Genesis Energy Limited logo

Investor Roadshow Presentation – March 2019

Investor Presentation25 March 2019GNEUtilities

Marc England –CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER
Chris Jewell –CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER

James Magill –EXECUTIVE GROUP MANAGER CUSTOMER & INNOVATION

Australia: Melbourne, Sydney, Brisbane

Disclaimer
This presentation has been prepared by Genesis Energy Limited (‘Genesis Energy’) for information purposes only. The information in

this presentation is of a general nature and does not purport to be complete nor does it contain all the information requiredfor an

investor to evaluate an investment. This presentation may contain projections or forward-looking statements regarding a variety of

items. Such forward-looking statements are based upon current expectations and involve risks and uncertainties. Actual results may

differ materially from those stated in any forward-looking statement based on a number of important factors and risks.

Although management may indicate and believe that the assumptions underlying the forward-looking statements are reasonable, any

of the assumptions could prove inaccurate or incorrect and, therefore, there can be no assurance that the results contemplated in the

forward-looking statements will be realised. EBITDAF, underlying profit and free cash flow are non-GAAP (generally accepted

accounting practice) measures. While all reasonable care has been taken in compiling this presentation, to the maximum extent

permitted by law Genesis Energy accepts no responsibility for any errors or omissions and no representation is made as to the

accuracy, completeness or reliability of the information. This presentation does not constitute investment advice.

Genesis Energy Limited Investor Roadshow March 2019 2.

345
335

333

361

360-375

FY15FY16FY17FY18FY19f

NZ$ MILLIONS

Our investment proposition is a strong yield underpinned by growth

NZX 50 / ASX 100 YIELD COMPARISON

Bloomberg

EBITDAF

Genesis Energy Limited Investor Roadshow March 2019 3.

$0.00

$0.50

$1.00

$1.50

$2.00

$2.50

$3.00

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

8%

9%

10%

Jul-15

Sep-15

Nov-15

Jan-16

Mar-16

May-16

Jul-16

Sep-16

Nov-16

Jan-17

Mar-17

May-17

Jul-17

Sep-17

Nov-17

Jan-18

Mar-18

May-18

Jul-18

Sep-18

Nov-18

Jan-19

Mar-19

Mean Yield (LHS)90th Percentile Yield (LHS)75th Percentile Yield (LHS)

25th Percentile Yield (LHS)GNE Yield (LHS)GNE Share Price (NZ$)

Supplementary dividend for Australian investors
16.0

16.4

16.6

16.9

8.45

81%

88%

91%

92%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

0

FY15FY16FY17FY181H19

Dividends (CPS)Payout % of FCF

DIVIDEND CENTS PER SHARE (NZ$)& PAYOUT HISTORY

1.HY19 interim dividend of 8.45 cps declared (up 1.8%), with 80% imputation,

representing a 8.6% gross yield

2

.

2.Gross yield is based on the rolling 12 month dividend cps and closing share price

of $2.61 as at 31 December 2018.

3.Free cash flow represents EBITDAF less cash tax paid, net interest costs and stay

in business capital expenditure.

Genesis Energy Limited Investor Roadshow March 2019 4.

Policy is to grow

dividends in real terms

over time.

Target Dividend/

Free Cash Flow

of < 90%.

•HY19 interim dividend

1

of 8.45 cps, 80%

imputed, has a record date of 4 April 2019,

payable to shareholders on 18 April 2019.

•Supplementary dividend of 1.1929 cps

payment to non-resident shareholders,

based on 80% imputation rate.

•Our Dividend Reinvestment Plan (DRP)

continues to be offered at 2.5% discount, with

an opt-in cut off date as at 4 April 2019. DRP

pricing will be notified to shareholders on 10

April 2019.

•Pay-out ratio as a percentage of free cash flow

3

was 78%.

