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Meridian Energy monthly operating report for December 2017

Operational Update19 January 2018MELUtilities

Release
Stock exchange listings: NZX (MEL) ASX (MEZ)

Meridian Energy Limited (ARBN 151 800 396) A company incorporated in New Zealand 33 Customhouse Quay, PO Box 10840, Wellington 6143

www.meridian.co.nz


PG 1


Meridian Energy monthly operating report for December 2017

19 January 2018

Attached is Meridian Energy Limited's monthly operating report for the month of December 2017.

Highlights this month include:

§ In the month to 17 January 2018, national hydro storage decreased from 90% to 79% of historical

average

§ South Island storage sat at 72% of average and North Island storage at 122% of average on 17 January

§ Meridian’s December 2017 monthly total inflows were 70% of historical average

§ Meridian’s Waitaki catchment storage at the end of December 2017 was 81% of historical average

§ Storage in Meridian’s Waiau catchment was also well below average at the end of December 2017

§ Waiau catchment inflows were 68% of average in December 2017

§ Meridian has made calls on load under the Genesis Swaption during both December 2017 and January

2018

§ National electricity demand in December 2017 was 2.4% higher than the same month last year

§ December 2017 was a very warm and dry month with temperatures well above average and rainfall well

below average across most of New Zealand

§ Meridian’s retail sales volumes in December 2017 increased by 20.5% compared to December 2016


ENDS

Neal Barclay

Chief Executive

Meridian Energy Limited


For investor relations queries, please contact:

Owen Hackston

Investor Relations Manager

021 246 4772

For media queries, please contact:

Polly Atkins

External Communications Specialist

021 174 1715

MERIDIAN
ENERGY

LIMITED

MONTHLY

OPERATING

REPORT

DECEMBER

2017.

19 January 2018

Meridian Energy Limited Monthly Operating Report for December 2017
2

December highlights.

In the month to 17

January 2018, national

hydro storage

decreased from 90% to

79% of historical

average

South Island storage sat

at 72% of average and

North Island storage at

122% of average on 17

January

Meridian’s December

2017 monthly total

inflows were 70% of

historical average

National electricity

demand in December

2017 was 2.4% higher

than the same month last

year

December 2017 was a

very warm and dry month

with temperatures well

above average and

rainfall well below

average across most of

New Zealand

Meridian’s retail sales

volumes in December

2017 increased by 20.5%

compared to December

2016

Meridian’s Waitaki

catchment storage at

the end of December

2017 was 81% of

historical average

Storage in Meridian’s

Waiau catchment was

also well below average

at the end of December

2017

Waiau catchment

inflows were 68% of

average in December

2017

Meridian has made calls

on load under the

Genesis Swaption during

both December 2017 and

January 2018

19 January 2018

2,600
2,800

3,000

3,200

3,400

3,600

3,800

4,000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

GWh

NATIONAL DEMAND

Range (2009-2016) 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

• National electricity demand in December

2017 was 2.4% higher than the same month

last year

• December 2017 was a very warm and dry

month with temperatures well above

average and rainfall well below average

across most of New Zealand

• Demand in the last 12 months was 1.1%

higher than the preceding 12 months

• New Zealand Aluminium Smelter's average

load during December 2017 was at the

572MW base quantity of the NZAS

agreement

• 12-month average switching rate of

customers changing retailers but not

moving (“trader” switch) was 7.8% at the

end of November 2017

• 12-month average switching rate of

customers moving and changing retailers

(“move in” switch) was 13.1% at the end of

November 2017

Market data.

Meridian Energy Limited Monthly Operating Report for December 2017

3

Source: Electricity Authority

Source: Electricity Authority

19 January 2018

5%

7%

9%

11%

13%

15%

Nov 12 May 13 Nov 13 May 14 Nov 14 May 15 Nov 15 May 16 Nov 16 May 17 Nov 17

12 month average

MARKET ICP SWITCHING (ALL RETAILERS)

Industry Move-In Switch Industry Trader Switch

4
• December 2017 saw a further rise in near-

term ASX prices

• National storage decreased from 90% of

the 83 year average on 12 December 2017

to 79% of average on 17 January 2018

• South Island storage decreased to 72% of

historical average on 17 January 2018.

North Island storage increased to 122% of

average

Market data.

