Fonterra Co-operative Group Limited logo

Fonterra Investor Day – December 2017 – Presentation

Investor Presentation6 December 2017FCGConsumer Staples

FonterraInvestor DayDECEMBER 2017

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 2

DisclaimerT

his presentation may contain forward-looking statements and projections. There can be no certainty of outcome in relation to the matters to which the

forward-looking statements and projections relate. These forward-looking statements and projections involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties, assumptions and other important factors that could cause the actual outcomes to be materially different from the events or results expressed or implied by such statements and projections. Those risks, uncertainties, assumptions and other important factors are not all within the control of Fonterra Co-operative Group Limited (Fonterra) and its subsidiaries (the Fonterra Group) and cannot be predicted by the Fonterra Group.

While all reasonable care has been taken in the preparation of this presentation none of Fonterra or any of its respective subsidiaries, affiliates and

associated companies (or any of their respective officers, employees or agents) (Relevant Persons) makes any representation, assurance or guarantee as to the accuracy or completeness of any information in this presentation or likelihood of fulfilment of any forward-looking statement or projection or any outcomes expressed or implied in any forward-looking statement or projection. The forward-looking statements and projections in this report reflect views held only at the date of this presentation.

Statements about past performance are not necessarily indicative of future performance.Except as required by applicable law or any applicable Listing Rules, the Relevant Persons disclaim any obligation or undertaking to update any

information in this presentation.

This presentation does not constitute investment advice, or an inducement, recommendation or offer to buy or sell any securities in Fonterra or the

Fonterra Shareholders’ Fund.

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 3

Welcome – Simon Till Director Capital Markets

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 4

Investor Day purpose•

We have an aspirational ambition and a strategy to a

chieve it


$35 billion revenue from 30 billion LME by 2025


Demand-led strategy


Optimising New Zealand milk with support from global

milk pools


Role of our Global Consumer and Foodservice business

in this strategy


Key drivers of performance


Accelerating V3 strategy


The importance of innovation

“Improve understanding of Fonterra’s ambition and growt

h strategy”

123

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 5

FY18 Investor Day – Agenda

Session

Presenter

Objectives

Time

Welcome

Simon Till


Overview of the day

8

:30-8:45

Business Update

Theo Spierings

Paul WasherSimon Till


Regular quarterly update


Video and Q&A

8

:45-9:30

Ambition & Strategy

Theo Spierings


Demand-led strategy supporting growth of C&FS


Strong V3 Co-op, Innovative Co-op and Sustainable Co-

op

9:30-10:15

Morning Tea

10:15-10:45

Innovative Co-op

Judith Swales


Showcase what we are doing to transform culture and

capabilities

10:45-11:30

GCFS Overview

Lukas Paravicini


Overview of business


Our ambition for C&FS

1

1:30-12:00

Acceleration

Christina Zhu


Greater China overview


Acceleration in China

1

2:00-12:30

Lunch

12:30-1:30

Global Foodservice

Grant Watson


Overview of Foodservice and growth drivers

1:30-2:00

C

onsumer

Andy Dasgupta


Affordable Nutrition

2

:00-2:30

GCFS Close

Lukas Paravicini


Recap on ambition for C&FS

2

:30-2:50

Q&A/Close

Lukas ParaviciniPaul WasherSimon Till


Q&A and Closing

2

:50-3:30

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 6

Fonterra – key investment attributes

Co-operative with secure global access to quality milkScale and world-class ingredients businessFocused high-value consumer and foodservice businessesA strategy that’s delivering diversified and increased returnsFinancial strength and disciplineUnique co-operative structure supports strong credit profile, including effective subordination Highly experienced board and management teamStrong industry fundamentals

Business Update
DECEMBER 2017

OUR POTENTIAL

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 8

Fonterra Ambition and StrategyTheo SpieringsCEO

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 9

Value

STRONG V3 CO-OP

INNOVATIVE CO-OP

SUSTAINABLE CO-OP

3 years

5 years

10+ years

NOW

Demand-led optimisation of N

ew Zealand milk,

supported by milk poolsInvestment in technology a

nd people for the future

Creation of sustainable v

alue for all stakeholders

Competitive advantage of

Cost Leadership through Scale Efficiency

To achieve our ambition we will need to d

eliver beyond V3

Three strategic horizons

Ambition

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 11

Clear financial goals

2025 Ambition

Key Drivers

Revenue

$1.2 / LME


Revenue growth in Consumer and Foodservice


Sales shift to Advanced Ingredients

Gross Margin

20%+


Driven by mix shift to Consumer and Foodservice

Normalised EBIT

50-100% uplift


Uplift from $1b base level (2015)


Grow contribution from Consumer and Foodservice

Return on Capital¹

11-13%


Target range

Gearing²

40-45%


Maintain “A” band credit rating

1

. Return on Capital (ROC) excludes goodwill, brands and equity accounted investments.

