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MLN – April 2018 monthly update

Operational Update19 April 2018MLNFinancials

1
Monthly Update

April 2018

MLN NAV

$

0.98

SHARE PRICE

$

0.84

DISCOUNT

14.1

%

as at 31 March 2018

A word from the Manager

March was another volatile month for equity markets, with President Trump’s tariff proposals sparking fears of a trade war and

doubts surfacing regarding the sustainability of the technology sector rally. During March the US S&P 500 Index and European

Stoxx 600 Index fell 2.7% and 2.3% respectively.

We are watching US tariff developments closely, and while Trump’s proposed tariffs on steel, aluminium and a $50bn list of

Chinese imports is still relatively small scale, any material escalation would be concerning. No one will benefit from a global

trade war and an escalation would be destabilising for equity markets. We hope that Trump’s tariff agenda is simply posturing by

a businessman seeking to achieve better terms with trading partners, rather than a longer term ideological shift.

The Marlin portfolio was flat in March, outperforming our global benchmark which fell 1.1%. While our exposure to technology

companies like Alphabet dragged on performance during the month, some strong financial results and developments elsewhere

in the portfolio (e.g. Adidas, Descartes and William Demant) helped offset the impact of our technology holdings. Our more

defensive healthcare holdings also provided support.

For the three months to 31 March 2018, the Marlin portfolio was up 5.2%,

7.0% ahead of our global benchmark which was down 1.8% over the period.

Portfolio Company Developments

Adidas gained 8% in March after reporting financial results for 2017 that

showed strong growth in China, the US and its ecommerce channel. On

top of strong revenue growth, less discounting and good cost control

drove significant margin expansion during the year. For the 2017 fiscal year

revenue grew 15% and operating profit jumped 31%. We believe Adidas is

well positioned to benefit from ongoing structural trends including healthier

lifestyles, the casualisation of the workplace, and a growing middle class in

emerging markets. We also believe Adidas has the potential to continue

taking market share in the US, where its market share is still below 15%.

CEO, Kasper Rorsted, has a reputation for cost discipline and we believe

Adidas will further reduce operating costs by streamlining support services,

automation and leveraging marketing expense.

Healthcare IT provider, Cerner, was down 10% in March due to concerns

surrounding the signing of an estimated $10bn contract with the US

Department of Veterans Affairs. While there had been some challenges

finalising the contract prior to March, this was compounded as President

Trump announced the departure of the Veterans Affairs secretary David

Shulkin (via Twitter of course). Our expectation is that this contract will still

go ahead, but that signing will be further delayed until the new secretary

is in place. Longer term we see technology playing a critical role in the

modernisation of the US healthcare system and management of escalating

healthcare costs. As the leading healthcare IT company, we believe Cerner

has a key role to play in this shift and should continue to take a larger share in

the $100bn global healthcare IT market.

Fisher Funds has historically charged

Marlin GST at the standard GST rate

on the provision of investment services.

Last year the IRD confirmed that the

lower GST fund manager rate could

be charged to Marlin (and this rate has

been applied since 1 August 2017). On

28 March 2018, Fisher Funds received

confirmation from the IRD that they

would receive a refund for overcharged

GST of $1.7m plus use of money

interest of $0.1m on the provision of

investment services to Marlin for the

eight year period from 1 August 2009

to 31 July 2017. On receipt in early

April, Fisher Funds passed the refund

and use of money interest to Marlin.

The refund and use of money interest

receivable from Fisher Funds has been

recognised in the Marlin NAV from

28 March 2018 onwards.

GST Update

2
Sector Split

as at 31 March 2018

Key Details

as at 31 March 2018

FUND TYPE

Listed Investment Company

INVESTS IN

Growing international companies

LISTING DATE

1 November 2007

FINANCIAL YEAR END

30 June

TYPICAL PORTFOLIO SIZE

25-35 stocks

INVESTMENT CRITERIA

Long-term growth

PERFORMANCE

OBJECTIVE

Long-term growth of capital and

dividends

TAX STATUS

Portfolio Investment Entity (PIE)

