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Investor Roadshow presentation – September 2018

Investor Presentation19 September 2018CENUtilities

United States, Toronto, London, Tokyo, Hong Kong, Singapore

Not financial product advice: This presentation is for information purposes only and is not financial or investment advice or a recommendation to acquire Contact Energy's (Contact)
securities, and has been prepared without taking into account the objectives, financial situation or needs of individuals. Before making an investment decision, prospective investors

should consider the appropriateness of the information having regard to their own objectives, financial situation and needs and consult an NZX Firm, or solicitor, accountant or other

professional adviser if necessary.

Past performance: Past performance information given in this presentation is given for illustrative purposes only and should not be relied uponas (and is not) an indication of future

performance.

Future performance: This presentation may contain projections or forward-looking statements regarding a variety of items. Such forward-looking statements are based upon current

expectations and involve risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ materially from those stated in any forward-looking statement based on a number of important factors and risks.

Although management may indicate and believe that the assumptions underlying the forward-looking statements are reasonable, any of the assumptions could prove inaccurate or

incorrect and, therefore, there can be no assurance that the results contemplated in the forward-looking statements will be realised.

Investment risk: An investment in securities in Contact is subject to investment and other known and unknown risks, some of which are beyond the control of Contact. Contact does

not guarantee any particular rate of return or the performance of Contact.

Financial data: All dollar values are in New Zealand dollars (NZ$ or NZD) unless otherwise stated. Any financial information provided in thispresentation is for illustrative purposes only

and is not represented as being indicative of Contact's views on its future financial condition and/or performance.

Disclaimer: Contact and its affiliates, related bodies corporate, directors, officers, partners, employees and agents: (i) exclude and disclaim all liability, for any expenses, losses,

damages or costs incurred by you as a result of any information in this presentation being inaccurate or incomplete in any way for any reason, whether by negligence or otherwise and

(ii) make no representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the adequacy, accuracy, reliability, fairness or completenessof information, statements, opinions, forecasts, reports or

other matters, express or implied, contained in, arising out of or derived from, or for omissions from, this presentation including, without limitation, any financial information, any estimates

or projections and any other financial information derived there from. Statements made in this presentation are made only asthe date of this presentation. The information in this

presentation remains subject to change without notice. Contact has no responsibility or obligation to inform you of any matter arising or coming to its notice, after the date of this

presentation, which may affect any matter referred to in this presentation.

Recipient's agreement: Each recipient, by reading this presentation, irrevocably agrees (i) to be bound by the limitations set out in this presentation; (ii) that it waives, and will not take

any action in relation to, any rights (if any) it may now or at any time in the future have against any or all of Contact andits respective, affiliates, related bodies corporate, directors,

officers, partners, employees and agents; and (iii) to conduct its own independent analysis of Contact and the presentation.

2

Chief Executive Officer
Dennis Barnes has been Chief Executive Officer of Contact since 2011.

Dennis has completed Contact’s NZD2bn investment programme in

renewable energy, flexible generation and companywide systems. Over

his time at Contact Dennis has provided industry leadership on topics as

wide ranging as wholesale electricity market structures and health and

safety reform. During 2015, Dennis successfully led Contact as its

majority shareholder exited and Contact diversified its shareholding base

and listed on the ASX. Prior to joining Contact, he was General Manager

Energy Risk Management at Origin where he oversaw Origin's significant

and expanding operations in wholesale markets. Prior to Origin, Dennis

held a number of positions operating in international energy markets;

including managerial roles at Scottish and English electricity companies.

Dennis' career began as a Metallurgist with Alcan and he holds a

BSc(Hons), GradDip(Marketing) and MBA.