2. Fonterra’s target is to maintain its strong investment grade credit rating and debt payback and cash flow coverage metrics that support this.

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 12

Value

STRONG V3 CO-OP

INNOVATIVE CO-OP

SUSTAINABLE CO-OP

3 years

5 years

10+ years

NOW

Demand-led optimisation of N

ew Zealand milk,

supported by milk poolsInvestment in technology a

nd people for the future

Creation of sustainable value for all stakeholders

Competitive advantage of

Cost Leadership through Scale Efficiency

Delivering on our V3 strategy

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 13

Our strategic choices are anchored by our beliefs and assessed through commercial filters

Beliefs

Filters

Dairy industry is demand-ledNew Zealand milk can sustainably grow at 1.5% p.a.Global milk is needed to maximise Co-op value

Cost leadershipVolume and Value now Long-term value protectionShareholder wealth

Likelihood of success

Economic

Value-add

Ability

to Win

Market Potential

Strategic Relevance

Sustainability

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 14

2%

20%

36%

1

9%

10%

12%

More volume to higher value1 billion LMEs shifted to Consumer, Foodservice and Advanced

Ingredients

Deliver on Foodservice potentialSelectively invest in milk poolsGrow our active living businessDevelop leading positions in paediatric & maternal nutritionOptimise NZ milk

1

Alignour business and organisationBuild and growbeyond our current consumer positions

324567

DIRA

G

DT

AdvancedIngredients

Foodservice

Consumer

Note: Wheel shows percentage of total FY17 external sales (LME); Consumer, Foodservice and Ingredients growth rates include intercompany sales.

27%

3%

7%

5%

9%

FY17

22.9b

LME

%

FY17 sales volume growth over FY16


GDT –

Volumes aligned with l

ower production


Ingredients–

Lower New Zealand milk co

llections and record low

closing inventory


473m LMEs shifted to h

igher margin

Advanced Ingredients


Consumer and Foodservice –

Added 576m LMEs


Normalised EBIT up 6%

B

ase

Ingredients

11%

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 15

0

1,0002,0003,000

SMP

MPC

Caseins

FFMP

WPC

Butter

AMF

Cheese excl.

mozz

Mozz

Volume (mLME)

0

1,0002,000

3,000

UHT Cream

Cream Cheese

Butter

Cheese excl.

mozz

Mozzarella

WMP

SMP

Volume (mLME)

6,2006,4006,6006,8007,0007,200

WMP

Unconstrained demand will surpass Fonterra’s N

ew Zealand supply

1. SMP FY14-16 is ~20% infant grade growing to ~30% i

n FY22 unconstrained demand (as referenced above).

Source: Business Unit unconstrained demand forecasts, Fonterra in-house data for historical supply volumesNote: Demand growth in New Zealand milk pool plus HeerenveenNZMP

G

CFS

Note different scale

¹

Protein

Fat

Fat

Protein

NZMP demand CAGR ~5%

driven by category initiatives

GCFS 16% demand

CAGR for cream products

GCFS 14% demand CAGR

for mozzarella

2022 unconstrained demand

~26bn LME ~35bn LME in 2025

FY14-16 Average supply

FY22 Unconstrained Demand

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 16

5.5

10.0

Today

Acceleration

Inorganic

2025 Target

LME (billion)

Consumer and Foodservice ambition will require organic and inorganic growth

Organic

Partnerships

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 17

19.2

22.5

3

.2

12.5

2017

2

025 Estimate

Hold Share 1.5% Growth¹

LME (billion)

2025 estimated unconstrained demand of 35b LME

Capturing projected demand will require additional non-New Zealand milkWe estimate ~22.5b LME of this supply will originate fr

om New Zealand

1. Assumed underlying New Zealand milk growth at 1.5%

CAGR.

2. Equates to the total Fonterra NZ milk collected in the 2016/17 season of 17.1 million litres. An LME is a standard measure of the amount of milk (in litres) allocated to

each product based on the amount of fat and protein in the product relative to the amount of fat and protein in standardised raw milk

Source: DairyNZ, AgriHQ

Fonterra Non-NZ MilkFonterra NZ Milk

2

Fonterra Milk Sources

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 18

Demand-led optimisation of New Zealand milk, supported by global milk pools

22.4

~3

~2

~27

~7

~35

2017 Supply NZ Milk Pool

Growth

Existing

Offshore Pools

Growth

2025 Supply

Supply Gap Unconstrained

Demand

LME (billion)


Prioritise New Zealand m

ilk to the highest value


Future demand exceeds N

ew Zealand-sourced

supply


Capturing additional d

emand requires

offshore milk sources


Optimise Ingredients b

usiness


Accelerate milk into h

igher-value Consumer

& Foodservice

Fonterra Milk Sources

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 19

Milk pool strategic rationale


Enable growth of ingredients business to s

upport customer demand (All)


