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MLN – October 2018 monthly update

Operational Update15 October 2018MLNFinancials

1
Monthly Update

October 2018

MLN NAV

$

1.05

SHARE PRICE

$

0.94

DISCOUNT

1

7.8

%

as at 30 September 2018

A word from the Manager

Market Overview

September marked the 10-year anniversary of the collapse

of Lehman Brothers and the extreme market volatility that

followed. This September provided a stark contrast, with

low volatility and both the S&P 500 (+0.4%) and Dow Jones

Industrial Average (+1.9%) in the US hitting all-time highs

during the month. Equity markets also took little notice of

developments that had caused more concern earlier this

year, including escalating US-China trade tensions, and rising

interest rates. European markets (+0.2%) also gained, while

emerging markets (-1.4%) continued to retreat.

In a reversal of recent fortunes technology shares sold off and

underperformed the broader market, with the tech-heavy

Nasdaq Composite (-0.8%) lagging the other US indices.

This dragged slightly on Marlin’s performance, with some of

our core technology holdings like Alphabet, Facebook and

PayPal lagging the market.

September also saw a jump in oil prices (+7%), higher US

interest rates, tighter labour markets and US inflation at

the Federal Reserve’s 2% target level - all confirming global

inflationary pressures continue to build.

The Marlin portfolio fell 0.2% in September, compared with

our global benchmark which fell 0.5%.

Portfolio Developments

Edwards Lifesciences (+21%) and Abbott Labs (+10%) were

top performers this month, following Abbott’s announcement

of positive results from the trial of its MitraClip device that

is used to treat patients with mitral regurgitation, a form

of heart failure. The results were better than anticipated,

showing significant improvements in hospitalisation rates

and mortality. This was obviously positive news for Abbott,

but more importantly this trial shows that treating mitral

regurgitation in heart failure patients results in patients living

longer, staying out of the hospital and feeling better. Until

these results, that question remained unanswered. Given

that Edwards also has a number of medical devices under

development for treating these heart failure patients, the

stock also reacted positively to this news.

Electronic Arts (EA), was also a strong performer, gaining

7% after adding it to the portfolio during the month. EA

is one of the world’s leading video game publishers, with

hit franchises including FIFA, Madden and Battlefield.

The company operates in an industry that we believe is

positioned for sustainable revenue growth and margin

expansion. The gaming industry is transitioning from a hit

driven revenue model, based on game units sold, to more

of a recurring revenue model, where customers not only

pay the up-front cost of a game, but also spend money on

in-game items, which may be cosmetic or improve game

play. The result of this transition is that EA is able to better

monetise games, with these new digital revenue streams

also having higher profit margins.

Logistics software provider Descartes reported solid

second quarter results, with revenue growing 17%

and earnings growing 15% compared to last year. The

integration of the 2017 acquisition of MacroPoint is also

going well, and Descartes are seeing increasing interest

from customers that want to use MacroPoint’s real-time

tracking capabilities to help fill unused backhaul capacity.

Two detractors from performance in September were

Alibaba and LKQ. While there was limited company-

specific news for aftermarket car parts distributor LKQ

(-8%), its share price was dragged down with the broader

auto sector, which has come under pressure from the

ongoing US-China trade war.

Chinese e-commerce platform Alibaba (-7%) fell in

September, dragged down with Chinese technology stocks

more broadly, but also by the announcement of Jack Ma’s

retirement from the role of Executive Chairman. While Jack

Ma hasn’t been as active in the business in recent years

(it is run by CEO Daniel Zhang), the announcement came

earlier than investors had anticipated. Alibaba also held its

annual investor day during September. The presentations

showed continued strong growth in Tmall and Taobao

users, and the ongoing popularity of Tmall for foreign

brands looking to sell to Chinese consumers. Alibaba also

1

Share Price Discount to NAV (including warrant price on a pro-rated basis)

WARRANT PRICE

$

0.10

2
Ashley Gardyne

Senior Portfolio Manager

Fisher Funds Management Limited

shed more light on a number of its rapidly growing

adjacent businesses, including AliPay in digital

payments business, Aliyun in Cloud infrastructure,

and Ele.me, its rapidly growing food delivery unit. In

Alibaba we continue to see a dominant and growing

e-commerce business, with significant adjacent growth

opportunities that should support earnings growth for

many years to come.

Sector Split

as at 30 September 2018

Key Details

as at 30 September 2018

FUND TYPE

Listed Investment Company

INVESTS IN

Growing international companies

LISTING DATE

1 November 2007

FINANCIAL YEAR END

30 June

TYPICAL PORTFOLIO SIZE

25-35 stocks

INVESTMENT CRITERIA

Long-term growth

PERFORMANCE

OBJECTIVE

Long-term growth of capital and

dividends

TAX STATUS

Portfolio Investment Entity (PIE)

MANAGER

Fisher Funds Management

Limited

MANAGEMENT

FEE RATE

1.25% of gross asset value

(reduced by 0.10% for every 1% of

underperformance relative to the

change in the NZ 90 Day Bank Bill

Index with a floor of 0.75%)

PERFORMANCE

FEE HURDLE

Changes in the NZ 90 Day Bank

Bill Index + 5%

PERFORMANCE FEE

15% of returns in excess of

benchmark and high water mark

HIGH WATER MARK

$1.00

SHARES ON ISSUE

120m

MARKET CAPITALISATION

$113m

GEARING

None (maximum permitted 20%

of gross asset value)

22

%


HEALTHCARE

10

%

INDUSTRIALS

14

%

COMMUNICATION

SERVICES

22

%


TECHNOLOGY

Geographical Split

as at 30 September 2018

16

%

WEST EUROPE

77

%

NORTH AMERICA

8

%

FINANCIALS

5

%


ASIA

The Marlin portfolio also holds cash.