Source: NZX

Source: ASX

Source: ASX

Meridian Energy Limited Monthly Operating Report for December 2017

19 January 2018

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

Q4

2017

Q1

2018

Q2

2018

Q3

2018

Q4

2018

Q1

2019

Q2

2019

Q3

2019

Q4

2019

Q1

2020

Q2

2020

Q3

2020

Q4

2020

Q1

2021

Q2

2021

Q3

2021

Q4

2021

$/MWh

OTAHUHU ASX FUTURES SETTLEMENT PRICE

30 June 2017 31 August 2017 29 September 2017

31 October 2017 30 November 2017 29 December 2017

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

Q4

2017

Q1

2018

Q2

2018

Q3

2018

Q4

2018

Q1

2019

Q2

2019

Q3

2019

Q4

2019

Q1

2020

Q2

2020

Q3

2020

Q4

2020

Q1

2021

Q2

2021

Q3

2021

Q4

2021

$/MWh

BENMORE ASX FUTURES SETTLEMENT PRICE

30 June 2017 31 August 2017 29 September 2017

31 October 2017 30 November 2017 29 December 2017

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

GWh

NATIONAL HYDRO STORAGE (17 January 2018)

84yr Average 1992 2004 2008 2012 2015 2016 2017 2018

0
500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

1-Jan 1-Feb 1-Mar 1-Apr 1-May 1-Jun 1-Jul 1-Aug 1-Sep 1-Oct 1-Nov 1-Dec

GWh

MERIDIAN'S WAITAKI STORAGE

Average 1979- 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

• December 2017 monthly inflows were 70%

of historical average

• To date this financial year, inflows are 93%

of historical average

• Meridian’s Waitaki catchment storage

moved from 1,287GWh to 1,334GWh during

December 2017

• Waitaki storage at the end of December

2017 was 81% of historical average and

30% lower than the same time last year

• Storage in Meridian’s Waiau catchment

was also well below average at the end of

December 2017

• Waiau catchment inflows were 68% of

average in December 2017

• Meridian has made calls on load under the

Genesis Swaption during both December

2017 and January 2018

Operating information.

5

Source: Meridian

Source: Meridian

Meridian Energy Limited Monthly Operating Report for December 2017

19 January 2018

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

GWh

Financial

year

MERIDIAN'S COMBINED CATCHMENT INFLOWS

December YTD 84 year average

6
Source: Meridian

Source: Meridian

• Meridian’s New Zealand generation in

December 2017 was 14.4% lower than

the same month last year, reflecting

lower hydro generation and higher wind

generation

• To date this financial year, Meridian’s

New Zealand generation is 15.5% lower

than the same period last year,

reflecting lower hydro generation and

lower wind generation

• The average price Meridian received for

its generation in December 2017 was

257.2% higher than the same month last

year

• The average price Meridian paid to

supply contracted sales in December

2017 was 228.8% higher than the same

month last year

• To date this financial year, the average

price Meridian received for its

generation is 109.9% higher than the

same period last year

Operating information.

*price received for Meridian’s physical generation

Meridian Energy Limited Monthly Operating Report for December 2017

19 January 2018

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun

GWh

MERIDIAN'S NEW ZEALAND GENERATION

FY18 Hydro FY18 Wind FY17 Hydro FY17 Wind

157

83

55

53

96

128

48

49

48

44

40

36

41

42

49

43

70

122

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun

$/MWh

MERIDIAN'S AVERAGE GENERATION PRICE*

FY18 FY17

• Meridian’s New Zealand customer
connection numbers rose 0.4% during

December 2017 and have risen 2.7%

since June 2017

• Retail sales volumes in December 2017

increased by 20.5% compared to

December 2016

• Compared to December 2016,

residential/SMB sales volumes increased

by 19.3% (higher irrigation based agri

volumes) and corporate sales volumes

increased by 23.2%

• To date this financial year, retail sales

volumes are 12.3% higher than the same

period last year

• This reflects a 7.4% increase in

residential/SMB sales volumes and a

22.3% increase in corporate sales

volumes

7

Operating information.