Secure access for our New Zealand milk e

xports (China)


De-risk supply for ingredients customers (

Australia and Europe)


Optimise our ingredients manufacturing f

ootprint (Europe and US)


Enable our development of higher margin c

onsumer brands and foodservice opportunities

(Chile, China and Australia)

Primary investment

Complementing our New Zealand milk

pool

Milk Powders / FoodserviceWhey

Cheese / Whey / NutritionalsUHT

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 20

Value

STRONG V3 CO-OP

INNOVATIVE CO-OP

SUSTAINABLE CO-OP

3 years

5 years

10+ years

NOW

We will also accelerate growth through innovation

NEW INNOVATION

D

IGITAL

TRANSFORMATION

DISRUPTIVE

BUSINESS MODELS

PARTNERSHIPS

EXPONENTIAL

TECHNOLOGIES

Competitive advantage of

Cost Leadership through Scale Efficiency

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 21

IOT

ENABLERS

We are embracing tomorrow’s innovation i

n what we do today

AGTECH

ENERGY AND

C

LEAN TECH

ROBOTICS

HYPER-

P

ERSONALISATION

DIGITAL

LIVING

SUSTAINABLE

FARMS

SUSTAINABLE

OPERATIONS

FUTURE

CONSUMERS

GAMIFICATION

AR/VR

PRECISION

FARMING

DIGITAL

MANUFACTURING

ENERGY AND

WATER

EFFICIENCY

GENOMICS

SOIL AND

CROP TECH

FOOD SAFETY AND

TRACEABILITY

BLOCKCHAIN

3D PRINTING

SHARING

ECONOMY

CONNECTED

LIFE

NEW

RETAIL

CONSUMERS OF

THE FUTURE

ROBOTICS AND

AUTOMATION

DIGITAL

ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE

BIG DATA

BEHAVIOUR ECON

OMICS

Page 21

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 22

Value

STRONG V3 CO-OP

INNOVATIVE CO-OP

SUSTAINABLE CO-OP

3 years

5 years

10+ years

NOW

And are on our way to becoming a Sustainable Co-op


Malnutrition


Obesity / Diet


Water / Environment


Climate and Energy


Productivity

Competitive advantage of

Cost Leadership through Scale Efficiency

MAKING A DIFFERENCE I

N THE LIVES OF

2 BILLION PEOPLE

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 23

Building Collective Pride

#431

Innovation and Global Reach

Innovative Farmers

Purest DairyMilk for Schools

The Co-op has positively shifted its reputation and ch

anged the minds of 1.5m New Zealanders

FY18 Objective: Top 3 for Reputation

16

April 2016

21

29

32

35

26

16

19

1145

March 2017

Innovation and Global Reach

InnovativeFarmers

Milk for Schools

#431

Purest Dairy

December 2016

June 2016

3517

July 2017

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 24

Fonterra presents a strong investment opportunity•

Demand-led optimisation of New Zealand milk, support

ed by global milk pools


Existing position provides foundation for growth str

ategy


Lowest cost production and vertically integrated mil

k pools


Strong foundation in global-scale ingredients busine

ss


End-to-end supply chain – providing quality and trace

ability


Focused growth strategy built on–

Targeted consumer markets for growth investment


Strong foodservice value proposition


Leverage our dairy know-how into higher-value produc

ts

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 25

Innovative Co-opJudith SwalesCOO Velocity and Innovation

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 26

Substantial magnitude of change

Technology

Urbanisation,rising middle

class

Healthy

aging,

millennials

Glocalisation

Health and

Wellness

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 27

Building the foundations for our future success

Demand-led optimisation of N

ew Zealand milk,

supported by milk poolsInvestment in technology a

nd people for the future

Creation of sustainable v

alue for all stakeholders

Growth

STRONG V3 CO-OP

INNOVATIVE CO-OP

SUSTAINABLE CO-OP

3 years

5 years

10+ years

NOW

Competitive advantage of

Cost Leadership through Scale Efficiency

Value

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 28

V&I talent engine

Digital Transformation

Velocity and Innovation: creating future Fonterra

OUR 2025

AMBITION

Make a difference in the lives of 2 billion people by 2025

GROW AT HIGHER VALUE

MARKET LEADERSHIP

TRUST

30

Billion

LITRES5

-6 Milk

Pools

$35

BILLION

TURNOVER

NO.1

INGREDIENTS

No.1 or 2

Consumer

business

In our

Strategic Markets

Supported by Foodservice

TOP 3

R

EPUTATION

In our

Strategic markets

WORLD

C

LASS

Engagement

WHAT WE DO

We build

future

revenue streams

We enable delivery through a

central

performance engine

We support the core business through injecting specialised expertise

We

create innovative

customer experiences through technology

We build

future

capability

12

34

5

Science and Technology

Velocity

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 29

Value

STRONG V3 CO-OP

INNOVATIVE CO-OP

SUSTAINABLE CO-OP

3 years

5 years

10+ years

NOW

NEW INNOVATION

D

IGITAL

