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MLN – May 2018 monthly update

Operational Update15 May 2018MLNFinancials

1
Monthly Update

May 2018

MLN NAV

$

0.99

SHARE PRICE

$

0.84

DISCOUNT

15.2

%

as at 30 April 2018

A word from the Manager

Volatility subsided in April and markets gained, with investors

focusing on the start of a strong corporate earnings season

in the US and less on trade war headlines.

So far it has been a blockbuster earnings season in the

US, with earnings per share for the market (S&P 500) on

track to grow more than 20% on the prior year. While part

of this earnings growth has been driven by the Trump

Administration tax cuts, underlying revenue growth of 10%

for companies that have reported is solid and ahead of the

7% growth expected.

What is also evident from following recent corporate

results is a pick-up in inflationary pressures. Companies

have referenced significant wage inflation and pointed to

increasing oil and freight costs as factors impacting their

businesses. While there is some concern that these costs

could crimp corporate profit margins, at this stage strong

revenue growth is allowing companies to offset these

pressures.

For April, the Marlin portfolio was up 1.4%, behind our global

benchmark

1

which was up 2.5%.

Facebook: from likes to shares

We added Facebook to the portfolio in April. Facebook

owns four of the most dominant social networking and

messaging platforms in the world (Facebook, Instagram,

Messenger and WhatsApp) and has an unparalleled ability to

deliver an audience of over 2 billion users to advertisers.

The average US user spends over an hour a day on Facebook

and Instagram combined. I recently installed an app to track

how much time I spend on my smartphone. I was hopeful the

app would prove I didn’t spend that much time looking at my

mobile screen, but unfortunately I failed miserably – it turns

out I’m on my phone anywhere from one to two hours a day!

While our smartphone addictions may not be great news for

our employers, TV networks or even family members trying

to get our attention – our increasing mobile usage is great

for Facebook’s advertising revenue – and marketers savvy

enough to use their ad platform.

Facebook’s treasure trove of data on users means that they

not only know your age, gender and location, but they

also know your hobbies, who you are friends with, and

what you do and don’t like. This data means Facebook

can offer advertisers a level of targeting like no one else,

and when combined with Facebook’s huge reach should

allow Facebook to capture a significant share of advertising

budgets as they move online.

We have been following Facebook for some time – it is a

high quality growth company with a great business model

and a long runway for growth. However, we were waiting on

the sidelines for an attractive buying opportunity. The recent

scrutiny of Facebook following the Cambridge Analytica

data breach caused the Facebook share price to recede,

and we believe this has created an opportunity for Facebook

investors to purchase the stock at a very attractive valuation.

While we don’t take the regulatory risks facing Facebook

lightly, we believe management will do what is necessary

to restore user trust. We believe the scandal itself will

have limited impact on the number of Facebook users as

consumers’ mobile usage and social media habits are now

well entrenched. Facebook has become a primary way for

people to communicate, follow developments with friends

and family, and to build new relationships. It has also become

a store of our memories and photographs. In the modern

world, most users are now comfortable sharing some of their

data (and being shown targeted adverts) in exchange for

access to these social platforms.

In our opinion, new regulations in the sector that make it

harder to share user data (along the lines of GDPR in Europe)

are likely to simply entrench the competitive advantage of

companies like Facebook and Google who already have this

data. While it is still early days, Facebook’s first set of results

since our investment have shown strong profit growth and

increasing user numbers - with the addition of 70 million

monthly active users globally in the first quarter.

The addition of Facebook was funded through our exit of

Amazon. The decision to exit Amazon was a difficult one

as we admire Amazon, its founder Jeff Bezos, and the wide

1

S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap Index (50% hedged to NZD)

2
Sector Split

as at 30 April 2018

Key Details

as at 30 April 2018

FUND TYPE

Listed Investment Company

INVESTS IN

Growing international companies

LISTING DATE

1 November 2007

FINANCIAL YEAR END

30 June

TYPICAL PORTFOLIO SIZE

25-35 stocks

INVESTMENT CRITERIA

Long-term growth

PERFORMANCE

OBJECTIVE

Long-term growth of capital and

dividends

TAX STATUS

Portfolio Investment Entity (PIE)

MANAGER

Fisher Funds Management

Limited

MANAGEMENT

FEE RATE

1.25% of gross asset value

(reduced by 0.10% for every 1% of

underperformance relative to the

change in the NZ 90 Day Bank Bill

Index with a floor of 0.75%)

PERFORMANCE

FEE HURDLE

Changes in the NZ 90 Day Bank

Bill Index + 5%

PERFORMANCE FEE

15% of returns in excess of

benchmark and high water mark

HIGH WATER MARK

$0.85

SHARES ON ISSUE

118m

MARKET CAPITALISATION

$99m

GEARING

None (maximum permitted 20%

of gross asset value)

31

%


TECHNOLOGY

10

%

INDUSTRIALS

22

%


HEALTHCARE

23

%


CONSUMER

Geographical Split

as at 30 April 2018

20

%

WEST EUROPE

73

%

NORTH AMERICA

The Marlin portfolio also holds cash.

9

%

FINANCIALS

4

%


ASIA

3

%


ENERGY

Ashley Gardyne

Senior Portfolio Manager

Fisher Funds

moats it is building around its retail and cloud businesses.

However, the share price has more than doubled since we

invested nearly two years ago and we believe the market is

getting ahead of itself. Specifically, investors may be overly

optimistic about the margin levels Amazon can ultimately

achieve in its retail business, particularly given future retail

growth will become increasingly dependent on loss-making

international markets and on less profitable categories (like

grocery). Amazon appears priced to perfection, with little

room for hiccups.

