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MLN – May 2019 monthly update

Operational Update13 May 2019MLNFinancials

1
Monthly Update

May 2019

MLN NAV

$

0.99

SHARE PRICE

$

0.88

DISCOUNT

1

10.7

%

as at 30 April 2019

A word from the Manager

Market Overview

Global markets continued the recent strong run in April,

with the US first-quarter earnings season off to a better than

expected start and recent economic data out of China and

the US showing signs of stabilisation. Against this backdrop

the US S&P 500 Index gained 3.9% for the month and

pushed through the all-time highs set in September last year.

Marlin Global delivered gross performance of 5.4% in April,

compared to our global benchmark, which gained 4.5%.

Portfolio Company Developments

I am writing this from the US where I am attending digital

advertising and payments industry conferences, as well as

meeting with a number of our portfolio companies and other

prospects. Industry conferences form part of our ongoing

research, to help us better understand current industry

dynamics and potential developments that could affect our

investments in companies like PayPal, MasterCard, Google

and Facebook. These four businesses also recently reported

first quarter financial results, are delivering in line with the

investment thesis and growing strongly.

PayPal continues to benefit from the growth in ecommerce,

particularly on mobile devices where its One Touch

technology reduces checkout friction and is popular with

both users and online merchants. For the first quarter,

PayPal’s active user numbers grew 17% year-on-year,

transaction payment volumes grew 22%, and earnings grew

by more than 30%. We believe PayPal’s recent integration

with Instagram (to enable Instagram’s ecommerce ambition),

and its recent deals with Latam

2

ecommerce leader

MercadoLibre and Uber provide avenues to gain even more

users and payment volumes. MasterCard beat expectations

in the first quarter, with strong secular growth in digital

payments more than offsetting a slightly weaker global

economy. MasterCard is firmly on track to meet its medium-

term plan of low-teens revenue growth and high-teens

earnings per share growth.

Facebook and Alphabet both delivered strong growth in

core advertising revenues, up 33% and 19% respectively (in

constant currency terms). Facebook continues to benefit

from rapid advertising growth on Instagram, while both user

engagement and advertiser interest in its ephemeral stories

format is going from strength-to-strength. While Alphabet’s

revenue growth did slow slightly in the first quarter and its

share price fell on results, the business continues to grow

rapidly on the back of strength in YouTube and mobile search.

On the negative side of the ledger were United Parcel

Service and Core Laboratories. While the recent slowdown

in the global economy had been expected to impact United

Parcel Service, its first quarter revenue growth was worse than

anticipated and came in flat year-on-year. This combined with

its ongoing investments in facility automation and headwinds

from bad weather in the quarter resulted in flat earnings.

While the lack of growth this quarter is disappointing, we

believe UPS is making the right investments in its network to

position the company to benefit from growing freight volumes

and ecommerce deliveries.

Oilfield services company, Core Laboratories, also delivered

slightly disappointing results with revenue flat compared to

the first quarter of 2018. Core Labs benefits from new US shale

wells being put into production, and from the development

of new offshore oilfields. However, recent bottlenecks

impacting US shale oil production, combined with a lack of

offshore projects have impacted the business. We expect an

improvement in both of these areas later in the year, but the

turnaround in Core Lab’s business is taking longer than we

anticipated.

New Portfolio Addition

We added Texas based software company Tyler Technologies

to the portfolio in April. Tyler is the leading provider of

software to the local government sector in the US. The

specialised nature of this software has resulted in hundreds

of regional software players that provide some solutions,

but none with the broad coverage and scale of Tyler (ERP,

finance, billing and collection, HR, payroll, justice/courts,

public safety, appraisal and tax). Tyler is the only company that

1

Share Price Discount to NAV (including warrant price on a pro-rated basis).

2

E-commerce in Latin America.

2
Ashley Gardyne

Senior Portfolio Manager

Fisher Funds Management Limited

can offer a full suite of products and it continues to extend

its lead through both research & development and bolt-on

acquisitions.