TRANSFORMATION

DISRUPTIVE

BUSINESS MODELS

PARTNERSHIPS

EXPONENTIAL

TECHNOLOGIES

Our innovation journey is well underway

Competitive advantage of

Cost Leadership through Scale Efficiency

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 30

IOT

ENABLERS

We are embracing tomorrow’s innovation i

n what we do today

AGTECH

ENERGY AND

C

LEAN TECH

ROBOTICS

HYPER-

P

ERSONALISATION

DIGITAL

LIVING

SUSTAINABLE

FARMS

SUSTAINABLE

OPERATIONS

FUTURE

CONSUMERS

GAMIFICATION

AR/VR

PRECISION

FARMING

DIGITAL

MANUFACTURING

ENERGY AND

WATER

EFFICIENCY

GENOMICS

SOIL AND

CROP TECH

FOOD SAFETY AND

TRACEABILITY

BLOCKCHAIN

3D PRINTING

SHARING

ECONOMY

CONNECTED

LIFE

NEW

RETAIL

CONSUMERS OF

THE FUTURE

ROBOTICS AND

AUTOMATION

DIGITAL

ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE

BIG DATA

BEHAVIOUR ECON

OMICS

Page 30

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 31

Velocity and Innovation integral in delivering FY18 strategic priorities


Protect market share of New Zealand milk


Deliver sustainable value creation in NZMP


Deliver Everyday Nutrition focused growth path


Target positions in Affordable Nutrition


Deliver double-digit Foodservice diversified growth


Revitalise the Anlene brand (Healthy Living)


Build an Active Living portfolio


Deliver China and Beingmate partnership at full poten

tial


Develop cheese / whey supply options


Grow Australian milk pool share


Invest to deliver future-oriented capabilities

Deliver on Foodservice potentialSelectively invest in milk poolsGrow our active living businessDevelop leading positions in paediatric & maternal nutritionOptimise NZ milk

1

Alignour business and organisationBuild and growbeyond our current consumer positions

324567

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 32

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 33

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 34

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 35

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 36

Behaviour: our next generation competitive advantage

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 37

We’re building a strong R&D network

CHINA

M

ALAYSIA

SRI LANKA

INDONESIA

AUSTRALIA

NEW ZEALAND

BRAZIL

CHILE

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 38

R&D focused on four platforms

Delivering specific nutritional benefits with focus on: •

Cognition


Mobility


Wellness

Improving: •

Affordability


Convenience


Environmental su

stainability


Functionality


Taste and texture

Dairy Beverage Solutions

Dairy Nutrition Delivery

Expected outcome: •

Differentiated products


World-leading dairy p

rotein portfolio


Optimised consumer e

xperience

Expected outcome: •

Dairy nutritional solutions


Substantiated health b

enefits


Cost-effective nutrition

Designing food solutions which provide superior functional and sensory performance across a range of applicationsExpected outcome: •

Next generation cream ch

eeses, mozzarella,

cheeses and creams

Delivering ‘More of the Right Milk’ through science and technologyExpected outcome: •

Safe, high-quality and t

raceable milk


More value to our milk


Milk is responsibly and su

stainably sourced

Dairy Farming Systems

Dairy Food Solutions

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 39

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 40

We’re building an ecosystem of partners

Growth

STRONG V3 CO-OP

INNOVATIVE CO-OP

SUSTAINABLE CO-OP

3 years

5 years

10+ years

NOW

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 41

Global Consumer and Foodservice(GCFS) Business OverviewLukas ParaviciniCOO Global Consumer and Foodservice

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 42

Ambition:To be a relevant dairy player with Fonterra’s Consumer and Foodservice brands, delivering annually +400m LMEs with an upskilled team

Our ambition for Global Consumer and Foodservice

2025

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 43

Global Consumer and Foodservice brandsCombination of strategic growth, seeding and cash markets

Asia

Latin America

Greater China

Our brands are getting global recognition
6

CANNES LIONS

11

SPIKES ASIA AWARDS

8

TANGRAMS AWARDS

& 1 AMES

7

LONDON INTERNATIONAL

AWARDS

2

CLIO AWARDS

2

BEST AWARDS

10

AXIS AWARDS

2

NZDM AWARDS

48 Awards in 18 months

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 45

GCFS is a highly attractive business today

Note: FY17 figures1

. Refers to normalised EBIT

Oceania


Volume (LMEs): 1.7b


Norm

1

.

EBIT: $101m

GM%: 20-25%

Asia


Volume (LMEs): 1.7b


Norm

1

.

EBIT: $201m

GM%: 25-30%

Greater China


Volume (LMEs): 1.3b


Norm

1

.

EBIT: $209m

GM%: 25-30%

Latin America


Volume (LMEs): 0.7b


Norm

1

.

