
fee
of
$20,000
allows
the
loan
to
be
repaid
and
redrawn
inside
the
term.
At
31
December
2016
the
facility
was
drawn
to
$1.5m.
At
its
AGM
on
3
May
the
company
made
some
very
positive
comments
around
the
outlook
for
the
company
and
said
it
had
“never
been
more
positive
about
the
path
to
profitable
growth”.
Where
it
was
more
circumspect
was
around
FY16
outcomes
and
in
particular
Gross
Margins
lower
than
the
25%
targeted
(21.4%
reported
1H16),
through
underestimating
the
complexity
of
the
SCS™
launch
and
delays
in
component
cost
reductions.
The
company
described
its
three
pillars
for
growth.
These
are
firstly
developing
and
growing
its
motor
business
with
its
recently
launched
ECR2
model
selling
well.
Secondly
the
company is
“introducing
and
leveraging
value
chain
partners
to
improve
sales
and
lower
costs”
with
improving
Gross
Margins
evidencing
that
success.
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
RESEARCH
23
March
2017
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
LIMITED
20
Eastbourne
Advisory
Limited
does
not
warrant
the
accuracy
of
any
information
or
forecasts
in
this
report.
Recommendations
may
not
be
appropriate
and
investors
must
consider
their
own
circumstances
and
seek
independent
advice.
Thirdly
the
launch
of
its
cloud
connected
smart
controls
business
firstly
with
its
SCS™
Connect
system
but
followed
by
a
broadening
of
the
product
range
of
both
hardware
and
software.
Requests
for
trials
of
the
SCS™
Connect
system
were
described
as
oversubscribed
and
that
it
saw
developing
demand
in
the
“low
hundreds
of
thousands”.
The
company
said
second
quarter
motor
volumes
were
“flexing”
as
brands
and
manufacturers
work
out
their
demand
for
the
reminder
of
1H,
but
still
expected
2Q
volume
to
be
well
above
2Q
FY15.
With
the
stronger
start
to
the
year,
and
new
products
in
the
market,
USD
revenues
were
expected
to
be
significantly
higher
in
FY16.
We
understand
the
company
expected
to
sell
~1.3m
motors
FY16
(actually
sold
1.4m
FY16)
and
~50,000
SCS™
controllers
(sold
52,000
FY16)
with
the
majority
of
those
already
committed.
Medium
term
based
on
expected
growth
rates,
we
forecast
SCS™
volumes
to
grow
to
around
500,000
(100,000
FY17)
and
1m
units
over
our
forecast
period.
The
company
has
said
following
an
expected
doubling
in
volumes
FY17
and
it
expected
50%
growth
for
the
foreseeable
future.
The
company
said
it
needed
increased
costs
to
support
revenue
growth.
In
FY16
it
added
new
engineering
skills
to
support
the
rollout
of
the
SCS™
Connect
solution
and
software
skills
to
help
broaden
its
SCS™
Connect
System
offering.
With
longer
lead
times
a
challenge,
it
may
also
be
necessary
to
hold
increased
strategic
inventories.
The
company
said
it
expected
to
breakeven
at
the
EBITDA
level
and
its
priority
was
for
EBITDA
profits
which
“if
demand
patterns
continue
will
see
significantly
higher
revenues
and
could
result
in
an
EBITDA
profit
FY16”.
It
expected
to
see
growth
in
Europe
although
there
was
some
seasonal
uncertainty
around
sales
in
LATAM.
Cash
balances
were
expected
to
be
maintained
in
a
$1m-‐$2m
range
($2.1m
reported).
...and
its
FY16
and
beyond
Strategic
Priorities
were
to;
n Further
improve
customer
diversification
by
expanding
the
geographical
customer
base;
n Develop
new
customer
relationships
and
grow
revenues
in
the
supermarket
segment
(it
is
estimated
around
½
the
electricity
used
in
a
typical
supermarket
is
from
refrigeration);
n Sell
the
new
ECR2
motor
targeting
supermarket
customers
and
bottle
cooler
customers;
n Sell
the
SCS™
Connect
fleet
management
solution
to
large
global
beverage
brands
and
expand
the
marketing
process
outside
the
beverage
market;
and
n Further
optimise
the
electronics
supply
chain
to
further
lower
costs
and
reduce
electronic
component
lead-‐
times
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
RESEARCH
23
March
2017
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
LIMITED
21
Eastbourne
Advisory
Limited
does
not
warrant
the
accuracy
of
any
information
or
forecasts
in
this
report.
Recommendations
may
not
be
appropriate
and
investors
must
consider
their
own
circumstances
and
seek
independent
advice.
In
terms
of
diversification
the
company
is
benefitting
from
the
roll
out
of
ECR2
and
further
developing
the
market
for
SCS™
Connect.
With
ECR2,
there
are
trials
underway
with
a
beer
company
and
a
supermarket
chain
(and
other
trials
planned),
with
the
company’s
new
UK
distributor
noted
as
having
initial
success
with
UK
supermarket
channels.
East
West
is
also
completing
the
development
of
a
fan
coil
motor
for
ventilation
applications,
with
the
assistance
of
WDT
on
electronics
design.
Sales
are
expected
FY17
with
East
West
responsible
for
all
North
American
sales
and
marketing
activities.
At
this
early
stage
the
success
of
this
product
cannot
be
assured.
It
is
understood
that
this
is
a
contract
design
and
commercialisation
project
to
support
a
strategic
partner
(East
West),
and
does
not
indicate
the
company
is
moving
back
into
the
Ventilation
space.
In
addition
the
company
is
exploring
the
potential
for
SCS™
retrofit
technologies
and
alternative
wireless
technologies,
opportunities
which
could
in
their
own
right
be
large
with
attractive
margins,
although
retrofits
will
be
a
one-‐off
exercise.
The
company
has
forecast
SCS™
volumes
doubling
next
year
and
growing
by
50%
each
year
after
that
for
the
balance
of
its
5
year
planning
model
(based
on
the
company
winning
further
global
retail
brands
and
expanding
into
different
end-‐markets).
The
ECR2
motor
business
is
also
expected
to
continue
to
grow
as
more
supermarket
display
OEMs
adopt
the
motor
and
as
the
company
expands
its
range
to
higher
power
ECR2
motors.
Improve and grow the
Electronic Motor and
Airflow Solutions
Business
Grow the
‘Cloud Connected’
Smart Controls
Business
Business processes improvement
‘Voice of the Customer’ product
development
Low cost electronics, wireless
communication and telematics
1. Improve customer
diversification by
expanding geographical
customer base
2. Develop new customer
relationships and grow
revenues in the
supermarket segment
3. Sell the new ECR2 motor,
targeting supermarket
display case
manufacturers
4. Sell the SCSConnect
solution to large global
beverage brands and
expand outside the
beverage market!
5. Optimise the electronics
supply chain to lower
costs and reduce electronc
component lead-times!
Strategic
Pillars
Priorities
Bottle-Cooler and supermarket
OEM relationships
Continuous cost reduction in the
supply chain
Diversify customer revenue streams
‘Connected’ refrigeration controllers
Operating
Disciplines
Technology and channel partnerships
Food and beverage brand
and retailer relationships
Fleet management - desktop &
mobile apps, cloud data solution
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
RESEARCH
23
March
2017
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
LIMITED
22
Eastbourne
Advisory
Limited
does
not
warrant
the
accuracy
of
any
information
or
forecasts
in
this
report.
Recommendations
may
not
be
appropriate
and
investors
must
consider
their
own
circumstances
and
seek
independent
advice.
On
the
back
of
the
cost
structure
implemented,
and
anticipated
new
product
wins,
the
company
expected
continued
revenue
growth
in
2017
with
EBITDA
performance
in
the
“low
millions
of
dollars”
(our
forecast
is
$2.6m
EBITDA
FY17)
which
will
prove
that
the
company’s
new
strategic
path
of
diversifying
its
customers
base,
improving
its
EC
motor
business
with
the
ECR2
product
,
partnering
with
new
suppliers
to
improve
manufacturing
costs
and
entering
the
‘Internet
of
Things’
space
with
the
SCS
Connect
is
starting
to
deliver
results.
On
10
May
2016
in
a
company
update,
the
company
reported
strong
revenue
growth
for
the
1
st
quarter
with
revenue
increasing
by
40%
to
NZD$9.2m
(USD
+26%
to
USD$6.2m)
with
EC
Motor
volumes
increasing
24%
year
on
year.
It
also
said
“several
thousand
SCS™
Connect
controller
units
were
shipped
to
a
global
beverage
customer
under
a
multi-‐year
agreement”.
Continued
supply
chain
cost
reductions
improved
gross
margin
to
22.8%.
For
the
quarter
the
company
returned
an
EBITDA
profit
of
$92k
(pcp
-‐
$231k).