3

New Zealand economy

New Zealand's stable economy and political system, reputation for innovation and
the ease of doing business make it an attractive place to invest

»Safe, stable and secure business environment

»Ease of doing business

»Comparatively low developed-country business costs

»Simple tax system

»Market orientated economy

»Innovative and entrepreneurial culture

»Policies to promote skills immigration

»Abundant natural resources

»Strong international transport links

»Stable banking sector with Reserve Bank supervision

»Modern telecommunications infrastructure

Sources: World Bank, 'Doing Business' 2018, MilkinInstitute 'Global Opportunity Index' 2016, 2016-17 World Economic Forum Global

Competitiveness index, Global Finance World's Safest Banks index, Heritage Foundation Index of Economic Freedom,Transparency

InternationalCorruption Perceptions index

5

6

Market dynamics

5
Major

generators

1

State-owned

national

transmission grid

operator

29

Distribution

businesses

33

Retailers

(44

brands)

2.1

Million

consumers

Hourly

wholesale

spot market

1/2

8

New Zealand enjoys a reliable, affordable and environmentally sustainable electricity system
“New Zealand

serves as a model

for effective energy

markets and secure

power system

operation”

International Energy

Agency (IEA)

New Zealand 2017 Review

Quality

renewable

resources

Progressive

regulatory

settings

Stable political

environment

Rational

market

competition

»Regulatory settings

have historically been

focused on creating a

progressive, efficient

market structure

»Industry dominated

by five integrated

companies

supplying 90% of

the market.

Capable new

entrant retailers

ensure the retail

market remains

competitive.

»Low cost, long-life

renewable

resources

including hydro,

wind and

geothermal, which

are cost

competitive with

gas and coal

»Strong bipartisan

support to reduce

greenhouse gas

Electrification of

transport

»Geothermal energy for

industrial process

9

40,399
40,041

41,067

41,18140,92741,254

FY13FY14FY15FY16FY17FY18

Annual demand

(GWh)

Financial year

Source: EMI

National electricity demand

7,507

7,380

7,280

7,265

7,046

6,997

201320142015201620172018

Annual usage

(KWh)

Year ending 31 March

Annual consumption per household (kWh)

Source: MBIE Quarterly Survey of Domestic Electricity Prices

National electricity demand of around 41,000 GWh

10

Agriculture,

forestry,

6%

Industrial,

38%

Commercial,

25%

Residential,

31%

Electricity consumption breakdown

Source: MBIE quartely electricity generation and consumption survey

»Despite the continued growth in new customer connections, lower residential

demand per connection and industrial closures have contributed to flat demand

»Currently ~10,000 EVs in the total light passenger fleet of ~3 million and currently

at 2% of vehicle registrations per month. Government target of 64,000 by 2021.

Electricity generation mix for 2017
11

58%

17%

5%

3%

15%

2%

Source: MBIE quartely electricity generation and consumption survey

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

20072008200920102011201220132014201520162017

New Zealand electricity supply 2007 -2017

»New Zealand has added subsidy free renewable generation, which, in a period of

flat demand, has displaced fossil fuels, with the percentage of generation from

renewables up from 65% in 2007

Hydro

Geothermal

Wind

Gas

Coal

Hydro

Geothermal

Wind

Gas

Coal

»Distributed generation (e.g. solar) comprises approximately 0.2%

of the total annual generation

Other

Other

12
National hydro storage against mean storage (controlled only)

Source: NZX hydro

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

Sep-98Sep-99Sep-00Sep-01Sep-02Sep-03Sep-04Sep-05Sep-06Sep-07Sep-08Sep-09Sep-10Sep-11Sep-12Sep-13Sep-14Sep-15Sep-16Sep-17Sep-18

GWh

North Island - ActualSouth Island - ActualNorth Island mean (1926 - 2017)South Island mean (1926 - 2017)

13
&

5TWh

per annum of

renewables firming

required

10TWh

43

7

5

10

24

7

2

2

0.4

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

Total Generation

(=demand + losses)

Mean Hydro

Geothermal

Wind

Co-Generation

"Mean Year"

Residual Thermal

Requirement

"Wet Year" Residual

Thermal

Requirement

"Dry Year" Residual

Thermal

Requirement

Demand Growth of

1% pa

Generation (TWh)