April’s Biggest Movers in local currency terms
Typically the Marlin portfolio will be invested 90% or more in equities.

CORE LABORATORIES

+14

%

UNITED PARCEL

SERVICE

+8

%

EDWARDS

LIFESCIENCES

-9

%

SIGNATURE BANK

-10

%

LKQ CORPORATION

-18

%

5 Largest Portfolio Positions as at 30 April 2018

ALPHABET

7

%

PAYPAL

5

%

MASTERCARD

5

%

FRESENIUS

MEDICAL CARE

5

%

ESSILOR

5

%

The remaining portfolio is made up of another 20 stocks and cash.

Nov

2007

Nov

2008

Nov

2009

Nov

2010

Nov

2011

Nov

2012

Nov

2014

Nov

2013

Share Price/Total Shareholder Return

Share PriceTotal Shareholder Return

Nov

2015

$

1.00

$

1.20

$

0.8 0

$

0.60

$

0.40

$

1.80

$

0.20

$

0.00

$

1.40

Nov

2016

$

1.60

Nov

2017

Total Shareholder Return to 30 April 2018

Performance to 30 April 2018

^Benchmark index: World Small Cap Gross Index until 30 September 2015 & S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap Index (50% hedged to NZD) from 1 October 2015

Non-GAAP Financial Information

Marlin uses non-GAAP measures, including adjusted net asset value, gross performance return and total shareholder return. The rationale for using such non-GAAP measures is as follows:

»adjusted net asset value – the underlying value of the investment portfolio adjusted for capital allocation decisions,

»gross performance return – the Manager’s portfolio performance in terms of stock selection and hedging of currency movements, and

»total shareholder return – the return to an investor who reinvests their dividends, and if in the money, exercises their warrants at warrant maturity date for additional shares.

All references to adjusted net asset value, gross performance return and total shareholder return in this monthly update are to such non-GAAP measures. The calculations applied to non-GAAP measures are

described in the Marlin Non-GAAP Financial Information Policy. A copy of the policy is available at http://marlin.co.nz/about-marlin/marlin-policies/

1 Month3 Months1 Year3 Years

(annualised)

Since Inception

(annualised)

Corporate Performance

Total Shareholder Return+0.0%+1.2% +19.6% +9.1% +5.7%

Adjusted NAV Return+1.3% +1.2% +17.5% +11.5% +6.6%

Manager Performance

Gross Performance Return +1.4%+0.3%+20.9%+15.5%+10.3%

Benchmark Index^+2.5%(1.3%)+12.5%+13.8%+7.7%

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Disclaimer: The information in this update has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is by
necessity brief. The information and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Marlin Global Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy

or completeness. The update is not intended to constitute professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from an

authorised financial adviser should be taken before making an investment. To the extent that the update contains data relating to the historical performance of Marlin Global Limited or its portfolio

companies, please note that fund performance can and will vary and that future results may have no correlation with results historically achieved.

Marlin Global Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740

Phone: +64 9 484 0365 | Fax: +64 9 489 7139

Email: enquire@marlin.co.nz | www.marlin.co.nz

4

Computershare Investor Services Limited

Private Bag 92119, Auckland 1142

Phone: +64 9 488 8777 | Fax: +64 9 488 8787

Email: enquiry@computershare.co.nz | www.computershare.com/nz

About

Marlin Global

Marlin is an investment company

listed on the New Zealand Stock

Exchange. The company gives

shareholders an opportunity to

invest in a diversified portfolio of

between 25 and 35 quality growing

international companies (excluding

New Zealand and Australia)

through a single, professionally

managed investment. The aim

of Marlin is to offer investors

competitive returns through capital

growth and dividends.

Capital Management Strategies

Regular Dividends

»Quarterly distribution policy introduced in

August 2010

»Under this policy, 2% of average NAV is targeted

to be paid to shareholders quarterly

»Dividends paid by Marlin may include dividends

received, interest income, investment gains

and/or return of capital

»Shareholders who prefer to have increased

capital rather than a regular income stream have

the opportunity to participate in the company’s

dividend reinvestment plan (DRP)

»Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3%

discount to market price

»Marlin became a portfolio investment entity on

1 October 2007. As a result, dividends paid to

New Zealand tax resident shareholders have not

been subject to further tax

Share Buyback Programme

»Marlin has a buyback programme in place allowing

it (if it elects to do so) to acquire up to 5.9m of its

shares on market in the year to 31 October 2018

»Shares bought back by the company are held as

treasury stock

» Shares held as treasury stock are available to be

re-issued for the dividend reinvestment plan

Warrants

»On 16 April 2018, a new issue of warrants (MLNWC)

was announced

»The warrants were issued at no cost to eligible

shareholders and in the ratio of one warrant for

every four Marlin shares held

»Exercise Price = $0.83 per warrant, to be adjusted

down for dividends declared during the period up

to the Exercise Date

»Exercise Date = 12 April 2019

»The final Exercise Price will be announced and an

Exercise Form will be posted to warrant holders in

March 2019


Management

Marlin’s portfolio is managed

by Fisher Funds Management

Limited. Ashley Gardyne (Senior

Portfolio Manager), Chris

Waters and Harry Smith (Senior

Investment Analysts) have prime

responsibility for managing

the Marlin portfolio. Together

they have significant combined

experience and are very capable

of researching and investing in

the quality global companies that

Marlin targets. Fisher Funds is

based in Takapuna, Auckland.


Board

The Manager has authority

delegated to it from the

Board to invest according to

the Management Agreement

and other written policies.

The Board of Marlin

comprises independent

directors Alistair Ryan (Chair),

Carol Campbell and Andy

Coupe; and non-independent

director Carmel Fisher.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.