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KFL – February 2018 monthly update

Operational Update22 February 2018KFLFinancials

1
Monthly Update

February 2018

KFL NAV

$

1.47

SHARE PRICE

$

1.34

DISCOUNT

9.1

%

as at 31 January 2018

A word from the Manager

Welcome to our first monthly update for 2018

The summer break saw markets continue to shine in January albeit the start of February saw some less rosy stock market

performances globally. The US market had its best start to the year since 1987 with the S&P 500 up 5.6%; the MSCI World Index

was up 3.7%; and emerging markets were the standout, up 6.7%. The New Zealand S&P/NZX50, while more subdued than its

international peers, did still put in a positive performance, up 0.5%. Equities enthusiasm has commentators hinting at a melt up

– performance of an asset class driven partly by a stampede of investors who don’t want to miss out on the rise.

Going back to fundamentals, while the outlook does continue to remain positive there are some slight nuances creeping in.

Investors are getting increasingly concerned about the inflationary impact of the strong and accelerating economic growth

rates we are seeing globally. In January we saw local interest rates rise over the month by around 20 basis points, which while a

large move, was not as the large as the rises we saw in US and European bond yields for the month.

The New Zealand dollar moved sharply upwards during the month which has the effect of somewhat blunting the revenue

generated offshore by Kingfish portfolio companies. Furthermore, the strengthening dollar and rising interest rates flowed into

a fairly sharp tightening of financial conditions in New Zealand, which was in contrast to the financial conditions in the United

States. We suspect this may have been one of the reasons why the New Zealand equities market was a bit slower than the

majority of global equity markets over January.

Portfolio Developments

It was a busy month for Kingfish portfolio companies, with a number of

portfolio companies announcing big ticket news items.

On 24 January, Michael Hill announced the exit of its US operations (closure of

9 stores) and the strategic repositioning of its Emma & Roe brand in Australia

(30 stores). This announcement is positive as it narrows management’s focus to

the Emma & Roe brand, which has attractive potential in the growing ‘demi-

fine’ fashion jewellery category, but has lacked strong execution so far. While

it is a little disappointing to leave the potentially lucrative US market (for

now), the company had a sub-scale presence and never turned a profit since

entering the market in 2008, so the exit sensibly prevents further losses. Emma

& Roe will enter a test and trial phase where the company will revamp and

refine the offering, under a smaller network of stores. We are confident these

are sound decisions by management, although the success of Emma & Roe

will depend on execution of the concept moving forwards.

Auckland International Airport announced the sale of its 25% stake in North

Queensland Airports for A$370m. The potential for a sale had been well

signalled, and the cash proceeds are welcomed given the company’s capital

expenditure requirements over the next 5 years.

Infratil, which specialises in owning energy, transport, data and social

infrastructure businesses announced it has a potential blip on the horizon

from one of its assets, Trustpower. Since 1993, Trustpower has benefitted

Xero

Late last year Kingfish portfolio

company, Xero, announced its

intention to transition to a sole

listing on the ASX. In the recent

Kingfish interim report, it was

indicated that the Company

was working through the

implications of what the Xero

transition would mean for the

Kingfish portfolio. The Company

has decided that given

Kingfish’s mandate to invest in

New Zealand quality, growth

companies and Xero’s decision

to move to a sole listing on

the ASX, it is appropriate that

Kingfish exits its Xero position in

a timely manner.

2
Sector Split

as at 31 January 2018

Key Details

as at 31 January 2018

FUND TYPE

Listed Investment Company

INVESTS IN

Growing New Zealand companies

LISTING DATE

31 March 2004

FINANCIAL YEAR END

31 March

TYPICAL PORTFOLIO SIZE

15-25 stocks

INVESTMENT CRITERIA

Long term growth

PERFORMANCE

OBJECTIVE

Long term growth of capital and

dividends

TAX STATUS

Portfolio Investment Entity (PIE)

MANAGER

Fisher Funds Management

Limited

MANAGEMENT

FEE RATE

1.25% of gross asset value

(reduced by 0.10% for every 1% of

underperformance relative to the

change in the NZ 90 Day Bank Bill

Index with a floor of 0.75%)

