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KFL – March 2019 monthly update

Operational Update13 March 2019KFLFinancials

1
Monthly Update

March 2019

A word from the Manager

Market Environment

New Zealand equities as measured by the S&P/NZX50G index

were up +3.8% in the month of February. This was broadly in line

with global markets. After several months of very low dispersion

of returns, which often happens during sharp market corrections

and rebounds, variability increased in February during the local

earnings season.

The companies within the Kingfish portfolio reported well

compared to the New Zealand market, with a higher proportion

of our companies delivering earnings ahead of expectations.

Highlights were Vista and a2 Milk, whereas several other

companies we do not own within the portfolio disappointed (such

as Fonterra, Air NZ, Comvita, and Sky TV). Kingfish delivered an

adjusted NAV return of +6.5% for February.

The Portfolio

a2 Milk reported a strong result ahead of our expectations,

implying a very strong November/December and a re-

acceleration in revenue growth. The company has conducted

significant work on customer behaviour and is confident it will

see benefits from its planned ramp-up in marketing spend. We

continue to think there is significant potential for further growth in

the large Chinese infant formula market.

Auckland Airport reported its first half year result for fiscal 2019

which slightly beat expectations on the back of strong retail

division performance, although this is partly being offset by

slower capacity and traffic growth from airlines.

Delegat delivered a solid first half year result, with operating net

profit after tax up +17% on the previous corresponding period

on the back of continued strong sales growth in the US (+13%)

and a major new customer in the UK. The company upgraded its

full year case sales forecast and increased its net profit guidance

to now “at least” $50.3m, which would be a strong +12% on its

record result from last year.

Fisher & Paykel Healthcare and competitor Resmed mutually

agreed to end their respective global patent litigation. This is

positive news as it will result in meaningful cost savings over the

next couple of years, (in the order of $25m for next financial

year by our estimates). It also removes a key area of near-

term uncertainty given the timetable of hearings that were

scheduled for 2019.

Vista Group reported a strong 2018 result with revenue growth

of +23% which was ahead of its guidance (for circa +20%) and

the outlook for 2019 revenue growth “in the region of 20%”

was well above expectations. Its major business Vista Cinema

continues to grow strongly and its new cloud and managed

services offerings are beginning to generate new revenue

streams. Recent large new customer wins will further build

annuity revenue streams and enable the cross-sell of products

from Vista’s other small businesses. Vista’s data analytics

business Movio had very strong second half year revenue

growth and this translated to even stronger profit growth.

Movio Media is seeing more usage from customers - Disney

was recently the final major studio to come on board and the

industry is increasingly moving towards more non-traditional

advertising channels, which benefit from Movio’s insights. Vista

is entrepreneurial and proactively invests in developing new

businesses, with many of these like Powster, Numero, and

Cinema Intelligence continuing to gain traction and extend

the company’s growth runway. We think Vista is a high quality

software player in its niche and there is significant scope for it to

continue growing at strong rates for many years.

Freightways delivered its first half year result with its network

courier performance pleasingly in line with our expectations.

The company gave further insight to its ‘Pricing for Effort’

strategy which has commenced and is designed to better

monetise its $100m of business-to-residential revenue, which is

currently barely breakeven, with a residential delivery surcharge

to be introduced progressively from July. This and other

efficiency initiatives should add to revenues and profitability

over the next two years in addition to organic growth in

business-to-business volumes.

The new Michael Hill CEO, Daniel Bracken, reported his first

result with the company, with the first half year result soft as

expected due to known poor sales prior to his appointment.

Importantly, he has announced a targeted plan to turn the

1

Share Price Discount to NAV (including warrant price on a pro-rated basis)

KFL NAV

$

1.53

SHARE PRICE

$

1.38

DISCOUNT

1

8.7

%

as at 28 February 2019

WARRANT PRICE

$

0.05

Key Details
as at 28 February 2019

FUND TYPE

Listed Investment Company

INVESTS IN

Growing New Zealand companies

LISTING DATE

31 March 2004

FINANCIAL YEAR END

31 March

TYPICAL PORTFOLIO SIZE

15-25 stocks

INVESTMENT CRITERIA

Long-term growth

PERFORMANCE

OBJECTIVE

Long-term growth of capital and

dividends

TAX STATUS

Portfolio Investment Entity (PIE)