20
40

60

80

100

120

140

14/07/200914/07/201014/07/201114/07/201214/07/201314/07/201414/07/201514/07/201614/07/201714/07/2018

$/MWh

7-day simple moving average spot priceShort-datedLong-dated

14

Long term prices impacted by the fundamental supply and demand balance

Source: EMI

15
Long term prices impacted by the fundamental supply and demand balance

Demand

Industrial demand

New technologyFuel

»Average household

consumption falling through

energy efficiency

»Estimated population growth

of 320k by 2020 (+7%)

»Electrification of transport

»Tiwai-early termination option

(Tiwaielectricity demand is

around ~13% of the annual New

Zealand electricity demand)

»The Tiwaifourth potlineprovides

medium term demand strength

»Material demand growth from the

conversion of carbon based

energy to electricity

»New products and services

through a deeper customer

relationship and managing

complexity

»Consented and scalable renewable

development projects

»Geothermal energy for direct use in

industrial process

»Improving solar and storage

economics but the transition is likely

to be slow

»Deploying capital into the evolution

of digital and data

»Only one natural gas

producing basin, with a

reserves / production ratio

of 12 years

»Carbon price increasing,

currently at the cap

Network costs rising, energy component falling; real cost to
households flat

»Residential electricity price increases remain below inflation

»Residential prices rose by 1.5% for the quarter ended March 2018

(line costs up 5.6% offset by a 1.5% reduction in energy related

charges)

»Competition and energy efficiency have seen reducing real electricity

expenditure for households

Average real residential expenditure (including GST)

Source: MBIE quarterly Survey of Domestic Electricity Prices

Year on year quarterly change in residential electricity prices

Source: MBIE Quarterly Survey of Domestic Electricity Prices

All retailers competing

-10,000

-5,000

0

5,000

10,000

Sep-16Dec-16Mar-17Jun-17Sep-17Dec-17Mar-18Jun-18

ICP changes

"Tier 1" electricity retailers"Tier 2" electricity retailers

Source: EA, ICP market share

(2%)

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

Jun-16Sep-16Dec-16Mar-17Jun-17Sep-17Dec-17Mar-18

Year on year quarterly

change

Quarter ended

Lines componentEnergy and other component

$853

$863

$900

$891

$886

$891

$1,274

$1,272

$1,246

$1,207

$1,175

$1,140

$0

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

201320142015201620172018

$ per household per year (real)

Lines componentEnergy and other component

16

Company strategy

A service and value focussed retailer,
connecting customers and communities

to smart solutions that make living easier

for them now, and in the future

Underpinned by a disciplined and transparent approach to operating and capital expenditure

while continuing to investigate ways to optimise our portfolio of assets

An innovative, safe and efficient generator

working with business customers, partners

and suppliers to decarbonise New

Zealand’s energy sector

CustomerGeneration

18

While directionally the environment remains broadly similar the momentum driving the market is increasing
Electricity demand

and supply

Regulatory settings

Decarbonisation

Retail competition

»National demand for electricity

is relatively flat with long term

wholesale prices holding firm on

no significant change to net

supply

»The Tiwai fourth potline

provides medium term demand

strength

»Material demand growth from

the conversion of carbon based

energy to electricity

»Regulatory settings have

historically been focused on

creating a progressive, efficient

market structure

»Electricity pricing review initial

issues paper has been

published with comments due

end October

»The Government's

decarbonisation agenda and the

speed of movement to act on

climate change has increased

»Retail sector competition

continues with 10 new entrants

in the last 2 years -growing Tier

2 market share has seen

pressure on retail gross

margins

»Increased competition for C&I

load from integrated generator /

retailers looking to match load

with their generation assets

Brand refresh and new customer propositions

to mitigate these headwinds

19

FY16 FY17 FY18
NEAR TERM DESCRIPTION OF SUCCESS

High-performing, efficient retailer with the lowest cost to serve and best customer experience of the tier 1 retailers in New Zealand,

with an ability to execute consistently

79%53%36%

Employee

engagement

Net promoter

score (final qtr.)

