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MLN – March 2018 monthly update

Operational Update13 March 2018MLNFinancials

1
Monthly Update

March 2018

MLN NAV

$

0.99

SHARE PRICE

$

0.86

DISCOUNT

13.0

%

as at 28 February 2018

1

S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap Index (50% hedged to NZD)

A word from the Manager

February started with a lot of excitement in equity markets.

It was a good reminder that low volatility does not persist

forever and is regularly punctuated with periods of stress.

After a strong 2017 for global markets, where the S&P 500

Index was up every single month, February saw the US

index fall 3.9%. This final result masks an even bumpier

ride, with the US market down by 10% at one point during

the month. Share market investing will always be two steps

forward and one step back. The recent volatility no doubt

spurred a lot of investors around the globe to think about

their portfolio and whether they are comfortable with their

positioning.

Marlin was down 1.2% (gross) in February, compared with

our global benchmark

1

which fell 2.6%. One benefit of

owning international equities from New Zealand is that in

periods of market stress the New Zealand Dollar can often

fall and cushion the impact to domestic investors. We saw

this in February and portfolio returns were supported by a

2.4% decline in the New Zealand Dollar during the month.

Recent Results

Reporting season was in full swing in February, with fourth-

quarter or full year results announced for the majority of

Marlin’s portfolio companies.

Hearing aid manufacturer William Demant was a standout

performer, returning 16%. The company reported stronger

than expected organic growth, with hearing aid sales

growing by 10% on the back of market share gains from its

new Oticon Opn range of hearing aids.

The second-best performer was recent addition and

jewellery brand, Pandora, which gained 13% during the

month. We added Pandora to the portfolio in January

and after its recent investor day the market now seems to

be warming to its refined growth strategy, which will see

the continued rollout of concept stores and the gradual

acquisition of existing stores from franchisees.

IT services provider, Cognizant, delivered revenue growth of

11% on the back of strong demand for consulting expertise

to help corporate clients execute on new digital initiatives.

Clients across a range of sectors are increasingly looking to

move IT infrastructure to the cloud, develop better customer

facing technology (eg. mobile banking apps), and automate

internal processes that have historically been labour intensive

(like payroll and accounts payable processing). In our opinion

this digital transformation has many years to run, which

should provide a good tailwind for Cognizant.

Expedia, the online travel agent, reported results that

were weaker than expected and growth guidance for 2018

that disappointed the market. It was the largest drag on

portfolio performance, with the stock down 18% in February.

While both room nights at its core properties and revenue

continued to grow strongly, earnings were depressed by

investments that Expedia’s new CEO is making in sales

staff to expand its hotel inventory in Europe and Asia. The

company is also spending money upfront to move its entire

IT infrastructure onto Amazon’s cloud platform, which should

significantly reduce ongoing server and IT related capex.

While we certainly don’t want to gloss over Expedia’s recent

poor performance, we believe these are important long-term

investments that should position the business better for

future growth. We met Expedia’s new CEO in San Francisco

to discuss these investments and we continue to monitor

progress closely.

United Parcel Service results reflected both the benefit of

strong ecommerce growth, and the difficulties UPS is having

meeting this demand profitably. Revenue grew 11% year-

on-year in the fourth-quarter on the back of a strengthening

US economy and a solid holiday season for ecommerce

deliveries. On the other hand, UPS’s profit before interest and

tax grew only 3% as it found managing peak holiday season

volumes challenging. The higher proportion of ecommerce

packages depressed margins, as delivering packages to

residential addresses is far less efficient than delivering to

businesses, with longer driving distances between stops and

2
Sector Split

as at 28 February 2018

Key Details

as at 28 February 2018

FUND TYPE

Listed Investment Company

INVESTS IN

Growing international companies

LISTING DATE

1 November 2007

FINANCIAL YEAR END

30 June

TYPICAL PORTFOLIO SIZE

25-35 stocks

INVESTMENT CRITERIA

Long-term growth

PERFORMANCE

OBJECTIVE

Long-term growth of capital and

dividends

TAX STATUS

Portfolio Investment Entity (PIE)

