Marlin Global Limited logo

MLN – June 2019 monthly update

Operational Update19 June 2019MLNFinancials

1
Monthly Update

June 2019

MLN NAV

$

0.94

SHARE PRICE

$

0.87

DISCOUNT

1

7.8

%

as at 31 May 2019

A word from the Manager

Market Overview

Equity markets have climbed steadily for much of 2019,

supported by accommodative central banks and what

appeared to be progress on a US-China trade deal.

However, markets were jolted in May by a surprise

announcement that the US would move ahead and

increase tariffs from 10% to 25% on US$200 billion worth

of Chinese imports. While the impact so far has been felt

more in equity markets than in the economy, the risk is that

the uncertainty caused by the trade war impacts corporate

investment plans and ultimately results in job losses and

lower consumer confidence.

Against this backdrop, the US S&P 500 Index slumped 6.6%

in May, while the European Stoxx 600 index fell 5.7% and

the MSCI Emerging Market Index dropped 7.5%. While the

Shanghai Composite Index (-5.8%) only fell with its global

peers, it is now over 11% off its April highs. Investors will

now be watching how trade negotiations develop, with a

close eye on the G20 summit at the end of June.

Marlin’s gross portfolio performance fell 4.5% in May, 0.4%

ahead of our global benchmark, which fell 4.9%.

Adjusted NAV was down 4.3% for the month, and the total

shareholder return down 1.1%.

Portfolio Company Developments

All of our portfolio companies have now reported first

quarter results, which generally highlighted strong

underlying business momentum.

Adidas shares gained 15% in May following a forecast-

beating rise in quarterly profits, which were supported

by booming online sales. Adidas’s strategic growth

areas (North America, China & e-commerce) grew 18%

combined, despite growth in the US being temporarily

constrained by a shortage of Adidas apparel. E-commerce

growth of 40% also drove margin expansion in the quarter,

which converted 6% sales growth into a 17% jump in

operating profits.

Cerner, a leading hospital software provider, gained

8% in May. The company announced revenue growth

of 8% in the first quarter and elaborated on its plans

to improve its operating margin to 22.5% by the end

of 2020 from less than 19% currently. This increased

margin target was announced in April along with a $1.5

billion share repurchase plan and we welcome the new

CEO’s efforts to streamline the business and return

excess capital to shareholders. Cerner’s revenue growth

outlook in the coming years is supported by expected

market share gains and also by a large contract to

provide an electronic health record system to the US

Department of Veterans Affairs.

New portfolio addition and discount retailer, Dollar

General, reported strong first-quarter results, with

both same-store-sales and margins coming in ahead

of expectations. Despite a weak retail environment

generally, Dollar General’s value proposition continues

to draw in increasing foot traffic. Dollar General

announced sales growth of 8% and has opened 800 new

stores over the last year. We like Dollar General for both

its runway for new store openings, but also due to its

defensiveness (its revenue growth has accelerated in the

last two US recessions).

Chinese e-commerce giant, Alibaba, saw its share

price fall 18% in May as good quarterly results got

lost in the negative sentiment around the trade war,

which dragged down Chinese technology stocks.

Despite these macro concerns, Alibaba actually saw an

acceleration in revenue growth in its core ecommerce

platform, which grew 31% in the quarter driven by

increased transaction volumes and higher monetisation

rates as it rolls out more ad inventory. Alibaba is also

investing in new business segments like cloud and food

delivery that continue to deliver strong revenue growth.

We took the opportunity to add to our position in

Alibaba on recent share price weakness.

1

Share Price Discount to NAV (using NAV to four decimal places)

2
Ashley Gardyne

Senior Portfolio Manager

Fisher Funds Management Limited

Cognizant also had a tough first quarter, reporting revenue

growth of 5% and unexpectedly reducing its earnings

guidance for the year. The guidance reduction is being

driven by pockets of weakness in the IT services company’s

financial services and healthcare segments. While this was

disappointing, we believe a number of these headwinds

are temporary in nature given the continued need for

Sector Split

as at 31 May 2019

Key Details

as at 31 May 2019

FUND TYPE

Listed Investment Company

INVESTS IN

Growing international companies

LISTING DATE

1 November 2007

FINANCIAL YEAR END

30 June

TYPICAL PORTFOLIO SIZE

25-35 stocks

INVESTMENT CRITERIA

Long-term growth

PERFORMANCE

OBJECTIVE

Long-term growth of capital and

dividends

TAX STATUS

Portfolio Investment Entity (PIE)

MANAGER

Fisher Funds Management

Limited

MANAGEMENT

FEE RATE

1.25% of gross asset value

(reduced by 0.10% for every 1% of

underperformance relative to the

change in the NZ 90 Day Bank Bill

Index with a floor of 0.75%)

PERFORMANCE

FEE HURDLE

Changes in the NZ 90 Day Bank

Bill Index + 5%

PERFORMANCE FEE

15% of returns in excess of

benchmark and high water mark

HIGH WATER MARK

$0.91

SHARES ON ISSUE

145m

MARKET CAPITALISATION

$126m

GEARING

None (maximum permitted 20%

of gross asset value)

26

%

CONSUMER

DISCRETIONARY

9

%

INDUSTRIALS

16

%

COMMUNICATION

SERVICES

21

%

INFORMATION

TECHNOLOGY

Geographical Split

as at 31 May 2019

16

%

WEST EUROPE

75

%

NORTH AMERICA

9

%

FINANCIALS

8

%


ASIA

1

%


ENERGY

The Marlin portfolio also holds cash.