MANAGER

Fisher Funds Management

Limited

MANAGEMENT

FEE RATE

1.25% of gross asset value

(reduced by 0.10% for every 1% of

underperformance relative to the

change in the NZ 90 Day Bank Bill

Index with a floor of 0.75%)

PERFORMANCE

FEE HURDLE

Changes in the NZ 90 Day Bank

Bill Index + 5%

PERFORMANCE FEE

15% of returns in excess of

benchmark and high water mark

HIGH WATER MARK

$0.83

SHARES ON ISSUE

119m

MARKET CAPITALISATION

$100m

GEARING

None (maximum permitted 20%

of gross asset value)

28

%


TECHNOLOGY

9

%

INDUSTRIALS

24

%


HEALTHCARE

26

%


CONSUMER

Geographical Split

as at 31 March 2018

20

%

WEST EUROPE

75

%

NORTH AMERICA

The Marlin portfolio also holds cash.

9

%

FINANCIALS

4

%


ASIA

2

%


ENERGY

Ashley Gardyne

Senior Portfolio Manager

Fisher Funds Management Ltd

Other noteworthy news included eyewear and optical

lens manufacturer Essilor receiving approval from US

and European regulatory authorities for its proposed

merger with Luxottica, which will create the world’s largest

eyewear company. Subject to approval from Chinese

authorities, we expect the merger to close later this year

and believe there are significant synergies to be extracted

from the combined business.

The threat of regulation weighed over the technology sector

in March, on the back of news stories regarding a Facebook

data breach and President Trump’s tweets accusing Amazon

of not paying its share of taxes and hurting small businesses.

While we don’t currently own Facebook in the portfolio, any

regulation that impacts the use of user data by technology

companies could have implications for our portfolio company

Alphabet (Google’s parent company). Alphabet fell 6% in

March and was the biggest detractor from portfolio returns.

Portfolio Changes

The only material change to the portfolio in March was

the exit of hearing aid manufacturer William Demant. The

company has delivered strong results since we initiated the

position in March last year, with its new Oticon Opn range

of hearing aids driving market share gains and better than

expected organic growth (10% organic revenue growth and a

20% net income growth in 2017). With its share price up 55%

since we added it to the portfolio, William Demant is now

trading at an elevated valuation and we decided to exit our

position and reinvest the proceeds in other opportunities.

We used the market weakness in March to add

to our holdings in LKQ Corp and Cerner.

March’s Biggest Movers in local currency terms
Typically the Marlin portfolio will be invested 90% or more in equities.

DESCARTES SYSTEMS

+8

%

ADIDAS

+8

%

WILLIAM DEMANT

+7

%

EBAY

-6

%

CERNER

CORPORATION

-10

%

5 Largest Portfolio Positions as at 31 March 2018

ALPHABET

7

%

PAYPAL

5

%

MASTERCARD

5

%

LKQ

5

%

ESSILOR

5

%

The remaining portfolio is made up of another 20 stocks and cash.

Nov

2007

Nov

2008

Nov

2009

Nov

2010

Nov

2011

Nov

2012

Nov

2014

Nov

2013

Share Price/Total Shareholder Return

Share PriceTotal Shareholder Return

Nov

2015

$

1.00

$

1.20

$

0.8 0

$

0.60

$

0.40

$

1.80

$

0.20

$

0.00

$

1.40

Nov

2016

$

1.60

Nov

2017

Total Shareholder Return to 31 March 2018

Performance to 31 March 2018

^Benchmark index: World Small Cap Gross Index until 30 September 2015 & S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap Index (50% hedged to NZD) from 1 October 2015

Non-GAAP Financial Information

Marlin uses non-GAAP measures, including adjusted net asset value, gross performance return and total shareholder return. The rationale for using such non-GAAP measures is as follows:

»adjusted net asset value – the underlying value of the investment portfolio adjusted for capital allocation decisions,

»gross performance return – the Manager’s portfolio performance in terms of stock selection and hedging of currency movements, and

»total shareholder return – the return to an investor who reinvests their dividends, and if in the money, exercises their warrants at warrant maturity date for additional shares.