About New Zealand
—Good growth in a stable political and regulatory environment

Source: Economy Rankings 2018 (The World Bank), The Heritage Foundation 2017, Legatum Prosperity Index 2017, Energy Architecture

Performance Index 2017 (World Economic Forum)

Ease of doing

business

st

Investor

Protection

st

billion,

3% growth

GDP

Global Prosperity

Index

Providing

Sustainable,

Secure Energy

th

Economic

Freedom

rd

nd

Genesis Energy Limited Investor Roadshow March 2019 6.

New Zealand’s domestic energy market
—Deregulatedunsubsidised market with an established operating system

1 state owned national

transmission grid operator

1 privately owned gas

transmission network

5major electricity

generators

4 gas fields make up over

80% of gross production

29electricity

lines companies

5gas distributors

4LPG distributors

2melectricity customers

270,000gas customers,

220,000LPG customers

48%residential

customers

Retail

39%small,

medium

enterprises

13%commercial &

industrial customers

Genesis Energy Limited Investor Roadshow March 2019 7.

Core markets stable or growing
Growth is

forecast in

NZ energy

demand

LPG market,

excluding Auto,

grew 3.5% in last

12 months

35,000

40,000

45,000

50,000

55,000

60,000

65,000

200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024202520262027202820292030

GRID DEMAND FORECASTS (GWH)

Historical demandTranspower

MBIE - LowMBIE - High

Productivity Comm. - LowProductivity Comm. - High

Genesis Energy Limited Investor Roadshow March 2019 8.

2,800

3,000

3,200

3,400

3,600

3,800

4,000

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec

GRID DEMAND

SHOWING SIGNS OF GROWTH (GWH)

5 year range20182019

EA data

-

10

20

30

40

50

60

Mar-12

Sep-12

Mar-13

Sep-13

Mar-14

Sep-14

Mar-15

Sep-15

Mar-16

Sep-16

Mar-17

Sep-17

Mar-18

Sep-18

GAS DEMAND STABLE

4 QUARTER MOVING AVERAGE (PJ)

Consumption Non-energy use Energy transformation

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

180,000

200,000

Mar-12

Sep-12

Mar-13

Sep-13

Mar-14

Sep-14

Mar-15

Sep-15

Mar-16

Sep-16

Mar-17

Sep-17

Mar-18

Sep-18

LPG GROWTH CONTINUES

ROLLING 12 MONTH SALES (KT)

Bulk Market45 kg MarketForklift Market9 kg MarketAuto Market

LPGadata

...with electricity markets reflecting tighter capacity margins
EA data

Energy and

capacity

shortages

showing

Tiwai4

th

potline

adds to

demand

Regulatory

review of

electricity

prices

underway

Transpower data

22

23

24

25

26

27

28

29

30

31

32

201320142015201620172018

RESIDENTIAL ELECTRICITY PRICE (C/KWH)

MBIE data

Genesis Energy Limited Investor Roadshow March 2019 9.

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

Jul-13

Jan-14

Jul-14

Jan-15

Jul-15

Jan-16

Jul-16

Jan-17

Jul-17

Jan-18

Jul-18

Jan-19

WHOLESALE ELECTRICITY PRICE ($/MWH)

Average over the period

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

20192020202120222023

NEW ZEALAND WINTER ENERGY MARGIN

FORECAST TO TIGHTEN

0.6-0.7% demand growth1% demand growth

REQUIRED SECURITY MARGIN

...and fuel markets tightening
LPG

market

moving to

net import

International

oil price

volatility

continues

Oil and gas

exploration to

be restricted

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

0

50

100

150

200

250

201820192020202120222023202420252026202720282029203020312032203320342035

FORECAST GAS AND LPG PRODUCTION PROFILE

Gas (PJ - LH Axis)LPG (PJ - RH Axis)

Bloomberg

MBIE data

Woodward

Genesis Energy Limited Investor Roadshow March 2019 10.

