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Research Report for Snakk Media Limited

Other6 June 2018WCOIndustrials

7 June 2018

NXT Company Spotlight

Loss significantly reduced to near breakeven

The restructuring initiated in FY17 started to benefit the group in Q218 and

Snakk Media finally returned to profit in its second half. Revenues for FY18

were close to the prior year at NZ$10.3m (NZ$10.6m), with increased self-

service mobile advertising revenues offset by a decline in business in

Southeast Asia (where overheads have been pared back). The cost base in

FY19e will be lower with the full-year benefit. The group had year-end cash

of NZ$1.1m, just below the current market capitalisation of NZ$1.3m.

Substantial cost reductions

Employee costs for FY18 at NZ$3.8m were down from NZ$5.8m in the prior year,

with other operating expenses also trimmed significantly to NZ$2.4m (NZ$3.7m).

The group returned a profit after tax of NZ$0.35m for H218; the first six-month

period in profit for six years. Resource was focused on those regions and activities

with the better potential for positive returns, particularly Melbourne and Brisbane,

with the Sydney team reorganised more recently. Management expects operating

expenses to be lower still in FY19, showing a full-year benefit. In Southeast Asia, it

is looking at how to offer managed services for its highly targeted geo and audience

in-app advertising on a profitable basis. Self-service, introduced as an alternative

service for clients that prefer to be more ‘hands-on’, has grown well, to 16% of

group revenues. However, with negligible visibility, management is now less

confident the momentum will be sufficient to drive growth. Snakk already gathers

and blends consumer behavioural data to inform its audience targeting for its

managed services products. It may be able to monetise this more effectively

through charging for access or for activation fees.

Financial position strengthened

At the end of March 2018, Snakk had a cash position of NZ$1.1m, up from

NZ$0.5m at the half year. There was an operating cash inflow in H218, which all but

eliminated the H118 outflow, reflecting the reduced costs. The subscription by the

Manji Family Trust raised NZ$108k in H118. Management continues to appraise

capital strategy options.

Valuation: Little for operating business

Snakk’s share price has lifted off the lows reached in April and May 2018. Given the

scale of the group, comparisons to global peers are of limited use but, for context,

these currently trade at median multiples of 1.1x EV/sales and 8.6x EV/EBITDA.

Snakk Media

Media

Price NZ$0.08

Market cap NZ$1.3m


Share price performance



Share details

Code SNK

Listing NXT

Shares in issue 16.3m

Cash (NZ$m) at 31 March

2018

1.1


Business description

Mobile advertising technology company Snakk Media

specialises in engaging consumers. It works to

identify and target mobile audiences, whether directly

by advertising to mobile devices or indirectly using

the mobile consumer data through other channels.


Bull

 Broadening range of products and services.

 UberMedia technology partnership.

 Strengthened cash performance.

Bear

 Slower growth of self-service than anticipated.

 Highly competitive sector.

 Comparatively small scale.

Analysts

Fiona Orford-Williams +44 (0)20 3077 5739

Bridie Barrett +44 (0)20 3077 5757


media@edisongroup.com





Historical financials

Year

end

Revenue

(NZ$m)

Gross profit

(NZ$m)

PBT

(NZ$m)

EPS

(c)

EV/gross

profit (x)

EV/sales

(x)

03/15 9.2 3.9 (4.0) (25.6) 0.06 0.02

03/16 10.5 6.6 (0.9) (6.6) 0.03 0.02

03/17 10.6 6.3 (3.2) (20.2) 0.04 0.02

03/18 10.3 6.0 (0.3) (1.6) 0.04 0.02

Source: Company accounts

Snakk Media coverage is provided through

the NXT Research Scheme




Snakk Media | 7 June 2018 2

FY19 revised KOMs

Snakk has now published its performance against target key operating milestones (KOMs) for

FY19e. The table below shows these in progression.

