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KFL – March 2018 monthly update

Operational Update13 March 2018KFLFinancials

Sam Dickie
Senior Portfolio Manager,

Kingfish

1

Monthly Update

March 2018

KFL NAV

$

1.46

SHARE PRICE

$

1.34

DISCOUNT

8.0

%

as at 28 February 2018

A word from the Manager

Recently, I’ve been writing about the 1963 dream - where

the market recorded 16 positive return months in a row

before finally peaking in 1965. The more modern version of

this dream died in February. After 13 positive return months,

the S&P NZX 50 gross index closed down 0.8% ending what

has been a phenomenal run for the New Zealand market.

In addition to being the first down month we have seen

for some time, there was also a spike in volatility in equity

markets around the world in early February. A good

example of this was in the United States where the S&P 500

share market index shed 4.1% in a single day – while we

expect volatility in markets, this is the first serious bout we

have seen for some time.

Inevitably, the New Zealand market got caught up in the

global equity sell-off. While we think that the sell-off was

most likely kick-started by fears about inflation and interest

rates rising too fast, we believe it was exacerbated by the

collapse in the ‘short volatility’ trade and the ensuing spike

in volatility as investors closed positions.

Put simply, technical factors caused forced selling which

turned into a global panic and drove the New Zealand

market down 5% intramonth. Such volatility, particularly

when driven by technical reasons, often throws up good

buying opportunities and we used this market correction

to add to high quality positions in the Kingfish portfolio at

discounted prices. By the end of the month, most of the

dust settled, global markets largely rebounded and the S&P

NZX 50 regained most of its lost ground.

There was plenty of positive news for the Kingfish portfolio

during the month, with a number of portfolio companies

reporting their results. Of the eleven portfolio companies

that reported results during the month, five were largely

in line with expectations, while five (a2 Milk, Auckland

Airport, Delegat, Port of Tauranga and Summerset)

reported results that were ahead of expectations – always

a positive outcome. As flagged ahead of its result, Michael

Hill’s performance was below expectations, primarily as a

result of its underperforming US and Emma & Roe divisions,

which are being addressed.

We added The a2 Milk Company to the portfolio ahead

of its interim 2018 result. The company reported an

outstanding result, comfortably beating already high

expectations with revenue +70% and EBITDA +123%

versus last year. The company’s strong result was driven

primarily through growth in its China infant formula

business where it has rapidly increased market share.

a2 Milk also unexpectedly announced an agreement

with Fonterra to accelerate growth into new markets and

products, such as nutritionals, butter, and cheese. We

increased the size of the position in a2 Milk on the back

of the result and announcement.

a2 Milk’s agreement with Fonterra should leverage

Fonterra’s logistics and distribution network to help the

company access markets in South East Asia and the

Middle East, as well as provide fresh a2 milk in New

Zealand. The agreement also creates new milk pools

and diversifies a2 Milk’s manufacturing base. Fonterra

has historically opposed a2’s progress so the validation

of its product proposition is also a strong endorsement

of the a2 milk category and it’s global growth potential.

During February, we exited our position in Z Energy.

The original thesis for the investment was predicated on

a strengthening of the business’s market position and

material synergies following its Caltex acquisition. These

investment storylines and catalysts have now largely

played out and we believe there are now better uses of

your capital elsewhere.

2
Sector Split

as at 28 February 2018

Key Details

as at 28 February 2018

FUND TYPE

Listed Investment Company

INVESTS IN

Growing New Zealand companies

LISTING DATE

31 March 2004

FINANCIAL YEAR END

31 March

TYPICAL PORTFOLIO SIZE

15-25 stocks

INVESTMENT CRITERIA

Long term growth

PERFORMANCE

OBJECTIVE

Long term growth of capital and

dividends

TAX STATUS

Portfolio Investment Entity (PIE)

MANAGER

Fisher Funds Management

Limited

MANAGEMENT

FEE RATE

1.25% of gross asset value

(reduced by 0.10% for every 1% of

underperformance relative to the

change in the NZ 90 Day Bank Bill

Index with a floor of 0.75%)

PERFORMANCE

FEE HURDLE

Changes in the NZ 90 Day Bank

Bill Index + 7%

PERFORMANCE FEE

15% of returns in excess of

benchmark and high water mark

HIGH WATER MARK

$1.27

SHARES ON ISSUE

189m

MARKET CAPITALISATION

254m

GEARING

None (maximum permitted 20%

of gross asset value)

Performance

to 28 February 2018

The Kingfish portfolio also holds cash.

