Marlin Global Limited logo

MLN – February 2018 monthly update

Operational Update22 February 2018MLNFinancials

1
Monthly Update

February 2018

MLN NAV

$

1.00

SHARE PRICE

$

0.85

DISCOUNT

14.9

%

as at 31 January 2018

A word from the Manager

Welcome to our first monthly update for 2018

The summer break saw global markets continue to shine. The

US market had its best start to the year since 1987 with the S&P

500 up 5.6%; the MSCI World Index was up 3.7%; and emerging

markets were the standout, up 6.7%.

Similarly, the Marlin portfolio had a good start to 2018,

returning 6.2% (gross) during January, compared with its global

benchmark

1

which was up 2.0%.

While there wasn’t a great deal of surprising economic news,

investor confidence continued to pick-up during January as

market participants focused on the strong global economic

environment and potential benefits for consumers and

corporates from Donald Trump’s tax cuts. Wide spread

conviction that supportive economic conditions can continue

in the medium term has caused a number of otherwise bearish

investors and commentators to predict that this bull market is

entering a ‘melt-up’ stage – which could last for 6-18 months

before we see a correction.

While so much consensus around this optimistic outlook should

be enough to make any prudent investor concerned, it is hard

to deny that underlying economic and corporate fundamentals

are strong. As I write, a US data service reported that US private

companies hired 234,000 more staff in January alone, holding the

US employment rate at just 4.1%. During the month it was also

reported that economic growth in the European Union reached

2.5% in 2017, the fastest pace since 2007 and materially faster

than 2016.

Portfolio Company Developments

The most significant news for the portfolio in January was

the takeover offer for US based digital gift card distributor

Blackhawk Networks, which has been a portfolio holding since

2014. US private equity firm Silver Lake announced a takeover

offer at $45.25 per share on 12 January, a 27% jump from where

Blackhawk traded at 31 December. Blackhawk is a business in

which we see considerable long term growth prospects, and

while we are sad to see Blackhawk leave the portfolio, we believe

the premium paid is fair and can understand why management

would want to grow the business out of the public spotlight.

LKQ is the leader in the highly fragmented aftermarket auto-

part industry, with significant scale advantages to its next

closest competitors in both the US and Europe. The company

has grown quickly since its 1998 inception, both organically

and via a successful acquisition strategy. In December, LKQ

announced the acquisition of German competitor Stahlgruber.

Stahlgruber provides LKQ with a solid foothold in the large

German automotive market, adds significant scale to their

European operations, and has the potential to deliver material

synergies. We believe this is a logical acquisition for LKQ and

we continue to be impressed by managements’ disciplined

execution of its growth strategy.

Recent Results

Reporting season is now in full swing in the US, and so far it has

been a good one for the market and our portfolio.

Abbott Laboratories, a diversified healthcare company,

reported fourth quarter results that continued its recent run

of outperforming expectations. The company saw strong and

accelerating growth across all business segments, driving 7%

sales growth in the quarter (near the top-end of larger medical

device peers). Of note was the continued acceleration in

the recently acquired St Jude business, which has seen sales

growth increase from 2% to 10% in the twelve months since

the acquisition. This has addressed the concerns of some

critics who thought that Abbott had acquired a low growth

company. One of the reasons we invested in Abbott was due to

managements’ long track record of successful capital allocation

and acquisitions, and so far the St Jude acquisition appears to

be another success. Management expects this strong growth

to continue into 2018 driven by product launches in all business

segments, highlighting the breadth and depth of Abbott’s

product portfolio and innovation.

