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GMT Investor Briefing

Investor Presentation4 October 2018GNZReal Estate

Level 2, 18 Viaduct Harbour Avenue, Auckland | PO Box 90940, Victoria Street West, Auckland 1142
Tel +64 9 375 6060 | www.goodman.com/nz

nzx release+

GMT Investor Briefing

Date 4 October 2018

Release Immediate

A briefing for institutional investors and analysts is being held at Highbrook Business

Park today.

A copy of the presentation has been provided to the NZX.

For f

urther information, please contact:

John Dakin Andy Eakin

Chief Executive Officer Chief Financial Officer

Goodman (NZ) Limited Goodman (NZ) Limited

(09) 375 6063(09) 375 6077

(021) 321 541(021) 305 316

James Spence

Dir

ector Investment Management

Goodman

(NZ) Limited

(09) 903 3269

(021) 538 934

About Goodman Property Trust:

GMT is an externally managed unit trust, listed on the NZX. It has a market capitalisation of around $2.0 billion, ranking it

in the top 20 of all l isted investment vehicles. The Manager of the Trust is a subsidiary of the ASX list ed Goodman

Group, Goodman Group is also the Trust’s largest investor with a cornerstone unitholding of 21%.

GMT is New Zealand’s leading industrial and business space provider. It has a substantial property portfolio, with a

value of $2.3 billion, after recently contracted sales. The Trust holds an investment grade credit rating of BBB from

Standard & Poor’s.

---

Investor
Briefing

Goodman Property Trust

4 October 2018

Contents
Unless otherwise indicated, all numerical data provided in this presentation is stated as at 31 March 2018.

All dollar values are NZD unless otherwise stated. All figures are rounded.

Presented by:

John Dakin

Chief Executive Officer

James Spence

Director –Investment Management

Michael Gimblett

General Manager -Development

Andy Eakin

Chief Financial Officer

Auckland Focus3

GMT Portfolio12

Development Programme24

Financial29

Summary32

2

Auckland
focus

Auckland
context

4

Auckland

Population1.7m

% of NZ popn35%

Urban area

1

607km

2

GDP growth

2

2.7%

Unemployment4.3%

Melbourne

Population4.9m

% of Auspopn20%

Urban area

1

2,543km

2

GDP growth

2

2.9%

Unemployment6.8%

Sydney

Population5.1m

% of Auspopn21%

Urban area

1

2,037km

2

GDP growth

2

2.9%

Unemployment6.0%

Brisbane

Population2.4m

% of Auspopn10%

Urban area

1

1,972km

2

GDP growth

2

2.9%

Unemployment7.4%

New Zealand

Australia

All statistics refer to greater city region unless stated.

1

Refers to urban area only, as defined by nation’s statistical areas

2

National statistic, average annual change to June 2018

Australian
industrial

market

comparison

+Auckland more land constrained than Australian markets

+Tight rental range across the Auckland market indicates no differential being paid for location in

contrast to Sydney and Melbourne

+Opportunity to drive market rentals in key locations with superior logistics qualities

AucklandSydneyMelbourneBrisbane

Prime Industrial stock (million m

2

)

4.811.510.35.4

Industrial land supply (ha)

1,1112,8156,6693,173

Prime warehouse rental ($/m

2

)

120-135119-19678-125108-117

Prime capitalisation rate

5.0%-5.5%4.5%-5.25%5.75%6%

Prime vacancy

2%1%4%4%

5

Statistics for greater city regions above reflect Goodman’s estimates and various agency reports.