Recent
Results
FY16
delivers
in
line
with
its
pre-‐announcement
For
FY16
on
revenues
of
revenue
of
$35m,
(a
44%
increase
over
the
pcp),
WDT
delivered
its
maiden
full
year
EBITDA
profit,
with
an
EBITDA
profit
(adjusted)
of
$325,000
which
was
a
$2.3
million
improvement
on
2015.
EBIT
improved
by
$0.5m
to
a
$1.3m
loss,
while
the
net
loss
improved
by
$0.3
million
to
a
$2.4
million
loss.
Of
the
44%
growth,
12
percentage
points
was
from
the
ECR2
motor,
19
percentage
points
was
from
the
legacy
ECR01,
ECR82
and
ECR92
motors
and
13
percentage
points
was
delivered
by
SCS
Connect.
The
result
was
consistent
with
the
market
update
on
1
February
2017
but
provided
considerably
more
detail.
WDT’s
new
SCS
Connect
and
ECR2
products
contributed
$6m
to
the
reported
revenue
and
the
Company
sold
a
record
1.4m
motors
in
2016,
including
1.2m
EC
motors,
an
increase
of
33%
on
FY15.
The
average
NZD/USD
rate
for
the
2016
year
of
0.695
was
relatively
flat
over
the
prior
years
0.699.
Fifteen
new
customers
were
added
globally
FY16
with
two
of
these
customers
being
acquired
due
to
the
SCS
Connect
product
offering.
Most
of
these
new
customers
are
focused
in
the
supermarket
display
case
and
food
service
market,
as
WDT
expand
beyond
its
traditional
beverage
market
core.
Latin
American
business
grew
revenues
by
44%
versus
FY15,
from
US$11.5m
to
US$16.6m.
WDT
added
two
new
motor
customers
in
the
region
and
experienced
stronger
demand
from
existing
bottle
cooler
customers,
with
motor
volumes
growing
by
30%.
Mexico
continues
to
be
the
companies
largest
market
and
further
growth
is
expected
in
FY17
as
major
customers
begin
to
adopt
the
SCS
Connect
product.
Brazil
demand
was
weak
as
a
result
of
difficult
economic
conditions
but
demand
is
now
improving
for
the
SCS
Connect
product.;
The
rollout
of
SCS
Connect
to
a
large
food
and
beverage
brand
in
Mexico
commenced
in
2016
and
the
company
started
working
with
other
new
SCS
customers
in
Central
America.
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
RESEARCH
23
March
2017
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
LIMITED
23
Eastbourne
Advisory
Limited
does
not
warrant
the
accuracy
of
any
information
or
forecasts
in
this
report.
Recommendations
may
not
be
appropriate
and
investors
must
consider
their
own
circumstances
and
seek
independent
advice.
USA/Canada:
The
USA
and
Canada
regions
saw
130%
revenue
growth
FY16,
with
US$2.2m
of
revenue
compared
to
$1.0m
in
FY15.
Two
new
customers
for
the
ECR2
motor
product
contributed
the
majority
of
this
growth.
While
WDT
is
continuing
several
SCS
field
trials
in
the
USA,
it
is
becoming
apparent
that
the
adoption
rate
for
SCS
may
take
longer.
Asia
Pacific
revenues
of
US$2.3m
were
up
9%
on
the
US$2.1m
reported
FY15.
Eight
new
customers
were
won
in
the
region;
two
of
those
for
SCS
and
the
balance
for
EC
motors,
including
several
smaller
Chinese
display
case
manufacturers.
EMEA
revenues
grew
by
17%
to
US$3.2m
compared
to
US$2.8
million
in
FY15.
Growth
resulted
from
three
new
customer
wins
in
Europe
and
increased
volumes
from
a
new
Italian
customer
won
at
the
end
of
the
prior
year.
Turkish
demand
was
weak
in
the
latter
half
of
the
year
as
a
result
of
continuing
political
and
economic
issues
in
that
country
which
is
expected
to
continue.
The
Gross
Margin
for
the
year
was
24.0%,
increasing
from
21.4%
in
FY15.
This
was
a
result
of
continuing
cost
reduction
programmes
with
all
major
suppliers
and
component
pricing
benefits
being
realised
from
increased
volumes.
Gross
Margin
gains
were
somewhat
offset
by
pricing
reductions
needed
to
grow
share
with
large
bottle
cooler
customers.
The
Gross
Margin
improvement
was
also
assisted
by
revenue
from
new
products.
Operating
costs
increased
by
15%,
from
$7.4m
to
$8.5m
as
the
company
invested
in
more
people
to
support
SCS
Connect
software
development
and
customer
field
support.
10
new
people
were
added
to
the
business
between
the
fourth
quarter
FY15
and
the
end
of
FY16.
Operating
cost
as
a
percentage
of
revenue
improved
to
24%
from
30%
in
FY15
reflecting
an
overall
increase
in
productivity.
The
company
noted
Inventory
performance
as
an
operational
highlight
of
the
business
with
inventory
turns
improving
to
7.8
times
from
7.0
times
in
2015.
The
cash
balance
at
the
end
of
FY16
was
$2.1
million
with
$1.5
million
drawn
down
under
the
SuperLife
debt
facility
for
a
net
cash
position
of
$0.6
million.
Forecasts
prepared
by
the
Company
show
that
cash
generated
from
operations
should
be
sufficient
to
repay
SuperLife
in
September
2017.
The
Company
said
it
is
experiencing
a
strong
start
to
the
2017
financial
year
both
for
new
and
legacy
products
and
expects
revenue
in
the
first
quarter
to
be
around
$NZ14m
with
an
EBITDA
profit
recorded.
Gross
margins
for
the
current
year
are
expected
to
be
higher
than
FY16
mainly
due
to
the
impact
of
higher
component
volumes
(scale)
partially
offset
by
commodity
price
increases
(predominantly
copper
and
silicon).
Early
estimates
for
the
FY17
year
were
for
revenue
growth
in
the
30%
to
40%
range
and
as
previously
guided,
EBITDA
profit
in
the
“low
millions
of
dollars”.
The
company
has
premised
these
forecasts
off
an
exchange
rate
of
NZD:USD
0.70
(spot
0.6920).
The
company
also
said
at
its
projected
cost
structure
an
“EBITDA
of
around
$2
million
would
deliver
an
approximate
breakeven
net
profit”.
We
understand
FY16
the
average
NZD:USD
cross
rate
was
$0.695
and
that
a
10c
depreciation
of
depreciation
of
the
NZD
would
have
improved
EBITDA
$1.0m
while
a
10c
appreciation
of
the
of
the
NZD
would
have
reduced
EBITDA
$0.6m.
On
higher
forecast
USD
revenues
this
sensitivity
sensitivity
will
be
likely
to
increase.
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
RESEARCH
23
March
2017
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
LIMITED
24
Eastbourne
Advisory
Limited
does
not
warrant
the
accuracy
of
any
information
or
forecasts
in
this
report.
Recommendations
may
not
be
appropriate
and
investors
must
consider
their
own
circumstances
and
seek
independent
advice.
3Q16
seasonally
lower
revenue
growth
but
on
track,
margins
strong
Revenue
for
the
quarter
was
$6.3m
compared
to
$5.1m
in
the
pcp
(a
25%
improvement).
EBIT
for
the
quarter
was
a
loss
of
$0.90m.
Adjusted
EBITDA
was
a
loss
for
the
quarter
of
$0.4m
(versus
a
$0.6m
loss
in
the
pcp).
Year
to
date
revenues
were
34%
over
the
same
period
last
year.
Gross
margins
improved
to
23.6%
for
the
first
three
quarters
of
FY16,
from
21.9%
for
the
same
period
last
year,
with
a
3Q16
Gross
margin
at
25.7%.
The
company
said
“Whilst
further
supply
chain
cost
reductions
will
have
less
measurable
impact,
we
are
seeing
some
benefits
flowing
with
overall
volume
increases”.
Stronger
revenues
were
expected
in
4Q16
and
the
company
said
“it
is
confident
that
the
Company
will
achieve
its
full
year
guidance
of
significantly
higher
revenues
than
those
recorded
for
2015
and
the
possibility
of
a
modest
EBITDA
profit.
Q3
2016
Highlights.
The
average
NZD:USD
exchange
rate
for
the
quarter
was
0.703
compared
to
0.656
for
the
same
period
in
FY15.
The
company
also
said
sales
were
seasonally
lower
over
the
quarter
compared
to
the
preceding
half
but
were
continuing
to
build
growth
momentum
with
its
ECR2
and
SCS
products
as
it
entered
the
4
th
quarter
and
that
it
was
also
seeing
“an
uptick”
in
demand
for
its
ECR1
motor
product
and
expected
a
strong
4
th
quarter,
“closer
to
revenue
levels
earlier
in
the
year”
(US$6.2-‐US$6.4m),
and
expected
a
modest
EBITDA
profit
FY16.