MANAGER

Fisher Funds Management

Limited

MANAGEMENT

FEE RATE

1.25% of gross asset value

(reduced by 0.10% for every 1% of

underperformance relative to the

change in the NZ 90 Day Bank Bill

Index with a floor of 0.75%)

PERFORMANCE

FEE HURDLE

Changes in the NZ 90 Day Bank

Bill Index + 7%

PERFORMANCE FEE

15% of returns in excess of

benchmark and high water mark

HIGH WATER MARK

$1.34

SHARES ON ISSUE

196m

MARKET CAPITALISATION

$271m

GEARING

None (maximum permitted 20%

of gross asset value)

Sector Split

as at 28 February 2019

2

%

26

%

HEALTH CARE

15

%


UTILITIES


MATERIALS

28

%

INDUSTRIALS

7

%

INFORMATION

TECHNOLOGY

10

%

CONSUMER

STAPLES

5

%


CASH

7

%

CONSUMER

DISCRETIONARY

Sam Dickie

Senior Portfolio Manager

Fisher Funds Management Limited

business around, with the highest agenda items restoring

financial performance and improving core retail disciplines in

the business. $5m of annual cost reductions have already been

made starting January, with plans to take out another $5m this

year. Daniels approach so far is delivering the things we expect

to see for a successful turnaround to begin.

Summerset delivered a solid 2018 result, with revaluations of its

properties stronger than expected due to quicker completions

and higher development margins, which are driving stronger

than expected net asset growth.

Fletcher Building reported its first half year result in line

with November guidance. The company is busy working in

its Australian division as part of its longer term plan to more

than double profitability of this division to $200-250m EBIT

(operating earnings) and expects this to enable year-on-year

growth in the next fiscal year.

Pushpay’s revenue for the December quarter was softer than

anticipated because processing volumes in the last week of

December fell short of expectations. The company’s fiscal year

2

revenue guidance is unchanged but we now expect it to be

towards the lower end of the range. The company still expects

strong revenue growth for the next year of around 30%. Positively,

new customer growth was the best we have seen in 18 months,

product updates continue to support Pushpay’s proposition and

profit margins continue to surprise to the upside.

Portfolio changes and strategy

We trimmed our position in Fletcher Building ahead of its result.

We increased our positions in a2 Milk and Vista Group as we

gained additional comfort their long duration growth stories have

further to run. We trimmed our position in Freightways as the

‘Pricing for Effort’ story is becoming better reflected in the share

price. We also trimmed Infratil modestly during the month.

February’s Biggest Movers
Typically the Kingfish portfolio will be invested 90% or more in equities.

The remaining portfolio is made up of another 11 stocks and cash.

5 Largest Portfolio Positions as at 28 February 2019

FISHER & PAYKEL

HEALTHCARE

+17

%

THE A2 MILK COMPANY

+13

%

VISTA GROUP

+13

%

MICHAEL HILL INTL

+8

%

SUMMERSET

+6

%

FISHER & PAYKEL

HEALTHCARE

14

%

THE A2 MILK COMPANY

11

%

FREIGHTWAYS

10

%

MAINFREIGHT

9

%

INFRATIL

7

%

3

Performance to 28 February 2019

1 Month3 Months1 Year3 Years

(annualised)

5 Years

(annualised)

Company Performance

Total Shareholder Return+3.2%+3.3%+13.6%+12.6%+11.1%

Adjusted NAV Return+6.5%+9.4%+13.8%+14.7%+12.4%

Portfolio Performance

Gross Performance Return+7.0%+10.3%+15.4%+17.4%+15.1%

S&P/NZX50G Index+3.8%+5.7%+11.4%+14.4%+13.3%

Non-GAAP Financial Information

Kingfish uses non-GAAP measures, including adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return. The rationale for using such non-GAAP measures is as follows:

»adjusted net asset value – the underlying value of the investment portfolio adjusted for capital allocation decisions after fees and tax,

»adjusted NAV return – the net return to an investor after fees and tax,

»gross performance return – the Manager’s portfolio performance in terms of stock selection, before fees and tax, and

»total shareholder return – the return to an investor who reinvests their dividends, and if in the money, exercises their warrants at warrant maturity date for additional shares.