Local authorities are well behind the software adoption

curve in the US and two-thirds of local authorities are still

maintaining old in-house systems or using legacy systems

that are no longer supported by competitive vendors. Most

of these government entities will need to upgrade over the

next 10-20 years.

Despite being the industry leader, Tyler only has 13% market

share and we see continued market share gains and margin

expansion over the long term. Tyler has a longstanding

Sector Split

as at 30 April 2019

Key Details

as at 30 April 2019

FUND TYPE

Listed Investment Company

INVESTS IN

Growing international companies

LISTING DATE

1 November 2007

FINANCIAL YEAR END

30 June

TYPICAL PORTFOLIO SIZE

25-35 stocks

INVESTMENT CRITERIA

Long-term growth

PERFORMANCE

OBJECTIVE

Long-term growth of capital and

dividends

TAX STATUS

Portfolio Investment Entity (PIE)

MANAGER

Fisher Funds Management

Limited

MANAGEMENT

FEE RATE

1.25% of gross asset value

(reduced by 0.10% for every 1% of

underperformance relative to the

change in the NZ 90 Day Bank Bill

Index with a floor of 0.75%)

PERFORMANCE

FEE HURDLE

Changes in the NZ 90 Day Bank

Bill Index + 5%

PERFORMANCE FEE

15% of returns in excess of

benchmark and high water mark

HIGH WATER MARK

$0.91

SHARES ON ISSUE

145m

MARKET CAPITALISATION

$128m

GEARING

None (maximum permitted 20%

of gross asset value)

25

%

CONSUMER

DISCRETIONARY

9

%

FINANCIALS

15

%

COMMUNICATION

SERVICES

21

%

INFORMATION

TECHNOLOGY

Geographical Split

as at 30 April 2019

15

%

WEST EUROPE

76

%

NORTH AMERICA

9

%

INDUSTRIALS

7

%


ASIA

2

%


ENERGY

The Marlin portfolio also holds cash.17

%


HEALTHCARE

management team and a great track record, having

grown revenue by circa 15% per annum and earnings

per share by over 20% per annum over the last decade.

We see Tyler delivering mid-teens earnings growth over

an extended period, with the potential for upside from

a faster than expected shift of clients to Tyler’s hosted

software offering.

April’s Biggest Movers in local currency terms
Typically the Marlin portfolio will be invested 90% or more in equities.

CERNER CORPORATION

+16

%

FACEBOOK INC.

+16

%

ESSILORLUXOTTICA

SA

+11

%

DESCARTES

SYSTEMS

+10

%

5 Largest Portfolio Positions as at 30 April 2019

ALPHABET

8

%

PAYPAL

7

%

ALIBABA

5

%

MASTERCARD

5

%

TJX COMPANIES INC

5

%

The remaining portfolio is made up of another 22 stocks and cash.

Nov

2007

Nov

2008

Nov

2009

Nov

2010

Nov

2011

Nov

2012

Nov

2014

Nov

2013

Share Price/Total Shareholder Return

Share PriceTotal Shareholder Return

Nov

2015

$

1.00

$

0.50

$

0.00

$

1.50

Nov

2016

Nov

2017

$

2.50

$

2.00

Nov

2018

Total Shareholder Return to 30 April 2019

Performance to 30 April 2019

1 Month3 Months1 Year3 Years

(annualised)

Since Inception

(annualised)

Company Performance

Total Shareholder Return+4.5%+4.5%+14.8%+12.9%+6.4%

Adjusted NAV Return+5.2%+12.5%+12.8%+15.1%+7.1%

Portfolio Performance

Gross Performance Return +5.4%+13.3%+16.6%+19.3%+10.8%

Benchmark Index^+4.5%+9.5%+6.2%+12.5%+7.6%

3

^Benchmark index: World Small Cap Gross Index until 30 September 2015 & S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap Index (50% hedged to NZD) from 1 October 2015

Non-GAAP Financial Information

Marlin uses non-GAAP measures, including adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return. The rationale for using such non-GAAP measures is as follows:

»adjusted net asset value – the underlying value of the investment portfolio adjusted for capital allocation decisions after fees and tax,

»adjusted NAV return – the net return to an investor after fees and tax,

»gross performance return – the Manager’s portfolio performance in terms of stock selection and currency hedging before fees and tax, and

»total shareholder return – the return to an investor who reinvests their dividends, and if in the money, exercises their warrants at warrant maturity date for additional shares.

