Argosy Property Limited logo

2018 Retail Roadshow Presentation

Investor Presentation28 May 2018ARGReal Estate

2018
Retail Roadshow

Presentation

Argosy Property Limited

28 May 2018 to 18 June 2018

www.argosy.co.nz

AGENDA
2

HighlightsPage 4

FinancialsPage 6

Strategy Page 16

Leasing UpdatePage 31

OutlookPage 35

PRESENTED BY:

Peter Mence CEODave Fraser CFO

Note: This result should be read in conjunction with the NZX stock exchange

release dated 23 May 2018. Due to rounding, numbers presented in this

presentation may not add up exactly to the totals provided and percentages

may not exactly reflect absolute figures.

Our strength lies in the diversity of our
properties across sectors, grades, sizes

and locations allowing us to adapt to

the changing needs of our growing

family of tenants.

Peter Mence

CEO

3

HIGHLIGHTS
4

Change image

HIGHLIGHTS
6.62c

1.55c

$1.12

3.0%

98.8%

6.1 years

Net Distributable Income

per share +1.1%

4

th

Quarter Dividend +1.6%

Occupancy (by rental)

Annualisedrent review

increase

NTA +5.5% on prior year

WALT

$101m

Net property income

5

6.25c

FY19 dividend guidance,

+1%

$48.8m completed,

including $33.8m of

green projects

Value Add Developments

FINANCIALS
6

Change image

Income Reconciliation
7

106.8

1.3

-1.3

2.5

0.4

-0.1

-2.2

107.4

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

80.0

90.0

100.0

110.0

120.0

Gross Property

Income FY17

Acquisitions /

developments

DisposalsRent reviewsVacancy & leasing

up

OtherNet movement re

NZ Post House

Gross Property

Income FY18

Rental income $m

Financial Performance
8

FY18F17

$m$m

Net property income101.0100.8

Administration expenses(9.9)(9.3)

Profit before financial income/(expenses),

other gains/(losses) and tax

91.191.4

Interest expense(25.5)(25.9)

Gain/(loss) on derivatives(4.1)11.0

Revaluation gains47.3 42.3

Realised gains/(losses) on disposal0.3 2.7

Net: Insurance proceeds & earthquake

expense

0.2 (1.2)

Profit before tax109.3120.4

Taxation expense(11.1)(16.8)

Profit after tax98.2103.6

Basic and diluted earnings per share (cents)11.9012.69

Net income stable year on year

Expenses up due to additional

resourcing costs across the

business

Non cash impact of derivatives

Solid year-on-year revaluation

gains largely driven by cap rate

firming

Lower taxation expense primarily

due to deferred tax movements

Note: Due to rounding, numbers presented in this presentation may not add up exactly to the totals provided and percentages may not exactly reflect the

absolute figures.

Distributable Income
9

Current tax lower due to higher

capitalisedinterest,

depreciation and non-

assessable insurance proceeds-

reinstatement

Net distributable income

increased 1.1%

FY18FY17

$m$m

Profit before income tax109.3120.4

Adjusted for:

Revaluations gains(47.3)(42.3)

Realised losses/(gains) on disposal(0.3)(2.7)

Derivative fair value loss/(gain)4.1 (11.0)

Earthquake expense net of recoveries-0.21.2

Gross distributable income65.665.6

Depreciation recovered0.6 1.0

Current tax expense¹(11.6)(13.1)

Net distributable income54.653.5

Weighted average number of ordinary shares (m)825.1816.7

Gross distributable income per share (cents)7.958.03

Net distributable income per share (cents)6.626.55

Investment Properties
10

1,442.2

61.4

-10.1

-27.4

47.3

-0.3

1,513.1

1,200.0

1,250.0

1,300.0

1,350.0

1,400.0

1,450.0

1,500.0

1,550.0

Investment Properties

FY17

Capitalised costsDisposalsTransfer to properties

held for sale

RevaluationsOtherInvestment Properties

FY18

Investment Properties $m

Portfolio growth driven by a combination of developments completed and revaluation gains

Movement in NTA per share
11

* Excluding revaluations

Annual revaluation gain key driver of 5.5% NTA uplift year on year

1.06

0.06

0.05

0.01

(0.06)

1.12

1.00

1.02

1.04

1.06

1.08

1.10

1.12

1.14

1.16

1.18

1.20

NTA at FY17Profit for the year*RevaluationsDRP & otherDividends paidNTA at FY18

$ per share

Gearing
12

Further divestment of non Core assets will see the portfolio repositioned to the lower end of its retail

band (15-25%) and higher end of industrial band (40-50%) over next 12-18 months.