EBIT: $103m

GM%: 30-35%

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 46

5.5

10.0

Today

Acceleration

Inorganic

2025 Target

LME (billion)

Organic

Partnerships

Growth will be delivered organically and t

hrough partnerships

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 47

WHATAccelerate, Diversify F

oodservice

Culinary @ HomeHealthy LivingAffordable Nutrition

Achieving our ambition

HOWFive Must Win Battles1. Innovation2

. Revenue Growth

Management

3. Perfect Store4. Cost Leadership5. Digital

ENABLERSPEOPLE

PARTNERSHIPS

INNOVATIVE CO-OP

1

2

3

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 48

> $1b innovation pipeline

Winning with Taste

to Delight Consumers

Portfolio Optimisation

and Rationalisation

Shaping the Future

Consumer-led Pipeline

60:40 Sensory Win on ALL key

products

Formulation Simplification

Agile process balancing three

principles (taste, nutrition, regulatory)

Agile Network

Leverage R&D / LAC networks

Make Choice

80% portfolio on 3 Must Win Battles

(MWB)

Set up Innovative Approach


Ideation + crowdsourcing co

mmunities


Robust screening best ideas to sh

ape our MWB platforms with

fast evolving consumer aspirations!

A solid and consumer relevant pipeline : > incremental $ 1b innovation pipeline

Ambient Yoghurt Life style Protein Healthy Living

LIQUID& CULTURED

1

2

3

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 49

Global Revenue Growth Management –focussing on systematic value pricing

PACK-PRICE C

HANNEL STRATEGY

EFFECTIVE PROMOTIONSTRADE INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT

Fonterra Global RGM Programme

Overall objectives and philosophy

Organisation and capabilities, processes, technology

Enablers

SET

:

RGM plan

SEE: Situational Assessment

GET : Execution

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 50

Creating the Perfect StoreNote: All Pricing, promotion and distribution decisi

ons are at the sole

discretion of the retailer. RSP = Recommended Shelf Price1. Revenue Growth Management.

1.

Perfect

Store

Principles

2.

5Ps

Framework

3.

Perfect

Store

Playbook

4.

Execution

Tools

5.

Tracking,

Reporting &

Lift & Shift

Priorities:• MCL Compliance• Promotional Compliance

Brand Strategies

Shopper Insights

RGM¹ Insights

Channel Strategies

Establish a set of shopper

based

in store standards

that support

profitable

s

hare growth

for Fonterra’s

G

lobal Consumer Brands by

winning at the

First Moment

o

f Truth (FMOT)

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 51

Significant conversion cost potential

World Class End to End Supply Chain

The Right Service at the Right Cost

Integrated Factory Management

Conversion Cost

Absolute Material Loss

Failure Cost

Current Leadership Focus•

Making losses visible, continuously measuring and un

dertaking

focussed intervention


Leaders on the floor coaching


Creating ownership at equipment level


Line structure reorganisation driving accountability

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 52

1.

China Accelerate

2.

Global Foodservice

3.

Affordable Nutrition

4.

Partnerships

Four key areas of growth beyond today’s trajectory

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 53

AccelerationChristina ZhuPresident Greater China

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 54

China at a glance


World’s

s

econd largest economy
and

top receiver

of foreign

direct investment


Drivers changing from export and i

nvestment to

personal

consumption


Single-digit GDP growth

i

s the

“new normal”


Forward focus on

q

uality

,

innovation

, and

open trade

and investment


Stable governance and l

eadership

under President Xi

Jinping and the Communist Party of China


Strong

o

penness
and

engagement

– AIIB and One Belt,

One Road


Strong continued regulatory e

mphasis on

food safety

and quality


Special New Zealand-China t

rade relationship

as FTA

upgrade talks continue


Demographic changes:co

ntinued urbanisation and

population aging, relaxation of the one-child policy


Steady household i

ncome growth


‘Trading-up’


Focus on

f

ood safety
and health


Increasing brand loyalty


World’s most dynamic d

igital economy

Economy

G

overnment/regulatory

Consumer trends

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 55

Chinese dairy demand is growing faster than local supply

9.7

52.8

0.8

1

7.7

8.9

3

5.1

0.0

2

0.0

40.060.0

2001

2003

2005

2007

2009

2011

2013

2015

2017

2019

2021

2023

2025

LME (billion litres)

ConsumptionNet ImportsProduction

China equilibrium modelSource: Fonterra GDI / Combined Forecast Model

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 56

China

$812b

18% 17%

USA

$462b

16% 9%

UK

$119B

10%

19%

Japan

$81B

5%

7%

Germany

Korea

$53B

13%

16%

France

$64B

9%

8%

$42B

7%

7%

2016-18E CAGR %

Portion in total retail %

Online Retail Transaction (2017E, USD)