It
also
said
it
expected
to
update
FY17
guidance
as
demand
for
the
new
season
is
known.
We
would
expect
this
to
be
late
FY16
early
FY17.
1H16
revenue
growth
still
accelerating
and
margins
improving
1H16
WDT
reported
further
significant
revenue
growth
with
NZ
Dollar
revenue
of
$18.7
million,
a
38%
increase
compared
to
the
pcp.
In
US
Dollar
terms
revenue
increased
by
25%
to
US$12.6m
from
US$10.1m.
The
period
reported
was
the
5
th
consecutive
period
of
USD
revenue
growth
with
the
trend
expected
to
continue.
Gross
Margins
continued
to
climb
increasing
to
22.4%
from
20.7%
in
the
pcp
due
to
continuing
supply
chain
cost
improvements
but
with
much
of
the
low
hanging
fruit
already
achieved,
margin
gains
going
forward
are
expected
to
be
lower
albeit
increasing
over
the
next
few
months.
The
company
reported
its
maiden
positive
EBITDA
(adjusted)
of
$0.3m
compared
to
a
$0.6m
EBITDA
loss
in
the
pcp
and
positive
operating
cash
flow
of
$0.6m
compared
to
$0.5m
1H15.
Operating
costs
1H16
increased
to
$4.2m
from
$3.4m
for
pcp.
The
lower
NZD:USD
exchange
rate
meant
that
NZD
reported
amounts
for
offshore
office
costs
were
higher
by
$0.3m.
The
remaining
$0.5m
of
the
operating
cost
increase
was
due
to
the
addition
of
necessary
new
skills
in
engineering,
customer
management
and
field
service
to
support
the
new
SCS™
Product
growth,
additional
marketing
costs
required
to
support
the
development
of
Wellington’s
new
products
and
selected
salary
adjustments
to
retain
key
skills.
Amortisation
increased
by
$0.5m
due
to
the
commencement
of
amortisation
of
previously
capitalised
development
costs
for
the
ECR2
motor
and
SCS™
Connect
products
on
commercialisation.
In
volume
terms
the
company
reported
18%
volume
growth
in
EC
motors
resulting
from
increased
demand
in
the
Americas
and
Asia
Pacific
regions,
customer
wins
in
Europe
and
growing
sales
of
the
new
ECR2
motor.
1H16
WDT
delivered
over
600,000
motors
to
customers
across
26
countries.
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
RESEARCH
23
March
2017
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
LIMITED
25
Eastbourne
Advisory
Limited
does
not
warrant
the
accuracy
of
any
information
or
forecasts
in
this
report.
Recommendations
may
not
be
appropriate
and
investors
must
consider
their
own
circumstances
and
seek
independent
advice.
The
SCS™
product
was
noted
as
“off
to
a
strong
start”
with
24,000
units
sold
to
its
inaugural
customer
including
data
services
and
there
was
a
continued
expansion
of
SCS™
Connect
field
trials
in
Asia
North
America,
Europe,
Africa
and
Latin
America.
WDT
said
the
customer
had
awarded
further
business
to
other
regions
in
the
America’s
which
were
expected
to
begin
to
ship
1H17
and
that
further
opportunities
were
being
explored
and
they
hoped
to
convert
to
shipments
also
in
1H17.
As
regards
the
ECR2
motor,
the
company
said
in
addition
to
the
three
customer
wins
reported
in
the
annual
report,
It
had
won
a
further
large
customer
for
the
ECR2
motor
that
would
begin
volume
shipments
in
2H16,
with
annual
volumes
in
the
50,000
units
range.
In
total
it
had
secured
customers
for
ECR2
with
an
annual
run-‐rate
volume
of
approximately
150,000
units
per
year.
Of
the
four
customers
won,
three
are
in
the
supermarket
display
and
food
service
market
and
one
is
in
the
bottle
cooler
market.
US
Dollar
revenue
growth
in
1Q16
was
26%
and
in
2Q16
24%
with
all
regions
experiencing
growth
over
the
pcp.
LATAM
USD
revenues
increased
20%
compared
to
2015
attributable
to
WDT
gaining
share
with
key
customers
and
the
commencement
of
volume
sales
of
the
SCS™
Connect
product.
North
America
grew
119%,
attributed
primarily
to
strong
demand
for
the
new
ECR2
motor
in
support
of
OEM’s
preparing
for
the
new
Department
of
Energy
2017
(DOE17)
energy
standards.
APAC
grew
16%
with
“stable”
ordering
patterns
from
major
customers.
The
Chinese
market
in
this
region
was
noted
as
not
as
heavily
reliant
on
EC
motors
with
the
company
focusing
on
the
support
of
the
South
East
Asian
customer
base
and
winning
customers
for
SCS™
Connect.
EMEA grew 43% after a disappointing FY15 attributable primarily to sales to new customers
won at the end of FY15. These customers were in the ice-cream freezer, supermarket display and
bottle cooler markets. The EMEA market continues to be the company’s most competitive, price
sensitive and politically unstable market.
The
company
said
it
was
on
track
to
achieve
its
2016
full
year
guidance
and
was
anticipating
further
growth
and
EBITDA
profits
in
2017
with
revenue
growth
potentially
as
high
as
30%.
Seasonally
the
company
expects
an
EBITDA
loss
3Q16.
The
company
said
preliminary
forecasts
for
FY17
project
revenue
growth
next
year
in
the
20%
to
30%
range
with
EBITDA
performance
in
the
low
millions
of
dollars.
These
forecasts
project
SCS™
volumes
more
than
doubling
and
growing
by
around
50%
each
year
for
the
foreseeable
future.
Delivering
this
growth
was
noted
as
potentially
requiring
additional
working
capital
and
further
investment
in
WDT’s
skill
base
through
FY17.
Cash
balances
1H16
were
$2.5m
on
an
improving
working
capital
position.
Inventory
1H16
of
$4.0m,
a
$0.3m
increase
over
the
pcp
was
a
result
of
additional
inventory
to
manage
short
lead-‐time
orders,
and
initial
investment
in
SCS™
Connect
inventory.
WDT
is
now
operating
at
close
to
7
inventory
turns
per
annum,
compared
to
2
turns
at
the
end
of
2014.
During
the
period
WDT
invested
$1.1m
in
plant
&
equipment
and
new
product
development,
equivalent
to
pcp
and
$2.2m
FY15.
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
RESEARCH
23
March
2017
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
LIMITED
26
Eastbourne
Advisory
Limited
does
not
warrant
the
accuracy
of
any
information
or
forecasts
in
this
report.
Recommendations
may
not
be
appropriate
and
investors
must
consider
their
own
circumstances
and
seek
independent
advice.
FY15
a
year
of
real
improvement
FY15
2015
the
company
reported
revenue
of
$24.6m
(US$17.4m
or
+18%)
and
a
gross
margin
of
21.4%.
(pcp
18%).
The
NPAT
for
the
year
was
a
loss
of
$2.8m
compared
to
a
$4.5m
in
FY14.
An
EBITDA
loss
of
$1.4m
was
a
significant
improvement
compared
to
the
$4.0m
loss
in
FY14.
One
particular
highlight
was
the
48%
growth
achieved
in
the
Americas.
For
the
period
the
company
was
cash
positive
to
the
amount
of
$0.8m
mainly
due
to
improvements
in
working
capital
and
after
including
a
capital
raise
of
$2.2m,
finished
the
year
with
$2.9m
cash.
Over
the
period
the
company
invested
$2.2m
to
complete
the
development
of
the
ECR2
motor
and
SCS™,
a
similar
level
of
investment
to
the
prior
year.
Operating
costs
were
$0.6m
lower
at
$7.8m
through
lower
employment
costs
including
LTI’s
and
through
closing
the
Singapore
office
in
June
2014.
In
the
4
th
quarter
the
company
rolled
out
ECR2
and
SCS™
connect
products
and
achieved
its
1
st
orders.
In
June
2015
the
company
raised
$2.3m
by
way
of
an
underwritten
pro-‐rata
renounceable
rights
issue.
Volume
growth
for
the
period
was
23%
with
1.1m
motors
shipped
compared
to
the
prior
year’s
0.9m.
Margins
were
assisted
by
supply
chain
partners
and
margins
higher
again
were
expected
FY16
although
revenue
growth
was
the
main
focus.
ECR01
(higher
spec)
volumes
were
up
20%,
a
sign
proving
customers
will
pay
for
superior
performance.
Over
the
year
the
company
picked
up
8
new
supermarket
display
case
and
food
service
customers.
In
South
America
the
company
regained
market
share
with
increased
investment
by
retail
brands
in
bottle
coolers.
