Genesis Energy Limited logo

FY18 Q4 Performance Report

Quarterly Update17 July 2018GNEUtilities

18 July 2018
FY18 Q4

Performance Report

G E N E S I S E N E R G Y L I M I T E D

FY18
2Q4 PERFORMANCE REPORT

Q4 FY18 Performance Summary

-Customerchurnfellnearly4percentagepointsonthepriorcomparableperiod(pcp)to

18%andcustomerswithmorethanoneproductwereupby5,181.Netbackfell5%on

pcpto$82/MWhduetoincreasedinvestmentinmarketingandbusinesssalesteams,

andincreasedB2Bvolumes.

-Totalelectricitysalesvolumewasup9%to1,642GWh,B2Bincreased23%,offsetbya

1%fallinresidentialsalesvolumes.

-Totalgassalesvolumewasup12%to2.1PJ,B2Bup16%,andtotalLPGsalesvolumeup

119%onpcp.

-Tekapo’s80MWgeneratorreturnedtoserviceon2JunewithLakeTekapostorageat

144%ofaverage.

-Averagegenerationpricereceivedwas$84/MWh.LWAP/GWAPratiowasdown5

percentagepointsto98%,apositiveresult.

-Totalgenerationvolumewasdown16%onpcpto1,603GWh.Carbonemissionswere

down14%onpcpto454ktCO

2

.

-Fieldproductionforthequarterwas83%ofmaximumcapacity,down13percentage

pointsonpcp,partlyduetoa4.5dayplantoutageandlowerdemandfromgeneration.

Gasproductionwasdownonpcpfrom3.0PJto2.7PJ.

-LPGsaleswereup8%onpcpto11.8ktwithLPGyieldat4.29t/TJofgasproduced,up

14%onpcp.

-196kbblofoilsaleswererecorded,down21%onpcp.Averagespotpriceforoilwasup

50%onpcp,toUSD74/bbl.

Genesis’ investment in

brand and Energy

Management

products and service

levels are having a

measurable impact on

brand perception,

resulting in below

market churn rates.

James Magill, Executive General

Manager Product Marketing

Customer

Wholesale

Kupe

Wholesale

Wholesale

Kupe

-3,000
-2,000

-1,000

-

1,000

2,000

3,000

Jul-17

Aug-17

Sep-17

Oct-17

Nov-17

Dec-17

Jan-18

Feb-18

Mar-18

Apr-18

May-18

Jun-18

Net Customer & ICP Movement

Net Customer MovementNet ICP Movement

FY18

3

Customer Segment Performance

Highs

Lows

22.8%

2.1 PJ

Total gas sales

volumes

12.3%

$82/MWh

Netback down due to

B2B volume increase &

investment in growth

5.1%

737 GWh

B2B electricity

sales

Q4 PERFORMANCE REPORT

Customer > 1

Product

5,181 up on Q4 FY17

1,642 GWh

Total Electricity

retail sales volumes

9.0%

1.2%

851 GWh

Residential electricity

sales volume

1.2%

0.7 PJ

Residential gas

sales volume

10%

Genesis Brand Net

Promoter score climbs

9 ppt

NET CUSTOMER & ICP MOVEMENT (ALL FUELS)

Customer Churn

1

Down from 21.1% Q4

FY17 to 17.5%

3.6 ppt

5.0%

1. Based on losing and gaining accounts under a Single Customer View

FY18
4

Wholesale Segment Performance

$84/MWh

Average price received

for generation

6.1%

LWAP / GWAP

Ratio down due to

portfolio optimisation

5 ppt

Tekapo

80 MW returned to

service on 2 June

2018

86.5%

Equipment Availability

Factor (EAF) down

partly due to Tekapo

outage

7.1%

283 ktCO2

Generation

emissions down

Q4 PERFORMANCE REPORT

Highs

Lows

310 kilotonne

Huntly coal stockpile

inventory levels optimised

11.0%

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

$-

$50

$100

$150

$200

$250

$300

$350

1-Apr6-Apr

11-Apr16-Apr21-Apr26-Apr

1-May6-May

11-May16-May21-May26-May31-May

5-Jun

10-Jun15-Jun20-Jun25-Jun

Lake Storage

(GWh)

Wholesale Price

($/MWh)

Benmore (BEN2201)Otahuhu (OTA2201)