405060708090

100

50

300

60

70

40

Packaged food 4%

F

resh food 2%

Home care 8%

38%

Consumer e

lectronics

21%

Personal care

31%

Apparel

Purchased Online

P

ercent of digital consumers purchasing the category in any channel

Evaluated Online

Percent of digital consumers purchasing the

category in any channel

E-commerce Value Penetration (E-commerce market size as % of total retail value)

China is world’s largest e-commerce market, with growth in fresh and packaged food still to comeSource: McKinsey iConsumer China 2017, Euromonitor, t

eam analysis

China’s e-commerce market equals total of top 6 f

rom the rest of the world

2017 Online penetration rate by category in China

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 57


No other multinational dairy company in C

hina has the same mix of businesses


Gives us a unique strategic advantage –

integrated supply chains are important

to Chinese consumers and offer value to potential digital partners


Multiple milk pools – downstream value f

rom China Farms

We have a right to win with our unique i

ntegrated business model

Partnerships

Foodservice

Ingredients

Consumer

Brands

Milk Pools and

M

anufacturing

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 58

China opportunityFonterra well positioned in every segment1. Based on April-2017 external data and analysis.2

. Includes Beingmate sales of ~180m LME.

3. Indicative share of sourcing.Source: Euromonitor; Fonterra analysis

Deliver on Foodservice potentialSelectively invest in milk poolsGrow our active living businessDevelop

leading positions

in paed & maternal nutritionOptimise NZ milk

1

Alignour business and organisationBuild and growbeyond our current consumer positions

324567

FY17

Fonterra Milk Source (%)³

8b

3.7b

31b

1.3b

3b

0.2b¹

30-35b

2

0.34b

5

.5b

LME b

I

ngredients

Consumer & FoodserviceAdvanced NutritionDomestic Milk Pool

2013

8b

3.5b

28b

0.4b

2b

0.02b0

.06b

4b

77

50

90

80

10

50

10

10

7

10

6

100

NZ

AU

EU

China

Total Fonterra China

b LME

Fonterra

b LME

China market²

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 59

Consumer brands in Greater China•

Three strong brands:

A

nchor

,

Anlene

and

Anmum


Anchor is our leading import brand by market share


2017 Double 11 sales up more than 67% y.o.y., surpas

sing

RMB 100 million across all platforms


Wide geographic reach via a strong team and distribu

tion channels


Strategic e-commerce partnerships

Volume growth led by Anchor penetration, e-commerce and portfolio expansion

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 60

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 61

Foodservice in Greater China•

#1 in the market through the Anchor Food Professiona

ls brand


Key product categories:

b

utter, UHT cream

,

mozzarella

and

cream cheese


Key focus channels: bakery, beverage and casual dini

ng


Strong distribution, with a forward focus on tier 2,

3 and 4 cities


Route-to-market transformation sparking further volu

me growth,

value and direct customer ownership


Fonterra Application Centres in Shanghai, Beijing, G

uangzhou

and Chengdu

World-class dairy application

experts and advanced technology

Experienced and

innovative chef teams

Professional service teams

Over

50%

of

pizzas in China are topped with our cheese

Over

50%

of

leading bakery chains choose our products

Accelerated volume growth through Route-to-market transformation

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 62

Focus on speed

and agility to

defend and grow

market leadership

Why Acceleration1. Multinational Corporation

China is a “winner-take-all” market

, requiring players to

rapidly scale with sustainable margins

1

Chinese consumers are

increasingly brand loyal, prefer to

trade up, and adapt to “new” quickly

2

As a result, “

cards can re-shuffle quickly”

in the market

3

The emerging

era of “New Retail”

is characterised by

omni-channel, instant fulfillment, and focus on fresh food

4

5

We are the

only MNC

1

uniquely positioned to create a full

e

nd-to-end value chain

across consumer and foodservice

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 63

Omni-channel journeysMulti-scenario triggeredSocial embeddedMore than standard SKUsPersonalisationthrough data

The journey to New Retail

“New Retail”

“Platform pure play”

Brand.com

Stage I (Before 2010) Disruptive C2C

Stage II (2010-2015) Incubating B2C

GMVRMB Tn

5~40

<5

>40

B2C %

10-50%

<10%

>50%

Stage III (2015-) Crowded B2C

Market characteristics

Small medium businesses e

nter C2C platforms featuring

cheap liquidation •

Product distribution redefined


Accessibility and price as c

onsumer priorities


Product and service quality l

ess important

B2C platforms taking off with most brands joining•

Product authenticity and d

elivery/service quality as

hygiene factors


Brand loyalty on the rise


Vertical e-tailers emerged

B

2C platforms highly

competitive, with most brands homogenised•

In-platform traffic competition a

round earned/paid ads


Social/content marketing e

merging


Data and analytics piloting b

ut value yet realised

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 64

Key ProductsKey ChannelsSustainable Growth


Invest for long-term growth without gross m

argin compromise


Leverage local and offshore milk supply


Build scale through hero products:–

Anchor import UHT portfolio (milk, skim, p

owder, ambient yoghurt)