USA
was
flat
as
the
market
deferred
purchases
until
the
ECR2
motor
was
launched
making
it
easier
to
comply
with
2017
energy
saving
requirements
but
expect
growth
to
be
rekindled
in
FY16.
The
company
said
it
had
not
had
as
much
success
selling
its
existing
EC
products
to
non-‐bottle
cooler
and
non-‐
supermarket
customers.
EMEA
was
very
weak
with
revenues
down
35%
due
to
stagnant
economies
and
one
large
customer
moving
to
dual
supply
arrangements
but
at
the
time
of
the
result,
the
company
expected
growth
FY16.
APAC
was
up
18%
with
new
customer
wins,
the
ability
to
transact
in
China
in
Yuan
and
improved
distribution
through
East
West
China.
China
remains
predominantly
shaded
pole
market.
Sales
growth
of
legacy
motors
was
up
28%.
Operating
costs
were
noted
as
having
halved
over
the
past
4
years.
Over
the
period
the
company
received
regulatory
approvals
in
both
the
USA
and
Europe
for
its
ECR2
motor
and
in
the
FY16
1
st
quarter,
made
its
1
st
shipments
to
the
USA
and
to
a
larger
European
supermarket
display
case
manufacturer.
FY14
a
year
of
improving
the
fundamentals
FY14
saw
the
supply
chain
restructured
and
improvements
in
the
operating
cost
structure.
Financial
results
were
disappointing
primarily
due
to
large
reductions
in
Latin
American
demand.
For
the
year
the
company
reported
a
comprehensive
loss
of
$4.4m.
Revenue
for
the
period
of
US$14.6m
compared
with
US$22.5m
in
the
prior
year.
Revenues
from
Latin
America
were
46%
lower
due
to
weak
demand
from
several
customers
mainly
due
to
the
overall
decline
in
carbonated
Soft
drink
(CSD)
volumes
due
to
sugar
tax
issues
in
Mexico
and
restrictions
on
imports
into
Argentina
but
also
due
to
some
loss
of
market
share.
However
the
company
said
it
was
seeing
some
regaining
of
share
early
in
FY15.
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
RESEARCH
23
March
2017
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
LIMITED
27
Eastbourne
Advisory
Limited
does
not
warrant
the
accuracy
of
any
information
or
forecasts
in
this
report.
Recommendations
may
not
be
appropriate
and
investors
must
consider
their
own
circumstances
and
seek
independent
advice.
EMEA
markets
were
up
27%
on
higher
customer
demand
and
the
impact
of
gaining
a
new
supermarket
manufacturer.
Over
the
period
the
company
commenced
new
sales
distribution
partnerships
in
the
USA
and
South
China
and
appointed
agents
in
Australia,
South
Africa
and
the
United
Kingdom
to
assist
diversification
geographically
and
from
product
mix.
Gross
Margins
were
lower
at
18.0%
(pcp
18.7%)
as
a
result
of
lower
volumes
which
delayed
the
realisation
of
manufacturing
cost
reductions
but
the
company
reiterated
its
25%
Gross
Margin
target.
The
Gross
Margin
in
dollar
terms
was
$3.2m
(FY13
$5.1m).
Operating
expenses
were
$1m
lower
at
$8.4m
through
closing
the
Singapore
office,
reducing
overhead
and
process
efficiencies.
Delays
in
development
of
the
ECR2
impeded
growth
from
what
was
expected
from
the
supermarket
segment
and
the
company
said
it
expected
to
ship
both
ECR2
and
SCS™
in
2H15
(first
shipments
were
made
1H16).
The
company
finished
the
year
with
$1.2m
cash.
Over
the
year
it
raised
$4.7m
through
the
issue
of
convertible
preference
notes
to
fund
new
product
development,
the
purchase
of
plant
and
equipment
and
fund
operating
cash
outflows.
On
March
1
2015
the
company
announced
a
further
capital
raise
of
$3.2m
by
way
of
a
pro-‐rata
renounceable
underwritten
rights
issue.
Forecasts
point
to
strong
growth
medium
term
The
selling
prices
of
EC
motors
and
SCS
Connect
controllers
vary
considerably
depending
on
customer
volume
agreements
and
end
user
markets.
We
assume
the
company
achieves
Gross
Margins
of
around
25%,
rising
to
around
30%
on
positive
sales
mix
changes.
Further,
for
the
EC
motor
business
which
remains
competitive,
we
assume
3%
price
erosion
each
year
but
that
the
company
is
able
to
maintain
Gross
Margins
through
keeping
one
step
ahead
by
achieving
cost
efficiencies.
We
understand
the
EC
motor
market
is
not
as
commoditised
as
the
shaded
pole
motor
market
but
view
this
eventuality
as
likely.
We
understand
IoT
software
and
data
services
gross
margins
are
higher
than
controller
hardware
margins
but
we
have
not
included
these
revenues
in
our
forecasts
and
WDT
will
need
to
maintain
the
fixed
costs
of
software
development
and
support
teams
to
support
customers.
We
understand
data
service
revenues
are
likely
to
be
relatively
small
and
are
more
strategic
in
nature
through
assisting
in
the
sales
of
hardware
and
the
winning
and
retention
of
customers.
We
have
assumed
group
revenue
growth
rates
(USD)
below
the
lower
end
of
management
estimates
of
25%-‐40%
over
the
medium
term,
(these
rates
are
variable
as
they
depend
on
product
mix
and
growth
rates
over
time).
However
as
WDT
has
a
relatively
small
number
of
large
customers
–
and
a
number
of
large
‘potential’
customers
–
revenue
growth
can
be
‘lumpy’
depending
on
the
timing
of
customer
wins,
and
the
product
adoption
cycle.
Further
the
success
of
the
adoption
of
new
products
in-‐market
is
difficult
to
forecast
(ECR2,
SCS™,
EC-‐L).
The
EC-‐L
product
is
a
lower
cost
simplified
EC
motor
product
targeted
at
lower
end
refrigerators
where
shaded
pole
use
is
prevalent
(with
a
goal
to
covert
the
shaded
pole
usage
to
EC).
SCS™
controller
volumes
are
assumed
to
double
in
FY17
to
104,000
units
and
then
exhibiting
50%
growth
for
4
years
before
growth
begins
to
decline
as
the
market
matures.
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
RESEARCH
23
March
2017
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
LIMITED
28
Eastbourne
Advisory
Limited
does
not
warrant
the
accuracy
of
any
information
or
forecasts
in
this
report.
Recommendations
may
not
be
appropriate
and
investors
must
consider
their
own
circumstances
and
seek
independent
advice.
Motor
volumes
are
assumed
to
grow
~32%
FY17
(33%
FY16)
as
it
cycles
a
full
year
of
new
customers
gained
over
FY16
and
new
customers
being
on-‐boarded
before
declining
to
15%
per
annum
system
growth
implicitly
assuming
no
market
share
gains
after
FY17
for
the
residual
forecast
period.
This
could
well
prove
conservative
and
we
understand
a
number
of
bottle
cooler
customers
are
looking
to
convert
to
ECR2
motors
given
their
superior
performance
and
when
combined
with
display
case
and
food
service
customers
recently
won,
volume
and
revenue
growth
could
be
much
stronger
over
the
next
two
years
at
least.
Also
the
launch
of
the
ECR2
“FanPack”
airflow
solution
will
increase
the
addressable
market
for
motors,
particularly
in
the
supermarket
display
case
segment.
We
assume
SCS™
controller
volumes
grow
100%
in
FY17
before
the
growth
rate
reduces
to
50%
per
annum
over
the
medium
term
in
line
with
guidance.
We
note
that
WDT’s
customer
agreements
are
typically
not
exclusive
in
nature,
and
volumes
will
be
highly
dependent
on
orders
from
agreements
recently
made
with
bottlers
and
whether
they
will
be
specified
into
coolers
for
the
FY17
northern
summer.
Revenue
growth
under
these
assumptions
is
a
CAGR
of
20%
over
the
total
forecast
period
(tail
end
volume
growth
is
assumed
to
mature).
The
recently
acquired
ability
to
sell
in
local
currency
in
China
is
likely
to
assist
sales
in
that
market
through
the
establishment
of
a
legal
presence.
Wellington
also
has
the
ability
to
sell
in
Mexican
Peso,
Euros
and
Turkish
Lira,
with
legal
presences
set-‐up
in
these
regions
also.
Wellington
offers
local
currency
sales
to
specific
customers
in
these
regions
and
uses
hedging
strategies
to
manage
risk.
Terminal
year
volumes
(2025)
are
forecast
at
4.8m
motor
units
and
~0.9m
SCS™
units
(FY16
~1.4m
motor
units,
~50,000
SCS™
units).
The
company
was
reported
in
the
media
as
saying
it
would
probably
sell
five
times
as
many
ECR2
units
FY17
as
it
did
FY16
(98,000)
with
our
forecast
FY17
total
motor
volume
standing
at
1.8m
compared
to
FY16
volumes
of
1.4m
.