-

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2,000

200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019

NZ LPG IMPORT/EXPORT PARITY PRICING

(NZD/T)

Export parityImport parity

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

Jun-13

Dec-13

Jun-14

Dec-14

Jun-15

Dec-15

Jun-16

Dec-16

Jun-17

Dec-17

Jun-18

Dec-18

BRENT CRUDE (USD/BBL)

800
1000

1200

1400

2015201620172018 estimate

RESIDENTIAL LITHIUM-ION BATTERY STORAGE

COSTS (USD/MWH)

Lazard

Energy transformation is creating opportunities

Desktop search

Mobile search

ENERGY SEARCH VOLUME TREND

0.8

1

1.2

1.4

Jun-14

Dec-14

Jun-15

Dec-15

Jun-16

Dec-16

Jun-17

Dec-17

Jun-18

Dec-18

Jun-19

Dec-19

Jun-20

Dec-20

Jun-21

WIND TURBINE PRICE INDEX

Price indexProjection

BNEF

Google

250

200

150

100

50

0

Jan

-

14

Jan

-

15

Jan

-

16

Jan

-

17

Jan

-

18

Genesis Energy Limited Investor Roadshow March 2019 11.

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

Jun-14

Dec-14

Jun-15

Dec-15

Jun-16

Dec-16

Jun-17

Dec-17

Jun-18

Dec-18

Jun-19

Dec-19

Jun-20

Dec-20

Jun-21

SOLAR MARKET PENETRATION (NZ)

ICP uptake rate (%)Projection linear

Projection 50% CAGR

EA data

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

Jun-2015

Dec-2015

Jun-2016

Dec-2016

Jun-2017

Dec-2017

Jun-2018

Dec-2018

Jun-2019

Dec-2019

Jun-2020

Dec-2020

Jun-2021

Dec-2021

NEW ZEALAND ELECTRIC VEHICLE FLEET

GROWTH

50% CAGR100% CAGR

NZTA data

$0

$5

$10

$15

$20

$25

$30

Jun 14

Dec 14

Jun 15

Dec 15

Jun 16

Dec 16

Jun 17

Dec 17

Jun 18

Dec 18

Jun 19

Dec 19

Jun 20

Dec 20

Jun 21

NEW ZEALAND CARBON UNITS PRICE

Regulatory environment
Meaningful solutions sought, underpinned by principles of collaboration and customer-centric approach

Genesis Energy Limited Investor Roadshow March 2019 12.

ELECTRICITY MARKET ENHANCEMENTS

Update

•EPR Panel presented 41 options, indicating its support for a package

of 30, unsure of 5 and does not support 6 that would require ‘heavy-

handed’ regulation e.g. price caps.

•Focus is on the retail and wholesale sectors with most solutions

targeted at supporting ‘vulnerable customers’, strengthening retail

competition and improving wholesale market transparency.

Key

messages

•Retail competition is working to deliver customer choice and

innovation. Price regulation will undermine the market and disrupt

innovation.

•Customer engagement is growing around energy use and choices

e.g. EnergyIQ.

•More targeted solutions delivered in collaboration with Government

are key to addressing ‘energy hardship’.

•The wholesale market is sufficiently liquid to support competition,

but market making arrangements may need to change to better

manage market volatility.

•Improved transparency across all segments will drive trust,

confidence and more efficient investment, especially in the

monopoly segments.

Next

Steps

•The Panel is due to provide its final report containing recommended

options to Government by the end of May 2019.

TRANSITIONING TO A LOW

EMISSIONS ECONOMY

Update

•A change to the terms of reference for the Interim Climate Change

Committee (ICCC) means it will now report directly to Government.

Its report is due by the end of April 2019.

•Government has said it will respond directly to Productivity

Commission (PC) recommendations.

•The ICCC and PC are two key parts of the Government’s climate

work programme.

Key

messages

•The electricity sector can play a key role in decarbonising the wider

economy, especially transport and industrial heat processes.

•We must remain focused on balancing the energy trilemma of

affordability, sustainability and reliability.

•There is a risk of price shocks for consumers or a disruption to the

secure supply of energy if we pursue a 100% renewable electricity

generation target at all costs.

•Policy cohesion is essential and it is important that there is

coordinated thinking e.g. decisions made about the Emissions

Trading Scheme (ETS) and Zero Carbon Bill (ZCB).

Next

Steps

•Await ICCC advice and Government response to this and PC.

•The ZCB should enter Parliament in May 2019.

