Mercury NZ Limited/Announcement
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Quarterly Operational Update

Quarterly Update23 January 2018MCYUtilities

QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE
Three months ended 31 December 2017

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE01

1,848 GWh GENERATED

INCLUDING 1,172 GWh FROM HYDRO

HIGHEST Q2 WHOLESALE PRICE SINCE

FY2006

FULL YEAR HYDRO GENERATION

FORECAST UP 150GWh

>> QUARTERLY HIGHLIGHTS

RECORD Q2

GENERATION

WHOLESALE

PRICES

RISING

4,550 GWh

>> COMMENTARY

ELEVATED WHOLESALE PRICES; RECORD GENERATION; HYDRO GENERATION FORECAST UP

Wholesale prices for the quarter ending 31 December 2017, of $93/MWh at Otahuhu and $90/MWh at Benmore, almost reached the

record highs set in FY2006. These prices were up significantly on the prior comparable period by $45/MWh and $50/MWh

respectively.

South Island inflows were 68% of average (or almost 1,800 GWh below average) contributing to wholesale prices increasing from

$59/MWh at Otahuhu and $53/MWh at Benmore in October to be $121/MWh and $122/MWh respectively in December. Low inflows

into the South Island hydro catchments resulted in total South Island hydro storage falling from 120% of average at the start of the

quarter to end at 77%

1

(or almost 600 GWh below average).

In contrast to the South Island, hydro inflows into the Waikato Hydro Catchment were near normal contributing to the second

consecutive quarter of record output from our renewable generation fleet of 1,848 GWh. Mercury utilised storage within Lake Taupo to

generate 1,172 GWh from the Waikato Hydro Scheme, optimising generation with risingwholesale prices. Lake Taupo storage fell from

130% of average to 85% at the end of the quarter

1

(or 70 GWh below average). Geothermal generation was down 39 GWh to 676

GWh as scheduled maintenance outages were completed at the Nga Awa Purua and Mokai power stations.

The quarter illustrated the value to Mercury of the low level of correlation between wholesale prices and inflows into the Waikato Hydro

Catchment. Mercury was able to benefit from the coincidence of high hydro generation and high wholesale prices (unlike what is

typical for South Island hydro operators).

With higher than average inflows into the Waikato Hydro Catchment since 31 December 2017, Mercury has updated its FY2018 mid-

point hydro generation forecast to 4,550GWh (up 150GWh on the forecast provided with the previous Quarterly Operational Update).

CONTINUED BELOW MARKET CHURN; MODERATE END-USER PRICE GROWTH

Mercury's rate of customer churn was again below market average as the company continues to focus on rewarding, inspiring and

making it easy for our customers. For the quarter, Mercury's annualised churn for all brands of 19.4% was 1.2% below the market

average of 20.6%. Trader churn for all Mercury brands for the quarter increased to market levels.

The company's churn advantage over the twelve months to 31 December 2017 contributed in customer numbers increasing by 6,000

to 393,000 as fewer customers switched from Mercury. The company experienced customer growth in both the North (+4,000) and

South Islands (+2,000) and for dual fuel customers (+4,000).

The average energy price to customers was up (to $108.20/MWh) compared to the same period last year ($106.11/MWh). This

increase partially reflects loyalty offerings redeemed in the prior period associated with the Mercury brand launch.

UNDERLYING DEMAND GROWTH

After adjusting for temperature, national demand was up 3.7% compared to the same quarter last year (or up 3.0% on an unadjusted

basis). This increase in demand was impacted by a normalisation of irrigation and dairy load due to wet conditions in the prior period

(1.8%). Positive signs of underlying demand growth were again observed with continued growth in the urban (0.8%) and rural (0.7%)

sectors.

1

Average since 1999

VWAP
1

VolumeVWAP

1

VolumeVWAP

1

VolumeVWAP

1

Volume

(GWh)(GWh)(GWh)(GWh)

1,0581,0882,3352,395

5415541,3041,302

5175341,0311,093

1,1181,1502,4682,529

227231471454

1,3451,3812,9392,983

393387

350346

4341

4743

Volume

(GWh)

Volume

(GWh)

Volume

(GWh)

Volume

(GWh)

394395718904

8909051,9111,801

325346642673

2

4965101,193897

Volume

(GWh)

Volume

(GWh)

Volume

(GWh)

Volume

(GWh)

1,1721,1122,6942,367

3

6276571,3171,290

4

495896113

1,8481,8274,1073,770

1.061.031.071.04

8690188186

408399

1

VWAP is volume weighed average energy only price sold to FPVV customers after lines, metering and fees

2

3

Includes Mercury’s 65% share of Nga Awa Purua generation

4

Tuaropaki Power Company (Mokai) equity share

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE

02

92.5055.14

86.4348.71

VWAP

($/MWh)

VWAP

($/MWh)

97.1454.83

Six months ended

31 December 2017

Six months ended

31 December 2016

($/MWh)($/MWh)

