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MLN – July 2018 monthly update

Operational Update11 July 2018MLNFinancials

1
Monthly Update

July 2018

MLN NAV

$

1.02

SHARE PRICE

$

0.86

DISCOUNT

1

14.1

%

as at 30 June 2018

A word from the Manager

After a strong start to June, global equity markets retreated

late in the month and closed broadly flat as trade fears

re-emerged. The sell-off in late June was driven by an

escalation in the US/China trade conflict, with Trump asking

his administration to identify a list of a further $200 billion of

Chinese goods to target with tariffs. Coupled with Trump’s

tariff news, car manufacturer Daimler released a profit warning

citing the expectation of higher tariffs on the Mercedes-Benz

SUVs it exports from the US to China. Harley-Davidson also

announced plans to shift more production overseas to avoid

European Union tariffs on its iconic motorcycles. While the

Marlin portfolio has limited exposure to areas that would

be the most vulnerable in a trade war, such as autos and

industrial capital goods, these developments highlight the

disruption a full-blown trade war could cause.

In addition to escalating trade war tensions, China’s share

market entered bear market territory in June, and by the end

of the month was down over 20% from the highs of January.

The weakness in the Chinese market has been driven by trade

concerns, but also evidence that tighter credit conditions

are starting to slow growth. In this choppy environment

defensive sectors including utilities and consumer staples

outperformed, while industrial and technology companies

underperformed. The Marlin portfolio rose 2.7% on a gross

performance basis.

Research trip to the United States

One of the benefits of managing global equities from New

Zealand is that we are a step removed from day-to-day market

noise. US and European markets are closed during New

Zealand office hours so we aren’t glued to our Bloomberg

screens. We also get fewer interruptions and visits from share

brokers, which means we can spend more time focusing on

the fundamentals of the businesses Marlin holds and those

which Marlin may hold in the future. We think this environment

is conducive to clearer thinking and more rational decision

making, less influenced by market chatter and sentiment.

That said, because the quality of management is a critical

factor in our decision making, we do travel overseas regularly

to meet the management teams of the companies we invest

in and to research new investment leads. Our Senior

Investment Analysts Harry and Chris recently returned

from two weeks in the US doing just this. On their travels

through Boston, New York, Los Angeles and Washington

they met with management of around 40 companies

including five of the existing portfolio companies and a

number of companies on our watch list. We came away

from these meetings feeling positive about the prospects

of the portfolio companies, and were able to get further

insights into management plans and share our views on

their strategy.

These meetings and the conferences we attended also

gave us further insight into what is happening on the

ground in various segments of the US economy. The

sentiment of the companies we met was generally upbeat.

Companies continue to invest heavily in IT and digital

strategies which is positive for portfolio companies such

as Cognizant, Descartes and Alphabet. Retailers are

more upbeat than a year ago, with low unemployment, tax

cuts and increasing wages for many Americans pushing

consumer confidence to near record highs. Portfolio

holding, TJX Companies, the off-price retailer, is seeing

this in its stores and its share price continued to climb

during June (+5%) following its strong results last month.

During our trip we also sat down with Doug Baker, CEO of

hygiene solutions company Ecolab, to discuss the growth

opportunities ahead and the actions the company is

taking to stay ahead of competitors. Doug is a particularly

impressive CEO, has been with the company for almost 30

years and in our opinion, it is hard to find a better operator.

Doug is a significant shareholder himself and during his

time as CEO has delivered 12% annual growth in earnings

per share, an increasing dividend and significant value for

shareholders. The company partners with global restaurant

chains, hospitals and manufacturers, providing them with

cleaning systems at a low price, but then earning healthy

margins on the highly recurring revenue generated from

selling the detergent and chemicals needed to operate

the machines. Despite its products often appearing more

expensive than competitors, the company’s innovative

1

Share Price Discount to NAV (including warrant price on a pro-rated basis)