Source: Meridian

Source: Meridian

*excludes volumes sold to New Zealand aluminium Smelters and CFDs

Meridian Energy Limited Monthly Operating Report for December 2017

19 January 2018

115

116

117

117

117

117

104

104

103

103

103

103

60

60

60

60

61

62

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun

ICPs ('000)

MERIDIAN'S NEW ZEALAND CUSTOMER CONNECTIONS

Powershop Meridian North Island Meridian South Island Total FY17

330

340

312

295

351

399

188

189

179

180

188

190

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun

GWh

MERIDIAN'S RETAIL SALES VOLUMES*

FY18 Corporate FY18 Residential/SMB

FY17 Corporate FY17 Residential/SMB

8
Source: Meridian

Source: Meridian

• Meridian’s Australian generation in

December 2017 was 2.2% lower than

the same month last year

• To date this financial year, Australian

generation is 1.1% lower than the same

period last year

• Australian retail sales volumes in

December 2017 increased by 11.4%

compared to December 2016

• To date this financial year, Australian

retail sales volumes are 19.8% higher

than the same period last year

Source: Meridian

Source: Meridian

Operating information.

Meridian Energy Limited Monthly Operating Report for December 2017

19 January 2018

69

60

67

42

32

35

71

56

40

63

43

36

38

37

38

30

37

22

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun

GWh

MERIDIAN'S AUSTRALIAN GENERATION

FY18 FY17

59

58

50

43

39

40

47

46

41

38

34

35

38

34

42

39

45

55

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun

GWh

AUSTRALIAN RETAIL SALES VOLUMES

FY18 FY17

Meridian Energy Limited Annual Results 2017
9

DECEMBER

2017

MONTH

DECEMBER

2016

MONTH

NOVEMBER

2017

MONTH

OCTOBER

2017

MONTH

6 MONTHS TO

DECEMBER

2017

6 MONTHS TO

DECEMBER

2016

New Zealand contracted sales

1

Retail contracted sales volume (GWH)

589

489

539 475

3,141 2,797

Average retail contracted sales price ($/MWH)

$93.3

$99.6

$96.0 $98.7

$104.5 $108.9

NZAS sales volume (GWH)

426

426

412 426

2,525 2,525

Sell side derivative volumes

2

(GWH)


125

87

194 142

767 576

Wholesale contracted sales average price

3

($/MWH)

$58.5

$50.0

$57.6 $54.9

$58.1 $50.2

Total New Zealand customer connections

4

282,396 275,714 281,314 280,211

New Zealand generation


Hydro generation volumes (GWH)

867

1,036

1,000 985

5,289 6,296

Wind generation volumes (GWH)

118

116

82 106

648 733

Total generation volumes (GWH)

985

1,152

1,082 1,091

5,937 7,029

Average generation price

5

($/MWH)

$128.4

35.9

$95.5 $53.1

$93.2 $44.4

Acquired generation volume

6

(GWH)

200

56

178 164

1,188 453

Cost of acquired generation ($/MWH)

$69.9

$65.6

$64.9 $60.6

$68.7 $57.9

Acquired generation revenue average price ($/MWH)

$114.2

$43.9

$99.7 $54.4

$96.6 $50.5

Future contract close outs ($M)

-$0.4

$0.1

$0.1 -$0.3

-$2.5 -$0.2

Contracted sales supply volumes (GWH)

1,163

1,022

1,174 1,054

6,587 6,034

Cost to supply contracted sales ($/MWH)

$126.8

$38.6

$100.1 $54.4

$97.9 $47.6

Australia


Wind generation volumes (GWH)

35 36 32 42 305 309

Retail contracted sales volume (GWH)

40 35 39 43 289 241

Powershop customer connections

7

101,460 90,638

not disclosed not disclosed

See following page for footnotes

Operating information.

10
Footnotes

1. Contracted sales volumes and volume weighted average price received from contracted

customers less distribution costs

2. Derivatives sold excluding the sell-side of virtual asset swaps

3. Average price of both NZAS sales volume and sell side derivative volumes

4. Meridian Retail and Powershop New Zealand installation control points (ICPs),

excluding vacants

5. Volume weighted average price received for Meridian’s physical generation

6. Over the counter and ASX contracts excluding the buy-side of virtual asset swaps

7. Financially responsible market participants

Operating information.

Meridian Energy Limited Monthly Operating Report for December 2017

19 January 2018

11
FY18 operating

information.