17

%


HEALTHCARE

companies to digitize their businesses, which is driving

broad demand for IT and consulting services.

May’s Biggest Movers in local currency terms
Typically the Marlin portfolio will be invested 90% or more in equities.

CORE

LABORATORIES NV

-25

%

ALIBABA GROUP

-20

%

TENCENT HOLDINGS

-16

%

COGNIZANT

TECHNOLOGY

-15

%

5 Largest Portfolio Positions as at 31 May 2019

ALPHABET

7

%

PAYPAL

5

%

MASTERCARD

5

%

TJX COMPANIES INC

5

%

ALIBABA GROUP

5

%

The remaining portfolio is made up of another 22 stocks and cash.

Nov

2007

Nov

2008

Nov

2009

Nov

2010

Nov

2011

Nov

2012

Nov

2014

Nov

2013

Share Price/Total Shareholder Return

Share PriceTotal Shareholder Return

Nov

2015

$

1.00

$

0.50

$

0.00

$

1.50

Nov

2016

Nov

2017

$

2.50

$

2.00

Nov

2018

Total Shareholder Return to 31 May 2019

Performance to 31 May 2019

1 Month3 Months1 Year3 Years

(annualised)

5 Years

(annualised)

Company Performance

Total Shareholder Return(1.1%)+4.1%+10.8%+12.5%+10.6%

Adjusted NAV Return(4.3%)+2.6%+5.4%+12.1%+9.4%

Portfolio Performance

Gross Performance Return (4.5%)+3.0%+8.2%+16.0%+13.1%

Benchmark Index^(4.9%)(0.3%)(0.8%)+9.6%+11.8%

3

^Benchmark index: World Small Cap Gross Index until 30 September 2015 & S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap Index (50% hedged to NZD) from 1 October 2015

Non-GAAP Financial Information

Marlin uses non-GAAP measures, including adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return. The rationale for using such non-GAAP measures is as follows:

»adjusted net asset value – the underlying value of the investment portfolio adjusted for capital allocation decisions after fees and tax,

»adjusted NAV return – the net return to an investor after fees and tax,

»gross performance return – the Manager’s portfolio performance in terms of stock selection and currency hedging before fees and tax, and

»total shareholder return – the return to an investor who reinvests their dividends, and if in the money, exercises their warrants at warrant maturity date for additional shares.

All references to adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return in this monthly update are to such non-GAAP measures. The calculations applied to non-GAAP

measures are described in the Marlin Non-GAAP Financial Information Policy. A copy of the policy is available at http://marlin.co.nz/about-marlin/marlin-policies/

LKQ CORPORATION

-15

%

Disclaimer: The information in this update has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is by
necessity brief. The information and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Marlin Global Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy

or completeness. The update is not intended to constitute professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from an

authorised financial adviser should be taken before making an investment. To the extent that the update contains data relating to the historical performance of Marlin Global Limited or its portfolio

companies, please note that fund performance can and will vary and that future results may have no correlation with results historically achieved.

Marlin Global Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740

Phone: +64 9 484 0365 | Fax: +64 9 489 7139

Email: enquire@marlin.co.nz | www.marlin.co.nz

4

Computershare Investor Services Limited

Private Bag 92119, Auckland 1142

Phone: +64 9 488 8777 | Fax: +64 9 488 8787

Email: enquiry@computershare.co.nz | www.computershare.com/nz

About

Marlin Global

Marlin is an investment company

listed on the New Zealand Stock

Exchange. The company gives

shareholders an opportunity to

invest in a diversified portfolio of

between 25 and 35 quality growing

international companies (excluding

New Zealand and Australia)

through a single, professionally

managed investment. The aim

of Marlin is to offer investors

competitive returns through capital

growth and dividends.

Capital Management Strategies

Regular Dividends

»Quarterly distribution policy introduced in

August 2010

»Under this policy, 2% of average NAV is targeted

to be paid to shareholders quarterly

»Dividends paid by Marlin may include dividends

received, interest income, investment gains

and/or return of capital

»Shareholders who prefer to have increased

capital rather than a regular income stream have

the opportunity to participate in the company’s

dividend reinvestment plan (DRP)

»Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3%

discount to market price

»Marlin became a portfolio investment entity on

1 October 2007. As a result, dividends paid to

New Zealand tax resident shareholders have not

been subject to further tax

Share Buyback Programme

»Marlin has a buyback programme in place allowing

it (if it elects to do so) to acquire up to 5.9m of its

shares on market in the year to 31 October 2019

»Shares bought back by the company are held as

treasury stock

» Shares held as treasury stock are available to be

re-issued for the dividend reinvestment plan

Warrants

»Warrants put Marlin in a better position to grow

further, operate efficiently and pursue other capital

structure initiatives as appropriate

»A warrant is the right, not the obligation, to

purchase an ordinary share in Marlin at a fixed price

on a fixed date

»There are currently no warrants on issue


Management

Marlin’s portfolio is managed

by Fisher Funds Management

Limited. Ashley Gardyne (Senior

Portfolio Manager), Chris

Waters and Harry Smith (Senior

Investment Analysts) have prime

responsibility for managing

the Marlin portfolio. Together

they have significant combined

experience and are very capable

of researching and investing in

the quality global companies that

Marlin targets. Fisher Funds is

based in Takapuna, Auckland.


Board

The Manager has authority

delegated to it from the

Board to invest according to

the Management Agreement

and other written policies.

The Board of Marlin

comprises independent

directors Alistair Ryan (Chair),

Carol Campbell, and Andy

Coupe; and non-independent

director Carmel Fisher.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.