+20+15+3

Churn variance to

market (12 mth avg)

1.3% below0.7% belowat market

Electricity and gas

cost to serve

$97m$110m$113m

Debt write-offs

$5.5m$6.6m$9.3m

Number of calls

0.9m1.0m1.1m

Mass market

electricity netback

$99.5/MWh$97.9/MWh$99.2/MWh

»Executing on continuous

improvement initiatives

»Digitising and streamlining

highest-priority customer

journeys

»New products and services

deliver smart customer solutions

»Adapting the IT operating model

to rapidly respond to customer

needs

Delivering on our strategy

20

Operational performance metrics continue to improve
1

2

3

Mass market earnings up

marginally on cost

improvements

C&I prices trending to ASX

LPG product and carbon costs

increasing faster than pass through

to customers

FY18 EBITDAF Keys to extracting value

$65m

($49m electricity, $12m gas,

$4m meters and other

income)

$12m

$32m

Best-in-class retailer, reducing

CTS while growing customer

advocacy –vital to expand

margins in a competitive market

with limited tariff growth

Maintaining a multi-fuel offering to

support our ability to compete in

the electricity market

Assisting with the conversion of

C&I customers with high carbon

footprint to renewable energy

21

NEAR TERM DESCRIPTION OF SUCCESS
Focus on operational excellence and investment in digital approaches with clear payback to accelerate continuous improvement

68%65%60%

Employee

engagement

TRIFR

5.23.33.2

Cash costs

1

$165m$185m$214m

3 year average

forward price

$78.60 / MWh$77.80 / MWh$77.00 / MWh

Plant availability

89%92%90%

Geothermal and

hydro volumes

3,323 GWh

3,479 GWh

3,233 GWh

3,562 GWh

3,297 GWh

4,090 GWh

Cost of energy

$28.00/MWh$27.61/MWh$26.71/MWh

»Executing on continuous

improvement initiatives

»Geothermal efficiency gains

greater than all solar installed in

New Zealand

»Innovating to lead the world in

lowering the cost of geothermal

energy

»Initiatives to support further

decarbonisation of New

Zealand’s energy sector

Delivering on our strategy

1

Cash cost includes generation operating costs and SIB Capex

FY16 FY17 FY18

22

Strong operational performance delivering cost reduction and improving resource utilisation, short term earnings
impacted by hydrology. Long term growth dependent on the disciplined development of renewable generation

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

Jul-13Jan-14Jul-14Jan-15Jul-15Jan-16Jul-16Jan-17Jul-17Jan-18

GWh

Rolling 12 month ended

Geothermal generation volumesHydro generation volumes

Mean geothermal generationMean renewable generation

1

2

3

Delivering on the continuous

improvement programme

Lowering the cost of geothermal and

refining deployable development options

Grow demand for renewables by

partnering with customers on

decarbonisation solutions and further

thermal substitution

12 month rolling renewable generation vs mean

Keys to extracting value

23

Sold to a higher value owner (GSNZ)
Reduces gas storage costs

Independent owner of storage

Monetises unused capacity

Monetises scale advantages

Eliminates commodity exposure

Strengthens balance sheet

Preserves dual fuel value

1

2

3

4

1

2

3

4

Sale of Ahuroa gas storage for $200m

Sale of Rockgas LPG for $260m

Strategic rationale

Strategic rationale

»Divesting Rockgas will enable greater focus and allow for accelerated

transformation in the Customer business, ultimately creating value for

shareholders

»Contact identified a higher value owner for this long life infrastructure

asset. Contact has retained access to competitive long term gas

storage services compatible with its requirements for flexible thermal

generation. Contact benefits from the committed expansion.