The asset held for sale is 7 Wagener Place (Auckland), sold for $31.0m and which settles in July 2018.

New target policy gearing range of between 30-40% (previously 35-40%).

FY18FY17

$m$m

Investment properties1,513.11,442.2

Assets held for sale27.413.0

Other assets4.33.4

Total assets1,544.81,458.6

Bank debt (excl. capitalised borrowing costs)554.2529.9

Debt-to-total-assets ratio35.9%36.3%

35.9%

Debt-to-total assets ratio

Portfolio Snapshot
13

Our focus is delivering improved portfolio quality and is reflected in our strong portfolio metrics

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

FY14FY15FY16FY17FY18

WALT (years)

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

35.0%

40.0%

45.0%

FY14FY15FY16FY17FY18

Debt-to-total-assets

80.0%

82.0%

84.0%

86.0%

88.0%

90.0%

92.0%

94.0%

96.0%

98.0%

100.0%

FY14FY15FY16FY17FY18

Occupancy

$0.85

$0.90

$0.95

$1.00

$1.05

$1.10

$1.15

FY14FY15FY16FY17FY18

Net Tangible Assets

Funding & Interest Rate
Management

14

Argosy maintains strong relationships with its banking partners ANZ Bank New Zealand Limited, Bank

of New Zealand and The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited, and remains well

within its banking covenants.

Argosy restructured its syndicated bank facility in May 2017 and February 2018.

FY18FY17

Weighted average duration of bank facility3.1 years2.5 years

Weighted average interest rate

1

4.98%4.88%

Interest Cover Ratio3.3x3.4x

% of fixed rate borrowings62%65%

Average fixed interest rate

2

4.56%4.56%

¹ Including margin and line fees

2

Excluding margin and line fees

3.1 years

Weighted avg. bank facility term

Dividends
15

6.25c

FY19 dividend guidance

A final quarter cash dividend of 1.55 cents per share has been declared, with imputation credits of

0.3744 cents per share attached, and will be paid on 27 June 2018

FY19 dividend guidance of 6.25 cents per share is an increase of ~1.0% on the FY18 full year

dividend

The FY19 dividend reflects the Boards wish for shareholders to share in the continued strong results

whilst allowing Argosy to maintain its momentum towards an AFFO based dividend policy over the

medium term

27 June

Final quarter dividend paid

Strategy Overview
16

Strategy
17

Argosy will continue to invest in a diverse range of properties across sectors, grades, sizes and

locations.

Our Investment Strategy consists of Core and Value Add properties.

Core properties between 75-90% of the portfolio by value.

Our Investment Policy sector band parameters (by value) are:

Industrial 40-50%

Office 30-40%

Retail 15-25%

As at 31 March 2018, Argosy was operating within the parameters of its Investment Policy.

Argosy strives to deliver reliable and sustainable returns to shareholders. We take a considered

approach to acquisition, divestment, development, leasing and capital management decisions,

reflecting our proposition to shareholders as a dividend stock, with all the advantages of the

PIE Regime.

Portfolio at a glance
TOTAL PORTFOLIO VALUE

BY SECTOR

TOTAL PORTFOLIO VALUE

BY REGION

PORTFOLIO MIX

BY VALUE

71%

24%

5%

Auckland

Wellington

Regional North Island &

South Island

87%

7%

6%

Core properties

Properties and land to divest

Value Add properties

18

42%

38%

20%

Industrial

Office

Retail

Focus on continuing the divestment programmeof non Core assets

Expect to move towards the higher end of the industrial band and lower end of the retail band

over the medium term

Portfolio Metrics
19

Note: Data as at 31 March 2018

The strength of our diversified portfolio is in the breadth and depth of our tenant base and sectors

they represent.

Top 10 Customers by Rent

MBIE

NZ Post

General Distributors

Cardinal Logistics

The Warehouse

Ezibuy

Ministry of Primary

Industries

Mitre 10

Te Puni Kokiri

Tonkin & Taylor

All other

Rent Roll by Industry

Government

Administration

Retail

Transport and Storage

Manufacturing

Property & Business

Services

Wholesale Trade

Finance and Insurance

Electricity, Gas and Water

Supply

All other

Revaluations
20

Strong revaluation gain 3.2% above

book value

Regionally, Auckland biggest

contributor

Wellington office: Stout Street

recorded $13m increase but overall

result offset by 7 Waterloo Quay

(earthquake) and Stewart Dawson

Corner which is currently under

development

At 83%, the Industrial portfolio

biggest contributor of the total gain

followed by office (12%) and retail

(5%)

