Mercury NZ Limited/Announcement
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Quarterly Operational Update

Quarterly Update17 October 2017MCYUtilities

QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE
Three months ended 30 September 2017

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE01

HYDRO GENERATION FORECAST UP

250GWh FOR FY2018 ON HIGHER

INFLOWS

CUSTOMERS ENJOYING AIRPOINTS

TM

UP 24% TO 147,000 CUSTOMERS

Q1 GENERATION OF 2,258GWh

INCLUDING 1,522GWh FROM HYDRO

>> QUARTERLY HIGHLIGHTS

REWARDS

RECORD 4,400GWh

>> COMMENTARY

CONTINUED FOCUS ON REWARDING LOYALTY

Mercury's focus on rewarding existing customers continued to produce below market churn. For the quarter ended 30 September

2017, Mercury's annualised trader churn for all brands of 7.9% was 1.6% below the market average of 9.5%, based on Electricity

Authority data.

During the quarter an additional 28,000 customers were registered to enjoy Airpoints

TM

as Mercury continued to deliver on our

customer promises to reward, inspire and make it easy. At 30 September, 147,000 customers (approximately 40% of Mercury brand)

were registered with Airpoints

TM

.


The average energy price to customers was up (to $118.05/MWh) compared to the same period last year ($117.46/MWh). Consistent

with the previous quarter, the VWAP of sales to business customers was down approximately $4/MWh.

RECORD GENERATION; HYDRO GENERATION FORECAST UP

During the quarter, Mercury produced a number of records across our renewable generation fleet.

Total generation was a record for the quarter, up 313GWh to 2,258GWh. Hydro generation was up 266GWh to 1,522GWh, due to

inflows into the Waikato catchment being the fourth highest on record. Geothermal generation was up 47GWh with 98.2% availability

achieved across all stations due to the timing of planned outages.

Within the quarter, records for peak output were achieved for the Waikato Hydro Scheme and at the Kawerau geothermal station. A

record for peak instantaneous output of 1,063MW was achieved for hydro generation with all 39 units simultaneously generating on

the Waikato River and a new daily generation record was achieved at Kawerau. These records were accomplished due to the

company's ongoing hydro refurbishment programme and focus across the company on operational excellence and innovation.

National storage was 66% of average at 30 June 2017 due to earlier dry conditions in the South Island. As a result, wholesale prices

peaked in July and were $92.79/MWh (Otahuhu) and $95.92/MWh (Benmore) for the quarter. These prices were up $33.36/MWh

and $48.62/MWh respectively on the prior year. Mercury was able to achieve record generation in the highest-priced quarter since

Q3-FY2014 as a result of inflows into the Waikato catchment being uncorrelated to hydrological conditions in the South Island.

With high inflows into the Waikato catchment since August, Mercury has updated our FY2018 mid-point hydro generation forecast to

4,400GWh (up 250GWh on the forecast provided with the release of our FY2017 results and 400GWh above the long-term average).

UNDERLYING DEMAND GROWTH

After adjusting for temperature, national demand was up 0.6% compared to the same quarter last year (or flat on an unadjusted

basis). This increase in demand was attributable to growth in the urban (0.6%) and rural (0.2%) sectors, partially offset by a reduction

in the industrial sector (-0.2%).

VWAP
1

VolumeVWAP

1

Volume

(GWh)(GWh)

1,2761,307

762748

514559

1,3491,380

244224

1,5931,604

393381

349341

4440

4642

Volume

(GWh)

Volume

(GWh)

324509

1,021896

316326

2

697387

Volume

(GWh)

Volume

(GWh)

1,5221,256

--

3

689634

4

4755

2,2581,945

1.091.04

10296

406398

1

VWAP is volume weighed average energy-only price sold to FPVV customers after lines, metering and fees

2

3

4

Tuaropaki Power Company (Mokai) equity share

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE02

Includes Virtual Asset Swap volumes in both Buy and Sell CfD volumes of 176GWh for the 3 months ended 30 September 2017 and 176GWh for the 3

months ended 30 September 2016

92.5754.79

91.0758.32

METRIX AMI METERS ('000)

Total

LWAP/GWAP

CARBON EMISSIONS

('000 TONNES CO2)

Geothermal (equity accounted)

North Island Customers

South Island Customers

Buy CfD

Net Sell CfD

Dual Fuel Customers

Sell CfD

VWAP

($/MWh)

VWAP

($/MWh)

85.8354.69

-

End User CfD

-

Geothermal (consolidated)