»GSNZ has a lower cost of capital

»Existing Taranaki operations present operational synergies

»Committed expansion reduces the cost per unit of storage

»Effective share of operating costs reduce with additional users

»Without upstream or downstream interests, the new owner will

likely be seen as a more independent counterparty facilitating

new users

»The AGS reservoir is larger than Contact’s requirements and is

capable of supporting storage services to other customers

»The marketing alliance allows Contact to continue to offer LPG

as part of its product suite. Lower churn benefits retained

»The services agreement will preserve our scale advantage to

enhance returns from digital transformation

»The sale proceeds will improve our balance sheet strength

and facilitate improved distributions to shareholders

»The sale will eliminate Contact’s exposure to the variability in

international LPG prices, exchange rates and domestic LPG

supply and demand dynamics

24

Outlook

CustomerGeneration
»Move to a simple, lean operating model centred on the

customer experience reinventing key customer experiences

and processes

»Capable employees, identifying and driving performance

initiatives with ownership and accountability

»Transform technology to drive both efficiency and better

automated customer experiences

»Reposition the brand and reputation from a strong operational

retailer to a smart customer solutions provider

»Sustainable cost reduction balanced against risk

»Strengthen geothermal capability to remain as a recognised world

leader

»Partner with customers on mutually beneficial decarbonisation

opportunities

»Develop options to enable the economic substitution of thermal

generation with renewables

»Lower the cost of geothermal to ensure Contact development options

are cost competitive with firmed intermittent renewables

Framework for

new investment

»Value defined by customers

»Scalable

»Leverages existing capabilities and cost structures

»Short paybacks

»Complementary partnerships

»Sustainable new demand

»New geothermal development cost competitive with new firmed

renewables and thermal life extensions

26

0
20

40

60

80

100

120

FY16FY17FY18FY19FY20

$m

Generation -Plant maintanence and continous improvementCustomer and Corporate

Capital expenditure and targets

»FY18 accounting capex of $69m, $32m lower than FY17 (32%). Cash spend

on SIB capex of $78m, $38m down on FY17 (33%).

SIB capital expenditure

Sustainable capital expenditure, post financial

close of AGS and Rockgas is between $60 -$65m

per annum and includes:

»Thermal plant refurbishment

»Geothermal well drilling to maintain geothermal

generation at 3,350 GWh per annum

»Transformation and continuous improvement

initiatives

»Plant and systems maintenance

»Excludes capex associated with Wairakei

extension post 2026

27

Guided range

27%
1%

9%

18%

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

FY15FY16FY17FY18FY19 (f)

$m

Other operating costsAGS operating costsTransition costsCapital expenditure

FY15FY16FY17FY18

SIB

FY19 (f)²FY20 (f)

Other operating

costs

$263m$247m$243m$223m$205m$190m

Costsexcluded

from underlying

$24m$10m$12m---

AGS operating

costs

$5m$6m-

1

---

Capital

expenditure

$105m$128m$102m$69m$65-75m$60-65m

Controllable

costs

$397m$391m$357m$292m

$275 –

280m

$250 –

260m

Improvement on

prior year

$146m$6m$34m

$65m

(guidedrange

$46m –66m)

$12 -

17m

$15 -

35m

1

From FY17, AGS operating costs have been included in other operating costs

2

Includes an assumption of the completion of the sale of AGS and Rockgas

4-6%

Controllable costs down by over $100m since the delivery of the geothermal and SAP capex programmes

28

With the sale of AGS and Rockgas due to complete in 1H19 a normalised FY20 EBITDAF is provided
Bridge illustrating FY18 EBITDAF to FY20 operating free cash flow (excludes movement in working capital)

Key assumptions:

»Hydro generation at 3,900 GWh (mean), geothermal generation at 3,350 GWh (average)

»ASX electricity futures and electricity retail margins stable

»Delivery on Customer transformation

29

30

32

2

14

20

7

60-65

55

70

481

480

290-295

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

FY18 EBITDAFMean hydrologySale of RockgasRockgas services

revenue

Sale of AGSMinimum

operating

improvements

Inflation and STI

reversion

Normalised FY20

EBITDAF

CapexNet interestTaxationNormalised FY20

operating free

cash flow

$m

FavourableUnfavourable

Target ordinary dividend of between
once the S&P net debt / EBITDAF ratio is below

