Marlin Global Limited logo

MLN – November 2017 monthly update

Investor Presentation16 November 2017MLNFinancials

1
Monthly Update

November 2017

MLN NAV

$

0.98

SHARE PRICE

$

0.82

DISCOUNT

15.9

%

as at 31 October 2017

A word from the Manager — Looking for Diversity

Marlin’s net asset value was up by 4.8% during October.

Performance was supported by a weak New Zealand dollar,

which fell 5.2% against the US dollar during the month

following the Labour / NZ First election victory. Financial year-

to-date gross performance is a very healthy 12.5%.

Global markets were strong during October, supported by

strong economic data, a good start to US earnings season and

an increased focus on potential corporate tax cuts in the US.

US markets hit fresh all-time highs, with the S&P 500 Index up

2.2% during the month. Europe also gained, with the Stoxx 600

Index up 1.8%.

Stock market news in the month was focused on corporate

earnings, with a number of large cap tech stocks including

Amazon, Alphabet, Microsoft and Netflix announcing better

than expected results and each rising significantly more than

the market.

While the majority of earnings results for companies in

the Marlin portfolio were strong we did have two notable

disappointments.

Expedia’s third quarter results fell short of expectations partly

impacted by the recent hurricanes in the US and Caribbean

and from weaker than expected results in their Trivago

subsidiary. However, what concerned the market more was

guidance for 2018 being weaker than expected. This was for

two reasons. First the company is hiring more sales staff to

increase the number of hotels on its website. Expedia is also

investing heavily in its recently acquired HomeAway business

(the owner of Bookabach in New Zealand). While the 13% share

price decline in October is disappointing, we believe these

investments will ultimately create a more valuable business.

More choice will ultimately attract more customers as travellers

increasingly seek to book travel online.

Blackhawk Network distributes gift cards via supermarkets

(think iTunes gift cards or movie vouchers). While revenue grew

19% year-on-year and earnings per share were up 14%, the

company guided to lower than expected growth for the rest of

the year which saw the share price fall. Of most concern, is the

increasing competition from key competitor Incomm. While

these pressures are unfortunate, Blackhawk has faced them

before, successfully beaten them off and we believe it will

again. We are happy to retain our existing investment.

There were no new stock additions or exits during October.

We trimmed our weighting in PayPal from 6% to 5% with the

company’s share price having increased over 80% so far this

year. We also marginally increased our weighting in Signature

Bank to 3.5% following its first set of results since we added

the company to the portfolio in July.

Signature Bank is the first bank we have added to the Marlin

portfolio. It is a small regional US bank with a strong track

record of growth and credit control. We are aware of the

strong performance of technology stocks over the last year

and our exposure to them. Over the year we have spent a

lot of time researching quality businesses in the financial

and industrial sectors to add diversity to the Marlin portfolio.

While we have done a lot of work in these sectors, not many

businesses meet our quality threshold and those that do

have often, at current share prices, offered weak prospective

returns. That said, Signature Bank, Hexcel, a leading supplier

of carbon fibre composites to the aerospace industry, and

Core Laboratories are somewhat recent additions which met

our criteria and add such diversity.

We continue to look for new opportunities. While market

valuations in the US are elevated and attractive opportunities

are becoming harder to find, we are still finding enough

ideas to research in certain sectors and geographies. We

have recently been looking at a number of market leading

businesses in Europe and selected emerging markets. The

retail and consumer sectors are also presenting interesting

opportunities, partly driven by the

panic caused by Amazon.

Ashley Gardyne

Senior Portfolio Manager, Marlin

Sector Split
as at 31 October 2017

Key Details

as at 31 October 2017

FUND TYPE

Listed Investment Company

INVESTS IN

Growing international companies

LISTING DATE

1 November 2007

FINANCIAL YEAR END

30 June

TYPICAL PORTFOLIO SIZE

25-35 stocks

INVESTMENT CRITERIA

Long-term growth

PERFORMANCE

OBJECTIVE

Long-term growth of capital and

dividends

TAX STATUS

Portfolio Investment Entity (PIE)

MANAGER

Fisher Funds Management

Limited

MANAGEMENT

FEE RATE

1.25% of gross asset value

(reduced by 0.10% for every 1% of

underperformance relative to the

change in the NZ 90 Day Bank Bill

Index with a floor of 0.75%)

PERFORMANCE

FEE HURDLE

Changes in the NZ 90 Day Bank

Bill Index + 5%

PERFORMANCE FEE

15% of returns in excess of

benchmark and high water mark

HIGH WATER MARK

$0.87

SHARES ON ISSUE

118m

MARKET CAPITALISATION

$97m

GEARING

None (maximum permitted 20%

of gross asset value)

Performance

to 31 October 2017

2

27

%


TECHNOLOGY

10

%

INDUSTRIALS

23

%


CONSUMER

25

%


HEALTHCARE

Geographical Split

as at 31 October 2017

20

%

WEST EUROPE

71

%

NORTH AMERICA

The Marlin portfolio also holds cash.