All references to adjusted net asset value, gross performance return and total shareholder return in this monthly update are to such non-GAAP measures. The calculations applied to non-GAAP measures are

described in the Marlin Non-GAAP Financial Information Policy. A copy of the policy is available at http://marlin.co.nz/about-marlin/marlin-policies/

1 Month3 Months1 Year3 Years

(annualised)

Since Inception

(annualised)

Corporate Performance

Total Shareholder Return(0.0%) +1.2% +18.1% +9.9% +5.7%

Adjusted NAV Return+0.9% +5.1% +22.1% +10.3% +6.5%

Manager Performance

Gross Performance Return(0.0%)+5.2%+26.4%+14.3%+10.2%

Benchmark Index^(1.1%)(1.8%)+12.6%+12.5%+7.5%

3

Disclaimer: The information in this update has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is by
necessity brief. The information and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Marlin Global Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy

or completeness. The update is not intended to constitute professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from an

authorised financial adviser should be taken before making an investment. To the extent that the update contains data relating to the historical performance of Marlin Global Limited or its portfolio

companies, please note that fund performance can and will vary and that future results may have no correlation with results historically achieved.

Marlin Global Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740

Phone: +64 9 484 0365 | Fax: +64 9 489 7139

Email: enquire@marlin.co.nz | www.marlin.co.nz

4

Computershare Investor Services Limited

Private Bag 92119, Auckland 1142

Phone: +64 9 488 8777 | Fax: +64 9 488 8787

Email: enquiry@computershare.co.nz | www.computershare.com/nz

About

Marlin Global

Marlin is an investment company

listed on the New Zealand Stock

Exchange. The company gives

shareholders an opportunity to

invest in a diversified portfolio of

between 25 and 35 quality growing

international companies (excluding

New Zealand and Australia)

through a single, professionally

managed investment. The aim

of Marlin is to offer investors

competitive returns through capital

growth and dividends.

Capital Management Strategies

Regular Dividends

»Quarterly distribution policy introduced in

August 2010

»Under this policy, 2% of average NAV is targeted

to be paid to shareholders quarterly

»Dividends paid by Marlin may include dividends

received, interest income, investment gains

and/or return of capital

»Shareholders who prefer to have increased

capital rather than a regular income stream have

the opportunity to participate in the company’s

dividend reinvestment plan (DRP)

»Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3%

discount to market price

»Marlin became a portfolio investment entity on

1 October 2007. As a result, dividends paid to

New Zealand tax resident shareholders have not

been subject to further tax

Share Buyback Programme

»Marlin has a buyback programme in place allowing

it (if it elects to do so) to acquire up to 5.9m of its

shares on market in the year to 31 October 2018

»Shares bought back by the company are held as

treasury stock

» Shares held as treasury stock are available to be

re-issued for the dividend reinvestment plan

Warrants

»On 16 April 2018, a new issue of warrants (MLNWC)

was announced

»Marlin shareholders will be allotted one warrant for

every four shares held at record date (1 May 2018)

»Each warrant gives shareholders the right, but not

the obligation, to subscribe for one ordinary share

in Marlin on the exercise date (12 April 2019)

»The exercise price will be $0.83 less any dividends

declared during the period up to the exercise date


Management

Marlin’s portfolio is managed

by Fisher Funds Management

Limited. Ashley Gardyne (Senior

Portfolio Manager), Chris

Waters and Harry Smith (Senior

Investment Analysts) have prime

responsibility for managing

the Marlin portfolio. Together

they have significant combined

experience and are very capable

of researching and investing in

the quality global companies that

Marlin targets. Fisher Funds is

based in Takapuna, Auckland.


Board

The Manager has authority

delegated to it from the

Board to invest according to

the Management Agreement

and other written policies.

The Board of Marlin

comprises independent

directors Alistair Ryan (Chair),

Carol Campbell and Andy

Coupe; and non-independent

director Carmel Fisher.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.