We
understand
that
over
the
longer
term
the
company
has
aspirations
for
sales
of
between
1.5m
and
1.6m
SCS™
controllers
and
therefore
our
assumptions
are
significantly
lower
than
the
expectations
of
the
company.
Our
forecasts
correspond
to
only
a
small
share
of
the
addressable
market.
FY17
we
expect
a
further
step
up
in
opex
to
around
$10m
p.a.
as
the
company
provides
further
in
market
support
for
its
controller
product
(training
and
engineers)
although
we
understand
there
may
also
be
a
one-‐off
step-‐up
in
warranty
provisions
given
the
new
products
in
market.
Also
we
suspect
some
other
aspects
of
overhead
have
been
starved
in
recent
years
and
may
require
some
catch-‐up.
We
assume
two
thirds
of
Opex
is
NZD
denominated
and
one
third
is
USD
denominated,
corresponding
with
the
ratio
disclosed
in
the
2015
annual
report.
Forecast)Revenue)Track)($m)Forecast)Gross)Margin)Track)(%)
Source:(EAL(EstimatesSource:(EAL(Estimates
0"
50"
100"
150"
200"
2014A"2015A"2016A"2017F"2018F"2019F"2020F"2021F"2022F"2023F"2024F"2025F"
WDT)Global)Revenues)($m))
WDT"Global"Revenues"($000)"
CAGR"20%"
15%"
17%"
19%"
21%"
23%"
25%"
27%"
29%"
31%"
2014A"2015A"2016A"2017F"2018F"2019F"2020F"2021F"2022F"2023F"2024F"2025F"
WDT)Gross)Margin)%)
WDT"Gross"Margin"%"
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
RESEARCH
23
March
2017
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
LIMITED
29
Eastbourne
Advisory
Limited
does
not
warrant
the
accuracy
of
any
information
or
forecasts
in
this
report.
Recommendations
may
not
be
appropriate
and
investors
must
consider
their
own
circumstances
and
seek
independent
advice.
Depreciation
is
assumed
at
NZD
$0.3m
per
annum
in
line
with
the
recent
run-‐rate.
We
assume
product
and
patents
etc.
cost
the
company
around
NZD
1.4m
p.a.
cash
with
development
amortised
over
5
years
and
assume
steady
state
amortisation
of
$1.2m
p.a.
We
have
modelled
our
revenues
and
margins
in
USD
which
assume
while
significant
sales
are
made
outside
of
the
USA,
the
underlying
sales
pricing
currency
in
our
view
is,
in
the
main,
the
USD.
Our
FY16
NZD:USD
assumption
is
$0.69
and
long-‐run
assumption
is
for
a
cross
rate
is
$0.63
(as
per
Credit
Suisse
forecasts).
We
understand
the
main
currency
exposure
is
overhead
incurred
in
New
Zealand
at
around
NZD
400k
per
month
(the
USD
is
the
company’s
functional
currency).
The
Company’s
guidance
for
30%-‐40%
revenue
growth
is
premised
off
an
NZD:USD
exchange
rate
of
0.70
which
is
similar
to
our
FY17
exchange
rate
assumption.
We
assume
the
mandatory
convertible
notes
preference
shares
are
converted
in
FY17
based
on
the
prescribed
ratio
and
using
the
current
share
price
this
would
result
in
a
further
26.8m
shares
being
issued
(assuming
conversion
based
on
a
$0.235
share
price).
At
valuation,
this
would
result
in
a
conversion
ratio
of
1:1
or
the
issue
of
25m
new
ordinary
shares
with
SuperLife
hold
71%
of
these
securities.
What
is
evident
is
that
SuperLife
will
have
increased
control
if
the
exercise
is
executed
off
a
low
share
price
(see
Appendix
for
conversion
ratios)
at
different
share
prices.
In
addition
to
these
mandatory
convertible
shares
there
are
12.9m
partly
paid
shares
issued
at
between
5.2c
and
18.2c,
1.9m
options
with
exercise
prices
in
the
range
of
5.6c
and
18.2c
that
we
have
adjusted
for
their
dilution
in
our
forecasts
and
valuation.
We
have
not
assumed
any
dividends
are
paid
over
the
forecast
implicitly
assuming
cash
generated
is
retained,
in
our
view
any
cash
distribution
would
be
by
way
of
a
capital
distribution
given
the
company’s
tax
position
(no
imputations
and
significant
tax
losses).
We
have
assumed
a
Weighted
Average
Cost
of
Capital
(WACC)
of
12.9%.
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
RESEARCH
23
March
2017
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
LIMITED
30
Eastbourne
Advisory
Limited
does
not
warrant
the
accuracy
of
any
information
or
forecasts
in
this
report.
Recommendations
may
not
be
appropriate
and
investors
must
consider
their
own
circumstances
and
seek
independent
advice.
WDT$Income$Statement$($m)
Year$to$31$March
WDT$Revenues
Other$Revenues
Total$WDT$Revenue
Total$COGS
Total$Gross$Margin
Non$operating$income
Operating$Expenses$
Total$EBITDA
Depreciation
Amortisation
EBIT
Finance$Costs$(Revenues)
PBT
Tax
Reported$NPAT
Non$recurring$items
Underlying$NPAT
Underlying$Earnings
EPS$c
Underlying$EPS$c
Dividend$per$share$c
Payout$Ratio
Net$Debt/EBITDA$(X)
EBITDA$Margin$(%)
Gross$Margin$%
Revenue$Growth
Shares$on$issue$(m)
Cumulative$Tax$Losses$utilised$($m)
Source:(Company(data,(estimates
$
2015A2016A2017F2018F2019F
24.635.347.255.165.3
0.00.00.00.00.0
24.635.347.255.165.3
19.326.834.640.147.2
5.38.512.615.018.1
0.70.00.00.00.0
7.58.510.010.511.1
R1.50.02.64.47.0
0.30.30.30.30.3
0.11.21.21.21.2
R1.9R1.51.13.05.6
0.91.10.6Y0.1Y0.3
R2.9R2.50.53.15.9
0.10.00.00.00.0
Y2.9Y2.50.53.15.9
0.00.00.00.00.0
R2.9R2.50.53.15.9
R2.9R2.50.53.15.9
Y1.1Y1.00.21.22.2
R1.1R1.00.21.22.2
0.00.00.00.00.0
0.000.00%0%0%
Y4.86Y289.62.6Y0.74Y1.26
Y6%0%5%8%11%
21.4%24.0%26.7%27.2%27.8%
38%44%34%17%19%
260$$$$$$$$$$$260$$$$$$$$$$$260$$$$$$$$$$$260$$$$$$$$$$$260$$$$$$$$$$$
Y$$$$$$$$$$$$Y$$$$$$$$$$$$0.14$$$$$$$$$$1.00$$$$$$$$$$2.65$$$$$$$$$$
Revenue$growth$
between$30Y40%$FY17.$$
$
Guidance$for$EBITDA$
in$the$low$$m's$
At$$2m$EBITDA$the$
company$
$expects$to$breakeven$
WDT$Cashflow$Statement$($m)
Cash$Flow$Analysis
EBITDA
Net$Working$Capital
Operating$Cashflow
Net$Interest
Tax$Paid
Other
Free$Cashflow
Maintenance$Capex
Expansion$Capex
Intangibles
Divestments
Investments
Investing$Cashflow
Distributable$Cashflow
Gross$Dividends
Minority$interests/$Other
Equity$Issues/Redemptions
Change$in$Net$Debt
Opening$Cash
Change
Closing$Cash
Source:(Company(data,(estimates
2015A2016A2017F2018F2019F
L1.50.02.64.47.0
0.00.2H0.5H0.4H0.5
L1.50.22.14.16.6
H0.3H0.3H0.60.10.3
H0.1H0.10.00.00.0
H0.10.00.00.00.0
L2.0L0.21.44.26.9
H0.2H0.3H0.3H0.3H0.3
0.00.0H0.20.00.0
H2.0H1.9H2.2H1.9H1.9
0.00.00.00.00.0
0.00.00.00.00.0
L2.2L2.2L2.7L2.2L2.2
L4.2L2.4L1.32.04.7
0.00.00.00.00.0
0.00.00.00.00.0
0.00.00.00.40.8
L4.2L2.4L1.32.55.5
L3.3L2.3L5.40.83.3
H4.2H2.4H1.32.55.5
H7.5H4.7H6.73.38.8
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
RESEARCH
23
March
2017
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
LIMITED
31
Eastbourne
Advisory
Limited
does
not
warrant
the
accuracy
of
any
information
or
forecasts
in
this
report.
Recommendations
may
not
be
appropriate
and
investors
must
consider
their
own
circumstances
and
seek
independent
advice.