•ETS legislative changes to follow –likely to be introduced late 2019.

About Genesis Energy
—Our vision is to be customers’ first choice for energy management

KEY INFORMATION

Revenue (FY18): NZ$2.3 billion

EBITDAF (FY18):NZ$361 million

Dividend Yield (FY18): 6.9%

Share Price: NZ$2.90

Market Capitalisation: NZ$2.9 billion

Enterprise Value (HY19): NZ$4.1 billion

Average Daily Turnover (FY18): 600,000 shares

Credit Rating: BBB+ (Standard & Poors)

Genesis Energy is a large, fully integrated energy

management company. It is New Zealand’s

largest energy retailer, generates electricity from

a diverse portfolio of thermal and renewable

assets located throughout the country, and has

an interest in the Kupe oil and gas field offshore

of Taranaki.

,

Genesis Energy Limited Investor Roadshow March 2019 14.

Why Genesis?
Genesis Energy Limited Investor Roadshow March 2019 15.

Diversity of earnings across sectors, fuels and markets
GROSS MARGIN CONTRIBUTION (FY18)

Gas 11%

Oil 6%LPG 3%

Renewable generation 30%

Thermal generation 12%

LPG 1%

Residential electricity 20%

Business

electricity

6%

LPG 7%Gas 4%

KUPE 20%WHOLESALE 43%CUSTOMER 37%

ElectricityGasLPGOil

Genesis Energy Limited Investor Roadshow March 2019 16.

,
Genesis Energy Limited 1H FY19 Result Presentation 17.

1H FY19highlights

Genesis Energy Limited 1H FY19 Result Presentation 17.

Generation asset

reliability at record highs,

forced outages at

Energy Management

Connections deployed

NPAT

Net Debt down

Wholesale portfolio delivers

stable earnings in volatile,

resource constrained wholesale

market.

EBITDAF

$

m

$

m

Gross

yield of

Dividends up 1.8% to

cps

.

%

.

$

m

%

Operating

costs down

.

%

Gross churn

1

reduced by

and net

churn by

.

ppt

.

ppt

Electricity netback increased by

.

%

(Business)

.

%

(Residential)

1. Gross churn (new disclosure) is defined as customers who instigated a trader switch or home move, whilst net churn is post home move save and retentions.

Customers purchasing

morethan 1 product

grew by

.

%

Genesis Energy Limited Investor Roadshow March 2019 17.

Outlook and guidance
—Updated guidancefor FY19 EBITDAF is $360 to $375 million

Market Outlook

•2H FY19 –wholesale market remains volatile with ongoing gas outages, drier conditions, uncertainty in the availability

of competitor thermal plant. The FY19 guidance range reflects these conditions.

•Longer term electricity market supply and demand fundamentals continue to improve:

•4

th

potlineat Tiwaihas been reinstated. ASX Year 3 OTA forward curve has lifted $15 to trade at $90/MWh since July 18.

•Uncertainty in longer term gas supply market remains, beyond current outage phase.

FY19 Guidance

•FY19 EBITDAF guidance range is $360 to $375 million subject to hydrological conditions, gas availability, any material

events, one-off expenses or other unforeseeable circumstances.

•FY19 capital expenditure guidance is unchanged at up to $85 million.

FY20 Guidance

•Beach Energy has confirmed a 35 day shutdown of Kupe for cyclical maintenance –FY20 EBITDAF impact of $8 to $10

million.

Genesis Energy Limited Investor Roadshow March 2019 18.

