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MLN – March 2019 monthly update

Operational Update13 March 2019MLNFinancials

1
Monthly Update

March 2019

MLN NAV

$

0.98

SHARE PRICE

$

0.86

DISCOUNT

1

10.3

%

as at 28 February 2019

A word from the Manager

Market Environment and Portfolio

Performance

Equity markets have had quite a ride over the last six

months. After dramatic falls at the end of last year, global

equity markets continued to rebound in February after a

record setting bounce in January. The US S&P 500 Index

rallied 3% in February and is now up 11% for the year and

18% from its pre-Christmas lows.

After despondently selling shares in December and

pushing the S&P 500 nearly 20% lower at one point, many

investors have now deemed it wise to start buying at

current levels. Concerns at the end of last year (slowing

global economic growth and Federal Reserve rate hikes)

caused many investors to see elevated risks and their

selling pushed markets lower. Just two months later many

of these same investors now see reduced risks, (with

the Fed taking a break on rate hikes) and their buying is

pushing markets higher.

While I won’t offer any views on what the market may do

over the next month, quarter or year (you can flip a coin

as well as I can), what the above behaviour hopefully

illustrates is that it is usually damaging to sell when you

see risks in every direction, and to buy only when the coast

looks clear. Investors that have done that recently may

well wish they spent the summer at the beach rather than

trading their portfolios.

As discussed in our quarterly newsletter, we used the

weakness at the end of last year to increase our holdings

in some of our favourite businesses (PayPal, Alphabet,

MasterCard, TJX Companies and Alibaba). With the

market now having rebounded and been given the ‘all

clear’ by investors, we think that it is appropriate to

become slightly more cautious. Some of the new ideas we

are currently researching are more defensive in nature and

we will discuss this more over the coming months.

In February, Marlin delivered gross performance of +5.1%,

+0.7% ahead of our global benchmark which gained +4.3%

for the month. The adjusted NAV return was +4.9%.

Over the last two years the Marlin portfolio has delivered

gross annualised performance of +20.5%, compared with our

global benchmark which has recorded a two-year annualised

gain of +9.6%. The two year annualised adjusted NAV

performance was +16.4%.

Portfolio Company Developments

Logistics software provider, Descartes, recently announced

the acquisition of Visual Compliance for $250 million,

adding to its growing customs and regulatory compliance

offering. Descartes has a long history of making bolt-on

acquisitions and adding new capabilities to its Global

Logistic Network (GLN). Descartes’ GLN software helps

businesses globally (like Home Depot) to connect to freight

providers and facilitate the global movement of goods. This

includes everything from booking freight moves and tracking

shipments, to digitally filing customs documents with the

relevant authority as shipments arrive in port. Acquisitions

like Visual Compliance add more capabilities to Descartes’

offering and in our opinion strengthen the company’s moat

and long-term growth prospects. As Descartes’ solution set

is much broader than just customs and trade compliance,

the acquisition will also allow Descartes to sell its broader

software offering to Visual Compliance customers.

We decided to exit long time portfolio holding eBay from

the portfolio in February. Despite some poor recent financial

results, we have been somewhat lucky recently with eBay and

its share price having gained over 30% this year on news that

activist investors Elliott Management and Starboard Value

have taken stakes in the company. These activist investors are

pushing for eBay to sell its ticketing business (Stubhub) and

its collection of online classified websites (including Gumtree)

and refocus its efforts on growing its core ecommerce

marketplace.

Of course, luck is not a good investment strategy. We

maintained our investment in eBay last year as we believed

the company was making some credible steps to reaccelerate

its e-commerce growth and acquire new users. Its initiatives

in payments and advertising also added new and promising

high margin revenue streams. That said, its recent financial

1

Share Price Discount to NAV (including warrant price on a pro-rated basis)

WARRANT PRICE

$

0.06

2
Ashley Gardyne

Senior Portfolio Manager

Fisher Funds Management Limited

results have shown that growth is slowing despite these

efforts (in a strong e-commerce market) and this had caused

us to question our investment in eBay. The intervention by

Elliott Management was therefore timely and has allowed

us to exit our holding at what we think is a fair price.