MANAGER

Fisher Funds Management

Limited

MANAGEMENT

FEE RATE

1.25% of gross asset value

(reduced by 0.10% for every 1% of

underperformance relative to the

change in the NZ 90 Day Bank Bill

Index with a floor of 0.75%)

PERFORMANCE

FEE HURDLE

Changes in the NZ 90 Day Bank

Bill Index + 5%

PERFORMANCE FEE

15% of returns in excess of

benchmark and high water mark

HIGH WATER MARK

$0.85

SHARES ON ISSUE

117m

MARKET CAPITALISATION

$101m

GEARING

None (maximum permitted 20%

of gross asset value)

28

%


HEALTHCARE

9

%

FINANCIALS

25

%


CONSUMER

26

%


TECHNOLOGY

Geographical Split

as at 28 February 2018

23

%

WEST EUROPE

72

%

NORTH AMERICA

The Marlin portfolio also holds cash.

9

%

INDUSTRIALS

4

%


ASIA

2

%


ENERGY

Ashley Gardyne

Senior Portfolio Manager,

Marlin

fewer packages per drop. UPS has announced a significant

investment programme (an extra $7bn over three years) to

add more aircraft, automate more of its sorting facilities and

introduce more Saturday delivery options. While this step up

in investments disappointed the market, they are aimed at

ultimately allowing UPS to handle more volume at peak times

and improve margins. UPS was down 17% for the month.

Portfolio Changes

During February, we added TJX Companies (TJX) to the

portfolio. TJX is an off-price retailer in the US, which also has

stores in Canada, Europe and Australia. The company sells

branded clothing, such as Nike and Ralph Lauren, as well as

some homeware at a 20%-60% discount to a full-price retailer

(think Briscoe’s, but predominantly for apparel). TJX can sell

inventory cheaper than other retailers as it sources stock

from store closures, order cancellations and manufacturer

overruns. The company has a longstanding management

team with a strong track record, and have grown earnings

per share consistently (in 19 of the last 20 years) at an

average rate of 16% per annum over the last 20 years.

We bought TJX as we believe the company still has a

good growth runway for new store openings and in our

opinion can also continue to consistently grow sales at

existing stores. If we are correct, TJX should grow its

earnings at close to 10% per annum, while paying a steady

and increasing dividend. Despite having solid growth

prospects, TJX’s valuation has been depressed given

market concerns about the broader retail sector, combined

with a couple of company specific headwinds that we

believe are transitory.

February’s Biggest Movers in local currency terms
Typically the Marlin portfolio will be invested 90% or more in equities.

WILLIAM DEMANT

+16

%

PANDORA

+13

%

ALIBABA

-9

%

UNITED PARCEL

SERVICE

-17

%

EXPEDIA

-18

%

5 Largest Portfolio Positions as at 28 February 2018

ALPHABET

7

%

PAYPAL

5

%

MASTERCARD

5

%

ESSILOR

4

%

EDWARDS

LIFESCIENCES

4

%

The remaining portfolio is made up of another 21 stocks and cash.

Nov

2007

Nov

2008

Nov

2009

Nov

2010

Nov

2011

Nov

2012

Nov

2014

Nov

2013

Share Price/Total Shareholder Return

Share PriceTotal Shareholder Return

Nov

2015

$

1.00

$

1.20

$

0.8 0

$

0.60

$

0.40

$

1.80

$

0.20

$

0.00

$

1.40

Nov

2016

$

1.60

Nov

2017

Total Shareholder Return to 28 February 2018

Performance to 28 February 2018

^Benchmark index: World Small Cap Gross Index until 30 September 2015 & S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap Index (50% hedged to NZD) from 1 October 2015

Non-GAAP Financial Information

Marlin uses non-GAAP measures, including adjusted net asset value, gross performance return and total shareholder return. The rationale for using such non-GAAP measures is as follows:

»adjusted net asset value – the underlying value of the investment portfolio adjusted for capital allocation decisions,

»gross performance return – the Manager’s portfolio performance in terms of stock selection and hedging of currency movements, and

»total shareholder return – the return to an investor who reinvests their dividends, and if in the money, exercises their warrants at warrant maturity date for additional shares.