Our VISION is to be customers’ first choice for energy management
Our PURPOSE is to reimagine energy to put control in our customers’ hands

PERFORMING

TRANSFORMING

Increase # of customers using

energy management tools and

increase digital interactions

Grow our earnings and deliver top

quartile shareholder returns

Be #1 or #2 in every

product market

Energise our people and improve

engagement

Keep our people

healthy and safe

Maximise the value of our assets,

products and businesses

Embrace diversity

of thought

Employees are engaged advocates for

our brands and products

Move toward a lower

carbon future

Be New Zealand’s most

loved brand

Our STRATEGY is to maximise value through our market position

Wholesale & Kupe segment

•Our integrated fuel position minimises costs for us and our customers

•Our generation mix gives us flexibility tomaximise valuein theenergy markets

•We are leading the way to transition the NZ energy sectorsuccessfully to a more

renewable future

Customer segment

•We offer a full three fuel (electricity, gas and LPG) solution for our customers

•We aim to differentiate our products with seamless service,useful insights and digital tools

•Our ambition is to change how consumers engage with their energy

We are performing while transforming

Genesis Energy Limited Investor Roadshow March 2019 20.

Our purpose is to reimagine energy to put control in our customers’ hands
Fuels

Platform

Brands

Genesis Energy Limited Investor Roadshow March 2019 21.

Our brand re-launch has helped us regain market leadership
“THE MARKET LEADER”

28

+7 PTS

19

+4 PTS

17

+7 PTS

9

+1 PT

19

NC

“PUTTING PEOPLE IN CONTROL

OF THEIR ENERGY USE”

23

+8 PTS

15

+3 PTS

11

+1 PTS

16

+1 PT

11

+1 PT

“LEADING THE WAY WITH

NEW TECHNOLOGY”

28

+14 PTS

15

+6 PTS

15

+9 PTS

13

+1 PTS

9

+4 PTS

Change in score from May 2017 to August 2018

WHEN ASKED, PEOPLE

RECOGNISED GENESIS AS:

Genesis Energy Limited Investor Roadshow March 2019 22.

0%
5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

Jul-17

Aug-17

Sep-17

Oct-17

Nov-17

Dec-17

Jan-18

Feb-18

Mar-18

Apr-18

May-18

Jun-18

Jul-18

Aug-18

Sep-18

Oct-18

Nov-18

Dec-18

TotalSingle FuelDual Fuel

Focusing on enhancing loyalty

FY19 will deliver product differentiation at scale

GENESIS CUSTOMER CHURN RATE (BY MONTH, ALL FUELS)

1

1

Monthly Churn Annualised (most recent 2 months are estimated on EOM losses and may change)

2

Based on Total Residential ICPs for electricity, gas and LPG

1% churn equals

~$1-2mEBITDAF

per annum

2

1% price increase

equals ~$7-8m

EBITDAFper

annum

2

Power

Shout I

Power

Shout II

Energy IQ

Launch

Bottle Gas

Monitoring Launch

Power

Shout III

Electricity

Monitoring Launch

Dual

“Go all in”

Move to the

Future I

Genesis Energy Limited Investor Roadshow March 2019 23.

Our product led strategy
Progress include the launch of energy audits for business customers and passing the 1,000 connections milestone

Genesis Energy Limited Investor Roadshow March 2019 24.

Provide knowledge

Provide energy insights to

customers

Offer advice

Provide tailored actionable

advice

Drive action

Enabling actions that enhance

productivity and achieve comfort,

convenience and control

Knowledge

Advice

Action

Energy

Management

Energy audits launched

1,200 Energy

Management

Connections

1

Electricity

monitoring

Electricity

insights

Bottle gas

monitoring

Bottle gas

monitoring

Half year highlights

1. Energy Management Connection: An IoT device deployed to a home or business with the specific aim of providing a customerwith insights on how to optimise the way they use energy. Electricity Insights,

Bottle Gas Monitoring and Electricity Monitoringare all products that use devices that fall within this definition.

BUSINESS SALES TEAM COVERAGE
FY17

FY19

Electricity & Gas

Electricity, LPG & Gas

Electricity & LPG

BUSINESS NETBACK

Focus on growing business volume

Targeted growth in agriculture and hospitality

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

FY16FY17FY18FY19FY20FY21

LPG tonne

Electricity & Gas GWh

BUSINESS BILLED VOLUME

Electricity ForecastElectricity ActualGas Forecast

Gas ActualLPG Forecast

FY17FY18FY19 (f)

Electricity($/MWh)

88.587.788 -91

Gas ($/GJ)

7.87.68 -9

LPG ($/Tonne)

n/a755850 -900

Monitoring

Bottled gas

monitoring

Genesis Energy Limited Investor Roadshow March 2019 25.