Note
the
Term
Liabilities
amount
from
FY14
through
FY16
consists
of
WDT’s
mandatory
convertible
preference
shares.
In
FY17
these
convert
to
ordinary
shares
resulting
in
the
value
transferring
to
Net
Equity.
Valuation
Unsurprisingly
valuation
is
strongly
dependent
on
assumed
revenue
growth,
volumes
and
margins
and
the
following
tables
demonstrate
key
sensitivities
with
our
base
case
valuation
centralised.
At
the
current
share
price
of
23.5
cps
and
even
following
the
strong
share-‐price
appreciation,
the
market
appears
to
be
implying
significantly
lower
margins,
lesser
volume
growth
or
lower
pricing
or
a
combination
relative
to
our
expectations
all
else
being
equal.
Further
given
most
revenues
have
the
USD
as
the
underlying
transactional
currency,
earnings
are
sensitive
to
changes
in
the
NZD:USD
but
we
note
there
is
a
partial
hedge
with
manufacturing
performed
offshore
and
inputs
USD
denominated.
We
have
assumed
all
COGS
are
USD
denominated
and
40%
of
operating
expenses
with
the
remainder
mainly
NZD.
WDT$Balance$Sheet$($m)
Year$to$31$March
Cash
Receivables
Inventories
Other2Current
Plant2and2Equipment
Intangibles
Deferred2Tax
Total$Assets
Payables
Other
Term2Liabilities
Total$Liabilities
Net2Equity
2015A2016A2017F2018F2019F
2.92.10.83.38.8
5.99.012.014.016.7
3.73.54.75.56.5
0.00.00.00.00.0
1.01.01.21.21.2
5.35.96.97.68.3
0.00.00.00.00.0
18.821.525.731.741.5
7.810.914.617.020.2
0.20.30.30.30.3
5.27.50.00.00.0
13.218.714.917.320.5
5.62.810.814.421.1
Book$Value$Per$Share$$
Source:(Company(data,(estimates
0.020.010.040.050.08
2
Sensitivities
(Motors(Margin(%
0.4410.00%15.0%20.0%25.0%30.0%35.0%40.0%
SCS(Controller(Margin(%25.0%0.050.170.290.330.420.500.58
30.0%0.100.220.340.370.460.540.62
35.0%0.150.270.390.400.480.580.66
40.0%0.200.320.350.440.520.600.69
45.0%0.250.370.390.480.560.640.73
50.0%0.300.330.420.500.590.670.76
55.0%0.350.370.460.540.630.710.80
Source:(estimates
Sensitivities
(Motors(Volumes((Growth)
(0.445.0%8.0%11.0%14.0%17.0%20.0%23.0%
SCS(Controller(Volumes((Growth)20.0%0.080.140.200.280.360.370.45
30.0%0.140.190.260.330.340.410.49
40.0%0.230.280.350.340.400.470.54
50.0%0.370.340.380.440.500.560.64
60.0%0.440.490.540.580.640.710.79
70.0%0.650.690.740.800.860.910.99
80.0%0.971.011.061.091.151.221.30
Source:(estimates
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
RESEARCH
23
March
2017
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
LIMITED
32
Eastbourne
Advisory
Limited
does
not
warrant
the
accuracy
of
any
information
or
forecasts
in
this
report.
Recommendations
may
not
be
appropriate
and
investors
must
consider
their
own
circumstances
and
seek
independent
advice.
Under
our
base
case
assumptions
our
DCF
valuation
is
44cps
As
noted
above
this
effectively
assumes
stable
price
points
and
margins
for
SCS™.
Motor
volume
growth
is
in
line
with
industry
research
estimates
for
market
growth
(from
2018)
and
near
term
SCS™
volume
growth
is
in
line
with
management
expectations
although
top-‐out
at
a
lower
number
than
the
company’s
ambitions
(0.9m
units
vs.
1.5m-‐2.0m).
Of
this
44cps
value
and
based
on
our
profit
track,
the
utilisation
of
tax
losses
account
for
7cps
of
this
value.
Based
on
spot
exchange
rates,
our
valuation
declines
to
39cps.
At
the
current
share
price
of
23.5cps
(and
fully
diluted)
under
our
forecasts,
the
company
grows
into
its
share
price
FY18
where
the
implied
multiples
appear
around
fair
(P/E
16.7).
At
valuation
this
is
pushed
out
to
FY19-‐FY20.
Note
that
these
P/E
multiples
are
on
an
untaxed
basis
given
WDT’s
tax
loss
position.
While
we
note
the
share-‐price
is
at
a
substantial
discount
to
our
base
case
valuation,
we
do
not
expect
it
to
fully
close
the
gap
in
the
near
term
but
to
be
associated
with
further
evidence
of
high
levels
of
earnings
growth.
Comparable
Company
Multiples
(see
Appendix
2)
While
many
of
the
companies
contained
in
the
appendix
are
large
and
much
more
diversified,
what
is
evident
are
the
surprisingly
high
multiples
being
applied
by
the
market
given
relatively
low
forecast
growth.
Revenue
growth
(median)
CAGR
is
flat
and
EPS
in
the
high
single,
low
double
digits.
Also, apart from a few outliers, multiples are relatively tightly clustered.
Calenderised
to
31
December,
on
a
P/E
basis
the
universe
selected
is
on
a
median
P/E
of
~21X
FY16
declining
to
16.3X
FY18.
Implied
EBIT
multiples
are
also
elevated
at
16.4X
FY16
declining
12.5X
FY18.
These
multiples
compare
with
Bloomberg
1-‐year
blended
forward
on
the
S&P
500
Industrial
Index’s
EPS
which
implies
a
12m
FWD
PE
of
16.4x
(calendarised
to
10/10/2017
rather
than
a
December
Y/E).
Key
Risks
n Two
major
customers
(defined
as
customers
representing
10%
or
more
of
revenues),
each
account
for
revenues
of
$7.3m
and
$6.5m
respectively
of
total
revenues
FY15
or
56%
(2014:
three
customers
each
with
revenues
of
$3.9m,
$3.4m
and
$3.3m
or
60%)
illustrating
a
key
risk
and
the
strategic
rationale
to
diversify
across
more
customers
and
into
product
areas
other
than
motors.
n The
company
is
small
in
scale
and
therefore
must
be
innovative
to
compete,
as
it
is
unlikely
to
be
able
to
compete
directly
on
cost
to
manufacture.
n Most
of
the
company’s
direct
competitors
are
significantly
larger
with
the
resources
and
capabilities
to
potentially
disrupt
WDT’s
current
business.
Valuation)metrics
At Share Price2016A2017F2018F2019F2020F
EV/EBITDA-3714.523.313.78.65.7
EV/EBITA-41.252.820.310.96.6
P/E-24.0119.620.110.96.5
At Base Case Scenario
EV/EBITDA-7004.943.925.816.210.7
EV/EBITA-77.799.538.320.512.4
P/E-45.1224.537.720.512.3
Source: EAL estimates
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
RESEARCH
23
March
2017
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
LIMITED
33
Eastbourne
Advisory
Limited
does
not
warrant
the
accuracy
of
any
information
or
forecasts
in
this
report.
Recommendations
may
not
be
appropriate
and
investors
must
consider
their
own
circumstances
and
seek
independent
advice.
n The
electric
motor
market
in
particular
is
very
competitive
and
while
volumes
are
growing
strongly,
may
be
subject
to
price
erosion
n The
IoT
market
opportunity
and
large
and
growing
rapidly.
The
company
may
be
driven
by
customers
to
quickly
broaden
its
portfolio
to
stay
current
in
this
market,
thus
driving
the
need
for
additional
unforecasted
development
costs.
n Currently
the
company
has
limited
cash
resources
to
cater
for
expected
growth
and
unexpected
demands
placed
on
it
my
large
multinationals
and
may
need
to
raise
further
capital
in
the
future.
n With
most
sales
transacted
in
foreign
currencies
and
a
large
proportion
of
expenses
NZD
denominated,
a
strong
NZD
may
impact
the
company’s
competitiveness
and
earnings.
