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FSF Annual Meeting presentation 12 November 2018

AGM11 November 2018FSFConsumer Staples

FONTERRA
SHAREHOLDERS’

FUND

ANNUAL MEETING

12 NOVEMBER 2018

JOHN SHEWAN
Chairman

FSF Management Company

2
AGENDA

Welcome and introductionJohn Shewan

FSFManagement Company Chairman’s addressJohn Shewan

Fonterra Chairman’s and CEO’s address John Monaghan/

Miles Hurrell

Questions

Resolution to re-elect John Shewan Pip Dunphy

Address by John Shewan

General business John Shewan

3
2018 -A VERY POOR YEAR

•Unacceptable performance

•Significant decline in unit price

•Dividend reduced to 10 cents per unit

•What caused this outcome?

•What is being done about it?

•What is the role of the board of the Manager of FSF?

4
Price

UNIT PRICE DECLINE REFLECTS

EARNINGS DROP

4.00

4.50

5.00

5.50

6.00

6.50

7.00

Aug 17Oct 17Dec 17Feb 18Apr 18Jun 18Aug 18Oct 18

H1

Q3

5
THE PERFORMANCE IN 2018 HAS RE-

ENERGISED TWO KEY QUESTIONS

•Is the Farmgate Milk Price setting mechanism fair to unit holders?

The Farmgate Milk Price is calculated in accordance with the Milk

Price Manual. Both the Farmgate Milk Price and underlying

methodology are subject to regulatory oversight.

•Is the Fonterra Shareholders’ Fund model achieving its objectives

and is it sustainable?

The model has achieved the objectives of eliminating redemption risk

and providing investors with the opportunity to invest in dairy. Farmer

shareholders and unit holders’ interests are aligned in requiring an

acceptable return on their invested capital.

6
KEY FUND STATISTICS

Units on Issue¹:101 million

Fund Market Capitalisation¹:$493 million

Fonterra Market Capitalisation¹:$7.4 billion

Fund Size¹:6.3% of Fonterra shares on issue

12-month High/Low²:$6.66 (11 Jan 18) / $4.50 (10 Oct 18)

1.At 6 November 2018.

2.28 September 2017 –6 November 2018.

7
72%

18%

7%

3%

•Reduction in institution holdings picked up by retail investors

•The geographic split is largely unchanged with New Zealand dominating the register

52%

25%

14%

8%

1%

Retail

14%

Institution

3%

Other

Holding by country¹

Holding by investor type¹

1

As at 28 September 2018 –comparison 25 August 2017

3%

0.2%

13%

* PWM = Private Wealth Management

PWM*

New Zealand

Australia

0.8%

United States

Other

4%

3%

0.2%

Farmer

Shareholder

UNIT REGISTER ANALYSIS

8
FSFMANAGEMENT COMPANY

DIRECTORS

Independent directors

•John Shewan –retires by rotation, offers himself for re-election

Fonterra directors

•Nicola Shadbolt –retiring from the Fonterra and FSFManagement

Company Boards

•Farmer Director Donna Smit joins the FSFManagement Company

Board

9
OUTLOOK FOR THE FUND FOR 2019

AND BEYOND

•Investors require an appropriate dividend and positive outlook for

Fonterra’s earnings to drive the unit price

•The Fund’s performance is tied inextricably to Fonterra’s

performance

•There are clear challenges but also much to be positive about

•Fonterra’s new Chairman and CEO have recently set out the

roadmap, including what will be done differently

•Today provides unit holders the opportunity to hear directly from

them and to ask questions

JOHN MONAGHAN
Chairman

12
STRONG FARMGATE MILK PRICE

RANGE

4.726.107.606.085.848.404.403.906.126.69

6.25

to

6.50

0.48

0.27

0.30

0.32

0.32

0.10

0.25

0.40

0.40

0.10

5.20

6.37

7.90

6.40

6.16

8.50

4.65

4.30

6.52

6.79

20092010201120122013201420152016201720182019

Forecast

Farmgate Milk PriceDividend

1.Total available for pay-out = Forecast Farmgate Milk Price range of $6.25 -$6.50 + Forecast Earnings Per Share (EPS) of 25-35 cents. For farm budgeting purposes the likely dividend will

be calculated in accordance with Fonterra policy of paying out 65-75 per cent of adjusted net profit after tax over time.