Exhibit 1: Performance against KOMs

Q118

(%)

Q218

(%)

Q318

(%)

Q418

(%)

FY18 target

(%)

FY18 actual

(%)

FY19e target

(%)

Gross margin 57 59 56 60 58 58 58

Compensation ratio 44 37 29 34 42 36 34

Staff turnover 12 11 34 10 33 53 40

Click-through rate 0.97 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.98 N/A

Source: Snakk Media

The fourth KOM is currently under review. Alternatives are being explored and a decision should be

made by the end of June 2018.

The new gross margin KOM is unchanged from prior year (target and actual), while the

compensation ratio reflects the level of underlying cost that has been taken out of the

business. Gross margin overshot the target in Q418, reflecting a greater proportion of the

higher-margin managed service income in the mix than originally forecast. The new target

compensation ratio for FY19e is in line with that achieved for Q418.

The staff turnover ratio is inherently volatile as the business employs a relatively small number of

people.

Half-by-half shows profit progression

Exhibit 2: Half-year revenues by geography (NZ$)


H117 H217 FY17 H118 H218

FY18

Growth

Revenue 4,706,095 5,919,820 10,625,915 5,330,677 4,920,716 10,251,393 -4%

Net operating

revenue 6,348,323 5,976,528 -6%

PBT (3,174,426) (266,896)

PAT (1,872,496) (1,301,930) (3,174,426) (616,798) 349,902 (266,896)

Source: Company accounts

Looking at the headline financials on a half-by-half basis shows more clearly the pattern of

improving profitability as cost has been taken out of the business. Although the revenue line has

come back 4%, this represents a combination of the growth of the self-service to NZ$1.6m and a

more substantive drop-off in managed service revenues. This was particularly notable in Southeast

Asia, where revenues were down NZ$1.1m on the prior year. Management is appraising re-

establishing this business, but only if it can be done profitably.

High levels of competition in Sydney and in New Zealand have made those markets more difficult

and Snakk has reconfigured its approach in both to target profitable growth.

Peer comparison

Snakk’s share price dropped sharply following the KOM updates in early April, falling from NZ$0.27

to NZ$0.09 initially. Since then, it has continued to drift, hitting lows of NZ$0.04 in April and May

2018. Using the year-end cash balance of NZ$1.08m, the group has a small but positive EV, but

this does not give particularly useful metrics for a peer comparison based on multiples. Quoted

companies in the space are trading at the multiples shown below.




Snakk Media | 7 June 2018 3

Exhibit 3: Listed peer comparison


Quoted

Currency

Price

Market

cap (m)

EV (m)

EV/Sales

last (x)

Gross margin

last (%)

EV/EBITDA

last (x)

P/E

last (x)

Taptica GBP 6.3 302 396 3.1 36.5 15.9 24.4

Criteo US$ 25.0 1,650 1,319 0.7 35.8 7.4 20.0

SITO Mobile US$ 6.0 133 130 4.4 54.8 N/A N/A

Matomy Media GBP 0.7 67 96 0.5 20.6 8.6 N/A

Fyber € 0.8 88 213 1.2 27.3 N/A N/A

RhythmOne GBP 3.4 123 135 0.9 33.9 N/A N/A

Median 1.1 34.9 8.6 22.2

Snakk Media NZ$ 0.1 1.3 1.0 0.02 58.3 N/A N/A

Source: Bloomberg. Note: Prices as at 4 June 2018. Sales and net debt are last reported.












Frankfurt +49 (0)69 78 8076 960

Schumannstrasse 34b

60325 Frankfurt

Germany

London +44 (0)20 3077 5700

280 High Holborn

London, WC1V 7EE

United Kingdom

N e w York +1 646 653 7026

295 Madison Avenue, 18th Floor

10017, New York

US

Sydney +61 (0)2 8249 8342

Level 12, Office 1205

95 Pitt Street, Sydney

NSW 2000, Australia

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