Integrated portfolio provides flexibility
Maximising value as NZ transitions to a low carbon future

Securing low cost

renewable electricity

Flexibility from fuels and

working towards a

transition from coal

Creating flexibility from

existing assets.

Weekly and seasonal flex

Genesis Energy Limited Investor Roadshow March 2019 26.

Our emissions are largely hedged through to 2025
We are also investigating longer term hedging options, such as forestry

FY18FY19FY20FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

NZ Units as % of potential exposure

Hedged EmissionUnhedged Volume

$6$9-14$15-20$17-22$17-22$19-24$20-25$20-25

CARBON HEDGE POSITION

Short-hedging has been

successful to date

For longer term hedging, we are

investigating the full spectrum of

possible options, ranging from

direct ownership of forests to off-

take agreements

Genesis Energy Limited Investor Roadshow March 2019 27.

Enabling a more sustainable future
Caring for our

environment

Building strong

communities

Powering

New Zealand

Genesis signed up

to EV 100,

a global

business

initiative

driving the

switch to EVs.

December2018

We’re driving electric -

now part of

Genesis fleet

Whiopopulation boosted

ducks

released

January 2019

EVs

November 2018

OhopeBeach School joins

School-gen solar

programme

November 2018

Emirates Team

New Zealand &

School-gen

partner to

bring STEM to

schools

December2018

Genesis wins

YWCA Equal

Pay Award

November 2018

February 2019

School-gen Trust launches,

providing

of STEM

funding for schools

$

,

November 2018

Employee volunteering

revitalised

Hours already

given back to

communities

+

Waverley

Wind Farm

partnership

announced

October 2018

MOU signed

with DETA

Consulting for

energy

management

services to

businesses

October 2018

Genesis joins

the NZ Hydrogen

Association,

supporting

development

of low emission

fuel sources

February 2018

Bottles gas for

Business

launched –

usage sensors

minimize waste

October 2018

Genesis Energy Limited Investor Roadshow March 2019 28.

Kupe Gas Project
Settled joint venture focused on enhancing Kupe’s value

Economic interests

aligned

Engagement

Transparency

Discussion

Improved

Collaboration

Phase Two Development

Two distinct projects

Inlet compression

Development well

Genesis Energy Limited Investor Roadshow March 2019 30.

Long-term Gas Contract Position
0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

FY19FY20FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

PJ

TAKE-OR-PAY FORWARD GAS PURCHASES

1

1

Represents gas contracts under which Genesis is required to take the product

or pay a penalty. Includes Kupe and Producer Price Index adjustments

BENEFITS AND TIMING OF ALTERNATIVE GAS PURCHASE COST

2

$8.00 -

$9.00

$8.00 -

$9.00

$8.00 -

$9.00

$8.50 -

$9.50

$8.50 -

$9.50

$8.50 -

$9.50

$7.50 -

$8.50

2

Assumes approx. 37PJs of gas continues to be procured over the timeframe FY21 to

FY26, at indicative gas market prices ranging from $6/GJ to $7/GJ (in real terms)

$-

$10

$20

$30

$40

$50

$60

$70

$80

$90

FY19FY20FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

$6/GJ $7/GJ

Genesis Energy Limited Investor Roadshow March 2019 31.

350
20

10

17

400

370

30

15

27

430

FY19 GuidanceRetail GrowthOptimisationGas Supply

Agreements

roll-off

FY21 Target

MinimumMaximum

The plan is in place to FY21 and beyond

Driven by retail growth, optimisation and rolling off of legacy contracts

PATHWAY TO FY21 EBITDAF

FY21 SENSITIVTIES

1

Retail growth represents gross margin improvements in the Customer segment through volume and value growth.

