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Research Report for Snakk Media Limited

Other4 February 2018WCOIndustrials

5 February 2018

NXT Company Spotlight

Improved cash performance

Snakk Media has issued its Q3 KOMs, which are broadly consistent with

its full-year targets, with an outperformance of the compensation to

revenue ratio and a higher staff turnover than indicated. This figure,

though, is highly volatile due to the small numbers involved. The company

is still undergoing a review of its capital strategy and the share price is

unlikely to recover until the outcome of this is published.

Self-service underpinning revenue growth

The gross margin KOM at 56% slightly undershot its target, but this reflects the

higher inventory cost over the peak advertising season before Christmas. The ytd

number is only a shade under the annual target of 58%, well ahead of the industry

average (Edison: 35%) and underpinned by its mobile data-driven targeting

technology, based on the UberMedia platform. There were some timing issues

benefiting the compensation revenue ratio and the staff turnover figure was inflated

by a staff member leaving and later rejoining. The self-service offer, launched in

October 2016, is growing well in Australia and New Zealand. This offers a

programmatic geomobile platform for customers who prefer to manage their own

advertising campaigns on UberMedia via Snakk. The growth of this in the mix will

depress the group’s gross margin, but should drive up the operating margin.

Operating cash outflow greatly reduced

At the end of September 2017, Snakk had a net cash position of NZ$0.5m, down

from NZ$0.6m at the year-end and from $1.6m at end-H117. The operating cash

outflow in the first half was greatly reduced at NZ$0.2m (from NZ$1.4m in H117),

with a higher level of receipts from customers (+11%) and a cost base reduced by

9%. The subscription by the Manji Family Trust raised NZ$108k post year-end, in

H118. The outcome of the appraisal of capital strategy options, announced with the

full-year results, is still to be published.

Valuation: Awaiting clarification

Snakk’s share price has continued to drift down over the last quarter from 10c to

the current level, having initially been strongly marked down post the review of

KOMs at the beginning of April 2017. We suggest that the catalyst for a significant

change will be the clarification of the group’s capital strategy, still under review.

Given the scale of the group, comparisons to global peers are of limited use but, for

context, these currently trade at median multiples of 1.1x EV/sales and 8.6x

EV/EBITDA.

Snakk Media

Media

Price NZ$0.06

Market cap NZ$1.0m

Net cash (NZ$m) at 30 September 2017 0.5


Share price performance



Share details

Code SNK

Listing NXT

Shares in issue 16.3m


Business description

Mobile advertising technology company Snakk Media

offers a full suite of mobile creative, content and

technology services, empowering the world's leading

brands and agencies to accurately reach and engage

with consumers on their mobile devices.


Bull

 Broadening range of products and services.

 UberMedia technology partnership.

 Strengthened cash performance.

Bear

 Capital strategy under review.

 Heavy price competition.

 Comparatively small scale.

Analysts

Fiona Orford-Williams +44 (0)20 3077 5739

Bridie Barrett +44 (0)20 3077 5757


media@edisongroup.com





Historical financials

Year

end

Revenue

(NZ$m)

Gross profit

(NZ$m)

PBT

(NZ$m)

EPS

(c)

EV/gross

profit (x)

EV/sales

(x)

03/14 7.1 2.9 (1.9) (12.0) 0.16 0.07

03/15 9.2 3.9 (4.0) (25.6) 0.12 0.05

03/16 10.5 6.6 (0.9) (6.6) 0.07 0.04

03/17 10.6 6.3 (3.2) (20.6) 0.07 0.04

Source: Company accounts

Snakk Media coverage is provided through

the NXT Research Scheme




Snakk Media | 5 February 2018 2

FY18 to date remains on track to meet KOMs

Snakk has now published its performance against target key operating milestones (KOMs) for

Q318. The table below shows these in context.