Portfolio market yield firmed 33bps

with Auckland firming 39bps and

Industrial 38bps

31 March

18 Book

Value

($m)

31 Mar 18

Valuation

($m)

Δ

$m

Δ

%

Market Yield

1

31 Mar 1731 Mar 18

Auckland1,025.4 1,081.5 56.1 5.5%7.14%6.75%

Wellington367.1 358.1 (9.0)-2.5%7.53%7.60%

North Island Regional & South Island73.3 73.5 0.2 0.3%8.70%7.96%

Total1,465.8 1,513.1 47.3 3.2%7.31%6.98%

31 March

18 Book

Value

($m)

31 Mar 18

Valuation

($m)

Δ

$m

Δ

%

Market Yield

31 Mar 1731 Mar 18

Industrial598.5 637.5 39.0 6.5%7.12%6.74%

Office571.7 577.3 5.6 1.0%7.58%7.37%

Retail295.6 298.3 2.7 0.9%7.27%6.80%

Total1,465.8 1,513.1 47.3 3.2%7.31%6.98%

1

Yields exclude 7 Waterloo Quay and Stewart Dawson Corner

Value Add
21

The following properties have been designated as Value Add,

which make up ~6% of the total portfolio:

¹ At 31 March 2018

PropertySectorLocation

Market Value

1

$m

90 -104 Springs RoadIndustrialAuckland5.4

80 Springs RoadIndustrialAuckland10.0

211 Albany HighwayIndustrialAuckland20.5

960 Great South RoadIndustrialAuckland6.1

99-107 Khyber Pass RoadOfficeAuckland8.7

8-14 Willis Street / Stewart Dawson CnrOffice/RetailWellington26.3

180-202 Hutt RoadRetailWellington9.3

TOTAL $m (excl. land)86.3

56 Jamaica DriveLandWellington1.1

15 Unity DriveLandAuckland4.3

246 Puhinui RoadLandAuckland3.2

TOTAL $m94.9

Value Add –Stewart Dawson Corner
22

23
Value Add –Stewart Dawson Corner

Industrial
NUMBER OF BUILDINGS

36

MARKET VALUE OF ASSETS ($M)

$637.6

OCCUPANCY (BY INCOME)

99.9%

WALT (YEARS)

7.4

PASSING YIELD

6.7%

24

Office
NUMBER OF BUILDINGS

17

MARKET VALUE OF ASSETS ($M)

$577.3

OCCUPANCY (BY INCOME)

97.3%

WALT (YEARS)

5.0

PASSING YIELD

7.0%

25

Retail
NUMBER OF BUILDINGS

8

MARKET VALUE OF ASSETS ($M)

$298.3

OCCUPANCY (BY INCOME)

100%

WALT (YEARS)

5.7

PASSING YIELD

7.1%

26

Completed Developments
27

Argosy completed two green developments totalling $33.8m during the period being Highgate

Business Park (targeting 4 Green Star Industrial Built Rating) and 82 Wyndham Street (targeting 5

Green Star Office Built Rating).

82 Wyndham will be targeting a 4 Star NabersNZ energy efficient rating now the building is fully

occupied.

DevelopmentMajor TenantTypeLocation

Total Cost

$m

Highgate Business ParkMighty ApeINDAKL24.7

82 WyndhamPanukuOFFAKL9.1

Foundry DrivePolarcold Stores LtdINDCHC7.5

Snickel LaneVariousOFFAKL7.5

TOTAL48.8

Green Case Study
28

Valuation

Building rating:

NABERSNZ rating:

Total project capex¹

BEFORE:AFTER:

$29.0m (31 March 2017)$42.3m (31 March 2018)

nilTargeting 5 Star Office Built Rating

nilTargeting 5 Star Office Base Build Rating

$9.1m

82 Wyndham Street, Auckland

Replaced air conditioning system to 100% above building code with CO

2

sensors

LED lighting with intelligent controls (daylight & occupancy)

Material increase in the building’s end of trip facilities

Energy monitoring capability to facilitate NABERSNZ measurement and emission reporting

NEW FEATURES:

1. Including green aspects

29
Air conditioning system to 50% above building code with CO

2

sensors

LED with intelligent controls for daylight and occupancy sensors throughout

Energy metering meets Green Star requirements and separates lighting, air-condition and three

point power

Rain water harvesting, for use in the gardens and toilets with water meters

NEW FEATURES:

1. Excluding land valued at $8.1m, making a total value of $24.7m

HighgateBusiness Park, Auckland

Green Case Study

Valuation

Building rating:

NABERSNZ rating:

Total project capex¹

BEFORE:AFTER:

Nil$28.2m (31 March 2018)

nilTargeting 4 Star Office Built Rating

nilnil

$16.6m

NZ Post House, at 7 Waterloo Quay
30

Damage Assessment

Interim damage assessment reports now with insurers.