Storage Long Run Average (RHS)FY2018 Storage

Source: COMIT/Genesis Energy

DAILY AVERAGE WHOLESALE PRICES &NATIONAL HYDRO

13.7%

727 GWh

Renewable generation

down partly due to

Tekapooutage

12.7%

FY18
5

Kupe Segment Performance

11.8 kt

LPG sales up in line

with gas and

improved yield

7.8%

13.4%

USD74/bbl

Average Brent Crude

spot oil price

196 kbbl

Kupe year-end oil

sales

External

Sales

GNE 46% Kupe share

120 kbblOil11.8 ktLPG

2.7 PJ Gas

Fuels Portfolio

Electricity Generation

Wholesale Market

Retail Customers

1,642 GWh Electricity

2.0 PJ Gas

2.1 PJ Gas

4.9 ktLPG

10.0 ktLPG

1,603 GWh Electricity

10.0 PJ Gas

1.6 PJ Coal

0 GJ Diesel

722 GWh Hydro

6 GWh Wind

876 GWh Thermal

196 kbbl Oil

14.9 ktLPG

0.1 ktLPG

External

Purchases

7.3 PJ Gas

2.4 PJ Coal

3.2 ktLPG

0.1 PJ Coal

49.6%

Q4 INTEGRATED PHYSICAL ENERGY FLOWS

1

Q4 PERFORMANCE REPORT

Highs

Lows

4.29 t/TJ

LPG yield

14.3%

1.LPG difference represents movement in storage

2.7 PJ

Gas production

down due to plant

outage and lower

generation demand

4.5 day

outage but had limited

impact on production

FY18
6

Glossary

Q4 PERFORMANCE REPORT

CUSTOMER

Brand Net Promoter ScoreBased on survey question "How likely would you be to recommend Genesis Energy/Energy Online to your friends or family?"

Electricity Market ShareMarket share based on Electricity Authority data for the end of quarter

Gas Market ShareMarket share based on Gas Industry Company data for the end of quarter

CustomersElectricity and gas customers are defined by single customer view, regardless of number of connections (ICP's)

Single Customer ViewRepresents unique customers which may have multiple ICP's

ICPInstallation Connection Point, a connection point that is both occupied and has not been disconnected (Active-Occupied)

Customer ChurnBased on losing and gaining accounts under a Single Customer View

MVPMinimal Viable Product

Resi, SME, C&IResidential, small and medium enterprises and commercial & industrial customers

Volume Weighted Average Electricity Selling Price - $/MWhAverage selling price for customers including lines/transmission and distribution and after prompt payment discount

Volume Weighted Average Gas Selling Price - $/MWhAverage selling price for customers including lines/transmission and distribution and after prompt payment discount

Average Retail Electricity Purchase Price - LWAP ($/MWh)Excludes settlements from electricity derivatives.

LPG Customer ConnectionsDefined as number of customers

Bottled LPG Sales (tonnes)Represents 45kg LPG bottle sales

Other Bulk and SME LPG Sales (tonnes)Represents bulk, 3rd party distributors and SME sales

Wholesale LPG Sales (tonnes)Represents wholesale, export sales and transfers to Huntly power station

Electricity Sales - Wholesale (GWh)Includes contracts for difference and options (excluding futures)

Electricity Purchases - Wholesale (GWh)Includes contracts for difference and options (excluding futures)

Retail Netback ($/MWh)Customer Segment EBITDAF plus electricity and gas purchase cost divided by total electricity and gas sales volumes

GENERATION

Coal (GWh)Coal generation is calculated by applying coal burn to monthly average heat rates

Average Price Received for Generation - GWAP ($/MWh) Excludes settlements from electricity derivatives.

Coal Used In Internal Generation (PJ)Results have been revised to reflect changes in coal kilo tonnes to PJ conversion rate and volume methodology

Rankines Fuelled by Coal (%)The proportion of coal used in the Rankine units

Equipment Availability Factor (EAF)The percentage of time a power station is available to generate electricity

Forced Outage Factor (FOF)The percentage of time a power station is unavailable to generate electricity due to unplanned failure or defect.

WHOLESALE

Weighted Average Fuel Cost ($/MWh)Total cost of fuel burnt plus emissions on fuel burnt divided by total generation (thermal, hydro and wind)

CORPORATE

Total Recordable Injury Frequency RateRolling 12 month TRIFR per 200,000 hours worked for employees and contractors

Headcount Based on full time equivalents, excluding contractors

KUPE

Oil Hedge Levels (%)% hedged for remainder of FY as % of forecast sales

FY18
7

Customer Metrics

1. June 2017 customer numbers restated post LPG integration.

Q4 PERFORMANCE REPORT

2. Historical LPG figures restated post LPG integration.

CUSTOMER SEGMENTQ4 FY18Q4 FY17

% ChangeVar.