PERFORMANCE

FEE HURDLE

Changes in the NZ 90 Day Bank

Bill Index + 7%

PERFORMANCE FEE

15% of returns in excess of

benchmark and high water mark

HIGH WATER MARK

$1.27

SHARES ON ISSUE

190m

MARKET CAPITALISATION

254m

GEARING

None (maximum permitted 20%

of gross asset value)

3

%

ENERGY

30

%

HEALTHCARE

14

%


UTILITIES

2

%

CONSUMER

STAPLES

30

%

INDUSTRIALS

4

%

INFORMATION

TECHNOLOGY

10

%

CONSUMER

DISCRETIONARY

The Kingfish portfolio also holds cash.

from one of its shareholders - the Tauranga Energy Consumer

Trust (TECT) – arrangement to distribute dividends from the

shareholder for the benefit of consumers. TECT has proposed

to stop making payments to Trustpower’s Tauranga consumers

after 2022, in return for an upfront payment to consumers of

$2,500 and five subsequent annual payments of around $360

each. This proposal requires 50% consumer approval, so it is

not certain to go ahead. However, if the proposal is approved,

it suggests a possible 10% hit to Trustpower’s operating

earnings overtime, which will by inference impact Infratil (given

Trustpower represents approximately 28% of Infratil’s value).

The recent share price reaction in both Trustpower and Infratil

largely bakes in this outcome despite the decision remaining

conditional on consumer approval.

Recently, Vista Group announced that its founder and

longtime CEO Murray Holdaway will transition into the role of

Chief Product Officer in April 2018, with Kimbal Riley stepping

into the CEO role. Kimbal is currently the head of Vista

Entertainment Solutions, Vista’s largest operating division,

and a logical candidate to replace Murray. We think it is a

positive that Murray remains involved with the company in an

executive role and the transition has been well managed with

an experienced internal candidate assuming the CEO role.

Portfolio Changes

In January, we added The a2 Milk Company, to the Kingfish

portfolio. While we have been following a2 for some time,

we are now more comfortable about the company’s outlook

given its strengthening brand in China and the quality of

management. We have seen a2 make significant progress

on diversifying its distribution channels in China, growing

a direct business through internet channels and rolling out

product to thousands of mother and baby stores. Both of

these strategies have achieved real cut through and the a2

of today looks to have a more balanced distribution network

and its brand is increasingly recognised by consumers

based on independent survey data. We consider a2 is

a quality, growth company worthy of a small spot in the

Kingfish portfolio.

Sam Dickie

Senior Portfolio

Manager, Kingfish

5 Largest Portfolio Positions as at 31 January 2018
3

1 Month3 Months1 Year3 Years

(annualised)

5 Years

(annualised)

Corporate Performance

Total Shareholder Return+0.0%+5.3%+8.4%+7.7%+12.6%

Adjusted NAV Return+0.6%+6.4%+17.8%+12.3%+13.3%

Manager Performance

Gross Performance+0.8%+7.3%+21.4%+15.2%+16.4%

S&P/NZX50G Index+0.5%+3.6%+19.7%+13.7%+14.7%

Non-GAAP Financial Information

Kingfish uses non-GAAP measures, including adjusted net asset value, gross performance return and total shareholder return. The rationale for using such non-GAAP measures is as follows:

»adjusted net asset value – the underlying value of the investment portfolio adjusted for capital allocation decisions,

»gross performance return – the Manager’s portfolio performance in terms of stock selection, and

»total shareholder return – the return to an investor who reinvests their dividends, and if in the money, exercises their warrants at warrant maturity date for additional shares.

