Fonterra Co-operative Group Limited logo

FSF Annual Meeting presentation 3 November 2017

AGM2 November 2017FCGConsumer Staples

FONTERRA
SHAREHOLDERS’

FUND

ANNUAL MEETING

FRIDAY 3 NOVEMBER 2017

JOHN SHEWAN
Chairman

FSF Management Company

2
AGENDA

Welcome and introductionJohn Shewan

Chairman’s addressJohn Shewan

Fonterra Chairman addressJohn Wilson

Fonterra CEO’s address Theo Spierings

Questions

Resolution to re-elect retiring Director Pip DunphyJohn Shewan

Address by Pip Dunphy

General business John Shewan

3
2017 –A YEAR OF SIGNIFICANT CHANGE

INMARKET CONDITIONS

57%

FARMGATE MILK PRICE NOW

AHEAD OF DAIRY NZ’S ‘ON-

FARM’ BREAK-EVEN POINT...

10%

VS. 2015/16

...RESULTING IN A SHARP

INCREASE IN FONTERRA’S

INPUT COSTS...

GROSSMARGIN

15%

NORMALISED

EBIT

11%

NETPROFIT

AFTERTAX

...OFFSET BY SIGNIFICANT

GROWTH IN SALES OF

HIGHER VALUE PRODUCTS...

12%

CONSUMER&

FOODSERVICE

GROWTH

9%

ADVANCED

INGREDIENTSSALES

GROWTH

CONTINUED

PROGRESS

INOPERATINGCOST

MANAGEMENT

6%

4
POSITIVE FINANCIAL OUTCOME

1

Return on capital excludes goodwill, brands and equity accounted investments.Return on capital including these items was 8.3%.

2

Gearing ratio is economic net interest bearing debt divided by economic net interest bearing debt plus equity excluding hedgereserves.

11.1%

RETURN ON

CAPITAL

1

44.3%

GEARING

RATIO

2

46CENTS

EARNINGS

PER SHARE

40CENTS

DIVIDEND

PER SHARE

5
KEY EVENTS IN THE YEAR

18 November 2016Business update announced

22 March 2017Interim results announced

20 April 2017Interim distribution of 20 cents per unit paid

24 May 2017Business update announced

25 September 2017Annual results announced –EPS confirmed at 46 cents

20 October 2017Final distribution of 20 cents per unit paid

6
UNIT PRICE PERFORMANCE

•FSF unit price increased 6% in FY17

–31 July 2016:$5.69

–31 July 2017:$6.05

•Full year distribution 40 cents per unit

–Yield of 6.7%

•Strong liquidity in FSF units

1

–Average daily trading volume of 554,000

units

PriceVol. (000)

1

FY17 dividend over volume weighted average closing unit price ($5.96) across the year.

0

300

600

900

1,200

1,500

1,800

4.00

4.50

5.00

5.50

6.00

6.50

7.00

Aug 16Oct 16Dec 16Feb 17Apr 17Jun 17Aug 17Oct 17

Trade VolumeClosing Price

7
FUND KEY STATISTICS

Units on Issue¹:131 million

Fund Market Capitalisation¹:$810 million

Fonterra Market Capitalisation¹:$10 billion

Fund Size¹:8.1% of Fonterra shares on issue

12-month High/Low

2

:$6.40 (21 Feb 17) / $5.80 (7 Nov 16 )

1

At 24 October 2017

2

24 October 2016 –24 October 2017

8
39%

38%

17%

6%

Institution

Retail

3%

PWM*

1%

N/C

Holding by country

69%

18%

6%

3%

4%

Holding by investor type

UNIT REGISTER ANALYSIS

As at 23 October 2017 –comparison 28 October 2016

3%

4%

4%

* PWM = Private Wealth Management

Farmer

Shareholder

New Zealand

Australia

2%

United States

United Kingdom

N/C

Other

1%

9
DIRECTOR CHANGES

Fonterra Co-operative Group

Independent director changes

•David Jackson –retired 2 Nov 2017

•Bruce Hassall –appointed 2 Nov 2017

Farmer director changes

•Michael Spaans–retired 31 July 2017

•David MacLeod –retired 2 Nov 2017

•Leonie Guiney –retired 2 Nov 2017

•John Monaghan –retired by rotation and re-elected 2 Nov 17

•Andrew MacFarlane –elected 2 Nov 2017

•Brent Goldsack–elected 2 Nov 2017

FSF Management Company

•Ian Farrelly–retired 12 Dec 2016

•Scott St John –appointed 12 Dec 2016

YEAR IN REVIEW
John Wilson, Fonterra Chairman

Confidential to Fonterra Co-operative Group

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 11

Good season for our farmers

Return to solid results after two seasons of unusually low milk prices

1. Total available for payout = Forecast Farmgate Milk Price + Forecast Earnings Per Share (EPS) of 45-55 cents; For farm budgeting purposes the likely

dividend will be calculated in accordance with Fonterra policy of paying out 65-75 per cent of adjusted net profit after tax over time