Exhibit 1: Performance against KOMs

Q118

(%)

Q218

(%)

Q318

(%)

Ytd 2018

(%)

FY18 target

(%)

Q318 ytd

target variance (%)

Gross margin 57 59 56 57 58 -1

Compensation ratio 44 37 29 36 42 +13

Staff turnover 12 11 34 51 33 -54

Click-through rate 0.97 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.97 1

Source: Snakk Media

The gross margin is notably higher than that achieved across much of the ad tech sector (see

Exhibit 3 below), which is primarily a function of its mobile focus and sophisticated data-led

approach, steering clear of the most commoditised areas of the market. The target level was

revised down earlier in the year with the push for growth on programmatic self-service on the

UberMedia (the group’s technology partner) platform – business that achieves lower gross margins

but higher operating margins.

The positive fall in the compensation to advertising revenue KOM reflects the continued impact of

the restructuring and the timing of natural attrition and new hires, all against growing revenues.

Staff turnover in the mobile advertising sector – and much of the tech space – is inherently high.

The commentary indicates that the full year figure will be over 50% (ahead of the official 33%

target), but this is not an inherent concern. Given the relatively small number of full-time staff, one

or two more or fewer make a mathematically meaningful impact on the ratio. One member of staff

left in Q3 but returned in Q4, inflating the recorded number.

The click-through rate remains well ahead of the industry average (quoted at 0.62%), which reflects

its sophisticated targeting and geolocation capabilities.

The KOMs and targets will be revisited at the year-end, as is standard procedure.

Interim results showed progress

Exhibit 2: Half-year revenues by geography


H117 H217 FY17 H118 Growth

Australia 3,551,681 4,432,631 7,984,312 4,423,328 25%

NZ 618,821 817,803 1,436,624 732,519 18%

Singapore 535,593 669,386 1,204,979 174,830 -67%

Total revenue 4,706,095 5,919,820 10,625,915 5,330,677 13%

Source: Company accounts

The half-year numbers showed encouraging revenue progress in the core markets of Australia and

New Zealand, while revenues in Singapore fell as the group concentrated its efforts on growing the

self-service revenues. These have grown well, accounting for NZ$937k of H118 revenues (18% of

the group total), from a standing start in October 2016. Managed service revenues were broadly flat

in the home markets of Australia and New Zealand, but fell away in Singapore.

The pre-tax loss for H118 was NZ$0.6m (against H117 at NZ$1.9m), reflecting the substantial

reduction in overheads by c NZ$1.2m (24.5%) from Q118, the full benefits of which started to be

realized from June 2017. As stated above, the operating cash outflow was greatly reduced and the

balance sheet stabilised by the cash subscription by the Manji Family Trust.




Snakk Media | 5 February 2018 3

Peer comparison

Snakk’s share price dropped sharply following the KOM updates in early April, falling from NZ$0.27

to NZ$0.09 initially. Since then, it has continued to drift. Using the half-year cash balance of

NZ$0.5m, the group has a low (but positive) E V, but which does not give particularly useful metrics

for a peer comparison based on multiples. Quoted companies in the space are currently trading at

the multiples shown below.

Exhibit 3: Listed peer comparison


Quoted

Currency

Price

Market

cap (m)

EV (m)

EV/Sales

last (x)

Gross margin

last (%)

EV/EBITDA

last (x)

P/E

last (x)

Taptica GBP 6.3 302 396 3.1 36.5 15.9 24.4

Criteo US$ 25.0 1,650 1,319 0.7 35.8 7.4 20.0

SITO Mobile US$ 6.0 133 130 4.4 54.8 N/A N/A

Matomy Media GBP 0.7 67 96 0.5 20.6 8.6 N/A

Fyber € 0.8 88 213 1.2 27.3 N/A N/A

RhythmOne GBP 3.4 123 135 0.9 33.9 N/A N/A

Median 1.1 34.9 8.6 22.2

Snakk Media NZ$ 0.1 1 0.5 0.1 59.7 N/A N/A

Source: Bloomberg. Note: Prices as at 31 January 2018. Sales and net debt are last reported.











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United Kingdom

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