SWOT%Analysis
StrengthsWeaknesses
Strong'culture'of'innovationRelatively'small'scale'relative'to'competitors
Potentially'leading'edge'products'in'marketCurrently'heavily'exposed'to/overreliant'on'few'customers
Product'volume'and'revenue'growth'currently'very'strongNot'well'capitalised
Strong'governance'and'managementGrowth'may'need'to'be'met'with'increased'investment
Operating'costs'relatively'fixed'therefore'high'leverage'to'revenue'growthConsiderable'currency'risk'with'most'product'sold'offshore
Good'relationships'with'large'and'valuable'customersBreadth'of'product'portfolio
Much'improved'supply'chain'network'
OpportunitiesThreats
New'energy'efficiency'regs'are'driving'increased'demand'Motors'now'off'patent
Only'have'small'market'share'in'large'marketsMotor'market'very'fragmented'market'with'many'participants
Some'opportunity'to'improve'motor'marginsSCS'controllers'has'less'competion'than'motors'but'still'has'several'
Growing'SCS'volumes'will'improve'revenues,'margins'and'earningslarge'and'strong'potential'competitors
Growing'SCS'volumes'will'diversify'riskMust'stay'ahead'of'the'competition'with'innovative'product
ECR2'motor'should'improve'market'share'in'cooler'and'supermarket'channels
New'channel'development'opportunities
Adjacent/new'market'opportunies
Potential'for'industry'consolidation
Source:(Company,(Eastbourne(Advisory(Limited
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
RESEARCH
23
March
2017
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
LIMITED
34
Eastbourne
Advisory
Limited
does
not
warrant
the
accuracy
of
any
information
or
forecasts
in
this
report.
Recommendations
may
not
be
appropriate
and
investors
must
consider
their
own
circumstances
and
seek
independent
advice.
Appendix
1-‐
Directors,
Key
People
and
Major
Shareholders
Greg
Allen
–
Chief
Executive
Officer
Mr
Allen
was
appointed
CEO
of
Wellington
Drive
in
November
2011.
Prior
to
joining
Wellington
Mr
Allen
spent
23
years
working
internationally
leading
business
development,
supply
chain
and
manufacturing
organisations
in
Europe,
North
America
and
Asia.
He
is
an
experienced
operational
and
business
leader,
having
previously
been
responsible
for
the
Industrial
and
Green
Technology
business
unit
for
Celestica,
a
highly
regarded
multinational
supply
chain
services
provider.
Prior
to
Celestica
Mr
Allen
led
a
Canadian
public
company
focused
on
VOIP
products
and
also
held
senior
roles
with
global
contract
manufacturing
and
engineering
services
companies.
Originally
from
New
Zealand,
and
with
a
technical
background
gained
from
six
years
in
the
New
Zealand
armed
forces,
Mr
Allen
brings
to
Wellington
a
broad
market
experience
covering
many
industrial
segments
such
as
telecommunications,
aerospace,
capital
equipment,
consumer
products
and
enterprise
computing.
Greg
has
bought
significant
focus
to
the
WDT
since
his
arrival,
simplifying
the
company
with
a
more
cohesive
strategy,
diversifying
away
from
motors,
reducing
operating
costs,
driving
stock-‐turn
up
and
as
a
corollary
promoting
revenue
and
margin
growth.
Tony
Nowell,
CNZM
Chairman
Mr
Nowell
was
appointed
a
director
of
Wellington
in
March
2010
and
Chairman
in
December
2010.
He
is
an
experienced
company
leader
in
major
New
Zealand
and
international
businesses
and
also
Chairs
Scion
(the
Forest
Research
Institute
of
New
Zealand)
and
the
Omega
Lamb
Primary
Growth
Partnership
between
the
New
Zealand
Government
and
Primary
Industry
participants.
He
is
a
board
member
of
New
Zealand
Food
Innovation
(Auckland),
Food
Standards
Australia
New
Zealand,
and
the
Export
Advisory
Board
of
Business
New
Zealand.
Mr
Nowell
is
also
a
New
Zealand
representative
on
the
APEC
Business
Advisory
Council.
He
was
formerly
Deputy
Chair
of
Leadership
New
Zealand
and
Chief
Executive
of
Zespri
International,
and
Griffin’s
Foods
Limited.
Prior
to
returning
to
New
Zealand
business
in
2000
from
an
extended
period
of
international
business
experience,
Mr
Nowell
was
Regional
Vice
President
of
Sara
Lee
Asia,
President
Director
of
Sara
Lee
Indonesia
and
President
Director
of
L'Oreal
Indonesia.
Dr
Lisbeth
Jacobs
Dr
Jacobs,
a
native
of
Belgium,
holds
a
PhD
in
Materials
Engineering
from
the
University
of
Auckland
and
a
Master
of
Science
in
Materials
Engineering
from
the
Katholieke
Universiteit
Leuven,
Belgium,
where
she
also
completed
a
post
graduate
degree
in
Business
Studies.
Dr
Jacobs
has
also
completed
the
Executive
General
Management
programme
at
CEDEP-‐
INSEAD,
France.
Dr
Jacobs
is
currently
General
Manager
International
at
UniServices,
a
wholly
owned
subsidiary
of
The
University
of
Auckland.
In
this
role
Dr
Jacobs
is
responsible
for
all
commercial
activities
that
the
University
of
Auckland
undertakes
outside
of
New
Zealand
and
Australia.
She
is
also
a
member
of
the
board
of
Energia
Potior,
a
Joint
Venture
between
UniServices
and
Yunca
which
delivers
technology
solutions
to
the
global
aluminium
industry.
Before
taking
up
her
current
role
Dr
Jacobs
was
Director
Strategy
&
Development
at
The
Icehouse,
following
a
13
year
international
career
with
Belgian
corporate
Bekaert,
a
world
market
and
technology
leader
in
steel
wire
and
steel
cord
products
and
applications.
Dr
Jacobs
is
Honorary
Consul
of
Belgium
since
August
2013.
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
RESEARCH
23
March
2017
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
LIMITED
35
Eastbourne
Advisory
Limited
does
not
warrant
the
accuracy
of
any
information
or
forecasts
in
this
report.
Recommendations
may
not
be
appropriate
and
investors
must
consider
their
own
circumstances
and
seek
independent
advice.
Gottfried
Pausch
Mr
Pausch
currently
serves
as
an
independent
director
of
McKay
Ltd
in
Whangarei,
Blackhawk
Tracking
Systems
Ltd
in
Auckland
and
as
Executive
Chairman
of
Aucom
Electronics
Ltd
in
Christchurch.
Mr
Pausch
was
the
former
CEO
at
Actronic
Technologies
and
an
Executive
in
Residence
at
The
Icehouse,
following
a
22
year
career
with
German
engineering
and
electronics
conglomerate
Siemens,
one
of
the
world’s
leading
suppliers
of
a
wide
range
of
products,
solutions
and
services
in
the
field
of
technology,
which
included
the
roles
of
CEO
Siemens
Energy
Services
Ltd.
and
Managing
Director
of
Siemens
New
Zealand.
John
McMahon
Mr
McMahon
has
over
twenty
years’
experience
in
the
Australasian
equity
markets,
predominantly
as
an
equity
analyst
covering
a
range
of
industries
including
telecommunications,
media,
gaming
transport
and
industrials.
He
was
a
former
Head
of
Research
and
Head
of
Equities
for
ABN
AMRO
NZ
and
was
Managing
Director
of
ASB
Securities
for
three
years.
John
now
manages
his
own
investment
portfolio
through
Sydney-‐based
Auro
Investment
Management
and
is
Chairman
of
NZAX-‐listed
Solution
Dynamics
Ltd
(SDL).
He
has
a
Bachelor
of
Commerce
(Honours),
an
MBA
and
is
a
CFA
(Chartered
Financial
Analyst)
charter
holder.
John
has
significant
credibility
having
been
instrumental
as
chairman
in
the
early
stage
turnaround
of
SDL.NZ.
Significant
Shareholders
ShareholderNumber-(m)%-of-shares-on-issue
SuperLife)Trustee)Nominees)Ltd)63.827.5%
Harbour)Asset)Management)Ltd)13.65.9%
East)West)Manufacturing)LLC)10.64.6%
Wairahi)Trust)9.44.1%
John)McMahon9.13.9%
Graham)Trustees)Ltd8.13.5%
Source:(Company
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
RESEARCH
23
March
2017
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
LIMITED
36
Eastbourne
Advisory
Limited
does
not
warrant
the
accuracy
of
any
information
or
forecasts
in
this
report.
Recommendations
may
not
be
appropriate
and
investors
must
consider
their
own
circumstances
and
seek
independent
advice.