Hydro

Gas

ELECTRICITY CUSTOMERS

('000)

93.4060.32

CONTRACTS FOR DIFFERENCE

ELECTRICITY GENERATION

FPVV sales to business customers

Total NZEM Purchases60.3899.01

FPVV purchases from market

Spot customer purchases

OPERATING INFORMATION

Three months ended

30 September 2017

Three months ended

30 September 2016

($/MWh)($/MWh)ELECTRICITY SALES

FPVV sales to customers

FPVV sales to residential customers

117.46118.05

>> OPERATING STATISTICS

> ELECTRICITY GENERATION BY COMPANY FOR THE THREE MONTHS ENDED 30 SEPTEMBER
Source: Electricity Authority

> SHARE OF ELECTRICITY SALES (GWh) FOR THE THREE MONTHS ENDED 30 SEPTEMBER (EXCLUDING CFDs)

Source: Mercury Purchases and Transpower SCADA

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE

03

21%

25%

21%

19%

6%

8%

Financial Year Q1 2018

MERCURY

MERIDIAN ENERGY

CONTACT ENERGY

GENESIS ENERGY

TRUSTPOWER / TILT

OTHER

>> MARKET DATA

18%

33%

21%

16%

6%

6%

Financial Year Q1 2017

15%

85%

Financial Year Q1 2018

MERCURY

OTHER

15%

85%

Financial Year Q1 2017

> OTAHUHU WHOLESALE PRICE AND NATIONAL HYDRO STORAGE LEVELS
> TAUPO STORAGE

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE

04

$40

$45

$50

$55

$60

$65

$70

$75

$80

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

JulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJun

$/MWh


GWh


AVERAGE NATIONAL STORAGEFY2017 NATIONAL STORAGE

FY2018 NATIONAL STORAGEROLLING 12 MONTH AVERAGE OTA PRICE

ROLLING 12 MONTH AVERAGE BEN PRICE

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

JulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJun

GWh


AVERAGE SINCE 1999FY2017FY2018

> OTAHUHU ASX FUTURES SETTLEMENT PRICE
> BENMORE ASX FUTURES SETTLEMENT PRICE

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE

05

$78.15


$80.38


$78.75


$70.18


$77.61


$78.08


$86.35


$80.00


$79.86


$70.83


$74.70


$76.60


$0

$10

$20

$30

$40

$50

$60

$70

$80

$90

$100

FY18FY19FY20

$/MWh


Financial Year

AS AT 30 SEPTEMBER 2016AS AT 31 MARCH 2017AS AT 30 JUNE 2017AS AT 30 SEPTEMBER 2017

$72.69


$72.45


$71.68


$64.25


$71.40


$71.93


$86.41


$74.71


$73.24


$67.06


$71.26


$71.38


$0

$10

$20

$30

$40

$50

$60

$70

$80

$90

$100

FY18FY19FY20

$/MWh


Financial Year

AS AT 30 SEPTEMBER 2016AS AT 31 MARCH 2017AS AT 30 JUNE 2017AS AT 30 SEPTEMBER 2017

> NATIONAL CONSUMPTION (NON-TEMPERATURE ADJUSTED)
Source: Transpower Information Exchange

> AUCKLAND CLIMATE SUMMARY (⁰C)

FINANCIAL YEAR

Q1Q2Q3Q4

201812.3---

201712.116.119.314.3

201611.416.020.615.3

201511.915.919.914.3

201412.316.718.814.8

Historical Average (since 1999)11.916.119.414.1

Source: Met Service

> MONTHLY TOTAL CONSUMER RETAIL SWITCHING (ICPs)

Source: Electricity Authority

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE

06

9,294

9,132

9,386

9,573

9,430

9,451

1,196

1,238

1,250

1,268

1,267

1,251

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

Q1 2013Q1 2014Q1 2015Q1 2016Q1 2017Q1 2018

GWh


NATIONAL CONSUMPTIONTIWAI POINT ALUMINIUM SMELTER CONSUMPTION

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

45,000

50,000

Jul-08

Jan-09

Jul-09

Jan-10

Jul-10

Jan-11

Jul-11

Jan-12

Jul-12

Jan-13

Jul-13

Jan-14

Jul-14

Jan-15

Jul-15

Jan-16

Jul-16

Jan-17

Jul-17

% Churn


Monthly ICPs


NZ MARKET CHURN (LHS)ANNUAL NZ MARKET CHURN % (RHS)

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

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