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Air New Zealand updates forward trading outlook

Guidance30 January 2019AIRIndustrials

Stock exchange listings: New Zealand (NZX: AIR) / Australia (ASX: AIZ) / ADR (OTC: ANZLY)


MARKET ANNOUNCEMENT


Air New Zealand postal address: Private Bag 92007, Auckland, 1142, New Zealand

Investor Relations email: investor@airnz.co.nz

Investor website: www.airnewzealand.co.nz/investor



30 January 2019

Air New Zealand updates forward trading outlook


Air New Zealand is today providing revised guidance to its earnings before taxation for the 2019

financial year.


The company now expects earnings before taxation of $340 million to $400 million for the year

ended 30 June 2019. This includes the impact of the global Rolls-Royce engine issues.


The previously announced guidance was for underlying earnings before taxation of $425 million

to $525 million, which excluded an estimated $30 million to $40 million impact of schedule

changes prompted by the global Rolls-Royce engine issues.


The Rolls-Royce engine issues continue to be challenging for the business, both commercially

and operationally, but are expected to improve as the year progresses.


The revised guidance reflects updated revenue forecasts based on recent forward booking

trends. Revenue growth is forecast to remain positive, albeit at a slower rate than previously

anticipated. Markets showing signs of slower growth include leisure travel within domestic New

Zealand and softening inbound tourism traffic.


The company has made adjustments to its schedule which will reduce the rate of capacity growth

to approximately 4% for the full year, at the low end of its original capacity guidance of 4% to 6%.


Partially offsetting the impact from slower revenue growth since the previous guidance is an

assumed average jet fuel price for the remainder of the financial year of approximately

US$75/bbl. Based on that assumption, the average jet fuel price for the full year would be

US$81/bbl.


Chief Executive Officer Christopher Luxon stated “we are concerned with our latest outlook which

reflects the softer revenue growth that we are seeing in the second half of the year. Therefore,

we have commenced a review of our network, fleet and cost base to ensure the business is on

a strong footing going forward.”


The full year guidance will be discussed in more detail at the interim result announcement on 28

February 2019. However, Air New Zealand remains committed to its distribution policy that looks

through short-term earnings volatility to provide a consistent and sustainable ordinary dividend.

Accordingly, the Board anticipates declaring an interim dividend of 11 cents per share.



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Stock exchange listings: New Zealand (NZX: AIR) / Australia (ASX: AIZ) / ADR (OTC: ANZLY)



MARKET ANNOUNCEMENT


Air New Zealand postal address: Private Bag 92007, Auckland, 1142, New Zealand

Investor Relations email: investor@airnz.co.nz

Investor website: www.airnewzealand.co.nz/investor



Guidance revision summary

Current guidance for 2019

financial year

(as disclosed on 30 January 2019)



Targeting earnings before taxation in the range of $340

million to $400 million*.


** Assumes an average jet fuel price for the year of US$81 per barrel.


Previous guidance for 2019

financial year

(as disclosed on 23 August 2018)






Targeting underlying earnings before taxation in the range of

$425 million to $525 million, excluding the $30 million to $40

million adverse impact of schedule changes prompted by the

global Rolls-Royce engine issues (equates to $385 million to

$495 million for reported earnings before taxation) **.


** Assumed an average jet fuel price for the year of US$85 per barrel











For investor relations questions, please contact:

Leila Peters

Head of Investor Relations

leila.peters@airnz.co.nz

+64 9 336 2607



Ends.









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