2

Optimisation represents value creation from reduced operating expenses, enhanced wholesale revenues through

improved plant and fuel efficiency

21

Churn

Oil Price

LPG Price

Retail Price

GWAP

Extended Wet

Sequence

Extended Dry

Sequence

+/-$2/MWh

change in GWAP

Range of USD$50 to USD$90/bbl

+/-$300/t change

in LPG prices

+/-1% change in

retail prices

+/-1% change in churn

EBITDAF+$5m+$10m+$15m-$15m-$10m-$5m

Perc. change in

hydrosequence

25

th

P.10

th

P.

90

th

P.

75

th

P.

Genesis Energy Limited Investor Roadshow March 2019 33.

0%
20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

FY19FY20FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26FY27FY28

% of Debt on Fixed Rate

Sustained earnings and dividend growth

Underpinned by long dated debt book

345

335

333

361

360-375

0

100

200

300

400

FY15FY16FY17FY18FY19f

$ MILLIONS

EBITDAF

AVERAGE FIXED RATE DEBT TENURE

NET DEBT AND NET DEBT/EBITDAF RATIO(S&P BBB+ RATED)

DIVIDEND CENTS PER SHARE & PAYOUT HISTORY

1

16.0

16.4

16.6

16.9

8.45

74%

87%

91%

92%

-20%

30%

80%

130%

0

FY15FY16FY17FY181HY19

Dividends (CPS)% of Free Cash Flow

Average debt

capacity tenure at

12.3years, with an

average fixed interest

rate of 5.7%

1

DRP supported by 29% of holders and has raised $38m of new capital since February 2018

Target Dividend/

Free Cash Flow

of < 90%

Genesis Energy Limited Investor Roadshow March 2019 34.

905

833

1,212

1,183

1,156

2.5

2.6

3.3

3.0

2.9

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

FY15FY16FY17FY18HY19

Net debtNet debt/EBITDAFTarget debt ratio band (2.4 to 3.0)

Balance SheetHY19
($m)

FY18

($m)

Variance

Cash and Cash Equivalents38.049.3

Other Current Assets341.6341.3

Non-Current Assets3,787.93,838.8

Total Assets4,167.54,229.4(1.5%)

Total Borrowings1,223.61,255.4

Other Liabilities995.61,017.6

Total Equity1,948.31,956.4(0.4%)

AdjustedNet Debt1,155.81,182.9(2.2%)

Gearing38.6%39.0%

EBITDAF InterestCover6.3x6.4x

Net Debt/EBITDAF2.9x3.0x

Income StatementHY19

($m)

HY18

($m)

Variance

Revenue1,361.01,213.0+12.2%

Total Operating Expenses(1,165.5)(1,014.6)+14.9%

EBITDAF195.5198.4(1.5%)

Depreciation, Depletion & Amortisation(98.1)(103.5)

Impairment of Non-Current Assets(0.2)-

FairValue Change8.1(19.7)

Other Gains (Losses)-0.9

Earnings Before Interest & Tax105.376.1+38.4%

Interest(36.8)(37.4)

Tax(19.5)(11.1)

Net Profit After Tax49.027.6+77.5%

Earnings Per Share (cps)4.872.76+76.4%

Stay inBusiness Capital Expenditure29.521.6+36.6%

Free Cash Flow110.5129.6(14.7%)

Dividends Per Share (cps)8.458.30+1.8%

Dividends Declared as a % ofFCF77.7%64.0%

Cash Flow SummaryHY19

($m)

HY18

($m)

Variance

($m)

Net Operating Cash Flow171.0198.9

Net Investing Cash Flow(36.7)(30.7)

Net FinancingCash Flow(145.6)(155.4)

Net Increase (Decrease)in Cash(11.3)12.8(24.1)

HY19 Financial statements

1

1. Comparable HY18 financials have been restated in line with note 1 of Genesis’ financial statements, accounting for the adoption of NZ IFRS 9 Financial Instruments and NZ IFRS 15 Revenue from

Contracts with Customers. No other comparable periods have been adjusted.

Genesis Energy Limited Investor Roadshow March 2019 36.