YTD FY18YTD FY17

% ChangeVar.

CUSTOMER

Brand Net Promoter Score - Genesis Energy (%)10.0% 1.0% 900.0% 9.0%

Retail Netback ($/MWh)$81.92$86.29(5.1%)($4.38)$80.33$83.81(4.2%)($3.48)

CUSTOMER NUMBERS

1

Electricity Only Customers341,545 357,900 (4.6%)(16,355)

Gas Only Customers18,444 19,134 (3.6%)(690)

LPG Only Customers35,639 33,435 6.6%2,204

Customers > 1 Product109,767 104,586 5.0%5,181

Total Customers505,395 515,055 (1.9%)(9,660)

Electricity ICPs Active-Occupied503,234 513,725 (2.0%)(10,491)

Gas ICPs Active-Occupied106,082 106,909 (0.8%)(827)

Total ICPs609,316 620,634 (1.8%)(11,318)

VOLUMES AND PRICE

Volume Weighted Average Electricity Selling Price - Resi ($/MWh)$249.93$252.79(1.1%)($2.86)$252.26$251.440.3%$0.81

Volume Weighted Average Electricity Selling Price - SME ($/MWh)$217.17$218.64(0.7%)($1.47)$216.66$215.380.6%$1.28

Volume Weighted Average Electricity Selling Price - C&I ($/MWh)$127.64$129.89(1.7%)($2.24)$121.46$120.041.2%$1.42

Residential Electricity Sales (GWh)851 862 (1.2%)(11) 3,088 3,227 (4.3%)(139)

SME Electricity Sales (GWh)265 261 1.5%4 1,081 1,096 (1.4%)(15)

C&I Electricity Sales (GWh)52538337.3%143 1,811 1,330 36.2%481

Electricity Sales - Retail (GWh)1,642 1,505 9.0%136 5,980 5,653 5.8%327

Electricity Sales - Wholesale (GWh)679 587 15.7%92 23891,998 19.6%391

Electricity Purchases - Retail (GWh)1,745 1,587 10.0%158 6,295 5,964 5.6%331

Electricity Purchases - Wholesale (GWh)591 284 108.4%308 18731,313 42.7%560

Average Retail Electricity Purchase Price - LWAP ($/MWh) $82.42$81.281.4%$1.14$92.12$60.5352.2%$31.59

LWAP/GWAP Ratio (%)98% 103% (4.4%) (4.6%) 101% 100% 0.7% 0.7%

Volume Weighted Average Gas Selling Price ($/GJ)$25.40$26.15(2.9%)($0.75)$27.12$27.14(0.1%)($0.02)

Residential Gas Sales (PJ)0.70.7(1.2%)(0.0) 2.72.8(5.2%)(0.1)

SME Gas Sales (PJ)0.40.49.7%0.0 1.41.43.6%0.1

C&I Gas Sales (PJ)1.00.826.2%0.2 3.43.17.0%0.2

Retail Gas Sales (PJ)2.11.912.3%0.2 7.57.41.7%0.1

LPG

2

LPG Customer Connections (#) 64,791 58,799 10.2%5,992

Bottled LPG Sales (tonnes)4,151 2,463 68.6%1,688 14,012 5,981 134.3%8,031

Other Bulk & SME LPG sales (tonnes)5,814 2,091 178.0%3,723 20,993 2,306 810.5%18,687

Total LPG Sales Volumes (tonnes)9,965 4,554 118.8%5,411 35,005 8,287 322.4%26,718

Wholesale LPG Sales (tonnes)4,996 7,658 (34.8%)(2,663) 29,668 24,792 19.7%4,876

FY18
8

Wholesale Metrics

Q4 PERFORMANCE REPORT

WHOLESALE SEGMENT

Q4 FY18

Q4 FY17

% Change

Var.

YTD FY18

YTD FY17

% Change

Var.