All references to adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return in this monthly update are to such non-GAAP measures. The calculations applied to non-

GAAP measures are described in the Kingfish Non-GAAP Financial Information Policy. A copy of the policy is available at http://kingfish.co.nz/about-kingfish/kingfish-policies/

Total Shareholder Return to 28 February 2019

Mar

2004

Mar

2005

Mar

2006

Mar

2007

Mar

2008

Mar

2009

Mar

2010

Mar

2011

Mar

2012

Mar

2014

Mar

2015

Mar

2013

Mar

2016

Share Price/Total Shareholder Return

$

2.50

$

3.00

$

2.0 0

$

1.50

$

1.00

Share PriceTotal Shareholder Return

$

4.50

$

0.50

$

0.00

Mar

2017

$

3.50

Mar

2018

$

4.00

Disclaimer: The information in this update has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is
by necessity brief. The information and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Kingfish Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy

or completeness. The update is not intended to constitute professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from an

authorised financial adviser should be taken before making an investment. To the extent that the update contains data relating to the historical performance of Kingfish Limited or its portfolio companies,

please note that fund performance can and will vary and that future results may have no correlation with results historically achieved.

Kingfish Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740

Phone: +64 9 489 7094 | Fax: +64 9 489 7139

Email: enquire@kingfish.co.nz | www.kingfish.co.nz

4

Computershare Investor Services Limited

Private Bag 92119, Auckland 1142

Phone: +64 9 488 8777 | Fax: +64 9 488 8787

Email: enquiry@computershare.co.nz | www.computershare.com/nz

About Kingfish

Kingfish is an investment company

listed on the New Zealand Stock

Exchange. The company gives

shareholders an opportunity to

invest in a diversified portfolio

of between 15 and 25 quality

growing New Zealand companies

through a single, professionally

managed investment. The aim

of Kingfish is to offer investors

competitive returns through

capital growth and dividends.

Capital Management Strategies

Regular Dividends

»Quarterly distribution policy introduced in

June 2009

»Under this policy, 2% of average NAV is targeted

to be paid to shareholders quarterly

»Dividends paid by Kingfish may include dividends

received, interest income, investment gains

and/or return of capital

»Shareholders who prefer to have increased

capital rather than a regular income stream have

the opportunity to participate in the company’s

dividend reinvestment plan (DRP)

»Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3%

discount to market price

»Kingfish became a portfolio investment entity on

1 October 2007. As a result, dividends paid to

New Zealand tax resident shareholders have not

been subject to further tax

Share Buyback Programme

»Kingfish has a buyback programme in place allowing

it (if it elects to do so) to acquire up to 9.7m of its

shares on market in the year to 31 October 2019

»Shares bought back by the company are held as

treasury stock

» Shares held as treasury stock are available to be

re-issued for the dividend reinvestment plan and to

pay performance fees

Warrants

»On 2 July 2018, a new issue of warrants (KFLWE) was

announced

»The warrants were issued at no cost to eligible

shareholders and in the ratio of one warrant for

every four Kingfish shares held

»Exercise Price = $1.37 per warrant, to be adjusted

down for dividends declared during the period up to

the Exercise Date

»Exercise Date = 12 July 2019

»The final Exercise Price will be announced and an

Exercise Form will be posted to warrant holders in

June 2019

Management

Kingfish’s portfolio is managed

by Fisher Funds Management

Limited. Sam Dickie (Senior

Portfolio Manager), Zoie Regan

(Senior Investment Analyst) and

Matt Peek (Investment Analyst)

have prime responsibility for

managing the Kingfish portfolio.

Together they have over 40 years

combined experience and are

very capable of researching and

investing in the quality New

Zealand companies that Kingfish

targets. Fisher Funds is based in

Takapuna, Auckland.

Board

The Manager has authority

delegated to it from the

Board to invest according to

the Management Agreement

and other written policies.

The Board of Kingfish

comprises independent

directors Alistair Ryan (Chair),

Carol Campbell, Andy Coupe

and Carmel Fisher.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.