Appendix
2-‐
Comparable
Companies
Company(NameABB#LtdNidec#CorpAmetek#IncRegal#Beloit#CorpDanaher#CorpEmerson#Electric#CoJohnson#Electric#Holdings#LtdMinebea#Co#LtdOmron#CorpRockwell#Automation#IncSchneider#Electric#SEUQM#Technologies#IncWEG#SACrompton#Greaves#LtdKirloskar#Electric#Company#LtdSource:(EAL(Estimates,(Bloomberg
Market(Cap
Domicile
(Local($mn)
319Dec916
319Dec917
319Dec918
319Dec916
319Dec917
319Dec918
319Dec916
319Dec917
319Dec918
Switzerland
50,409
#########
#
22.1x
19.2x
15.3x
14.4x
12.8x
11.6x
10.9x
10.2x
9.2x
Japan
2,771,530
####
#
28.6x
25.1x
21.9x
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
14.5x
13.4x
11.9x
USA
11,096
#########
#
20.7x
19.1x
16.4x
14.9x
13.9x
13.3x
12.6x
11.8x
11.2x
USA
2,735
###########
#
13.9x
12.7x
12.2x
16.4x
11.9x
10.4x
8.7x
7.7x
6.9x
USA
54,035
#########
#
22.0x
20.1x
18.2x
20.8x
18.6x
17.7x
15.4x
13.9x
12.2x
USA
33,914
#########
#
18.0x
17.4x
15.6x
12.2x
12.1x
11.3x
9.9x
9.7x
9.0x
Hong#Kong
17,559
#########
#
90.6x
81.3x
77.5x
76.9x
65.7x
63.8x
48.7x
43.8x
42.8x
Japan
401,164
#######
#
11.4x
11.4x
11.1x
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
6.3x
6.0x
5.4x
Japan
804,483
#######
#
19.0x
18.1x
16.3x
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
8.1x
7.7x
6.9x
USA
15,489
#########
#
20.2x
19.4x
17.9x
13.9x
14.0x
13.3x
12.3x
12.4x
11.6x
France
36,770
#########
#
17.3x
15.7x
14.4x
13.2x
12.2x
11.1x
10.7x
9.8x
9.0x
USA
29
################
#
Z4.3x
Z5.6x
Z24.2x
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
USA
29,026
#########
#
24.8x
21.7x
18.6x
25.1x
20.0x
16.5x
19.6x
16.2x
13.8x
India
48,165
#########
#
25.4x
17.7x
13.8x
23.6x
15.1x
12.6x
13.0x
10.2x
8.1x
India
4,360
###########
#
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
23.5x
21.0x
17.5x
(
23.1x
19.6x
18.2x
(
14.7x
13.3x
12.2x
20.4x
18.6x
15.9x
(
15.7x
14.0x
12.9x
(
12.3x
10.2x
9.2x
Source:(EAL(Estimates,(Bloomberg
Calendarised(P/E
Calendarised(EV*(/(EBIT
Calendarised(EV*(/(EBITDA
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
RESEARCH
23
March
2017
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
LIMITED
37
Eastbourne
Advisory
Limited
does
not
warrant
the
accuracy
of
any
information
or
forecasts
in
this
report.
Recommendations
may
not
be
appropriate
and
investors
must
consider
their
own
circumstances
and
seek
independent
advice.
Appendix
3-‐
Mandatory
Convertible
Notes
Dilution
Scenarios
SL#Convertible
Other#Convertible
SuperLife#Holding
Holding#(m)
Holding#(m)
Share&Price&(c)
10
18.0
7.19
11
18.0
7.19
12
18.0
7.19
13
18.0
7.19
14
18.0
7.19
15
18.0
7.19
16
18.0
7.19
17
18.0
7.19
18
18.0
7.19
19
18.0
7.19
20
18.0
7.19
21
18.0
7.19
22
18.0
7.19
23
18.0
7.19
24
18.0
7.19
25
18.0
7.19
26
18.0
7.19
27
18.0
7.19
28
18.0
7.19
29
18.0
7.19
30
18.0
7.19
Source:(Company(data,(estimates;(SL=SuperLife
SL#new
Other#holder#new
Total#new
SL#existing#
SL#new#total
Conversion#Ratio
ordinary#Shares
ordinary#shares
ordinary#shares
ordinary#Shares
ordinary#shares
&
2.50
45.1
18.0
63.0
63.8
108.8
2.27
41.0
16.3
57.3
63.8
104.7
2.08
37.5
15.0
52.5
63.8
101.3
1.92
34.7
13.8
48.5
63.8
98.4
1.79
32.2
12.8
45.0
63.8
96.0
1.67
30.0
12.0
42.0
63.8
93.8
1.56
28.2
11.2
39.4
63.8
91.9
1.47
26.5
10.6
37.1
63.8
90.3
1.39
25.0
10.0
35.0
63.8
88.8
1.32
23.7
9.5
33.2
63.8
87.5
1.25
22.5
9.0
31.5
63.8
86.3
1.19
21.5
8.6
30.0
63.8
85.2
1.14
20.5
8.2
28.6
63.8
84.3
1.09
19.6
7.8
27.4
63.8
83.4
1.04
18.8
7.5
26.3
63.8
82.6
1.0
18.0
7.2
25.2
63.8
81.8
1.0
18.0
7.2
25.2
63.8
81.8
1.0
18.0
7.2
25.2
63.8
81.8
1.0
18.0
7.2
25.2
63.8
81.8
1.0
18.0
7.2
25.2
63.8
81.8
1.0
18.0
7.2
25.2
63.8
81.8
&
&
Total#ordinary
Super#Life
shares#post#conversion
Control
294.7
37%
289.0
36%
284.2
36%
280.2
35%
276.7
35%
273.7
34%
271.1
34%
268.8
34%
266.7
33%
264.9
33%
263.2
33%
261.7
33%
260.3
32%
259.1
32%
258.0
32%
256.9
32%
256.9
32%
256.9
32%
256.9
32%
256.9
32%
256.9
32%
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
RESEARCH
23
March
2017
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
LIMITED
38
Eastbourne
Advisory
Limited
does
not
warrant
the
accuracy
of
any
information
or
forecasts
in
this
report.
Recommendations
may
not
be
appropriate
and
investors
must
consider
their
own
circumstances
and
seek
independent
advice.
Limitations and Disclaimer
Eastbourne Advisory Limited is registered on the New Zealand Financial Service Providers Register (FSP
number 466826) and is registered to provide wholesale and/or generic financial adviser services only.
DISCLAIMER
Copyright 2015 Eastbourne Advisory Limited (EAL). All rights reserved. This report has been commissioned
by WDT Technologies Limited and prepared and issued by EAL for publication. All information used in the
publication of this report has been compiled from publicly available sources that are believed to be reliable,
however we do not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of this report. Opinions contained in this report
represent those of EAL at the time of publication. The securities described in the Investment Research may
not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain categories of investors. We publish information about
companies in which we believe our readers may be interested and this information reflects our sincere
opinions. The information that we provide is not intended to be, and should not be construed in any manner
whatsoever as, personalised advice. Also, the information provided by us should not be construed by any
subscriber or prospective subscriber as EAL’s solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect, any transaction in a
security. The research in this document is intended for New Zealand resident professional financial advisers
or brokers (for use in their roles as financial advisers or brokers) and habitual investors who are “wholesale
clients” for the purpose of the Financial Advisers Act 2008 (FAA) (as described in sections 5(c) (1)(a), (b)
and (c) of the FAA). This is not a solicitation or inducement to buy, sell, subscribe, or underwrite any
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The information, investment views and recommendations in this document are provided for general
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recommend that recipients seek advice specific to their circumstances from their adviser before
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This document does not, and does not attempt to, contain all material or relevant information about the
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estimates contained herein reflect a judgement at the date of preparation and are subject to change without
notice. Eastbourne Advisory Limited is under no obligation to update or keep current any of the information
on this document.
All investment involves risk. The bond market is volatile. Bonds carry interest rate risk (as interest rates rise,
bond prices usually fall, and vice versa), inflation risk and issuer and credit default risks. Lower quality and
unrated debt securities involve a greater risk of default and/or price changes due to potential changes in the
credit quality of the issuer. The price, value and income derived from investments may fluctuate in that
values can go down as well as up and investors may get back less than originally invested. Past
performance is not indicative of future results, and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is
made regarding future performance or investment returns. Reference to taxation or the impact of taxation
does not constitute tax advice. The levels and bases of taxation may change. The value of any tax reliefs
will depend on investors’ circumstances. Investors should consult their tax adviser in order to understand the
impact of investment decisions on their tax position. Where an investment is denominated in a foreign
currency, changes in rates of exchange may have adverse effect on the value, price or income of the
investment. The market in certain investments may be unavailable and/or illiquid meaning that investors
may be unable to purchase, sell or realise their investments at their preferred volume and/or price, or at all.
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
RESEARCH
23
March
2017
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
LIMITED
39
Eastbourne
Advisory
Limited
does
not
warrant
the
accuracy
of
any
information
or
forecasts
in
this
report.
Recommendations
may
not
be
appropriate
and
investors
must
consider
their
own
circumstances
and
seek
independent
advice.
n • EBIT
1
loss for Q1 of $381k impacted by non-cash amortisation charges and
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
RESEARCH
23
March
2017
EASTBOURNE
ADVISORY
LIMITED
40
Eastbourne
Advisory
Limited
does
not
warrant
the
accuracy
of
any
information
or
forecasts
in
this
report.
Recommendations
may
not
be
appropriate
and
investors
must
consider
their
own
circumstances
and
seek
independent
advice.
Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.
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