Note: Farmgate Milk Price: $ per kgMS; Dividend: $ per share

6.50 –6.85

Forecast total

available for

payout

1

MILES HURRELL
Chief Executive Officer

14
EARNINGS PERFORMANCE

Margin pressure, higher costs and one-offs

GROSSMARGIN¹

$3,152M

3%

REVENUE

$20.4B

6%

VOLUME

22.2BLME

3%

ANNUALDIVIDEND

10CPS

YIELD 1.7%

3

NORMALISEDEBIT

2

$902M

22%

OPEX

1

$2,496M

7%

NET PROFIT AFTERTAX

$(196)M

126%, EPS (14)c

NORMALISED NPAT

2

$382M

51%, EPS¹24c

Ingredients

Volume (LME)

4

20.5B

Gross Margin (%)¹ 9.0%

Normalised EBIT $879M

Return on Capital

6

8.3%

Consumer and Foodservice

Volume (LME)

4

5.6B

Gross Margin (%)¹ 23.6%

Normalised EBIT $525M

Return on Capital

6

8.3%

China Farms

Volume (LME)

5

0.3B

Gross Margin (%)¹ 2.1%

Normalised EBIT $(9)M

75%

1.Reflect normalisation adjustments.

2.Attributable to equity holders.

3.FY18 divided over volume weighted average FCG price of $5.84 across the year.

4.Includes inter-company sales.

5.Prior year volumes include 26m LME of milkpowdersnot included this year.

6.Return on Capital (ROC) includes goodwill, brands and equity accounted investments.

Excluding goodwill, brands and equity accounted investments ROC was 8.2% in Ingredients

and 35.1% in Consumer and Foodservice.

15
VALUE CREATION

Requires improved performance and better use of capital

$861M

CAPEX

1%

83 DAYS

WORKING CAPITAL

8 days

$2,496M

OPEX

2

7%

15.4%

GROSS MARGIN

2

Down from 16.9%

$902M

NORMALISED EBIT

2

22%

6.3%

RETURN ON CAPITAL

Down from 8.3%

$6.2B

NET DEBT

3

Up 11%

Return

Capital

1.Return on Capital (ROC) includes goodwill, brands and equity accounted investments. Excluding goodwill, brands and equity accounted investments ROC

was 8.0% in FY18 and 11.1% in FY17.

2.Reflect normalisation adjustments.

3.Economic net interest-bearing debt.

1,2

16
COMMITTED TO REDUCING DEBT

A strong balance sheet provides options

1.Gearing ratio is economic net interest-bearing debt divided by economic net interest-

bearing debt plus total equity excluding hedge reserves.

2.Economic net interest-bearing debt.

3.Debt payback ratio is economic net interest-bearing debt divided by EBITDA. Both debt

and EBITDA are adjusted for the impact of operating leases.

$6.3B

TOTAL EQUITY

12%

$6.2B

NET DEBT²

Up 11%

4.5X

DEBT/EARNINGS³

Up from 3.5x

48.4%

GEARING¹

Up 4.1%

AA-

CREDIT RATING

FitchS&P

STABLESTABLE

17
MORE VOLUME TO HIGHER VALUE

465 million more LMEs shifted to higher value

Note: Wheel shows category percentage of total FY18 external sales (LME)

1. Additional LME volumes include inter-company sales.

–Total volumes declined 3%

due to lower collections

–More volume into higher

value, up from 42% to 45%

–334m¹ LMEs shifted to

higher-margin Advanced

Ingredients

–Added 131m¹ more LMEs

Combined consumer,

Foodservice and

Advanced Ingredients

2%

20%

33%

22%

11%

12%

DIRA

GDT

Advanced

Ingredients

Foodservice

Consumer

FY18

22.2b

LME

Base

Ingredients

45%

18

19

20

21

22

JOHN MONAGHAN
Chairman

24

25
PORTFOLIO REVIEW PHASES

IMMEDIATE ACTIONS

IN FY18

•Debt reduction focus

1

STRATEGIC REVIEW OF

PORTFOLIO

•Strategic alignment

•Value creation potential

•Agree where to exit /

optimise / invest

2

DELIVERY OF

STRATEGIC REVIEW

ACTIONS

•Exit / optimise and

reallocate capital

•Invest

•Reduce debt / return

capital

3

26

QUESTIONS

FONTERRA
SHAREHOLDERS’

FUND

RESOLUTION 1
That John Shewan, who retires by rotation and, being

eligible, offers himself for re-election, be re-elected as

Director of the Manager of the Fund

JOHN SHEWAN
Director

FSF Management Company

RESOLUTION 1
That John Shewan, who retires by rotation and, being

eligible, offers himself for re-election, be re-elected as

Director of the Manager of the Fund

32
VOTING

•In respect of each resolution, please tick the “for”, “against” or

“abstain” box.

•Once you have completed your voting, please place your vote in a

ballot box.

•Please raise your hand if you require a pen.

•Results will be announced to the NZX and ASX as soon as they

areavailable.

FONTERRA
SHAREHOLDERS’

FUND

ANNUAL MEETING

12 NOVEMBER 2018

GENERAL BUSINESS

THANK YOU
MEETING CLOSED.

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