WARRANT PRICE

$

0.06

2
Sector Split

as at 30 June 2018

Key Details

as at 30 June 2018

FUND TYPE

Listed Investment Company

INVESTS IN

Growing international companies

LISTING DATE

1 November 2007

FINANCIAL YEAR END

30 June

TYPICAL PORTFOLIO SIZE

25-35 stocks

INVESTMENT CRITERIA

Long-term growth

PERFORMANCE

OBJECTIVE

Long-term growth of capital and

dividends

TAX STATUS

Portfolio Investment Entity (PIE)

MANAGER

Fisher Funds Management

Limited

MANAGEMENT

FEE RATE

1.25% of gross asset value

(reduced by 0.10% for every 1% of

underperformance relative to the

change in the NZ 90 Day Bank Bill

Index with a floor of 0.75%)

PERFORMANCE

FEE HURDLE

Changes in the NZ 90 Day Bank

Bill Index + 5%

PERFORMANCE FEE

15% of returns in excess of

benchmark and high water mark

HIGH WATER MARK

$0.83

SHARES ON ISSUE

119m

MARKET CAPITALISATION

$103m

GEARING

None (maximum permitted 20%

of gross asset value)

33

%


TECHNOLOGY

9

%

INDUSTRIALS

22

%


CONSUMER

23

%


HEALTHCARE

Geographical Split

as at 30 June 2018

18

%

WEST EUROPE

75

%

NORTH AMERICA

8

%

FINANCIALS

5

%


ASIA

Ashley Gardyne

Senior Portfolio Manager

Fisher Funds Management Limited

systems often clean with less water, energy and human

labour – making the overall process cheaper for customers.

This innovation combined with a large direct sales force

has allowed them to continually take share from smaller

competitors.

We also met with the CEO of LKQ Corp, Dominick Zarcone,

to discuss the company’s growth aspirations in Europe. LKQ is

the largest provider of recycled and aftermarket car parts for

collision repairs in the US and mechanical repairs in Europe.

LKQ had significant success in the US over the last 15 years

consolidating the market for collision repair parts, and is now

looking to replicate this success in Europe (albeit largely in

parts used for mechanical repairs). Both markets are highly

fragmented with LKQ’s scale providing procurement and

distribution advantages, and significantly higher fulfilment

rates, which attracts customers and drives further market

share gains. We expect the company to continue to grow

organically and through acquisitions, while also investing in

productivity solutions (like their new automated distribution

facility in the UK) which should increase profit margins.

The Marlin portfolio also holds cash.

2

%


ENERGY

The Marlin portfolio also holds cash.

June’s Biggest Movers in local currency terms
Typically the Marlin portfolio will be invested 90% or more in equities.

DESCARTES

+11

%

HEXCEL

-6

%

ALIBABA

-6

%

UNITED PARCEL

SERVICES

-9

%

PANDORA

-11

%

5 Largest Portfolio Positions as at 30 June 2018

ALPHABET

7

%

PAYPAL

6

%

TJX COMPANIES

5

%

ALIBABA

5

%

ESSILOR

5

%

The remaining portfolio is made up of another 20 stocks and cash.

Nov

2007

Nov

2008

Nov

2009

Nov

2010

Nov

2011

Nov

2012

Nov

2014

Nov

2013

Share Price/Total Shareholder Return

Share PriceTotal Shareholder Return

Nov

2015

$

1.00

$

1.20

$

0.8 0

$

0.60

$

0.40

$

1.80

$

0.20

$

0.00

$

1.40

Nov

2016

$

1.60

Nov

2017

$

2.00

Total Shareholder Return to 30 June 2018

Performance to 30 June 2018

1 Month3 Months1 Year3 Years

(annualised)

Since Inception

(annualised)

Corporate Performance

Total Shareholder Return+1.5%+6.6%+21.5%+9.7%+6.2%

Adjusted NAV Return+2.5%+6.3%+23.3%+10.3%+7.0%

Manager Performance

Gross Performance Return +2.7%+7.3%+26.6%+14.2%+10.7%

Benchmark Index^+1.3%+5.5%+17.1%+10.3%+7.9%

3

^Benchmark index: World Small Cap Gross Index until 30 October 2015 & S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap Index (50% hedged to NZD) from 1 October 2015