Key logistics
infrastructure

6

Key

State Highway 1

Other State Highway

Rail

Auckland

Airport

Port of

Auckland

Wiri Inland

Port

Metroport

+Land constrained city driven

by geographic challenges

(harbours, topography)

+Experiencing increased

pressure on existing

infrastructure given

significant net migration

(circa 110,000 people last 4

years)

+Major infrastructure projects

underway

7
Auckland

industrial

market

+Economic growth fuelling occupier

demand

+Historically low vacancy and rising

market rents a feature of most

suburbs

+Industrial land values now being

driven by offshore demand and

residential conversion factors

Auckland industrial rentals

$/m

2

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

20082009201020112012201320142015201620172018F

PrimeSecondary

Auckland industrial yields

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

20082009201020112012201320142015201620172018F

PrimeSecondary

Auckland industrial vacancy

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

20082009201020112012201320142015201620172018F

PrimeSecondary

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

20082009201020112012201320142015201620172018

South Auckland Industrial land values

$/m

2

Source: CBRE

8
Industrial

supply

+186,000sqm pa of new industrial space developed over the past ten years, utilising approximately

37ha of land pa

+Currently around 490ha of industrial land supply in core Auckland locations

+Total land supply expected to support 13 years of new development

East Tamaki

69ha

Wiri

251ha

Airport

Corridor

141ha

Mangere

17ha

Mt Wellington

8ha

Rosebank

2ha

Penrose

5ha

New South Auckland Industrial Stock

NLA million m

2

Auckland Industrial Land Supply

Source: CBRE & Goodman

7.0

7.2

7.5

7.5

7.5

7.7

7.9

8.1

8.4

8.6

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

5.0

5.5

6.0

6.5

7.0

7.5

8.0

8.5

9.0

2009201020112012201320142015201620172018

Total stock million sqm (LHS)New stock '000sqm (RHS)

Average new stock pa '000sqm (RHS)

Industrial land identified area includes south of Auckland harbour bridge, as far west as Rosebank Rd and as far south as Wiri.

Source: JLL & Goodman

Zoning
$290m

$160m

9

1

Key

Unitary plan zoning

Business –Heavy industry zone

Business –Light industry zone

Future urban zone

West Auckland

Glen Innes

East Tamaki

Penrose / Mt

Wellington

Auckland

Airport

Mount

Roskill

Wiri

Otahuhu

+Large quantity of industrial

stock re-zoned to other uses

within Auckland unitary plan

process

Industrial
re-zoning

influence

+Example –13,000m

2

GMT

development at Savill link for

NCI who relocated from Mt

Wellington industrial building

re-zoned to mixed use

10

Goodman NCI development

Existing NCI warehouse

11
e-Commerce

in NZ

GMT top ten customers split by subsidiary companies

1

% of portfolio income

0%1%2%3%4%5%6%7%8%

New Zealand Post

DHL

Fletcher Building

Coda

Fliway Transport

Toll

Spicers

CSR Building Products

Officemax

Big Chill

+e-Commerce is a significant and growing part of global trade and has an estimated value of $3.8

trillion –twice the size of what it was five years ago

+New Zealanders spent a total of $3.6 billion online in 2017 ($746 per capita)

+Online shopping now delivers 8.1% of all retail spend in New Zealand

+The greater Auckland region accounted for 37% of online spend in 2017

+NZ Post delivered 38.9 million parcels in the month of December 2017 (9% increase on

December 2016)

e-Commerce sales by country

%of total retail sales in 2017

23.1%

19.1%

16.0%

12.6%

10.0%

9.0%

8.1%

7.9%7.9%

6.6%

3.2%

2.2%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

Source: New Zealand Post

1

As at 31 March 2018

GMT
portfolio

Strategic
overview

13

Strategy

+High quality portfolio situated in key industrial locations close to

consumers

▪positioned to capitalise on growth in e-commerce and technological

change

+Strategic holdings provide development pipeline and urban regeneration

opportunities

▪number of estates held significantly below replacement cost

+Development programme improving asset quality and growth profile of

GMT

+Balance sheet capacity expected to support build out of remaining land

holdings

Targeting

+Increased growth in rental cashflows and cash earnings

+Creation of a lower capex portfolio

+Resilient portfolio with the balance sheet capacity to be opportunistic

should markets turn

GMT
overview

14

6.1years

WALT

1

$2.7bn

Property portfolio

1

6.2

%

Weighted average

capitalisation rate

1

1m sqm

Net lettable area

1

25.0

%

Look-through loan

to value ratio

2

98.2

%

Portfolio occupancy

1

260+

Customers

1

$2.0bn

Market capitalisation

3

1

Including contracted sales, as at 31 March 2018

2

Adjusted for all sales contracted as at 31 March 2018

3

As at 27 September 2018

Auckland
locations

+GMT assets situated in key

logistics locations, well suited to

assist in the creation of fast and

efficient supply chains

15

Portfolio statistics

1

Value ($m)2,746.7

Land area (ha)242.3

NLA (m2)1,111,244

$psmland1,133

1

Including contracted sales, as at 31 March 2018 (excludes Roma Rd)