Hexcel, a manufacturer of carbon fibre composites for the

aerospace sector, reported fourth quarter results that showed

an acceleration across most business lines. Commercial

aerospace reached an inflection point as Hexcel ramps

up production on new narrow-body planes for Airbus and

Boeing, offsetting recent production declines in more legacy

1

S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap Index (50% hedged to NZD)

Sector Split
as at 31 January 2018

Key Details

as at 31 January 2018

FUND TYPE

Listed Investment Company

INVESTS IN

Growing international companies

LISTING DATE

1 November 2007

FINANCIAL YEAR END

30 June

TYPICAL PORTFOLIO SIZE

25-35 stocks

INVESTMENT CRITERIA

Long-term growth

PERFORMANCE

OBJECTIVE

Long-term growth of capital and

dividends

TAX STATUS

Portfolio Investment Entity (PIE)

MANAGER

Fisher Funds Management

Limited

MANAGEMENT

FEE RATE

1.25% of gross asset value

(reduced by 0.10% for every 1% of

underperformance relative to the

change in the NZ 90 Day Bank Bill

Index with a floor of 0.75%)

PERFORMANCE

FEE HURDLE

Changes in the NZ 90 Day Bank

Bill Index + 5%

PERFORMANCE FEE

15% of returns in excess of

benchmark and high water mark

HIGH WATER MARK

$0.85

SHARES ON ISSUE

119m

MARKET CAPITALISATION

$101m

GEARING

None (maximum permitted 20%

of gross asset value)

2

27

%


TECHNOLOGY

9

%

INDUSTRIALS

25

%


CONSUMER

27

%


HEALTHCARE

Geographical Split

as at 31 January 2018

22

%

WEST EUROPE

72

%

NORTH AMERICA

The Marlin portfolio also holds cash.

9

%

FINANCIALS

4

%


ASIA

2

%


ENERGY

Ashley Gardyne

Senior Portfolio Manager,

Marlin

wide-body programs. For 2018 management expects further

acceleration in commercial aerospace growth, and a recovery

in both the business jet and wind turbine segments after

weaker performance in 2017. Longer term, Hexcel continues to

invest in new technologies to keep driving further penetration

of advanced composite materials in existing applications like

aerospace and wind turbines but also newer areas such as

automotive.

Portfolio Changes

Meet our charming new investment, Pandora!

While known mainly for its signature charm bracelets, Danish

company Pandora has transformed itself into one of the

leading jewellery brands globally, both in terms of brand

recognition and sales. New categories such as rings and

earrings now make up around 25% of Pandora’s sales and

Pandora hopes to increase this to 50% in the next 5 years as

the company looks to capture a greater share of the attractive

affordable luxury jewellery segment.

Pandora operates a fully integrated business model from

production, wholesale and distribution through to retail. Its

two manufacturing facilities in Thailand employ over 11,000

people and produced 120m pieces of jewellery in 2017 – a

scale unmatched by competitors. This allows Pandora to

provide hard to match quality jewellery at low cost, while still

maintaining industry leading margins. This vertical integration

also provides Pandora with the ability to bring products

to market quickly. With a modern consumer that craves

newness, this should allow for greater innovation and ability

to get the right products in front of customers.

Growth for Pandora is underpinned by continued store

expansion, its online strategy, and an increasing preference

by consumers for branded jewellery – where Pandora is a

market leader.

January ‘s Biggest Movers in local currency terms
Typically the Marlin portfolio will be invested 90% or more in equities.

BLACKHAWK NETWORK

+27

%

AMAZON

+24

%

ALIBABA

+18

%

PAYPAL

+16

%

SARINE

+14

%

5 Largest Portfolio Positions as at 31 January 2018

ALPHABET

7

%

PAYPAL

6

%

MASTERCARD

5

%

ESSILOR

5

%

EXPEDIA

4

%

The remaining portfolio is made up of another 21 stocks and cash.

Nov

2007

Nov

2008

Nov

2009

Nov

2010

Nov

2011

Nov

2012

Nov

2014

Nov

2013

Share Price/Total Shareholder Return

Share PriceTotal Shareholder Return

Nov

2015

$

1.00

$

1.20

$

0.8 0

$

0.60

$

0.40

$

1.80

$

0.20

$

0.00

$

1.40

Nov

2016

$

1.60

Nov

2017

Total Shareholder Return to 31 January 2018

3

Performance to 31 January 2018

^Benchmark index: World Small Cap Gross Index until 30 September 2015 & S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap Index (50% hedged to NZD) from 1 October 2015

Non-GAAP Financial Information

Marlin uses non-GAAP measures, including adjusted net asset value, gross performance return and total shareholder return. The rationale for using such non-GAAP measures is as follows:

»adjusted net asset value – the underlying value of the investment portfolio adjusted for capital allocation decisions,

»gross performance return – the Manager’s portfolio performance in terms of stock selection and hedging of currency movements, and

»total shareholder return – the return to an investor who reinvests their dividends, and if in the money, exercises their warrants at warrant maturity date for additional shares.