GENERATION

Gas (GWh)

740



927



(20.1%)

(187)



3,392



3,082



10.0%

309



Coal (GWh)

135



138



(2.2%)

(3)



657



186



254.2%

472



Total Thermal (GWh)

876



1,065



(17.8%)

(190)



4,049



3,268



23.9%

781



Hydro (GWh)

722



831



(13.2%)

(109)



3,036



3,133



(3.1%)

(98)



Wind (GWh)

6



4



37.6%

2



21



21



0.1%

0



Total Renewable (GWh)

727



835



(12.9%)

(108)



3,056



3,154



(3.1%)

(98)



Total Generation (GWh)

1,603



1,900



(15.7%)

(297)



7,105



6,422



10.6%

683



Average Price Received for Generation - GWAP ($/MWh)

$83.69

$78.88

6.1%

$4.81

$91.59

$60.63

51.1%

$30.96

Rankine Output (GWh)

183



271



(32.6%)

(89)



1,042



453



130.1%

589



Rankines Fueled by Coal (%)

74%



51%



45.2%



23%



63%



41%



54%



22%



Generation Emissions (ktCO

2

)

454



526



(13.7%)

(72)



2,137



1,474



45.0%

663



Generation Carbon Intensity (tCO

2

/GWh)

283



277



2.3%

6



301



230



31.1%

71



Forced Outage Factor (FOF)

10.1%



0.9%



971.0%



9.2%



4.6%



0.9%



419.8%



3.7%



Equipment Availability Factor (EAF)

86.5%

93.2%

(7.1%)

(6.7%)

91.1%

92.5%

(1.5%)

(1.4%)

WHOLESALE

Gas Purchases (PJ)

10.0

12.2

(18.5%)

(2.3)

45.9

45.6

0.8%

0.3

Coal Purchases (PJ)

2.4

1.4

72.8%

1.0

6.7

1.4

365.0%

5.2

Wholesale Gas Sales (PJ)

2.0

2.9

(31.1%)

(0.9)

11.8

14.2

(16.8%)

(2.4)

Wholesale Coal Sales (PJ)

0.1

0.1

(21.1%)

(0.0)

0.4

0.7

(48.0%)

(0.3)

Gas Used In Internal Generation (PJ)

5.8

7.4

(21.7%)

(1.6)

26.7

23.9

11.5%

2.8

Coal Used In Internal Generation (PJ)

1.6

1.5

4.8%

0.1

7.6

2.3

237.4%

5.4

Weighted Average Fuel Cost ($/MWh)

$38.13

$36.43

4.7%

$1.71

$37.91

$32.54

16.5%

$5.37

Coal Stockpile - closing balance (kilotonnes)

310.7

349.2

(11.0%)

(38.6)


FY18
9

Kupe and Other Metrics

1. TRIFR now being reported to include contractors. Prior period has been restated on same basis

Q4 PERFORMANCE REPORT

KUPE SEGMENT

Q4 FY18

Q4 FY17

% Change

Var.

YTD FY18

YTD FY17

% Change

Var.

KUPE

Gas Production (PJ)

2.7



3.1



(13.4%)

(0.4)



11.8



9.3



25.9%

2.4

Oil Production (kbbl)

119.5



152.3



(21.5%)

(32.8)



533



475.9



12.0%

56.9

Oil Sales (kbbl)

196.4



247.6



(20.7%)

(51.2)



533



507



5.2%

26.5

Average Brent Crude Oil (USD/bbl)

$74.35

$49.69

49.6%

$24.66

$63.65

$49.70

28.1%

$13.95

LPG Sales (kt)

11.8



10.9



7.8%

0.9



46.1



32.1



43.6%

14.0

LPG Production (kt)

11.5



11.6



(1.0%)

(0.1)



45.9



32.8



40.1%

13.1

OTHER

Q4 FY18

Q4 FY17

% Change

Var.

YTD FY18

YTD FY17

% Change

Var.

CORPORATE

1

Headcount (FTE)

1,041



754



38.1%

287



Total Recordable Injury Frequency Rate

1.25



0.78



60.3%

0.47


FY18
10

Appendix: Customer Segment

Q4 PERFORMANCE REPORT

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

Q1 FY14

Q2Q3Q4

Q1 FY15

Q2Q3Q4

Q1 FY16

Q2Q3Q4

Q1 FY17

Q2Q3Q4

Q1 FY18

Q2Q3Q4

Tonnes

Tonnes

LPG SALES VOLUMES (tonnes)

Quarterly Retail LPG Sales Volumes

Quarterly Bulk/SME LPG Sales Volume

Rolling 12month sales volume (RHS)

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

Q1 FY14

Q2Q3Q4

Q1 FY15

Q2Q3Q4

Q1 FY16

Q2Q3Q4

Q1 FY17

Q2Q3Q4

Q1 FY18

Q2Q3Q4

GWhGWh

ELECTRICITY SALES VOLUMES (GWh)

Quarterly C&I Sales VolumesQuarterly Resi Sales Volumes

Quarterly SME Sales VolumesRolling 12month sales volume (RHS)