2

Under contract

VXV Precinct (conditionally sold)

Central Park (sold)

2

Asset
recycling

16

DISPOSALS

$1.2 billion

ACQUISITIONS

$267 million

1

DEVELOPMENTS

$672 million

2

5 year programme

Gateway Warehouses development (artists impression), HighbrookBusiness Park

Roma Road Estate, Mt Roskill, Auckland

Developed

Bought

Sold

1

Includes Roma Rd acquisition

2

Development starts (TPC including land)

VXV Precinct, Auckland CBD

+Portfolio now predominately Auckland
industrial

+Improving quality reflected in the

portfolio metrics

+Like-for-like NPI growth of 3.9% in

2018 and 2.8% in 2017

+98% occupancy

+Large number of pending expiries

secured in 2018 YTD with only 10% of

portfolio income due to expire over the

FY19 and FY20 years

Portfolio

transformed

17

Key metricsMarch 2018March 2013

Auckland weighting99%92%

Portfolio occupancy

98%96%

Weighted average cap rate

6.2%8.1%

Weighted average lease term (years)

6.15.3

Development commitments ($m)

164.8117.8

Relative property return

1

2.9%-0.2%

Industrial

60.0%

Development

Land12.0%

Office Park

28.0%

MH/DJ –to be 31 March

post contracted sales

1

MSCI New Zealand Universe index

2

Post contracted sales, as at 31 March 2018

Industrial

94.8%

Development

Land

4.5%

Office Park

0.7%

Asset diversity 2018

2

Asset diversity 2013

Portfolio
matrix

+Strategic decision to focus investment

in key locations within the Auckland

industrial market

+93% of core assets have been

developed by Goodman

+84% of assets sold have been office

+Value add estates offer future

opportunity

Preferred location

Higher quality

Core assets Value-add Sold properties Future disposals

18

19
Highbrook

Business

Park

Metrics

1

NLA434,107m

2

Land area107.0ha

Site coverage41%

Value$1,192m

Value (psmland area)$1,114/m

2

WALE6.0 years

Average age6.4 years

% complete82%

Cap rate5.8%

1

As at 31 March 2018

20
Other core

estates

SavillLink

The Gate Industry Park

M20 Business Park

WestneyIndustry Park

Metrics

1

NLA

426,015m

2

Land area

96.7ha

Site coverage

44%

Value

$800m

Value (psmland

area)

$834/m

2

WALE

6.2 years

Average age

12.4 years

% complete

96%

Cap rate

6.5%

1

As at 31 March 2018

Value-add
estates

Penrose Industrial Estate

Tamaki Estate

Connect Industrial Estate

Metrics

1

NLA

92,426m

2

Land area

23.1ha

Site coverage

40%

Value

$148.6m

Value (psmland

area)

$642.4/m

2

WALE

2.8 years

Average age

37.9 years

% complete

100%

Cap rate

6.2%

1

As at 31 March 2018

21

Concourse Industry Park

22
Acquisition:

Roma Road

+Site located in centre of Auckland

Urban area and surrounded by low-

medium intensity residential

+Area earmarked for intensification

+Access and direct frontage to SH20

+Expected to benefit from light rail

network running between Auckland

CBD and the airport in the

medium/long term

Waterview

tunnel

SH20

CBD

Proposed

light rail

Roma

Road

23
Acquisition:

Roma Road

Metrics

NLA36,977m

2

Land area13.1 ha

Site coverage27%

Value$93m

Value (land)$710/m

2

WALE 2.5 years

Agec. 40 years

24
Development

programme

Capital
deployment

+$672 million of development starts over the last five years, providing average yield on additional spend of

9.4% and development gains of $81million

1

+$165 million of new developments announced in FY18, with a further $54 million YTD