All references to adjusted net asset value, gross performance return and total shareholder return in this monthly update are to such non-GAAP measures. The calculations applied to non-GAAP measures are

described in the Kingfish Global Non-GAAP Financial Information Policy. A copy of the policy is available at http://kingfish.co.nz/about-kingfish/kingfish-policies/

Performance to 31 January 2018

Mar

2004

Mar

2005

Mar

2006

Mar

2007

Mar

2008

Mar

2009

Mar

2010

Mar

2011

Mar

2012

Mar

2014

Mar

2015

Mar

2013

Mar

2016

Share Price/Total Shareholder Return

$

2.50

$

3.00

$

2.0 0

$

1.50

$

1.00

Share PriceTotal Shareholder Return

$

4.00

$

0.50

$

0.00

Mar

2017

$

3.50

Total Shareholder Return to 31 January 2018

January’s Biggest Movers

Typically the Kingfish portfolio will be invested 90% or more in equities.

XERO

+8

%

SUMMERSET GROUP

+5

%

FREIGHTWAYS

+4

%

FISHER & PAYKEL

HEALTHCARE

-7

%

TRADEME

-7

%

The remaining portfolio is made up of another 14 stocks and cash.

MAINFREIGHT

13

%

FISHER & PAYKEL

HEALTHCARE

11

%

INFRATIL

9

%

FREIGHTWAYS

8

%

RYMAN

HEALTHCARE

7

%

Disclaimer: The information in this update has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is
by necessity brief. The information and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Kingfish Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy

or completeness. The update is not intended to constitute professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from an

authorised financial adviser should be taken before making an investment. To the extent that the update contains data relating to the historical performance of Kingfish Limited or its portfolio companies,

please note that fund performance can and will vary and that future results may have no correlation with results historically achieved.

Kingfish Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740

Phone: +64 9 489 7094 | Fax: +64 9 489 7139

Email: enquire@kingfish.co.nz | www.kingfish.co.nz

4

Computershare Investor Services Limited

Private Bag 92119, Auckland 1142

Phone: +64 9 488 8777 | Fax: +64 9 488 8787

Email: enquiry@computershare.co.nz | www.computershare.com/nz

About Kingfish

Kingfish is an investment company

listed on the New Zealand Stock

Exchange. The company gives

shareholders an opportunity to

invest in a diversified portfolio

of between 15 and 25 quality

growing New Zealand companies

through a single, professionally

managed investment. The aim

of Kingfish is to offer investors

competitive returns through

capital growth and dividends.

Capital Management Strategies

Regular Dividends

»Quarterly distribution policy introduced in

June 2009

»Under this policy, 2% of average NAV is targeted

to be paid to shareholders quarterly

»Dividends paid by Kingfish may include dividends

received, interest income, investment gains

and/or return of capital

»Shareholders who prefer to have increased

capital rather than a regular income stream have

the opportunity to participate in the company’s

dividend reinvestment plan (DRP)

»Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3%

discount to market price

»Kingfish became a portfolio investment entity on

1 October 2007. As a result, dividends paid to

New Zealand tax resident shareholders have not

been subject to further tax

Share Buyback Programme

»Kingfish has a buyback programme in place allowing

it (if it elects to do so) to acquire up to 9.4m of its

shares on market in the year to 31 October 2018

»Shares bought back by the company are held as

treasury stock

» Shares held as treasury stock are available to be

re-issued for the dividend reinvestment plan and to

pay performance fees

Warrants

»Warrants put Kingfish in a better position to

grow further, improve liquidity, operate efficiently

and pursue other capital structure initiatives as

appropriate

»A warrant is the right, not the obligation, to purchase

an ordinary share in Kingfish at a fixed price on a

fixed date

»There are currently no warrants on issue

Management

Kingfish’s portfolio is managed

by Fisher Funds Management

Limited. Sam Dickie (Senior

Portfolio Manager), Zoie Regan

(Senior Investment Analyst) and

Matt Peek (Investment Analyst)

have prime responsibility for

managing the Kingfish portfolio.

Together they have over 40 years

combined experience and are

very capable of researching and

investing in the quality New

Zealand companies that Kingfish

targets. Fisher Funds is based in

Takapuna, Auckland.

Board

The Manager has authority

delegated to it from the

Board to invest according to

the Management Agreement

and other written policies.

The Board of Kingfish

comprises independent

directors Alistair Ryan (Chair),

Carol Campbell and Andy

Coupe; and non-independent

director Carmel Fisher.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.