Debt InformationHY19
($m)

FY18

($m)

Variance

Total Debt$

1,223.61,255.4

Cash and Cash Equivalents$

38.0 49.3

Headline Net Debt$

1,185.61,206.1(1.7%)

USPPFX and FV Adjustments$

29.8 23.2

AdjustedNet Debt

1

$

1,155.81,182.9(2.3%)

Headline Gearing

38.6%39.0%-0.4 ppts

AdjustedGearing

38.0%38.6%-0.6 ppts

Covenant Gearing

31.2%32.4%-1.2 ppts

Net Debt/EBITDAF

2

2.9x 3.0x -0.1x

Interest Cover

6.3x 6.4x -0.1x

Average InterestRate

5.8%5.8%-

Average Debt Tenure

12.3 yrs11.4 yrs+ 0.9 yrs

1. Net debt has been adjusted for foreign currency translation and fair value movements

related to USD denominated borrowings which have been fully hedged with cross

currency swaps

2. EBITDAF is based on the midpoint of the guidance range provided for FY19

GENESIS ENERGY DEBT PROFILE

HY19 Debt information

$0

$50

$100

$150

$200

$250

$300

FY

2019

FY

2020

FY

2021

FY

2022

FY

2023

FY

2024

FY

2025

FY

2026

FY

2027

FY

2047

FY

2049

$m

Retailable BondsWholesale DomesticDrawn Bank

Undrawn BankCapital BondsUSPP

Genesis Energy Limited Investor Roadshow March 2019 37.

WholesaleKey InformationHY19HY18Variance
EBITDAF ($ millions)103.8106.4(2.4%)

Renewable Generation (GWh)1,7131,697+0.9%

Thermal Generation (GWh)1,6902,173(22.2%)

Total Generation (GWh)3,4033,870(12.1%)

GWAP ($/MWh)$146.32$96.16+52.2%

LWAP/GWAP Ratio97%103%+6 ppts

Weighted AverageFuel Cost ($/MWh)$33.90$35.72(5.1%)

Coal/GasMix (Rankinesonly)85/1562/38

KupeKey InformationHY19HY18Variance

EBITDAF ($m)52.555.7(5.7%)

Gas Production (PJ)5.76.1(6.6%)

Gas Sales (PJ)5.56.1(9.8%)

Oil Production (kbbl)235281(16.4%)

Oil Sales (kbbl)168241(30.3%)

LPG Production (kt)23.622.4+5.4%

LPG Sales (kt)23.722.7+4.4%

AverageBrent Crude Oil (USD/bbl)$71.52$56.74+26.0%

Realised Oil Price(NZD/bbl)$91.12$78.24+16.5%

HY19 Operational highlights

Customer Key InformationHY19HY18Variance

EBITDAF ($ millions)61.756.1+10.0%

Electricity Netback ($/MWh)$103.98$99.75+4.2%

Gas Netback ($/GJ)$8.73$8.91(2.0%)

LPG Netback ($/t)$810.26$781.86+3.6%

Customers with > 1 Fuel113,549105,758

ElectricityOnly Customers335,332345,832

Gas Only Customers17,44018,509

LPG Only Customers34,77034,534

Total Customers501,091504,633(0.7%)

Total Electricity, Gas and LPG ICP’s674,387667,273+1.1%

VolumeWeighted Average Electricity

Selling Price –Resi($/MWh)

$251.62$248.52+1.2%

VolumeWeighted Average Electricity

Selling Price –SME ($/MWh)

$220.02$216.03+1.8%

VolumeWeighted Average Electricity

Selling Price –C&I ($/MWh)

$126.20$120.45+4.8%

Volume WeightedAverage Gas Selling

Price ($/GJ)

$24.25$25.59(5.2%)

Volume Weighted Average LPG Selling

Price ($/tonne)

$1,764.42$1,828.90(3.5%)

CustomerElectricitySales (GWh)3,1393,008+4.4%

Customer Gas Sales (PJ)4.54.0+12.5%

Customer LPG Sales (tonnes)19,38018,281+6.0%

Health & Safety InformationHY19HY18Variance

Total Recordable Injury Frequency Rate1.111.44(0.33pt)

Genesis Energy Limited Investor Roadshow March 2019 38.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.