+80% of remaining portfolio has been developed by Goodman, providing for high quality, well-designed

long-term investments

25

98.2

108.8

148.7

97.0

164.8

54.1

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

FY14FY15FY16FY17FY18FY19 Q1

$ m

OtherHighbrook

100%

100%

72%

100%

65%

52%

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

HighbrookSavillM20WestneyThe GateOther

Developed by GoodmanOther

$ m

Development commencements

2

(total project cost including land)

Assets developed by Goodman

2

(total value of stabilised assets by estate)

1

Revaluation gains recorded on developments completed during the period

2

As as 31 March 2018, including FY19 Q1 announcements

Development
programme

2626

Gateway

Warehouses

HighbrookBusiness Park

COMPLETION

November 2018

NLA

22,195m

2

Parade

Units

HighbrookBusiness Park

COMPLETION

November 2018

NLA

5,972m

2

COMPLETION

November 2018

NLA

8,494m

2

SavillDrive

Warehouse

SavillLink

+66,000 sqm of space currently under

construction within GMT portfolio

+Includes 27,000 sqm of space which is

yet to have terms agreed (equivalent to

circa 2.5% of GMT portfolio)

Construction
costs

+Costs escalating but offset by yield compression and rising rents

+Quality of base build specification also rising

+Developments typically recording gains of 15-20% when valued on completion

27

$250

$400

$550

$700

$850

$1,000

201320142015201620172018

Warehouse construction cost

$/m

2

Development
pipeline

+Remaining land supply 22 ha

1

+Supports a further 116,000 sqm of industrial and commercial development

+Yield on additional spend expected to range between 8-9%

+Estimated additional spend of approximately $290 million

+Highbrook represents 82% of remaining land supply

+New land opportunities tightly held and difficult to secure

1

As at 31 March 2018, including FY19 Q1 announcements

28

Gateway Warehouses development (artists impression), HighbrookBusiness Park

Financial
29

Contracted sales
WPH disposal

Committed

developments

Roma Road

Development

pipeline

25.0%

14.1%

19.9%

22.9%

<35%

$160m

$93m

$290m

31%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

Balance

Sheet

Reported

LVR

Pro Forma

LVR

Committed

LVR March

2018

Post

acquisitions

Approximate

built out LVR

GMT

capacity

+GMT to have strong liquidity post settlement of WPH disposal

+Increased ability to further invest in Auckland industrial through development pipeline and

acquisitions

+Build out of full development pipeline including projects underway (circa $450 million

1

) would result

in gearing of less than 35%

Pro-forma gearing bridge

2

1

Atcurrent construction costs

2

As at 31 March 2018, including Roma Rd acquisition

30

1

NTA + distribution
Total

returns

+NTA growing strongly with CAGR of 8.9% over last five years

+Improving quality and focus on industrial reflected in returns with five year total return of 13.7%

Totalreturns

2

2

Total return is a combination of NTA growth + distribution paid

11.6%

14.4%

17.2%

13.8%

11.6%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

FY14FY15FY16FY17FY18

Income returnCapital return

5 year total

return: 13.7%

5 year income

return: 5.9%

100.4

108.4

120.4

130.4

138.9

141.4

90

100

110

120

130

140

150

FY14FY15FY16FY17FY18Post WPH

sale

1

Postcontracted sales, asat 31 March 2018

1

NTA per unit

cents

31

Summary
32

Focus
33

Own

+Modern high quality assets with strong customer covenants in the best

locations

+Industrial property is the preferred sector, unique characteristics make it a

superior long-term investment

+Auckland is the favoured location, demographic and consumer trends

support this decision

Develop

+Development programme has created portfolio of unrivalled quality

+Essential business activity to service customers, while continually

improving the portfolio

+New land opportunities difficult to secure, value add opportunities

increasingly important

Manage

+Assets and customer relationships to maximise rental cashflows and

long-term value

+Balance sheet capacity funding development programme

+Treasury initiatives to manage interest costs improving diversity and tenor

+Transition to cash earnings based distribution policy, headwinds while

completing asset disposals

Thank you
34

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.