Note: Farmgate Milk Price: $ per kgMS; Dividend: $ per share

6.107.606.085.848.404.403.906.126.75

0.27

0.30

0.32

0.32

0.10

0.25

0.40

0.40

201020112012201320142015201620172018

forecast

Farmgate Milk PriceDividend

Total

available for

payout

1

6.37

7.90

6.40

6.16

8.50

4.65

4.30

6.52

7.20-7.30

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 12

Solid business performance

1. Return on Capital (ROC) excludes goodwill, brands and equity accounted investments; Group ROC including these items was 8.3% in FY17 (FY16: 9.2%)

2. FY17 dividend over volume weighted average FCG price of $5.96 across the year; 3. Includes sales to other strategic platforms.

ANNUAL DIVIDEND YIELD

2

40CPS 6.7%

Stable

22.9BLME

VOLUME

3%

$19.2B

REVENUE

12%

$1,155M

NORMALISED EBIT

15%

11.1%

RETURN ON CAPITAL

1

Down from 12.4%

Ingredients

Volume (LME)

3

21.3 B

Gross Margin (%)9.7%

Normalised EBIT$943M

Return on Capital

1

10.3%

Consumer and Foodservice

Volume (LME)

3

5.5 B

Gross Margin (%)26.8%

Normalised EBIT$614M

Return on Capital

1

47.2%

China Farms

Volume (LME)

3

0.3B

Gross Margin (%)8.6%

Normalised EBIT$1M

$745M46C

NPAT EPS

11%

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 13

Global dairy market –positive outlook with

continued balancing of supply and demand

Note: All 12 month figures are rolling 12 months compared to previous comparable period: Australia (Jun), EU (Jun), United States (Jul), China (Jul), Asia (May), Middle

East & Africa (May), Latin America (May)

Source: Government milk production statistics; GTIS trade data; Fonterra analysis]

Demand

Supply

Russia

EU’s largest dairy

export market –trade

embargo remains

US

12 months

production

+2

%

Australia

12 months

production

-7

%

Fonterra in NZ

12 months

production

Last 3 months

(Jun, Jul, Aug)

0

%

-2

%

Asia (excl China)

12 months

imports

+10

%

Middle East & Africa

12 months

imports

-2

%

EU

12 months

production

Last 3 months

(Apr, May, Jun)

-2

%

+1

%

Latin America

12 months

imports

+11

%

China

12 months

imports

Last 3 months

(May, Jun, Jul)

+9

%

+15

%

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 14

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJul

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJul

1,500

2,500

3,500

4,500

5,500

AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJul

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJul

Dairy prices rose strongly over the year

Improved Farmgate Milk Price put pressure on margins

Products informing milk price up significantlyOther products up but to a lower degree

Butter

Cheddar

Rennet Casein

+109%

+3%

+42%

Note: All prices in US dollars per MT

Source: GDT data

Whole Milk Powder

+38%

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 15

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 16

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 17

FINANCIAL
PERFORMANCE

Theo Spierings, CEO

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 19

Solid business performance

1. Return on Capital (ROC) excludes goodwill, brands and equity accounted investments; Group ROC including these items was 8.3% in FY17 (FY16: 9.2%)

2. FY17 dividend over volume weighted average FCG price of $5.96 across the year; 3. Includes sales to other strategic platforms.

ANNUAL DIVIDEND YIELD

2

40CPS 6.7%

Stable

22.9BLME

VOLUME

3%

$19.2B

REVENUE

12%

$1,155M

NORMALISED EBIT

15%

11.1%

RETURN ON CAPITAL

1

Down from 12.4%

Ingredients

Volume (LME)

3

21.3 B

Gross Margin (%)9.7%

Normalised EBIT$943M

Return on Capital

1

10.3%

Consumer and Foodservice

Volume (LME)

3

5.5 B

Gross Margin (%)26.8%

Normalised EBIT$614M

Return on Capital

1

47.2%

China Farms

Volume (LME)