All references to adjusted net asset value, gross performance return and total shareholder return in this monthly update are to such non-GAAP measures. The calculations applied to non-GAAP measures are

described in the Marlin Non-GAAP Financial Information Policy. A copy of the policy is available at http://marlin.co.nz/about-marlin/marlin-policies/

1 Month3 Months1 Year3 Years

(annualised)

Since Inception

(annualised)

Corporate Performance

Total Shareholder Return+0.0% +6.1% +16.3% +10.3% +5.7%

Adjusted NAV Return+5.2% +4.4% +31.2% +10.8% +6.6%

Manager Performance

Gross Performance Return +6.5%+6.1%+38.2%+15.5%+10.5%

Benchmark Index^+2.0%+3.4%+24.4%+15.2%+8.0%

3

Disclaimer: The information in this update has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is by
necessity brief. The information and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Marlin Global Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy

or completeness. The update is not intended to constitute professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from an

authorised financial adviser should be taken before making an investment. To the extent that the update contains data relating to the historical performance of Marlin Global Limited or its portfolio

companies, please note that fund performance can and will vary and that future results may have no correlation with results historically achieved.

Marlin Global Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740

Phone: +64 9 484 0365 | Fax: +64 9 489 7139

Email: enquire@marlin.co.nz | www.marlin.co.nz

4

Computershare Investor Services Limited

Private Bag 92119, Auckland 1142

Phone: +64 9 488 8777 | Fax: +64 9 488 8787

Email: enquiry@computershare.co.nz | www.computershare.com/nz

About

Marlin Global

Marlin is an investment company

listed on the New Zealand Stock

Exchange. The company gives

shareholders an opportunity to

invest in a diversified portfolio of

between 25 and 35 quality growing

international companies (excluding

New Zealand and Australia)

through a single, professionally

managed investment. The aim

of Marlin is to offer investors

competitive returns through capital

growth and dividends.

Capital Management Strategies

Regular Dividends

»Quarterly distribution policy introduced in

August 2010

»Under this policy, 2% of average NAV is targeted

to be paid to shareholders quarterly

»Dividends paid by Marlin may include dividends

received, interest income, investment gains

and/or return of capital

»Shareholders who prefer to have increased

capital rather than a regular income stream have

the opportunity to participate in the company’s

dividend reinvestment plan (DRP)

»Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3%

discount to market price

»Marlin became a portfolio investment entity on

1 October 2007. As a result, dividends paid to

New Zealand tax resident shareholders have not

been subject to further tax

Share Buyback Programme

»Marlin has a buyback programme in place allowing

it (if it elects to do so) to acquire up to 5.9m of its

shares on market in the year to 31 October 2018

»Shares bought back by the company are held as

treasury stock

» Shares held as treasury stock are available to be

re-issued for the dividend reinvestment plan

Warrants

»Warrants put Marlin in a better position to grow

further, improve liquidity, operate efficiently

and pursue other capital structure initiatives as

appropriate

»A warrant is the right, not the obligation, to

purchase an ordinary share in Marlin at a fixed price

on a fixed date

»There are currently no warrants on issue


Management

Marlin’s portfolio is managed

by Fisher Funds Management

Limited. Ashley Gardyne (Senior

Portfolio Manager), Chris

Waters and Harry Smith (Senior

Investment Analysts) have prime

responsibility for managing

the Marlin portfolio. Together

they have significant combined

experience and are very capable

of researching and investing in

the quality global companies that

Marlin targets. Fisher Funds is

based in Takapuna, Auckland.


Board

The Manager has authority

delegated to it from the

Board to invest according to

the Management Agreement

and other written policies.

The Board of Marlin

comprises independent

directors Alistair Ryan (Chair),

Carol Campbell and Andy

Coupe; and non-independent

director Carmel Fisher.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.