9

%

FINANCIALS

^Benchmark index: World Small Cap Gross Index until 30 September 2015 & S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap Index (50% hedged to NZD) from 1 October 2015

Non-GAAP Financial Information

Marlin uses non-GAAP measures, including adjusted net asset value, gross performance return and total shareholder return. The rationale for using such non-GAAP measures is as follows:

»adjusted net asset value – the underlying value of the investment portfolio adjusted for capital allocation decisions,

»gross performance return – the Manager’s portfolio performance in terms of stock selection and hedging of currency movements, and

»total shareholder return – the return to an investor who reinvests their dividends, and if in the money, exercises their warrants at warrant maturity date for additional shares.

All references to adjusted net asset value, gross performance return and total shareholder return in this monthly update are to such non-GAAP measures. The calculations applied to non-GAAP measures are

described in the Marlin Non-GAAP Financial Information Policy. A copy of the policy is available at http://marlin.co.nz/about-marlin/marlin-policies/

5

%


ASIA

1 Month3 Months1 Year3 Years

(annualised)

Since Inception

(annualised)

Corporate Performance

Total Shareholder Return +5.1% +5.0% +13.6% +9.0% +5.2%

Adjusted NAV Return+4.7% +10.0% +25.2% +10.9% +6.4%

Manager Performance

Gross Performance+5.1%+10.7%+31.2%+15.3%+10.1%

Benchmark Index^+5.0%+10.4%+27.5%+16.3%+7.9%

3

%


ENERGY

October’s Biggest Movers in local currency terms
Typically the Marlin portfolio will be invested 90% or more in equities.

The remaining portfolio is made up of another 22 stocks and cash.

AMAZON

+15

%

PAYPAL

+13

%

EXPEDIA

-13

%

SARINE

TECHNOLOGIES

-17

%

BLACKHAWK

NETWORK

-22

%

5 Largest Portfolio Positions

as at 31 October 2017

ALPHABET

7

%

MASTERCARD

6

%

PAYPAL

5

%

LKQ CORPORATION

5

%

COGNIZANT

TECHNOLOGY

SOLUTIONS

5

%

Total Shareholder Return

to 31 October 2017

3

Nov

2007

Nov

2008

Nov

2009

Nov

2010

Nov

2011

Nov

2012

Nov

2014

Nov

2013

Share Price/Total Shareholder Return

Share PriceTotal Shareholder Return

Nov

2015

$

1.00

$

1.20

$

0.8 0

$

0.60

$

0.40

$

1.80

$

0.20

$

0.00

$

1.40

Nov

2016

$

1.60

Disclaimer: The information in this update has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is by
necessity brief. The information and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Marlin Global Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy

or completeness. The update is not intended to constitute professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from an

authorised financial adviser should be taken before making an investment. To the extent that the update contains data relating to the historical performance of Marlin Global Limited or its portfolio

companies, please note that fund performance can and will vary and that future results may have no correlation with results historically achieved.

Marlin Global Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740

Phone: +64 9 484 0365 | Fax: +64 9 489 7139

Email: enquire@marlin.co.nz | www.marlin.co.nz

4

Computershare Investor Services Limited

Private Bag 92119, Auckland 1142

Phone: +64 9 488 8777 | Fax: +64 9 488 8787

Email: enquiry@computershare.co.nz | www.computershare.com/nz

About

Marlin Global

Marlin is an investment company

listed on the New Zealand Stock

Exchange. The company gives

shareholders an opportunity to

invest in a diversified portfolio of

between 25 and 35 quality growing

international companies (excluding

New Zealand and Australia)

through a single, professionally

managed investment. The aim

of Marlin is to offer investors

competitive returns through capital

growth and dividends.

Capital Management Strategies

Regular Dividends

»Quarterly distribution policy introduced in

August 2010

»Under this policy, 2% of average NAV is targeted

to be paid to shareholders quarterly

»Dividends paid by Marlin may include dividends

received, interest income, investment gains

and/or return of capital

»Shareholders who prefer to have increased

capital rather than a regular income stream have

the opportunity to participate in the company’s

dividend reinvestment plan (DRP)

»Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3%

discount to market price

»Marlin became a portfolio investment entity on

1 October 2007. As a result, dividends paid to

New Zealand tax resident shareholders have not

been subject to further tax

Share Buyback Programme

»Marlin has a buyback programme in place allowing

it (if it elects to do so) to acquire up to 5.9m of its

shares on market in the year to 31 October 2018

»Shares bought back by the company are held as

treasury stock

» Shares held as treasury stock are available to be

re-issued for the dividend reinvestment plan

Warrants

»Warrants put Marlin in a better position to grow

further, improve liquidity, operate efficiently

and pursue other capital structure initiatives as

appropriate

»A warrant is the right, not the obligation, to

purchase an ordinary share in Marlin at a fixed price

on a fixed date

»There are currently no warrants on issue


Management

Marlin’s portfolio is managed

by Fisher Funds Management

Limited. Ashley Gardyne (Senior

Portfolio Manager) and Chris

Waters (Senior Investment

Analyst) have prime responsibility

for managing the Marlin

portfolio. They have significant

combined experience and are

very capable of researching

and investing in the quality

global companies that Marlin

targets. Fisher Funds is based in

Takapuna, Auckland.


Board

The Manager has authority

delegated to it from the

Board to invest according to

the Management Agreement

and other written policies.

The Board of Marlin

comprises independent

directors Alistair Ryan (Chair),

Carol Campbell and Andy

Coupe; and non-independent

director Carmel Fisher.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.