Cross-border maternal


Culinary @ home


Fresh milk


Deliver integrated consumer experiences via:–

New retail and omnichannel


E-commerce partnerships

Consumer: build scale with sustainable m

argin in key products and channels

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 65

Route-to-MarketDairy ConversionProduct Portfolio

Foodservice: deepen reach to defend and strengthen market leadership


Leverage local and offshore milk supply


Local demand-driven products,

e.g. AEC

l

ighter tasting cream


Geographic expansion,

with focus on

i

mproving coverage of third and fourth

tier cities


Expand category leadership

from current

b

akery focus to beverage and casual dining


Optimise sales model with differentiated p

ropositions for targeted customer segments


Enhance distributor management playbook

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 66

FoodserviceGrant WatsonDirector Global Foodservice

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 67

Anchor Food Professionals is the high performance foodservice business of Fonterra

In 2021, global foodservice is predicted to be worth US$3 trillion

Restaurants

Bakeries

Cinemas and Theaters

Airports

Cafes

Hotels

>50%

of food $ are spent

out-of-home

$1

in every $6 is dairy-

intensive globally

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 68

Global Foodservice channel-led strategyNote: Aspiration refers to 2025.

Fit for

purpose

products

World-

l

eading

technology

platforms

U

nique

New

Z

ealand

taste and

p

rovenance

Chef

n

etwork

and

a

pplication

kitchens

Full dairy

range and

brand

h

eritage

NZ

$

5bn
Revenue

17%

Fonterra’s global milk

p

ool

Bakery

Butter

Culinary

Creams

Cream

Cheese

Mozzarella

Whipping

Creams

Beverage

Cream

6. RIGHT TO WINWe will drive a step-change in accelerated growth a

nd sustainable competitive advantage

3. CHANNEL FOCUSWe focus on three specific types of food s

ervice businesses

7. ENABLERSWe are investing in new capability to enable the C

hannel-led System

4. CATEGORY FOCUSOur innovation focuses on six hero productsm

ade for our customers’ most important

applications

1. ASPIRATIONWe have clear growtha

spirations

5. MARKET FOCUSWe focus on 20 markets led by China, Indonesia, Australia andG

lobal Accounts with expansion into USA and Brazil

2. RIGHT TO PLAYWe are uniquely positioned to deliver ono

ur growth aspirations

ASIAN

BAKERY

ITALIAN

KITCHEN

BEVERAGE

HOUSE

QSR

Build

channel teams

Create responsive

manufacturing

platforms

Optimise pricing for

full potential growth

Drive improved

sales capability

Improve ex-NZ

supply chain

Optimise sales

channels within

Fonterra

Leverage Anchor

FP brand

Extend hero product

leadership

Optimise

operating model

Accelerate markets

Turbo-charge categories

Strategic framework

5bn

L

ME
1 million MT

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 69

FY17 Channel SummaryActual Volume (MT)1. Beverage House and Other comprises restaurants, ai

rlines, hotels and catering institutions.

Asian

Bakery

38%

Italian

Kitchen

12%

Western QSR

20%

Beverage House &

Other¹

30%

ASIAN BAKERY VOLUME IS UP DUE TO UHT WHIPPING CREAM AND BULK BUTTER SALES

ITALIAN KITCHEN VOLUME IS UP MOSTLY AS A RESULT OF BLOCK MOZZARELLA SALES

BEVERAGE HOUSE IS A NEW CHANNEL FOCUSED ON DAIRY IN CHINA’S TEA HOUSES

WESTERN QSR GROWTH IS DUE TO IQF MOZZARELLA SALES

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 70

NON HERO PRODUCTS ACCOUNT F

OR A FURTHER 101K MTs.

UHT CREAM IS THE MOST PROFITABLE CATEGORY.

UHT CREAM SALESARE PREDOMINATELYWHIPPING CREAM.

FY17 Category SummaryActual Volume (MT)1. DBD = Dairy Beverage Desserts.N

ote: Other Products account for a further 101,000 MTs

0

80,000

DBD (QSR)

Bulk Butter

Mozzarella

Slice-on-slice

Cheese

Value-add

Butter

Cream Cheese UHT Cream

Volume (MT)

Gross Margin (%)

Lowest

Highest

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 71

1 .Develop

C

oncept/

Hypothesis

2.

Consumer/

In-Store

Validation

3. Quantify

Value

Proposition

4.

Packaging

/ POSM/

Promotion

5. Kitchen

SOP

Deliver double-digit diversified growth

Winning in China

1.

Develop Anchor Online

2.

Leverage China Farms (White Gold)

3.

Accelerate channel-led momentum

Diversified Growth

1.

Accelerate Americas

2.

Scale-up Brazil entry

3.