Non-GAAP Financial Information

Marlin uses non-GAAP measures, including adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return. The rationale for using such non-GAAP measures is as follows:

»adjusted net asset value – the underlying value of the investment portfolio adjusted for capital allocation decisions after fees and tax,

»adjusted NAV return – the net return to an investor after fees and tax,

»gross performance return – the Manager’s portfolio performance in terms of stock selection and hedging of currency movements, and

»total shareholder return – the return to an investor who reinvests their dividends, and if in the money, exercises their warrants at warrant maturity date for additional shares.

All references to adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return in this monthly update are to such non-GAAP measures. The calculations applied to non-GAAP

measures are described in the Marlin Non-GAAP Financial Information Policy. A copy of the policy is available at http://marlin.co.nz/about-marlin/marlin-policies/

Disclaimer: The information in this update has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is by
necessity brief. The information and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Marlin Global Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy

or completeness. The update is not intended to constitute professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from an

authorised financial adviser should be taken before making an investment. To the extent that the update contains data relating to the historical performance of Marlin Global Limited or its portfolio

companies, please note that fund performance can and will vary and that future results may have no correlation with results historically achieved.

Marlin Global Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740

Phone: +64 9 484 0365 | Fax: +64 9 489 7139

Email: enquire@marlin.co.nz | www.marlin.co.nz

4

Computershare Investor Services Limited

Private Bag 92119, Auckland 1142

Phone: +64 9 488 8777 | Fax: +64 9 488 8787

Email: enquiry@computershare.co.nz | www.computershare.com/nz

About

Marlin Global

Marlin is an investment company

listed on the New Zealand Stock

Exchange. The company gives

shareholders an opportunity to

invest in a diversified portfolio of

between 25 and 35 quality growing

international companies (excluding

New Zealand and Australia)

through a single, professionally

managed investment. The aim

of Marlin is to offer investors

competitive returns through capital

growth and dividends.

Capital Management Strategies

Regular Dividends

»Quarterly distribution policy introduced in

August 2010

»Under this policy, 2% of average NAV is targeted

to be paid to shareholders quarterly

»Dividends paid by Marlin may include dividends

received, interest income, investment gains

and/or return of capital

»Shareholders who prefer to have increased

capital rather than a regular income stream have

the opportunity to participate in the company’s

dividend reinvestment plan (DRP)

»Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3%

discount to market price

»Marlin became a portfolio investment entity on

1 October 2007. As a result, dividends paid to

New Zealand tax resident shareholders have not

been subject to further tax

Share Buyback Programme

»Marlin has a buyback programme in place allowing

it (if it elects to do so) to acquire up to 5.9m of its

shares on market in the year to 31 October 2018

»Shares bought back by the company are held as

treasury stock

» Shares held as treasury stock are available to be

re-issued for the dividend reinvestment plan

Warrants

»On 16 April 2018, a new issue of warrants (MLNWC)

was announced

»The warrants were issued at no cost to eligible

shareholders and in the ratio of one warrant for

every four Marlin shares held

»Exercise Price = $0.83 per warrant, to be adjusted

down for dividends declared during the period up

to the Exercise Date

»Exercise Date = 12 April 2019

»The final Exercise Price will be announced and an

Exercise Form will be posted to warrant holders in

March 2019


Management

Marlin’s portfolio is managed

by Fisher Funds Management

Limited. Ashley Gardyne (Senior

Portfolio Manager), Chris

Waters and Harry Smith (Senior

Investment Analysts) have prime

responsibility for managing

the Marlin portfolio. Together

they have significant combined

experience and are very capable

of researching and investing in

the quality global companies that

Marlin targets. Fisher Funds is

based in Takapuna, Auckland.


Board

The Manager has authority

delegated to it from the

Board to invest according to

the Management Agreement

and other written policies.

The Board of Marlin

comprises independent

directors Alistair Ryan (Chair),

Carol Campbell and Andy

Coupe; and non-independent

director Carmel Fisher.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.