This cloud did have a silver lining however. While eBay

certainly hasn’t been one of our best investments, it did

provide us with our investment in PayPal (which used to

be part of eBay), which has been a major contributor to

portfolio performance in recent years.

Portfolio Company Results

Fourth-quarter reporting season continued in February and

while we were disappointed with eBay’s results, most of our

portfolio companies delivered pleasing updates.

Animal healthcare company, Zoetis, reported 7% revenue

growth and 21% earnings growth driven by strength in

its companion animal business. Its dermatology products

for cats and dogs delivered strong growth and the recent

Sector Split

as at 28 February 2019

Key Details

as at 28 February 2019

FUND TYPE

Listed Investment Company

INVESTS IN

Growing international companies

LISTING DATE

1 November 2007

FINANCIAL YEAR END

30 June

TYPICAL PORTFOLIO SIZE

25-35 stocks

INVESTMENT CRITERIA

Long-term growth

PERFORMANCE

OBJECTIVE

Long-term growth of capital and

dividends

TAX STATUS

Portfolio Investment Entity (PIE)

MANAGER

Fisher Funds Management

Limited

MANAGEMENT

FEE RATE

1.25% of gross asset value

(reduced by 0.10% for every 1% of

underperformance relative to the

change in the NZ 90 Day Bank Bill

Index with a floor of 0.75%)

PERFORMANCE

FEE HURDLE

Changes in the NZ 90 Day Bank

Bill Index + 5%

PERFORMANCE FEE

15% of returns in excess of

benchmark and high water mark

HIGH WATER MARK

$0.97

SHARES ON ISSUE

121m

MARKET CAPITALISATION

$104m

GEARING

None (maximum permitted 20%

of gross asset value)

23

%

INFORMATION

TECHNOLOGY

11

%

INDUSTRIALS

15

%


HEALTHCARE

21

%

CONSUMER

DISCRETIONARY

Geographical Split

as at 28 February 2019

13

%

WEST EUROPE

73

%

NORTH AMERICA

10

%

FINANCIALS

10

%


ASIA

2

%


ENERGY

The Marlin portfolio also holds cash.15

%

COMMUNICATION

SERVICES

acquisition of Abaxis (diagnostic tools for vets) is being

integrated on schedule and initial results are promising.

Off-price retailer, TJX Companies, delivered impressive

fourth-quarter results. Same store sales growth of 6%

would be the envy of many retailers and on top of this they

continue to roll-out new stores. Management provided

upbeat guidance for 2019 and reaffirmed its long-term

target of having 6,100 stores – which compares to its current

footprint of 4,306 stores and provides visibility to another

decade of solid growth.

The Marlin portfolio also holds cash.

February’s Biggest Movers in local currency terms
Typically the Marlin portfolio will be invested 90% or more in equities.

DESCARTES SYSTEMS

+11

%

PAYPAL

+10

%

ZOETIS

+9

%

EBAY INC

+9

%

5 Largest Portfolio Positions as at 28 February 2019

ALPHABET

8

%

ALIBABA

7

%

PAYPAL

7

%

MASTERCARD

5

%

TJX COMPANIES INC

5

%

The remaining portfolio is made up of another 20 stocks and cash.

Nov

2007

Nov

2008

Nov

2009

Nov

2010

Nov

2011

Nov

2012

Nov

2014

Nov

2013

Share Price/Total Shareholder Return

Share PriceTotal Shareholder Return

Nov

2015

$

1.00

$

0.50

$

0.00

$

1.50

Nov

2016

Nov

2017

$

2.50

$

2.00

Nov

2018

Total Shareholder Return to 28 February 2019

Performance to 28 February 2019

1 Month3 Months1 Year3 Years

(annualised)

Since Inception

(annualised)

Company Performance

Total Shareholder Return+1.7%(0.6%)+11.7%+12.3%+6.3%

Adjusted NAV Return+4.9%+5.9%+7.5%+13.7%+6.6%

Portfolio Performance

Gross Performance Return +5.1%+6.7%+9.7%+17.9%+10.2%

Benchmark Index^+4.3%+3.4%+2.5%+12.8%+7.2%

3

^Benchmark index: World Small Cap Gross Index until 30 September 2015 & S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap Index (50% hedged to NZD) from 1 October 2015