3

0.3B

Gross Margin (%)8.6%

Normalised EBIT$1M

$745M46C

NPAT EPS

11%

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 20

2%

20%

36%

19%

10%

12%

More volume to higher value

1 billion LMEs shifted to Consumer, Foodservice and Advanced Ingredients

Deliver

on Foodservice potential

Selectively invest

in milk pools

Grow

our active living business

Develop

leading positions in paediatric

& maternal nutrition

Optimise

NZ milk

1

Align

our business and organisation

Buildandgrow

beyond our current

consumerpositions

3

2

4

5

6

7

DIRA

GDT

Advanced

Ingredients

Foodservice

Consumer

Note: Wheel shows percentage of total FY17 external sales (LME); Consumer, Foodservice and Ingredients growth rates include intercompany sales

27%

3%

7%

5%

9%

FY17

22.9b

LME

%

FY17 sales volume

growthover FY16

•GDT

–Volumes aligned with

lower production

•Ingredients

–Lower NZ milk

collections and record

low closing inventory

–473m LMEs shifted to

higher margin Advanced

Ingredients

•Consumer & Foodservice

–Added 576m more LMEs

–Normalised EBIT up 6%

Base

Ingredients

11%

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 21

Value creation

Solid profit with ongoing financial discipline

Note: Return on Capital (ROC) excludes goodwill, brands and equity accounted investments; Group ROC including these items was 8.3% (2016: 9.2%)

17.0%

GROSS MARGIN

$1,155M

NORMALISED EBIT

Down from 21.1%

15%

$851M

CAPEX

10%

11.1%

RETURN ON CAPITAL

Down from 12.4%

75 DAYS

WORKING CAPITAL

2days

$2,370M

OPEX

6%

NPATEPS

$745M46C

11%

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 22

Ingredients

Return on capital of 10.3%

•Challenging NZ milk collection profile

•Lower closing inventory carried into this year

•Growth in Advanced Ingredients of 9% (473m LME)

Value

•NZ Ingredients margins impacted by rising reference product

prices relative to non-reference

–Stream returns down significantly from last year

•Australia: $62m normalised EBIT from recurring business

•China milk: ($38m) impact of ongoing lower domestic prices

Velocity

•Targeted capex with Foodservice focus and Stanhope rebuild

•Optionality used to prioritise higher value production

•Yield improvements and efficient peak management

Volume

1. Includes sales to other strategic platforms

Note: Return on Capital (ROC) excludes goodwill, brands and equity accounted investments

Volume (m LME)¹

Normalised EBIT ($m)

1,204

943

20162017

22,391

21,304

20162017

(5%)

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 23

Asia

Greater China

Consumer and Foodservice

Solid performance led by Greater China

244

201

20162017

97

101

20162017

108

103

20162017

623

735

20162017

1,834

1,742

20162017

1,549

1,703

20162017

1. Sales volume growth of (1%) when excluding impact of discontinued businesses

Note: All volumes include intercompany sales

Oceania

Volume

1

Normalised EBIT

Latin America

VolumeNormalised EBIT

(5%)

18%

VolumeNormalised EBITVolumeNormalised EBIT

10%

46%

131

209

20162017

876

1,278

20162017

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 24

China opportunity

Fonterra well positioned in every segment

Deliver

on Foodservice potential

Selectively invest

in milk pools

Grow

our active living business

Develop leading positions

in paed & maternal nutrition

Optimise

NZ milk

1

Align

our business and organisation

Buildandgrow

beyond our current

consumerpositions

3

2

4

5

6

7

TODAYFonterra Milk Source (%)

3

8b

3.7b

31b

1.3b

3b

0.2b

1

30-35b

2

0.34b

5.5b

LME b

Ingredients

Consumer & Foodservice

Advanced Nutrition

Domestic Milk Pool

2013

8b

3.5b

28b

0.4b

2b

0.02b

0.06b

4b

77

50

90

80

10

50

10

10

7

10

6

100

NZAUEUChina

1. Based on April-2017 external data and analysis

2. Includes Beingmate sales of ~180m LME

3. Indicative share of sourcing

Source: Euromonitor; Fonterra analysis

Total Fonterra China

b LME Fonterrab LME China market

2

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 25

Beingmate is an important investment

•Regulatory changes

–Long-term, brand rationalisation will benefit

major domestic players

–New regulations in place on 1 January 2018

–Beingmate in first wave of approvals

•Competitive environment

–Over-supply from non-approved players

–Price competition and de-stocking

–Impacted Beingmate sales and profitability

•Financial impact

–Recognised share of one-off losses

–Impairment in carrying value

Challenging last 12 monthsStrong strategic rationale remains

1.Market fundamentals are strong

2.Partnership with Beingmate part of a

larger, profitable Greater China

business

3.Strategic partnership

value extends

beyond direct

investment

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 26

–Fonterra Australia has reached full milk

processing capacity at 2 billion litres

–Invest initial $100m immediately to de-

bottleneck plants in Australia

–Unlock 500 million litres of milk

processing capacity

–Evaluating opportunity to introduce co-

op model to Fonterra

–Strongly aligned with our integrated

cheese/whey/nutritionals milk pool

strategy

-12

-8

-4

0

4

8

12

16

11.522.533.5

ROC (%)

