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Market update on USA review

Operational Update26 May 2019THLConsumer Discretionary

Market Update
USA Capital and Operational Review

27 May 2019

USA CAPITAL AND OPERATIONAL REVIEW
DISCLAIMER

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This presentation contains forward-looking statements and projections. These reflect thl’s current expectations, based on what

it thinks are reasonable assumptions. The statements are based on information available to thlat the date of this presentation

and are not guarantees or predictions of future performance. For any number of reasons, the future could be different and the

assumptions on which the forward-looking statements and projections are based could be wrong. thlgives no warranty or

representation as to its future financial performance or any future matter. Except as required by law or NZX listing rules, thlis

not obliged to update this presentation after its release, even if things change materially. Past performance information given

in this presentation is given for illustrative purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indication of future performance.

This presentation has been prepared for publication in New Zealand and may not be released or distributed in the

United States.

This presentation is for information purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is not an offer of securities, or a

proposal or invitation to make any such offer, in the United States or any other jurisdiction, and may not be relied upon in

connection with any purchase of thlsecurities. thlsecurities have not been, and will not be, registered under the US

Securities Act of 1933 and may not be offered or sold in the United States, except in transactions exempt from, or not subject

to, the registration of the US Securities Act and applicable US State securities laws.

This presentation may contain a number of non-GAAP financial measures. Because they are not defined by NZ GAAP or

IFRS, thl’s calculation of these measures may differ from similarly titled measures presented by other companies and they

should not be considered in isolation from, or construed as an alternative to, other financial measures determined in

accordance with NZ GAAP.

This presentation does not take into account any specific investors objectives and does not constitute financial or investment

advice. Investors are encouraged to make an independent assessment of thl. The information contained in this presentation

should be read in conjunction with thl’s latest financial statements, which are available at: www.thlonline.com

USA CAPITAL AND OPERATIONAL REVIEW
KEY ACTIONS FROM OUR REVIEW

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•We expect our USA business to generate positive operating cash flow in

FY2020 of approximately US$35M.

•FY2020 capital expenditure in the USA business has been lowered by

approximately US$40M from our previous plan.

•FY2020 fleet size for both Road Bear and El Monte RV will be lower than in

FY2019 and FY2018.

•Targeting a reduction in funds employed in the USA business of approximately

US$20M by the end of FY2020.

•Decisive changes have been made to the organisational structure of the USA

business.

•We expect to emerge from the current market conditions in a stronger position

within North America.

USA CAPITAL AND OPERATIONAL REVIEW
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CEO COMMENTARY

Our strategy

and direction

are right.

We need to

keep acting,

reflecting,

changing and

upping the

ante on

delivery.

Despite the current market conditions, our USA

performance for FY2019 to date is unacceptable. At

thl, we are of the view that we should be able to

deliver regardless of what the broader market

conditions are doing, given our relatively small size

compared to the total size of the market.

We’ve had a detailed review and have a clear plan,

which has commenced at pace.

Given today’s market conditions, we expect that our

USA FY2020 result will also be impacted. However,

there is nothing which indicates our fundamental

Build/Buy, Rent and Sell model is broken or that we

have a poor business.

We do not see the current performance being a

long-term issue.

We have reviewed our company strategy and remain

confident in our direction despite these immediate

USA issues.

We are extremely focused on getting the USA

business back in shape.

USA CAPITAL AND OPERATIONAL REVIEW
THE FOUR PILLARS OF OUR REVIEW

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THE FOUR

PILLARS

PEOPLE

Ensuring we have the right people and

capability in the USA.

OPERATIONS

Ensuring we are even

tougher about reducing

costs and extracting

synergies between Road

Bear and El Monte RV.

CAPITAL

Reducing capital to reflect softer market

conditions. FY2020 purchase decisions are the

point of impact.

REVENUE

Continued strong focus on

growing the international

rental market and adapting

our approach to the domestic

market.

USA CAPITAL AND OPERATIONAL REVIEW
USA VEHICLE SALES UPDATE

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Tourism Holdings - Gain on Sale of Fleet Assets - Road Bear & El Monte RV

10 Months ending 30 April

US$MFY19FY18VARVAR %

Proceeds from sales of motorhome fleet33.454.3(20.9)(38%)

Net book value of vehicles sold (incl writeoffs)29.145.8(16.7)(37%)

Gain on sales of motorhome fleet before selling costs4.38.4(4.1)(49%)

Vehicle sales costs (warranty only)0.2 0.3 (0.2)(47%)

Gain on sales of motorhome fleet after selling costs4.18.1(4.0)(49%)

Gross profit on non-fleet vehicles, retail and accessory sales0.70.7(0.0)(4%)

Gross profit4.88.8(4.0)(45%)

Total average gain on sale ($000) after selling costs6.07.2(1.2)(17%)

Total fleet motorhomes sold (units), excl. buybacks683 1,120 (437)(39%)

USA CAPITAL AND OPERATIONAL REVIEW
OUR VIEWS ON THE USA VEHICLE SALES MARKET

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•The USA vehicle sales market has declined.

•Over the prior six months we estimate that the wholesale market is down 40% by volume

and the retail market is down 10% by volume (against prior corresponding period)*.

•The anticipated seasonal uplift in vehicle sales has not materialised.

•Heavy discounting from retailers, manufacturers and rental companies has occurred, creating

margin pressure.

•We expect this margin pressure to continue for the next 12 months, when wholesale volumes are

expected to grow.