Non-GAAP Financial Information

Marlin uses non-GAAP measures, including adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return. The rationale for using such non-GAAP measures is as follows:

»adjusted net asset value – the underlying value of the investment portfolio adjusted for capital allocation decisions after fees and tax,

»adjusted NAV return – the net return to an investor after fees and tax,

»gross performance return – the Manager’s portfolio performance in terms of stock selection and currency hedging before fees and tax, and

»total shareholder return – the return to an investor who reinvests their dividends, and if in the money, exercises their warrants at warrant maturity date for additional shares.

All references to adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return in this monthly update are to such non-GAAP measures. The calculations applied to non-GAAP

measures are described in the Marlin Non-GAAP Financial Information Policy. A copy of the policy is available at http://marlin.co.nz/about-marlin/marlin-policies/

ALIBABA GROUP

+9

%

Disclaimer: The information in this update has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is by
necessity brief. The information and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Marlin Global Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy

or completeness. The update is not intended to constitute professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from an

authorised financial adviser should be taken before making an investment. To the extent that the update contains data relating to the historical performance of Marlin Global Limited or its portfolio

companies, please note that fund performance can and will vary and that future results may have no correlation with results historically achieved.

Marlin Global Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740

Phone: +64 9 484 0365 | Fax: +64 9 489 7139

Email: enquire@marlin.co.nz | www.marlin.co.nz

4

Computershare Investor Services Limited

Private Bag 92119, Auckland 1142

Phone: +64 9 488 8777 | Fax: +64 9 488 8787

Email: enquiry@computershare.co.nz | www.computershare.com/nz

About

Marlin Global

Marlin is an investment company

listed on the New Zealand Stock

Exchange. The company gives

shareholders an opportunity to

invest in a diversified portfolio of

between 25 and 35 quality growing

international companies (excluding

New Zealand and Australia)

through a single, professionally

managed investment. The aim

of Marlin is to offer investors

competitive returns through capital

growth and dividends.

Capital Management Strategies

Regular Dividends

»Quarterly distribution policy introduced in

August 2010

»Under this policy, 2% of average NAV is targeted

to be paid to shareholders quarterly

»Dividends paid by Marlin may include dividends

received, interest income, investment gains

and/or return of capital

»Shareholders who prefer to have increased

capital rather than a regular income stream have

the opportunity to participate in the company’s

dividend reinvestment plan (DRP)

»Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3%

discount to market price

»Marlin became a portfolio investment entity on

1 October 2007. As a result, dividends paid to

New Zealand tax resident shareholders have not

been subject to further tax

Share Buyback Programme

»Marlin has a buyback programme in place allowing

it (if it elects to do so) to acquire up to 5.9m of its

shares on market in the year to 31 October 2019

»Shares bought back by the company are held as

treasury stock

» Shares held as treasury stock are available to be

re-issued for the dividend reinvestment plan

Warrants

»On 16 April 2018, a new issue of warrants (MLNWC)

was announced

»The warrants were issued at no cost to eligible

shareholders and in the ratio of one warrant for

every four Marlin shares held

»Exercise Price = $0.83 per warrant, to be adjusted

down for dividends declared during the period up

to the Exercise Date

»Exercise Date = 12 April 2019

»The final Exercise Price will be announced and an

Exercise Form will be posted to warrant holders in

March 2019


Management

Marlin’s portfolio is managed

by Fisher Funds Management

Limited. Ashley Gardyne (Senior

Portfolio Manager), Chris

Waters and Harry Smith (Senior

Investment Analysts) have prime

responsibility for managing

the Marlin portfolio. Together

they have significant combined

experience and are very capable

of researching and investing in

the quality global companies that

Marlin targets. Fisher Funds is

based in Takapuna, Auckland.


Board

The Manager has authority

delegated to it from the

Board to invest according to

the Management Agreement

and other written policies.

The Board of Marlin

comprises independent

directors Alistair Ryan (Chair),

Carol Campbell, Andy Coupe

and Carmel Fisher.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.