Meridian Energy Limited Monthly Operating Report for December 2017

19 January 2018

JulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJun

201720172017201720172017201820182018201820182018

New Zealand Contracted Sales

Retail contracted sales volume (GWh)519529491475539589

Average retail contracted sales price ($/MWh)$113.9$115.5$109.0$98.7$96.0$93.3

NZAS sales volume (GWh)426426411426412426

Sell side derivative volumes (GWh)95100111142194125

Wholesale contracted sales average price ($/MWh)$60.9$59.0$58.1$54.9$57.6$58.5

Total New Zealand customer connections278,595279,967280,209280,211281,314282,396

New Zealand Generation

Hydro generation volume (GWh)7398318679851,000867

Wind generation volume (GWh)10811811610682118

Total generation volume (GWh)8479499831,0911,082985

Average generation price ($/MWh)$156.5$83.4$55.0$53.1$95.5$128.4

Acquired generation volume (GWh)282206158164178200

Cost of acquired generation ($/MWh)$77.4$70.1$62.5$60.6$64.9$69.9

Acquired generation revenue average price ($/MWh)$138.8$84.1$55.6$54.4$99.7$114.2

Future contract close outs ($m)$0.7$0.6($0.7)($0.3)($0.1)$0.4

Contracted sales supply volume (GWh)1,0671,0771,0531,0541,1741,163

Cost to supply contracted sales ($/MWh)$155.0$88.2$59.2$54.4$100.1$126.8

Australia

Wind generation volume (GWh)696067423235

Retail contracted sales volume (GWh)595850433940

Powershop Australia customer connectionsnot disclosednot disclosed101,096not disclosednot disclosed101,460

12
FY17 operating

information.

JulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJun

201620162016201620162016201720172017201720172017

New Zealand Contracted Sales

Retail contracted sales volume (GWh)45448745645845548951250 250 2445492477

Average retail contracted sales price ($/MWh)$122.9$119.7$112.2$10 0 .1$98.7$99.6$96.9$98.6$10 1.5$10 8.4$115.7$10 9.5

NZAS sales volume (GWh)426426411426412426426384426412426412

Sell side derivative volumes (GWh)648712 810 21108713 718 214 424014 916 8

Wholesale contracted sales average price ($/MWh)$49.7$50 .8$50 .3$50 .2$50 .4$50 .0$55.5$53.5$56.0$56.8$56.7$59.5

Total New Zealand customer connections275,344275,861275,840275,339275,785275,714275,598276,429277,0 96278,518276,147276,767

New Zealand Generation

Hydro generation volume (GWh)1, 1191, 16 61, 0 6 99809261, 0 3 69911, 0 8 3992912882818

Wind generation volume (GWh)14 39111412 514 411613 884110939687

Total generation volume (GWh)1, 26 21, 2571, 18 31, 10 51, 0 701, 1521, 1291, 16 71, 10 21, 0 0 5978905

Average generation price ($/MWh)$48.1$48.5$48.3$44.4$40 .0$35.9$41.4$42.3$48.9$43.3$69.5$122.5

Acquired generation volume (GWh)10 21127249645617 213 615 817 5210259

Cost of acquired generation ($/MWh)$46.2$58.2$52.1$70 .0$66.8$65.6$59.6$61.0$61.0$58.4$59.8$75.8

Acquired generation revenue average price ($/MWh)$48.3$57.8$51.5$49.1$47.2$43.9$45.4$45.7$51.1$45.2$64.6$112.4

Future contract close outs ($m)($0.2)($0.1)($0.1)$0 .0$0 .0$0 .1$0 .1$0 .1($0.1)$0 .1($1.1)($1.6)

Contracted sales supply volume (GWh)9501, 0 2 11, 0 0 31, 0 3 21, 0 0 71, 0 2 21, 0 9 11, 0 8 81, 10 61, 12 41, 0 9 71, 0 7 0

Cost to supply contracted sales ($/MWh)$54.4$52.7$51.1$47.0$42.3$38.6$44.6$45.7$52.2$45.4$71.1$125.8

Australia

Wind generation volume (GWh)715640634336383738303722

Retail contracted sales volume (GWh)474641383435383442394555

Powershop Australia customer connectionsnot disclosednot disclosed83,908not disclosednot disclosed90,638not disclosednot disclosed95,963not disclosednot disclosed10 0 , 5 2 4

Meridian Energy Limited Monthly Operating Report for December 2017

19 January 2018

13
FY16 operating

information.

JulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJun

201520152015201520152015201620162016201620162016

New Zealand Contracted Sales

Retail contracted sales volume (GWh)50 951049551356357448948050 9410476443

Average retail contracted sales price ($/MWh)$120 .9$119.3$111.5$96.1$94.9$88.2$96.1$10 0 .0$99.9$10 7.7$118.0$122.6

NZAS sales volume (GWh)426426411426412426426398426412426412

Sell side derivative volumes (GWh)14 015 811311410 24994908111217 751

Wholesale contracted sales average price ($/MWh)$50 .7$51.4$51.6$50 .2$51.7$50 .4$53.5$52.6$50 .6$48.8$45.1$51.0

Total New Zealand customer connections276,366275,479275,875275,0 48274,146274,10 1274,433275,0 0 6275,869275,771274,947274,920

New Zealand Generation

Hydro generation volume (GWh)1, 0 6 01, 0 2 19541, 0 0 61, 0 3 31, 0 139801, 0 151, 0 7 61, 0 161, 0 6 31, 0 14

Wind generation volume (GWh)12 312 412 415 713 510 811410 310 110 214 412 1

Total generation volume (GWh)1, 18 31, 14 51, 0 781, 16 31, 16 81, 1211, 0 9 41, 1181, 1771, 1181, 20 71, 135

Average generation price ($/MWh)$49.7$52.2$58.0$54.5$62.1$66.3$67.9$61.8$50 .7$59.2$51.7$50 .6

Acquired generation volume (GWh)14 4979513 39410 57144691118780

Cost of acquired generation ($/MWh)$82.2$84.7$83.6$62.0$70 .5$70 .8$74.5$75.2$75.1$78.7$75.1$78.9

Acquired generation revenue average price ($/MWh)$50 .4$52.4$56.6$56.6$66.6$72.3$72.2$74.6$62.9$66.3$57.6$58.1

Future contract close outs ($m)($0.1)($0.9)($0.1)($0.1)($0.2)($0.2)($0.1)($0.8)($1.0)($1.1)($2.0)($0.3)

Contracted sales supply volume (GWh)1, 0 9 31, 12 01, 0 5 01, 0 9 01, 0 9 61, 0 8 61, 0 0 99911, 0 3 69301, 114940

Cost to supply contracted sales ($/MWh)$52.6$55.5$60 .4$57.9$69.0$70 .7$72.3$66.6$54.4$64.3$54.5$54.5

Australia

Wind generation volume (GWh)604743383338362929397153

Retail contracted sales volume (GWh)313227242227262529283341

Powershop Australia customer connectionsnot disclosednot disclosed55,993not disclosednot disclosed63,763not disclosednot disclosed71,111not disclosednot disclosed77,970

Meridian Energy Limited Monthly Operating Report for December 2017

19 January 2018

14
Glossary.

Acquired generation volumes buy-side electricity derivatives excluding the buy-side of virtual asset swaps

Average generation price the volume weighted average price received for Meridian’s physical generation

Average retail contracted sales price volume weighted average electricity price received from retail customers, less distribution costs

Average wholesale contracted sales price volume weighted average electricity price received from wholesale customers, including NZAS

Combined catchment inflows combined water inflows into Meridian’s Waitaki and Waiau hydro storage lakes

Cost of acquired generation volume weighted average price Meridian pays for derivatives acquired to supplement generation

Cost to supply contracted sales volume weighted average price Meridian pays to supply contracted customer sales

Contracts for Difference (CFDs) an agreement between parties to pay the difference between the wholesale electricity price and an agreed fixed price for a

specified volume of electricity. CFDs do not result in the physical supply of electricity

Customer connections (NZ) number of installation control points, excluding vacants

FRMP financially responsible market participant

GWh gigawatt hour. Enough electricity for 125 average New Zealand households for one year

Historic average inflows the historic average combined water inflows into Meridian’s Waitaki and Waiau hydro storage lakes over the last 83 years

Historic average storage the historic average level of storage in Meridian’s Waitaki catchment since 1979

HVDC high voltage direct current link between the North and South Islands of New Zealand

ICP New Zealand installation control points, excluding vacants

ICP switching the number of installation control points changing retailer supplier in New Zealand, recorded in the month the switch was

initiated

MWh megawatt hour. Enough electricity for one average New Zealand household for 46 days

National demand Electricity Authority’s reconciled grid demand www.emi.ea.govt.nz

NZAS New Zealand Aluminium Smelters Limited

Retail sales volumes contract sales volumes to retail customers, including both non half hourly and half hourly metered customers

Sell side derivatives sell-side electricity derivatives excluding the sell-side of virtual asset swaps

Virtual Asset Swaps (VAS) CFDs Meridian has with Genesis Energy and Mercury. They do not result in the physical supply of electricity

Meridian Energy Limited Monthly Operating Report for December 2017

19 January 2018

Thank you.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.