•We will continue to assess the market conditions and adjust our pricing, as required.

* thl management estimates.

USA CAPITAL AND OPERATIONAL REVIEW
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•We have implemented a number of

organisational changes in the USA.

•Gordon Hewston will be appointed as

the new “General Manager –USA RV

Operations”. Gordon is currently the

Vice President of El Monte RV.

•In his new role, Gordon will be

reporting directly to the CEO, Grant

Webster.

•Hannes Rosskopf, currently General

Manager of Road Bear will be leaving

the business.

PILLAR ONE | PEOPLE

•Daniel Schneider (previous owner of

Road Bear), currently a consultant to

thlin respect of USA operations, will

have greater responsibilities in the

adapted role of “Executive Director –

USA Operations”. Daniel will have a

particular focus on vehicle sales and

will report directly to the CEO.

•Jerry Hunter, an experienced RV sales

leader, has recently been appointed.

Jerry will be responsible for wholesale

vehicle sales in the USA, and will work

with the existing vehicle sales teams.

•We are also seeking an additional

leadership position for the USA who will

report to Gordon. We expect to hire a

person from within New Zealand, with

specific complementary skills that we

desire in the USA.

USA CAPITAL AND OPERATIONAL REVIEW
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PROPERTY CHANGES

We have conducted a profit-

by-location review in the USA.

As a result, we will be looking

to franchise or exit up to five

locations.

We expect that the

implementation of these

changes could result in

ongoing annual savings of

approximately US$500-800k

from FY2021.

We would give up some

future revenue as a result, but

we are confident the change

would be positive for our

return on funds employed.

PILLAR TWO | OPERATIONS

PEOPLE

We see an opportunity to

reduce labour costs in

certain support areas over

the coming two years, as

a result of improvements

in underlying systems and

the full integration of the

USA with our New

Zealand and Australian

models.

We are targeting ongoing

annual savings of

approximately US$1M

from FY2021.

GENERAL OPERATING

COSTS

We are implementing a

general cost reduction

plan in the coming year

across the thlgroup.

We are currently working

through a bottom-up

process across the USA

business to identify

deliverable cost savings

from FY2021.

USA CAPITAL AND OPERATIONAL REVIEW
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PILLAR THREE | CAPITAL

Reviewing our Capital Expenditure Decisions

•In light of our review, FY2020 capital expenditure in the USA has been lowered by US$40M from our

earlier expectations. Fleet size for both Road Bear and El Monte RV will, therefore, be lower in

FY2020 than in FY2019 and FY2018.

•There will be a small increase in average vehicle age (less than 0.5 years) as a result of lower

FY2020 vehicle purchases. This will not change the quality proposition to our customers, as we have

reduced the average fleet age in recent years giving us the ability and tolerance to age our fleet with

minimal impact to the customer proposition and P&L.

•Our fleet size and FY2020 capital expenditure decisions have taken into consideration and balanced

the flow-on impacts to FY2021 rental and sales revenue.

Reduced Funds Employed in the USA

•We are targeting a reduction in funds employed in the USA of approximately US$20M by the end of

FY2020.

•Approximately 80 new vehicle purchases initially intended for Road Bear in FY2019 will remain in

our storage facility in Middlebury. This will reduce costs associated with holding this fleet because:

•The vehicles will not be registered until FY2020.

•Depreciation on these vehicles will be at a lower rate prior to registration, reflecting that there

will be no mileage on those vehicles.

USA CAPITAL AND OPERATIONAL REVIEW
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PILLAR THREE | CAPITAL

$71.0

$62.5

$23.8

FY18AFY19FFY20F

USA Gross FleetCAPEX US$M

$8.5

$16.4

~-$20.0

FY18AFY19FFY20F

USA Net Fleet CAPEX US$MUSAFleet Size *

2,109

~2,400

~2,000

FY18AFY19FFY20F

* at year-end

USA CAPITAL AND OPERATIONAL REVIEW
GUIDANCE

USA CAPITAL AND OPERATIONAL REVIEW
GUIDANCE

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•We reaffirm our intention to declare a FY2019 final dividend of 14 cps, keeping our total FY2019

dividend in line with FY2018.

•We reaffirm our previously stated FY2019 net profit after tax guidance of between NZ$25M -

$28M*.

•Included within this guidance is the impact of one-off costs relating to an issue with an Australian

vehicle dealership and a historical New Zealand holiday pay issue, the combined impact of which

is expected to be circa. NZ$1.5M.

•We expect thl’s net debt at the end of FY2019 to be approximately NZ$240M, slightly higher than

previous guidance and reflective of the decline in the vehicle sales environment.

* As per previous guidance, this range excludes a potential one-off Australian tax issue, which thl continues to

challenge.

---

Tourism Holdings Limited
Tel: +64 9 336 4299

The Beach House

Email: info@thlnz.co.nz

Level 1, 83 Beach Road

www.thlonline.com

Auckland City


PO Box 4293, Shortland Street


Auckland 1140, New Zealand





27 May 2019


TOURISM HOLDINGS LIMITED (thl)

MARKET UPDATE ON USA REVIEW


Please see attached, a market update on thl’s capital and operational review of the USA business, as previously

indicated to the market on 18 April 2019.


END


Authorised by:



Rob Campbell

Chairman

Tourism Holdings Limited


For further information contact:

Grant Webster

thl Chief Executive

Direct Dial: +64 9 336 4255 | Mobile: +64 21 449 210

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