All references to adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return in this monthly update are to such non-GAAP measures. The calculations applied to non-GAAP

measures are described in the Marlin Non-GAAP Financial Information Policy. A copy of the policy is available at http://marlin.co.nz/about-marlin/marlin-policies/

EXPEDIA GROUP

INC.

+9

%

Disclaimer: The information in this update has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is by
necessity brief. The information and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Marlin Global Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy

or completeness. The update is not intended to constitute professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from an

authorised financial adviser should be taken before making an investment. To the extent that the update contains data relating to the historical performance of Marlin Global Limited or its portfolio

companies, please note that fund performance can and will vary and that future results may have no correlation with results historically achieved.

Marlin Global Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740

Phone: +64 9 484 0365 | Fax: +64 9 489 7139

Email: enquire@marlin.co.nz | www.marlin.co.nz

4

Computershare Investor Services Limited

Private Bag 92119, Auckland 1142

Phone: +64 9 488 8777 | Fax: +64 9 488 8787

Email: enquiry@computershare.co.nz | www.computershare.com/nz

About

Marlin Global

Marlin is an investment company

listed on the New Zealand Stock

Exchange. The company gives

shareholders an opportunity to

invest in a diversified portfolio of

between 25 and 35 quality growing

international companies (excluding

New Zealand and Australia)

through a single, professionally

managed investment. The aim

of Marlin is to offer investors

competitive returns through capital

growth and dividends.

Capital Management Strategies

Regular Dividends

»Quarterly distribution policy introduced in

August 2010

»Under this policy, 2% of average NAV is targeted

to be paid to shareholders quarterly

»Dividends paid by Marlin may include dividends

received, interest income, investment gains

and/or return of capital

»Shareholders who prefer to have increased

capital rather than a regular income stream have

the opportunity to participate in the company’s

dividend reinvestment plan (DRP)

»Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3%

discount to market price

»Marlin became a portfolio investment entity on

1 October 2007. As a result, dividends paid to

New Zealand tax resident shareholders have not

been subject to further tax

Share Buyback Programme

»Marlin has a buyback programme in place allowing

it (if it elects to do so) to acquire up to 5.9m of its

shares on market in the year to 31 October 2019

»Shares bought back by the company are held as

treasury stock

» Shares held as treasury stock are available to be

re-issued for the dividend reinvestment plan

Warrants

»On 12 April 2019, Marlin warrant holders converted

23,452,115 warrants into ordinary Marlin shares

»The new shares were allotted to warrant holders on

16 April 2019 and quoted on the NZX Main Board

from that date

»All new shares have the same rights as current

Marlin shares, including participating in the

company’s quarterly dividend policy


Management

Marlin’s portfolio is managed

by Fisher Funds Management

Limited. Ashley Gardyne (Senior

Portfolio Manager), Chris

Waters and Harry Smith (Senior

Investment Analysts) have prime

responsibility for managing

the Marlin portfolio. Together

they have significant combined

experience and are very capable

of researching and investing in

the quality global companies that

Marlin targets. Fisher Funds is

based in Takapuna, Auckland.


Board

The Manager has authority

delegated to it from the

Board to invest according to

the Management Agreement

and other written policies.

The Board of Marlin

comprises independent

directors Alistair Ryan (Chair),

Carol Campbell, Andy Coupe

and Carmel Fisher.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.