Milk pool

(billion litres)

Today

Future

FY15

Growing volume and value in Australia Our growth plans

Australian growth plans to meet strong

global demand

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 27

Financial discipline

Strength of the balance sheet underpins our Co-op

1.Gearing ratio is economic net interest bearing debt divided by economic net interest bearing debt plus total equity excluding hedge reserves

2.Economic net interest-bearing debt

3.Debt payback ratio is economic net interest bearing debt divided by EBITDA. Both debt and EBITDA are adjusted for the impact of operating leases

3.5

DEBT / EARNINGS

3

Up from 2.8x

44.3%

GEARING

1

Stable

AA-

CREDIT RATING

Fitch

$5.6B

NET DEBT

2

Up 2%

S&P

STABLESTABLE

$7.2B

TOTAL EQUITY

Up 4%

BUILDING THE WORLD’S LEADING
SUSTAINABLE DAIRY CO-OP

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 29

Growth

STRONG V3 CO-OP

INNOVATIVE CO-OP

SUSTAINABLE CO-OP

3 years

5 years

10+ years

NOW

•Demand-led strategy to

optimise NZ milk,

supported by milk pools

•Investing in

technology and

people for the future

•Creating sustainable

value for all

stakeholders

Competitive advantage of Cost Leadership through Scale Efficiency

Strategy focused on achieving our ambition

Three strategic horizons

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 30

Protect market share of NZ milk

Deliver sustainable value creation in NZMP

Deliver Everyday Nutrition focused growth path

Target positions in Affordable Nutrition

Deliver double-digit Foodservice diversified growth

Revitalise the Anlenebrand (Healthy Living)

Build an Active Living portfolio

Deliver China and Beingmate partnership at full potential

Develop cheese / whey supply options

Grow Australian milk pool share

Invest to deliver future-oriented capabilities

FY18 strategic priorities driving value

Deliver

on Foodservice potential

Selectively invest

in milk pools

Grow

our active living business

Develop

leading positions in paediatric &

maternal nutrition

Optimise

NZ milk

1

Align

our business and organisation

Buildandgrow

beyond our current

consumerpositions

3

2

4

5

6

7

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 31

We are embracing tomorrow’s innovation

in what we do today

AGTECHENERGY & CLEAN

TECH

ROBOTICS

HYPER-

PERSONALISATION

DIGITAL

LIVING

DIGITAL ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE BIG DATABEHAVIOUR ECONOMICS

SUSTAINABLE

FARMS

SUSTAINABLE

OPERATIONS

FUTURE

CONSUMERS

GAMIFICATION

AR/VR

PRECISION

FARMING

DIGITAL

MANUFACTURING

ENERGY &

WATER

EFFICIENCY

GENOMICS

SOIL &

CROP TECH

NEW

RETAIL

FOOD SAFETY &

TRACEABILITY

BLOCKCHAIN

3D PRINTING

CONNECTED

LIFE

SHARING

ECONOMY

ENABLERS

CONSUMERS OF

THE FUTURE

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 32

We have already begun the innovation journey

Growth

STRONG V3 CO-OP

SUSTAINABLE CO-OP

3 years

5 years

10+ years

NOW

INNOVATIVE CO-OP

NEW INNOVATION

DIGITAL

TRANSFORMATION

DISRUPTIVE

BUSINESS MODELS

PARTNERSHIPS

EXPONENTIAL

TECHNOLOGIES

QUESTIONS

FONTERRA
SHAREHOLDERS’

FUND

ANNUAL MEETING

FRIDAY 3 NOVEMBER 2017

RESOLUTION 1
That Pip Dunphy, who retires by rotation and, being

eligible, offers herself for re-election, be re-elected as

Director of the Manager of the Fund

PIP DUNPHY
Director

FSF Management Company

37
VOTING

•In respect of each resolution, please tick the “for”, “against” or

“abstain” box.

•Once you have completed your voting, please place your vote in a

ballot box.

•Please raise your hand if you require a pen.

•Results will be announced to the NZX and ASX as soon as they

areavailable.

FONTERRA
SHAREHOLDERS’

FUND

ANNUAL MEETING

FRIDAY 3 NOVEMBER 2017

GENERAL BUSINESS

THANK YOU
MEETING CLOSED.

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