7

%

29

%

INDUSTRIALS

12

%

CONSUMER

STAPLES

INFORMATION

TECHNOLOGY

31

%

HEALTHCARE

10

%


UTILITIES

11

%

CONSUMER

DISCRETIONARY

1 Month3 Months1 Year3 Years

(annualised)

5 Years

(annualised)

Corporate Performance

Total Shareholder Return+0.0%+3.0%+10.9%+8.7%+12.4%

Adjusted NAV Return(1.2%)+1.8%+14.7%+11.6%+12.9%

Manager Performance

Gross Performance Return(1.2%)+2.5%+17.9%+14.5%+15.9%

S&P/NZX50G Index(0.8%)+2.3%+16.8%+12.5%+14.2%

Non-GAAP Financial Information

Kingfish uses non-GAAP measures, including adjusted net asset value, gross performance return and total shareholder return. The rationale for using such non-GAAP measures is as follows:

»adjusted net asset value – the underlying value of the investment portfolio adjusted for capital allocation decisions,

»gross performance return – the Manager’s portfolio performance in terms of stock selection, and

»total shareholder return – the return to an investor who reinvests their dividends, and if in the money, exercises their warrants at warrant maturity date for additional shares.

All references to adjusted net asset value, gross performance return and total shareholder return in this monthly update are to such non-GAAP measures. The calculations applied to non-GAAP measures are

described in the Kingfish Global Non-GAAP Financial Information Policy. A copy of the policy is available at http://kingfish.co.nz/about-kingfish/kingfish-policies/

3
February’s Biggest Movers

Typically the Kingfish portfolio will be invested 90% or more in equities.

The remaining portfolio is made up of another 13 stocks and cash.

5 Largest Portfolio Positions

as at 28 February 2018

Total Shareholder Return

to 28 February 2018

Mar

2004

Mar

2005

Mar

2006

Mar

2007

Mar

2008

Mar

2009

Mar

2010

Mar

2011

Mar

2012

Mar

2014

Mar

2015

Mar

2013

Mar

2016

Share Price/Total Shareholder Return

$

2.50

$

3.00

$

2.0 0

$

1.50

$

1.00

Share PriceTotal Shareholder Return

$

4.00

$

0.50

$

0.00

Mar

2017

$

3.50

THE A2 MILK COMPANY

+44

%

SUMMERSET GROUP

+11

%

Z ENERGY

-9

%

XERO

-9

%

MICHAEL HILL

-13

%

FISHER & PAYKEL

HEALTHCARE

12

%

MAINFREIGHT

12

%

THE A2 MILK COMPANY

9

%

FREIGHTWAYS

8

%

INFRATIL

7

%

Disclaimer: The information in this update has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is
by necessity brief. The information and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Kingfish Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy

or completeness. The update is not intended to constitute professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from an

authorised financial adviser should be taken before making an investment. To the extent that the update contains data relating to the historical performance of Kingfish Limited or its portfolio companies,

please note that fund performance can and will vary and that future results may have no correlation with results historically achieved.

Kingfish Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740

Phone: +64 9 489 7094 | Fax: +64 9 489 7139

Email: enquire@kingfish.co.nz | www.kingfish.co.nz

4

Computershare Investor Services Limited

Private Bag 92119, Auckland 1142

Phone: +64 9 488 8777 | Fax: +64 9 488 8787

Email: enquiry@computershare.co.nz | www.computershare.com/nz

About Kingfish

Kingfish is an investment company

listed on the New Zealand Stock

Exchange. The company gives

shareholders an opportunity to

invest in a diversified portfolio

of between 15 and 25 quality

growing New Zealand companies

through a single, professionally

managed investment. The aim

of Kingfish is to offer investors

competitive returns through

capital growth and dividends.

Capital Management Strategies

Regular Dividends

»Quarterly distribution policy introduced in

June 2009

»Under this policy, 2% of average NAV is targeted

to be paid to shareholders quarterly

»Dividends paid by Kingfish may include dividends

received, interest income, investment gains

and/or return of capital

»Shareholders who prefer to have increased

capital rather than a regular income stream have

the opportunity to participate in the company’s

dividend reinvestment plan (DRP)

»Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3%

discount to market price

»Kingfish became a portfolio investment entity on

1 October 2007. As a result, dividends paid to

New Zealand tax resident shareholders have not

been subject to further tax

Share Buyback Programme

»Kingfish has a buyback programme in place allowing

it (if it elects to do so) to acquire up to 9.4m of its

shares on market in the year to 31 October 2018

»Shares bought back by the company are held as

treasury stock

» Shares held as treasury stock are available to be

re-issued for the dividend reinvestment plan and to

pay performance fees

Warrants

»Warrants put Kingfish in a better position to

grow further, improve liquidity, operate efficiently

and pursue other capital structure initiatives as

appropriate

»A warrant is the right, not the obligation, to purchase

an ordinary share in Kingfish at a fixed price on a

fixed date

»There are currently no warrants on issue

Management

Kingfish’s portfolio is managed

by Fisher Funds Management

Limited. Sam Dickie (Senior

Portfolio Manager), Zoie Regan

(Senior Investment Analyst) and

Matt Peek (Investment Analyst)

have prime responsibility for

managing the Kingfish portfolio.

Together they have over 40 years

combined experience and are

very capable of researching and

investing in the quality New

Zealand companies that Kingfish

targets. Fisher Funds is based in

Takapuna, Auckland.

Board

The Manager has authority

delegated to it from the

Board to invest according to

the Management Agreement

and other written policies.

The Board of Kingfish

comprises independent

directors Alistair Ryan (Chair),

Carol Campbell and Andy

Coupe; and non-independent

director Carmel Fisher.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.