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KFL – August 2018 monthly update

Operational Update13 August 2018KFLFinancials

1
Monthly Update

August 2018

A word from the Manager

Market Environment

The New Zealand market finally slowed relative to its

international peers in July with the S&P/NZX50G closing

down -0.2%. We also saw more variability in performance

of individual companies compared to recent times, where a

rising tide has lifted most boats.

One reason for the weaker performance by New Zealand

(aside from a necessary breather after the recent stellar run)

could be the domestic confidence surveys, which showed

business confidence levels continuing to weaken during

July. While New Zealand’s strong economic growth has

outperformed other developed economies in the past few

years, we are seeing a subtle shift in this trend as other

economies around the world (for example the US) have

seen a pick-up in growth. The Kingfish portfolio is exposed

to this pick-up, with around half the portfolio companies’

revenue derived offshore.

Portfolio Developments

July proved a busy one for Kingfish with a number of

portfolio companies providing results and announcing

meaningful market updates.

Abano modestly beat our expectations at its fiscal year

2018 result, driven by improvement in same-clinic sales in

the second half – New Zealand finished the year +3.3%

and Australia was flat (after being down -1.6% in the first

half). Pleasingly the company is also achieving favourable

Net Promoter Scores, ahead of peers, suggesting recent

investment in rebranding may be starting to pay off.

The a2 Milk Company provided a fiscal year 2018 trading

update, with revenue of $922 million slightly ahead of the

top end of May guidance ($900-920 million) and earnings

margins broadly in line with expectations. The company

also indicated that the market should expect a step up in

marketing spend in China and the US. The a2 Milk story

remains strongly driven by continued sales growth in

Chinese infant formula plus the launch of its first products

in conjunction with new joint venture partner Fonterra. Co-

branded Anchor and a2 Milk is on its way to a supermarket

near you!

Delegat provided net operating profit guidance for its

upcoming fiscal year result of $44.9 million, beating its

guidance for “at least $40.7 million” and ahead of most

expectations. This is a vintage result, which reflected the

benefits of lower costs per case underpinned by good

previous harvests.

Michael Hill announced its fourth quarter sales, which

generally showed a deceleration in the three continuing

segments (Australia, New Zealand, Canada), albeit Australia

and Canada were lapping strong prior periods. The company

closed all its US stores and 24 of the 30 Emma & Roe stores,

with the balance to close in the first quarter of the new fiscal

year as the focus returns to the core Michael Hill brand.

Mainfreight held its Annual Shareholder Meeting during July

and reported a generally positive outlook with comments

including “a growing confidence due to improved trading

results” and that “April to June has seen strong revenue

growth; profit has improved accordingly”. Other comments

indicated that this optimism is likely to translate to a strong

first half result with the company “quietly positive” that

results will sustain through FY19. This is relatively positive

language from a company that tends to set a high bar for

performance. All geographies appear to be trucking along

well, with particular emphasis that they “expect to see Asia

and the Americas improve markedly” after having been

below expectations recently.

Sam Dickie

Senior Portfolio Manager

Fisher Funds Management Limited

1

Share Price Discount to NAV (including warrant price on a pro-rated basis)

KFL NAV

$

1.52

SHARE PRICE

$

1.40

DISCOUNT

1

7.0

%

as at 31 July 2018

WARRANT PRICE

$

0.06

2
Sector Split

as at 31 July 2018

Key Details

as at 31 July 2018

FUND TYPE

Listed Investment Company

INVESTS IN

Growing New Zealand companies

LISTING DATE

31 March 2004

FINANCIAL YEAR END

31 March

TYPICAL PORTFOLIO SIZE

15-25 stocks

INVESTMENT CRITERIA

Long term growth

PERFORMANCE

OBJECTIVE

Long term growth of capital and

dividends

TAX STATUS

Portfolio Investment Entity (PIE)

MANAGER

Fisher Funds Management

Limited

MANAGEMENT

FEE RATE

1.25% of gross asset value

(reduced by 0.10% for every 1% of

underperformance relative to the

change in the NZ 90 Day Bank Bill

Index with a floor of 0.75%)

PERFORMANCE

FEE HURDLE

Changes in the NZ 90 Day Bank

Bill Index + 7%

PERFORMANCE FEE

15% of returns in excess of

benchmark and high water mark

HIGH WATER MARK

$1.41

SHARES ON ISSUE

193m

MARKET CAPITALISATION

271m

GEARING

None (maximum permitted 20%

of gross asset value)

Performance

to 31 July 2018

1 Month3 Months1 Year3 Years

(annualised)

5 Years

(annualised)

Corporate Performance

Total Shareholder Return+1.8%+8.7%+19.8%+10.9%+11.2%

Adjusted NAV Return+0.1%+8.5%+16.5%+14.4%+12.9%

Manager Performance

Gross Performance Return+0.2%+0.9%+18.4%+17.1%+15.6%

S&P/NZX50G Index(0.2%)+5.7%+16.0%+14.6%+14.5%

Non-GAAP Financial Information

Kingfish uses non-GAAP measures, including adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return. The rationale for using such non-GAAP measures is as follows:

»adjusted net asset value – the underlying value of the investment portfolio adjusted for capital allocation decisions after fees and tax,

»adjusted NAV return – the net return to an investor after fees and tax,

»gross performance return – the Manager’s portfolio performance in terms of stock selection, and

»total shareholder return – the return to an investor who reinvests their dividends, and if in the money, exercises their warrants at warrant maturity date for additional shares.