2.8x

80-90%

of Operating Free CashFlow

Distribution policy

Interim

dividend

Final

dividend

40%

of expected total

AprilSept

35cps

up

+9%

on FY18

FY19Target ordinary dividend

60%

Net debt

Borrowings at 30 June

2018

$1,448m

Reduction in net debt from

proceeds of asset sales

(after tax)

($410m)

S&P net debt

Estimated at 30 June

2018

$1,480m

Reduction in S&P net debt

from proceeds of asset

sales

($257m)

30

Appendix
Operational and financial performance FY18

Operational performance improves, cash discipline enables increasing dividends
MAINTAINING FINANCIAL DISCIPLINE

Strong cost control with other operating costs down by $20m (8%). Cash spent on

SIB capital expenditure down by $38m (33%). $99m cash reduction in borrowings.

ENHANCED CUSTOMER EXPERIENCE

Net promoter score (NPS) for final quarter of FY18 of +20, up from the +15

recorded for the same period in FY17 on the implementation of operational

improvements. Below market churn.

SAFE AND ENGAGED EMPLOYEES

Increasing employee engagement with 77% of employees engaged, 9% up on FY17

and 36% up on FY15. Maturing safety culture.

FY18 dividend of 32 cents per share, up 6 cents per share on FY17. Target FY19

dividend of 35 cents per share, up 9% on FY18

REWARDING SHAREHOLDERS

Comparison against FY17

+16%

Reduction in total cash

operating costs and

capital spend

+5

Improvement

in NPS

+9%

+23%

Increase in employee

engagement

Increase to the FY18 full

year dividend

32

Underlying profit down 8% from $142m in FY17 to $130m
Contact’s statutory profit

»Underlying profit of $130m, was down by

$12m (8%) reflecting:

»$20m reduction in EBITDAF

»Depreciation and amortisation up by

$12m with a full year of depreciation

from the ICT change and transition

programme and higher TCC

depreciation post the major

refurbishment

»Net interest costs reduced by $9m on

marginally lower interest rates and a

reduction in average debt over the

period

»Lower tax expense

»The only item excluded from underlying profit

in the current period was the increase in the

fair value of financial instruments of $2m (net

of tax).

Financial performance compared to FY17

9

20

12

9

11

2

151

142

130

132

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

FY17

statutory

profit

Net items

excluded

from

underlying

profit

FY17

underlying

profit

EBITDAFDepreciation

&

amortisation

Net interest

costs

TaxFY18

underlying

profit

Net items

excluded

from

underlying

profit

FY18

statutory

profit

$m

FavourableUnfavourable

33

Customer EBITDAF of $109m, $9m lower than FY17
Generation EBITDAF of $372m, $11m lower than FY17

Customer EBITDAF movement on FY17

8

4

2

1

118

109

90

95

100

105

110

115

120

125

FY17

EBITDAF

Mass market

electricity

Mass market

gas

C&I electricityLPGFY18

EBITDAF

$m

FavourableUnfavourable

Generation EBITDAF movement on FY17

34

2

9

4

383

372

360

365

370

375

380

385

390

FY17 EBITDAFElectricity and steam

sales revenue

Wholesale market

volitility

Claims against

contractors

FY18 EBITDAF

$m

FavourableUnfavourable

»Contact is not integrated into upstream LPG supply and is exposed to
the fluctuations in oil linked commodity prices

»FY18 has seen a sustained and sharp increase to oil linked LPG

product costs which are up by $4m (10%). Carboncosts were also

$1m higher than FY17

»LPG price changes were implemented in the year, tariff up 2%,

volumes flat

International LPG pricing (50% propane, 50% butane) in NZ$

FY18

C&I electricity EBITDAF of $12m, $8m lower than FY17 LPG EBITDAF of $32m, $4m lower than FY17