Insurance Claim

Three interim claims made under Argosy’s material damage and business interruption insurance.

Total recognised to 31 March was $9.8m (after deductible) and allocated as follows;

Loss of rents: $5.7m, Material damage expense: $2.3m and Expense recoveries: $1.8m.

Reinstatement

Proceeding swiftly with affected floors ready for occupation during FY19.

Reinstatement work on Levels 1-4 & 7 and Levels 10-12.

Programme cost estimated at $41 million to complete.

Leasing

Levels 10-12 are expected to be ready for occupation by March-19.

Very strong market enquiry.

Leasing Update
31

Change image

Leasing Success
32

Excellent leasing results over the back half of the year driving the higher WALT of 6.1 years

During the period Argosy completed 51 leasing transactions totalling ~150,000m² of NLA.

Notable leasing successes include:

Some larger FY19 lease expiries include:

PropertyTenantNLA (sqm)Lease Term

9 Ride Way, Albany Amcor Flexibles (New Zealand) Limited 9,17815 years

8 Forge Way, PanmureEclipx Fleet Holdings 4,23012 years

143 Lambton QuayTe Puni Kokiri 6,2156 years

105 Carlton Gore Rd, NewmarketTonkin & Taylor4,3773 years

147 Lambton QuayMBIE5,5601.5 years

PropertyTenantNLA (sqm)Status

147 Gracefield Rd, Seaview

The Information

Management Group

8,018In discussion with tenant

80 Springs Road, East Tamaki Coda GP Limited 9,675Extension to 31-Aug-18

12-16 Bell Avenue, Mt Wellington Mainfreight Limited 5,046

In discussion with tenant for

extension

9.9%
10.0%

8.6%

9.7%

4.2%

4.7%

10.0%

12.8%

11.3%

2.6%

15.0%

1.2%

29

23

28

21

17

12

9

12

8

4

13

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

18%

20%

22%

Percentage of portfolio (by income)

Total ExpiryVacancyLargest Expiry

The number above each bar denotes the total tenant expires per year (excluding monthly carparks and tenants with multiple leaseswithin one property)

Yearending

Lease Maturity

33

Lease maturity profile relatively stable over the medium term, no material single tenant exposure

Market Update
34

Modest economic growth still forecast which will drive steady net absorption.

The mixture of a stable economy and continued technology change is driving demand for

industrial assets.

Growth in Auckland office supply is yet to cause concern, projections for increased vacancy

around 2020 are unchanged.

Wellington office vacancy continues to reduce with rental growth resulting.

Tougher funding environment will continue to impact developers. This will create potential

opportunities for Argosy.

Increasing construction costs and slowing of cap rate compression positives for rental growth if net

absorption continues.

Land values easing.

Focus on green assets, seismic performance and hazard management.

Outlook
35

Change image

Outlook
36

Fundamental real estate drivers remain sound.

Whilst global volatility is still present, the New Zealand economic outlook is still positive with

economic growth forecast and resilient local equity markets.

Argosy’s diversified portfolio provides balance across sectors allowing it to make the most of

market conditions.

Argosy will continue to focus on resolving near term expiries, maintaining high tenant retention

rates and ensuring core portfolio metrics remain strong.

Given the market appears to be firmly valued, divesting non Core assets to reinvest elsewhere or to

the balance sheet is more attractive versus acquiring.

We will continue to focus on our existing portfolio of value add properties in the context of

sustainability given the environmental and business benefits they can bring.

We remain focused on creating value and delivering sustainable and attractive risk adjusted

returns to shareholders.

Rental growth to continue.

Green assets will continue to see increase in demand.

Thank you.
37

Disclaimer
38

This presentation has been prepared by Argosy Property Limited. The details in this presentation

provide general information only. It is not intended as investment or financial advice and must

not be relied upon as such. You should obtain independent professional advice prior to making

any decision relating to your investment or financial needs. This presentation is not an offer or

invitation for subscription or purchase of securities or other financial products. Past performance

is no indication of future performance.

All values are expressed in New Zealand currency unless otherwise stated.

28 May 2018

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

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