113.58112.3

OPERATING INFORMATION

Three months ended

31 December 2017

Three months ended

31 December 2016

($/MWh)($/MWh)

ELECTRICITY SALES

FPVV sales to customers

FPVV sales to residential customers

106.11108.2

FPVV sales to business customers

Total NZEM Purchases48.3894.93

FPVV purchases from market

Spot customer purchases

Sell CfD

ELECTRICITY CUSTOMERS

('000)

91.3449.28

CONTRACTS FOR DIFFERENCE

ELECTRICITY GENERATION

Geothermal (consolidated)

Geothermal (equity accounted)

Hydro

North Island Customers

VWAP

($/MWh)

VWAP

($/MWh)

87.0942.94

South Island Customers

Buy CfD

Net Sell CfD

Dual Fuel Customers

End User CfD

Includes Virtual Asset Swap volumes in both Buy and Sell CfD volumes of 176 GWh for the 3 months ended 31 December 2017 and 176 GWh for the 3

months ended 31 December 2016 and of 352 GWh for the 6 months ended 31 December 2017 and 352 GWh for the 6 months ended 31 December

2016

89.3044.97

89.8446.87

METRIX AMI METERS ('000)

Total

LWAP/GWAP

CARBON EMISSIONS

('000 TONNES CO2)

90.8949.77

90.5252.78

>> OPERATING STATISTICS

> ELECTRICITY GENERATION BY COMPANY FOR THE THREE MONTHS ENDED 31 DECEMBER
Source: Electricity Authority

> SHARE OF ELECTRICITY SALES (GWh) FOR THE THREE MONTHS ENDED 31 DECEMBER (EXCLUDING CFDs)

Source: Mercury Purchases and Transpower SCADA

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE

03

19%

31%

20%

18%

5%

7%

Financial Year Q2 2018

MERCURY

MERIDIAN ENERGY

CONTACT ENERGY

GENESIS ENERGY

TRUSTPOWER / TILT

OTHER

>> MARKET DATA

19%

34%

21%

14%

5%

7%

Financial Year Q2 2017

14%

86%

Financial Year Q2 2018

MERCURY

OTHER

15%

85%

Financial Year Q2 2017

> OTAHUHU WHOLESALE PRICE AND NATIONAL HYDRO STORAGE LEVELS
> TAUPO STORAGE

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE04

$50

$55

$60

$65

$70

$75

$80

$85

$90

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

JulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJun

$/MWh

GWh

AVERAGE NATIONAL STORAGEFY2017 NATIONAL STORAGE

FY2018 NATIONAL STORAGEROLLING 12 MONTH AVERAGE OTA PRICE

ROLLING 12 MONTH AVERAGE BEN PRICE

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

JulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJun

GWh

AVERAGE SINCE 1999FY2017FY2018

> OTAHUHU ASX FUTURES SETTLEMENT PRICE
> BENMORE ASX FUTURES SETTLEMENT PRICE

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE05

$74.26

$77.99

$77.35

$86.35

$80.00

$79.86

$70.83

$74.70

$76.60

$96.29

$80.50

$79.81

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

FY18FY19FY20

$/MWh

Financial Year

AS AT 31 DECEMBER 2016AS AT 30 JUNE 2017AS AT 30 SEPTEMBER 2017AS AT 31 DECEMBER 2017

$68.10

$70.31

$70.06

$86.41

$74.71

$73.24

$67.06

$71.26

$71.38

$96.04

$77.59

$73.65

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

FY18FY19FY20

$/MWh

Financial Year

AS AT 31 DECEMBER 2016AS AT 30 JUNE 2017AS AT 30 SEPTEMBER 2017AS AT 31 DECEMBER 2017

> NATIONAL CONSUMPTION (NON-TEMPERATURE ADJUSTED)
Source: Transpower Information Exchange

> AUCKLAND CLIMATE SUMMARY (⁰C)

FINANCIAL YEAR

Q1Q2Q3Q4

201812.317.2--

201712.116.119.314.3

201611.416.020.615.3

201511.915.919.914.3

201412.316.718.814.8

Historical Average (since 1999)11.916.119.414.1

Source: Met Service

> MONTHLY TOTAL CONSUMER RETAIL SWITCHING (ICPs)

Source: Electricity Authority

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE06

8,363

8,299

8,550

8,609

8,257

8,541

1,231

1,269

1,252

1,265

1,264

1,263

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

Q2 2013Q2 2014Q2 2015Q2 2016Q2 2017Q2 2018

GWh

NATIONAL CONSUMPTIONTIWAI POINT ALUMINIUM SMELTER CONSUMPTION

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000

40000

45000

50000

Jul-08

Jan-09

Jul-09

Jan-10

Jul-10Jan-11

Jul-11

Jan-12

Jul-12

Jan-13

Jul-13

Jan-14

Jul-14

Jan-15

Jul-15

Jan-16

Jul-16

Jan-17

Jul-17

% Churn

Monthly ICPs

NZ MARKET CHURN (LHS)ANNUAL NZ MARKET CHURN % (RHS)

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

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