2

%


ENERGY

The Marlin portfolio also holds cash.

20

%


CONSUMER

September’s Biggest Movers in local currency terms
Typically the Marlin portfolio will be invested 90% or more in equities.

EDWARDS

LIFESCIENCES

+21

%

ABBOTT

LABORATORIES

+10

%

ELECTRONIC ARTS

+7

%

ALIBABA

-7

%

5 Largest Portfolio Positions as at 30 September 2018

ALPHABET

8

%

PAYPAL

6

%

TJX COMPANIES

5

%

ALIBABA

5

%

FRESENIUS

MEDICAL CARE

5

%

The remaining portfolio is made up of another 20 stocks and cash.

Nov

2007

Nov

2008

Nov

2009

Nov

2010

Nov

2011

Nov

2012

Nov

2014

Nov

2013

Share Price/Total Shareholder Return

Share PriceTotal Shareholder Return

Nov

2015

$

1.00

$

0.50

$

0.00

$

1.50

Nov

2016

Nov

2017

$

2.50

$

2.00

Total Shareholder Return to 30 September 2018

Performance to 30 September 2018

1 Month3 Months1 Year3 Years

(annualised)

Since Inception

(annualised)

Company Performance

Total Shareholder Return+0.5%+12.7%+35.5%+14.6%+7.2%

Adjusted NAV Return(0.4%)+5.0%+21.7%+12.7+7.3%

Portfolio Performance

Gross Performance Return (0.2%)+5.4%+24.7%+16.7%+11.0%

Benchmark Index^(0.5%)+4.3%+15.1%+13.6%+8.1%

3

^Benchmark index: World Small Cap Gross Index until 30 September 2015 & S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap Index (50% hedged to NZD) from 1 October 2015

Non-GAAP Financial Information

Marlin uses non-GAAP measures, including adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return. The rationale for using such non-GAAP measures is as follows:

»adjusted net asset value – the underlying value of the investment portfolio adjusted for capital allocation decisions after fees and tax,

»adjusted NAV return – the net return to an investor after fees and tax,

»gross performance return – the Manager’s portfolio performance in terms of stock selection and currency hedging before fees and tax, and

»total shareholder return – the return to an investor who reinvests their dividends, and if in the money, exercises their warrants at warrant maturity date for additional shares.

All references to adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return in this monthly update are to such non-GAAP measures. The calculations applied to non-GAAP

measures are described in the Marlin Non-GAAP Financial Information Policy. A copy of the policy is available at http://marlin.co.nz/about-marlin/marlin-policies/

LKQ CORPORATION

-8

%

Disclaimer: The information in this update has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is by
necessity brief. The information and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Marlin Global Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy

or completeness. The update is not intended to constitute professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from an

authorised financial adviser should be taken before making an investment. To the extent that the update contains data relating to the historical performance of Marlin Global Limited or its portfolio

companies, please note that fund performance can and will vary and that future results may have no correlation with results historically achieved.

Marlin Global Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740

Phone: +64 9 484 0365 | Fax: +64 9 489 7139

Email: enquire@marlin.co.nz | www.marlin.co.nz

4

Computershare Investor Services Limited

Private Bag 92119, Auckland 1142

Phone: +64 9 488 8777 | Fax: +64 9 488 8787

Email: enquiry@computershare.co.nz | www.computershare.com/nz

About

Marlin Global

Marlin is an investment company

listed on the New Zealand Stock

Exchange. The company gives

shareholders an opportunity to

invest in a diversified portfolio of

between 25 and 35 quality growing

international companies (excluding

New Zealand and Australia)

through a single, professionally

managed investment. The aim

of Marlin is to offer investors

competitive returns through capital

growth and dividends.

Capital Management Strategies

Regular Dividends

»Quarterly distribution policy introduced in

August 2010

»Under this policy, 2% of average NAV is targeted

to be paid to shareholders quarterly

»Dividends paid by Marlin may include dividends

received, interest income, investment gains

and/or return of capital

»Shareholders who prefer to have increased

capital rather than a regular income stream have

the opportunity to participate in the company’s

dividend reinvestment plan (DRP)

»Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3%

discount to market price

»Marlin became a portfolio investment entity on

1 October 2007. As a result, dividends paid to

New Zealand tax resident shareholders have not

been subject to further tax

Share Buyback Programme

»Marlin has a buyback programme in place allowing

it (if it elects to do so) to acquire up to 5.9m of its

shares on market in the year to 31 October 2018

»Shares bought back by the company are held as

treasury stock

» Shares held as treasury stock are available to be

re-issued for the dividend reinvestment plan

Warrants

»On 16 April 2018, a new issue of warrants (MLNWC)

was announced

»The warrants were issued at no cost to eligible

shareholders and in the ratio of one warrant for

every four Marlin shares held

»Exercise Price = $0.83 per warrant, to be adjusted

down for dividends declared during the period up

to the Exercise Date

»Exercise Date = 12 April 2019

»The final Exercise Price will be announced and an

Exercise Form will be posted to warrant holders in

March 2019


Management

Marlin’s portfolio is managed

by Fisher Funds Management

Limited. Ashley Gardyne (Senior

Portfolio Manager), Chris

Waters and Harry Smith (Senior

Investment Analysts) have prime

responsibility for managing

the Marlin portfolio. Together

they have significant combined

experience and are very capable

of researching and investing in

the quality global companies that

Marlin targets. Fisher Funds is

based in Takapuna, Auckland.


Board

The Manager has authority

delegated to it from the

Board to invest according to

the Management Agreement

and other written policies.

The Board of Marlin

comprises independent

directors Alistair Ryan (Chair),

Carol Campbell and Andy

Coupe; and non-independent

director Carmel Fisher.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.