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

Q1 FY14

Q2Q3Q4

Q1 FY15

Q2Q3Q4

Q1 FY16

Q2Q3Q4

Q1 FY17

Q2Q3Q4

Q1 FY18

Q2Q3Q4

PJPJ

RETAIL GAS SALES VOLUMES (PJ)

Quarterly C&I Sales VolumesQuarterly Resi Sales Volumes

Quarterly SME Sales VolumesRolling 12month sales volume (RHS)

FY18
11

Appendix: Wholesale Segment

Q4 PERFORMANCE REPORT

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

JulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJun

GWh

TEKAPO STORAGE vs LONG RUN AVERAGE -Q4 FY2018

Tekapo Storage

Source: COMIT

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

JulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJun

GWh

WAIKAREMOANA STORAGE vs LONG RUN AVERAGE -Q4 FY2018

Waikaremoana Storage

Source: COMIT

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJun

GWh

NEW ZEALAND DAILY STORAGE

91 year Average12month Rolling

Source: COMIT

FY18
12

Appendix: Wholesale Segment

PLANT PERFORMANCE

Q4 PERFORMANCE REPORT

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

18%

20%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Jan-15

Mar-15

May-15

Jul-15

Sep-15

Nov-15

Jan-16

Mar-16

May-16

Jul-16

Sep-16

Nov-16

Jan-17

Mar-17

May-17

Jul-17

Sep-17

Nov-17

Jan-18

Mar-18

May-18

Forced Outage Factor (FOF) %

Equipment Availability Factor (EAF) %

Monthly EAFMonthly FOF

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

Q4 2018Q4 2017Q4 YTD 2018Q4 YTD 2017

GWh

Hau Nui Wind Farm

Tekapo A and B power stations

Waikaremoana Power Scheme

Tongariro Power Scheme

Huntly Unit 6

Huntly Unit 5

Huntly Units 1 to 4 Gas

Huntly Units 1 to 4 Coal

GENERATION BY POWER STATION

TAKE-OR-PAY FORWARD GAS PURCHASES

1

–Q4 DISCLOSURE

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

FY19FY20FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

PJ

$7.50 -

$8.50

1. Represents gas contracts under which Genesis is required to take the product

or pay a penalty. Includes Kupe and PPI adjustments

$8.00 -

$9.00

$8.00 -

$9.00

$8.00 -

$9.00

$8.50 -

$9.50

$8.50 -

$9.50

$8.50 -

$9.50

FY18
13

Appendix: Kupe Segment

OIL PRICE and FOREX RISK MANAGEMENT

BRENT CRUDE OIL SPOT PRICE (USD/bbl)

Q4 PERFORMANCE REPORT

KUPE GAS VOLUMES (PJ)

KUPE OIL PRODCUTION VOLUMES (kbbl)

$30

$40

$50

$60

$70

$80

JulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJun

12 mths to Jun1712 mths to Jun18

380.0

420.0

460.0

500.0

540.0

580.0

-

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0

100.0

120.0

140.0

160.0

180.0

Q1 FY13Q2 FY13Q3 FY13Q4 FY13Q1 FY14Q2 FY14Q3 FY14Q4 FY14Q1 FY15Q2 FY15Q3 FY15Q4 FY15Q1 FY16Q2 FY16Q3 FY16Q4 FY16Q1 FY17Q2 FY17Q3 FY17Q4 FY17Q1 FY18Q2 FY18Q3 FY18Q4 FY18

‘000 barrels

‘000 barrels

Quarterly Production VolumeRolling 12 Months Sales Volume (RHS)

-

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

-

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

Q1 FY13Q2 FY13Q3 FY13Q4 FY13Q1 FY14Q2 FY14Q3 FY14Q4 FY14Q1 FY15Q2 FY15Q3 FY15Q4 FY15Q1 FY16Q2 FY16Q3 FY16Q4 FY16Q1 FY17Q2 FY17Q3 FY17Q4 FY17Q1 FY18Q2 FY18Q3 FY18Q4 FY18

PJ

PJ

Quarterly Sales VolumeRolling 12 Months Sales Volume (RHS)

FORWARD RISK MANAGEMENT

Oil Price Hedges (USD)

% Hedged

Average Oil Price

1-12 months

70%

$54.70

13-24 months

61%

$56.50

25-36 months

41%

$61.10

USD/NZD Hedges

Rate

1-12 months

63%

0.684

13-24 months

54%

0.700

25-36 months

15%

0.691

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

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