All references to adjusted net asset value, gross performance return and total shareholder return in this monthly update are to such non-GAAP measures. The calculations applied to non-GAAP measures are

described in the Marlin Non-GAAP Financial Information Policy. A copy of the policy is available at http://marlin.co.nz/about-marlin/marlin-policies/

1 Month3 Months1 Year3 Years

(annualised)

Since Inception

(annualised)

Corporate Performance

Total Shareholder Return+1.2% +3.5% +19.2% +9.9% +5.8%

Adjusted NAV Return(1.0%) +2.0% +26.0% +10.0% +6.5%

Manager Performance

Gross Performance Return (1.2%)+3.3%+32.3%+14.4%+10.3%

Benchmark Index^(2.6%)(1.0%)+17.1%+13.5%+7.7%

3

Disclaimer: The information in this update has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is by
necessity brief. The information and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Marlin Global Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy

or completeness. The update is not intended to constitute professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from an

authorised financial adviser should be taken before making an investment. To the extent that the update contains data relating to the historical performance of Marlin Global Limited or its portfolio

companies, please note that fund performance can and will vary and that future results may have no correlation with results historically achieved.

Marlin Global Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740

Phone: +64 9 484 0365 | Fax: +64 9 489 7139

Email: enquire@marlin.co.nz | www.marlin.co.nz

4

Computershare Investor Services Limited

Private Bag 92119, Auckland 1142

Phone: +64 9 488 8777 | Fax: +64 9 488 8787

Email: enquiry@computershare.co.nz | www.computershare.com/nz

About

Marlin Global

Marlin is an investment company

listed on the New Zealand Stock

Exchange. The company gives

shareholders an opportunity to

invest in a diversified portfolio of

between 25 and 35 quality growing

international companies (excluding

New Zealand and Australia)

through a single, professionally

managed investment. The aim

of Marlin is to offer investors

competitive returns through capital

growth and dividends.

Capital Management Strategies

Regular Dividends

»Quarterly distribution policy introduced in

August 2010

»Under this policy, 2% of average NAV is targeted

to be paid to shareholders quarterly

»Dividends paid by Marlin may include dividends

received, interest income, investment gains

and/or return of capital

»Shareholders who prefer to have increased

capital rather than a regular income stream have

the opportunity to participate in the company’s

dividend reinvestment plan (DRP)

»Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3%

discount to market price

»Marlin became a portfolio investment entity on

1 October 2007. As a result, dividends paid to

New Zealand tax resident shareholders have not

been subject to further tax

Share Buyback Programme

»Marlin has a buyback programme in place allowing

it (if it elects to do so) to acquire up to 5.9m of its

shares on market in the year to 31 October 2018

»Shares bought back by the company are held as

treasury stock

» Shares held as treasury stock are available to be

re-issued for the dividend reinvestment plan

Warrants

»Warrants put Marlin in a better position to grow

further, improve liquidity, operate efficiently

and pursue other capital structure initiatives as

appropriate

»A warrant is the right, not the obligation, to

purchase an ordinary share in Marlin at a fixed price

on a fixed date

»There are currently no warrants on issue


Management

Marlin’s portfolio is managed

by Fisher Funds Management

Limited. Ashley Gardyne (Senior

Portfolio Manager), Chris

Waters and Harry Smith (Senior

Investment Analysts) have prime

responsibility for managing

the Marlin portfolio. Together

they have significant combined

experience and are very capable

of researching and investing in

the quality global companies that

Marlin targets. Fisher Funds is

based in Takapuna, Auckland.


Board

The Manager has authority

delegated to it from the

Board to invest according to

the Management Agreement

and other written policies.

The Board of Marlin

comprises independent

directors Alistair Ryan (Chair),

Carol Campbell and Andy

Coupe; and non-independent

director Carmel Fisher.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.