C&I sales volume changes on FY15

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

-1,000

-500

0

500

1,000

FY16FY17FY18

C&I EBITDAF / revenue

C&I sales volumes (GWh)

C&I incumbents (lhs)Genesis (lhs)Contact C&I retail margin (rhs)

»Competition for C&I sales has increased, which has led to a reduction

in the C&I retail margin above ASX reference from 4.6% in FY16 to

2.8% in FY18

»Contact C&I sales volumes down by 6% with lower re-signs as

Contact was unwilling to match the lower prices from competitors

35

250

350

450

550

650

750

850

950

Jul-15Oct-15Jan-16Apr-16Jul-16Oct-16Jan-17Apr-17Jul-17Oct-17Jan-18Apr-18

NZ$

LPG priceLPG price (average FY)

Mass market electricity tariffs up 0.5%, network costs up
2%, cost to serve down 10%

2.1

2.5

1.2

97.9

99.5

90

91

92

93

94

95

96

97

98

99

100

FY17 netbackSales PriceElectricity Network,

Meter & Levy costs

Cost to serveFY18 netback

Netback ($/MWh)

FavourableUnfavourable

6

4

47

49

30

35

40

45

50

55

FY17 EBITDAFNetbackEnergy costsVolumeFY18 EBITDAF

$m

UnfavourableFavourable

EBITDAF from mass market electricity sales was $49m in

FY18, up $2m (4%) from the prior period despite lower sales

volumes and rising energy prices

Mass market electricity netback ($/MWh) year on year movementMass market electricity EBITDAF year on year movement

36

Hydro generation volumes 10% below mean for the second
consecutive financial year

»Clutha hydro inflows during FY18 were 19% below mean for the first

three quarters (5% above mean for the last quarter)

»The scheduled major refurbishment of the Taranaki Combined Cycle

plant (TCC) during November and December meant Contact could not

take full advantage of higher wholesale prices

Source: NZX hydro

Clutha inflows vs mean inflows (variance)

-80%

-60%

-40%

-20%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Jul-16

Aug-16Sep-16

Oct-16

Nov-16Dec-16

Jan-17

Feb-17Mar-17

Apr-17

May-17

Jun-17

Jul-17

Aug-17Sep-17

Oct-17

Nov-17Dec-17

Jan-18

Feb-18Mar-18

Apr-18

May-18

Jun-18

%

Contact hydro generation by quarter for FY15 –18

Thermal utilisation by month and wholesale electricity price

Source: Contact

Source: Contact, EA –Wholesale energy prices

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

SepDecMarJun

GWh

Quarter ended

FY15FY16FY17FY18Mean Generation

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

Jan

17

Feb

17

Mar

17

Apr

17

May

17

Jun

17

Jul

17

Aug

17

Sep

17

Oct

17

Nov

17

Dec

17

Jan

18

Feb

18

Mar

18

Apr

18

May

18

Jun

18

$/MWh

%

Thermal capacity factor (%)National wholesale electricity price ($/MWh)

37

Efficiency gains and maximum fuel use at Wairakei. Ohaaki
generation impacted by injection constraints

Operating cost reduction offset by rising gas and carbon costs

56

137

9

83

68

8,629

8,704

8,450

8,500

8,550

8,600

8,650

8,700

8,750

FY17

generation

volumes

Geothermal

-Ohaaki

field

Geothermal

-Wairakei

field

Geothermal

-Tauhara

field

HydroThermalFY18

generation

volumes

Generation (GWh)

FavourableUnfavourable

Generation volumes (GWh) year on year movement

Generation costs year on year movement

38

0.6

2.4

0.8

6.7

6.1

5.0

283

288

283

275

277

279

281

283

285

287

289

291

293

295

FY17

generation

costs

Electricity

transmission

& levies

Gas costs

(net of gas

sales)

Gas

Transmission

Costs

Carbon CostsOther

operating

costs

FY18

generation

costs

Gain on

acquired

generation

(change on

FY17)

FY18

generation

costs

$m

UnfavourableFavourable

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

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