All references to adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return in this monthly update are to such non-GAAP measures. The calculations applied to non-

GAAP measures are described in the Kingfish Non-GAAP Financial Information Policy. A copy of the policy is available at http://kingfish.co.nz/about-kingfish/kingfish-policies/

5

%

28

%

INDUSTRIALS

10

%


UTILITIES

INFORMATION

TECHNOLOGY

29

%

HEALTHCARE

6

%


CASH

10

%

CONSUMER

STAPLES

3

%


MATERIALS

9

%

CONSUMER

DISCRETIONARY

Total Shareholder Return
to 31 July 2018

Mar

2004

Mar

2005

Mar

2006

Mar

2007

Mar

2008

Mar

2009

Mar

2010

Mar

2011

Mar

2012

Mar

2014

Mar

2015

Mar

2013

Mar

2016

Share Price/Total Shareholder Return

$

2.50

$

3.00

$

2.0 0

$

1.50

$

1.00

Share PriceTotal Shareholder Return

$

4.50

$

0.50

$

0.00

Mar

2017

$

3.50

Mar

2018

$

4.00

July’s Biggest Movers

Typically the Kingfish portfolio will be invested 90% or more in equities.

The remaining portfolio is made up of another 11 stocks and cash.

5 Largest Portfolio Positions

as at 31 July 2018

VISTA GROUP

+10

%

DELEGAT GROUP

+6

%

INFRATIL

+2

%

MICHAEL HILL

-5

%

THE A2 MILK COMPANY

-9

%

FISHER & PAYKEL

HEALTHCARE

12

%

MAINFREIGHT

11

%

RYMAN HEALTHCARE

10

%

FREIGHTWAYS

8

%

INFRATIL

7

%

3

Disclaimer: The information in this update has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is
by necessity brief. The information and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Kingfish Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy

or completeness. The update is not intended to constitute professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from an

authorised financial adviser should be taken before making an investment. To the extent that the update contains data relating to the historical performance of Kingfish Limited or its portfolio companies,

please note that fund performance can and will vary and that future results may have no correlation with results historically achieved.

Kingfish Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740

Phone: +64 9 489 7094 | Fax: +64 9 489 7139

Email: enquire@kingfish.co.nz | www.kingfish.co.nz

4

Computershare Investor Services Limited

Private Bag 92119, Auckland 1142

Phone: +64 9 488 8777 | Fax: +64 9 488 8787

Email: enquiry@computershare.co.nz | www.computershare.com/nz

About Kingfish

Kingfish is an investment company

listed on the New Zealand Stock

Exchange. The company gives

shareholders an opportunity to

invest in a diversified portfolio

of between 15 and 25 quality

growing New Zealand companies

through a single, professionally

managed investment. The aim

of Kingfish is to offer investors

competitive returns through

capital growth and dividends.

Capital Management Strategies

Regular Dividends

»Quarterly distribution policy introduced in

June 2009

»Under this policy, 2% of average NAV is targeted

to be paid to shareholders quarterly

»Dividends paid by Kingfish may include dividends

received, interest income, investment gains

and/or return of capital

»Shareholders who prefer to have increased

capital rather than a regular income stream have

the opportunity to participate in the company’s

dividend reinvestment plan (DRP)

»Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3%

discount to market price

»Kingfish became a portfolio investment entity on

1 October 2007. As a result, dividends paid to

New Zealand tax resident shareholders have not

been subject to further tax

Share Buyback Programme

»Kingfish has a buyback programme in place allowing

it (if it elects to do so) to acquire up to 9.4m of its

shares on market in the year to 31 October 2018

»Shares bought back by the company are held as

treasury stock

» Shares held as treasury stock are available to be

re-issued for the dividend reinvestment plan and to

pay performance fees

Warrants

»On 2 July 2018, a new issue of warrants (KFLWE) was

announced

»The warrants were issued at no cost to eligible

shareholders and in the ratio of one warrant for

every four Kingfish shares held

»Exercise Price = $1.37 per warrant, to be adjusted

down for dividends declared during the period up to

the Exercise Date

»Exercise Date = 12 July 2019

»The final Exercise Price will be announced and an

Exercise Form will be posted to warrant holders in

June 2019

Management

Kingfish’s portfolio is managed

by Fisher Funds Management

Limited. Sam Dickie (Senior

Portfolio Manager), Zoie Regan

(Senior Investment Analyst) and

Matt Peek (Investment Analyst)

have prime responsibility for

managing the Kingfish portfolio.

Together they have over 40 years

combined experience and are

very capable of researching and

investing in the quality New

Zealand companies that Kingfish

targets. Fisher Funds is based in

Takapuna, Auckland.

Board

The Manager has authority

delegated to it from the

Board to invest according to

the Management Agreement

and other written policies.

The Board of Kingfish

comprises independent

directors Alistair Ryan (Chair),

Carol Campbell and Andy

Coupe; and non-independent

director Carmel Fisher.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.