Double Soprole by 2021

ACCELERATING OUR MOMENTUM

ANCHOR FOOD PROFESSIONALS

Must win battles

1.

Revenue Growth Management (RGM): B

est-in-class RGM capabilities

2.

Low-cost operator: Best-in-class global a

nd local distribution operating models

3.

Digital: End-to-end sales d

igital ecosystem

4.

Supply: Supply to meet a

ccelerated demand

5.

Innovation: Broaden hero p

roduct portfolio

2

1

3

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 72

ConsumerAndy DasguptaDirector Global Consumer Brands

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 73

63,660

58,030

45,970

37,860

11,220

3,790

1,730

Switzerland

United States

Australia

New Zealand

Indonesia

Bangledesh

Ethiopia

Affordable Nutrition will focus on those b

elow and just above the poverty line

1.

Purchasing power parity (PPP) reflects the cost of a basket

of goods across currencies.

2.

In US dollars.

Source: The World Bank website, “GNI per capita, PPP” 2016Annual income per capita ($PPP)¹

Gross national incom

e per capita ($PPP)²

1,601 – 46,499

~

1,600

Poverty line

> 46,500

Bottom of the pyramid

Middle C

lass

Affluent

4

1

2&3

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 74

Ethiopia

Brazil

Indonesia

China

$ million¹

Current Sales1% of BOP Food Spend²

1% of Affordable Nutrition spend is greater than cu

rrent Fonterra sales in many markets

1. Assuming 1NZD=0.7USD.2

. Assuming average food spend per capita per day of $1.7 PPP USD in Balance of Payments (BOP).

Source: MGI Cityscope; World resources instituteCurrent sales vs. 1% of BOP food spend²

9x

1.6x

12x

54x

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 75

What is Affordable Nutrition?

Key Pillars

Ensure attractiveness of aspirational proposition and meet consumer’s nutrition needs that allow us to compete vs other players in daily purchase basketFit into their daily purchase basket - $2.5-$4 per dayEnsure magic Price point – US$0.03-0.05Right pack size and formatDrive continuous cost reduction

Appeal

Ensure distribution that caters to small drop sizes at higher frequency in small locations. Ensure scale of business

AccessibilityAffordability

Create a

scale & profitable business

through making

t

rusted dairy-based nutrition accessible & affordable

everyday to a nutritionally deficient BOP population

Definition

50% of BOP population

has ~70% of total

spending power of

US$1.3tr

Poverty line

(~US$2.5 per day PPP)

$2.5-$4/day

$3,000

~

$1,600

TOPBOP

Annual income per household

Build visibility of brand proposition through relevant touch points – e.g. outdoor, digital (mobile), street play

Awareness

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 76

Immerse

Co-creation

Ethnography

and culture

study in market

Macro and micro

ecosystems –

34 stakeholder

interviews

Assess multiple

options –

Products and

RTM

1

Workshop to

develop

concepts based

on immersion

learning

Business case

development

addressing the

4 As

Aug-Sep 2017

Home visit and

observation –

84 families (2-6

hour per family)

Oct 2017

Assess multiple

options

Sep-Oct 2017

Business

model

Nov 2017

1

st

Gate/ Business model in December to move

to development

Journey to date1. Route-to-market

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 77

From Appeal to Affordability, Accessibility and Awareness

Child is the

centre of their

world

Milk is not

necessarily

perceived as

daily necessity

A great

faith in

tomorrow

Milk nutrition

appreciated

but forced to

trade off

Many commonalties exist

Brands are much

bigger in

Bangladesh;

Ethiopia more

unbranded

Less variety

in Ethiopia

Indulgence big

in Bangladesh

Some differences

Nutrition

(Functional)

Indulge/

Refinement

SATIETY

Hierarchy of

E

ating

Hierarchy of

Nutrition

Physical

Development

Mental

Development

Immunity

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 78

Global Consumer and Foodservice SummaryLukas ParaviciniCOO Global Consumer and Foodservice

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 79

WHATAccelerate, Diversify F

oodservice

Culinary @ HomeHealthy LivingAffordable Nutrition

Achieving our ambition

HOWFive Must Win Battles1. Innovation2

. Revenue Growth

Management

3. Perfect Store4. Cost Leadership5. Digital

ENABLERSPEOPLE

P

ARTNERSHIPS

INNOVATIVE CO-OP

1

2

3

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 80

Q&A and Close

© Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd.
Page 81

Fonterra – key investment attributes

Co-operative with secure global access to quality milkScale and world-class ingredients businessFocussed high-value consumer and foodservice businessesA strategy that’s delivering diversified and increased returnsFinancial strength and disciplineUnique Co-operative structure supports strong credit profile, including effective subordination Highly experienced board and management teamStrong industry fundamentals

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Other issuers discussed similar conditions around this time

Matched by meaning across NZX announcement text, not keywords — based on our semantic index of announcement bodies.