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MLN – July 2019 monthly update

Operational Update15 July 2019MLNFinancials

1
Monthly Update

July 2019

MLN NAV

$

0.96

SHARE PRICE

$

0.90

DISCOUNT

1

6.1

%

as at 30 June 2019

A word from the Manager

Market Overview

After a difficult month in May due to escalating trade

tensions, the US share market lead global equity markets

higher in June, supported by the Federal Reserve signalling a

willingness to cut interest rates if the economic environment

deteriorates further. An agreement between US President

Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping to get the

troubled trade talks back on track also soothed markets late

in June. While there is still considerable uncertainty as to

whether they can settle their differences, financial markets

seem to be taking them at their word for the time being.

The US S&P 500 had its best June since 1955, gaining 6.9%,

topping off a 17% gain for the first six months of the year.

Marlin Global’s gross performance in June was +4.5%,

broadly in line with our global benchmark, which rose 4.2%.

The Adjusted NAV for June was +3.8%.

Portfolio Company Developments

We travelled to the US again in June to meet management

of a number of our portfolio companies, including Dollar

General and TJX. Dollar General is a discount retailer

that continues to expand its footprint throughout the US.

The highlight from the trip was hearing more about the

company’s plans to leverage its 15,000 strong store network

to offer services like FedEx parcel drop and Western Union

money transfers for customers. This provides a valuable

service for customers and increased foot traffic, sales and

high margin service revenue for Dollar General.

We also had the chance to visit off-price retailer TJX

Companies and walk around one of their TJ Maxx stores

with management. TJX Maxx sells branded apparel and

other merchandise at a significant discount to normal retail

prices by sourcing overstocked merchandise from struggling

retailers. Discounts of up to 50% draw in customers looking

for Hugo Boss polo shirts, Samsonite suitcases, or Jo Malone

cologne at a big markdown. Because of the difficulties many

other retailers are having, TJX have been able to source

a broad selection of inventory and the year has started

strongly. Same-store sales are growing at 5% and TJX

continues to roll out new stores in the US and Europe.

A negative development in June was the increase in

regulatory scrutiny of big technology companies including

our portfolio companies Alphabet and Facebook. While no

antitrust investigations have begun, it appears that the US

Department of Justice and Federal Trade Commission are

currently laying the groundwork. While this is not new news

and most investors had anticipated that regulators would

eventually investigate these businesses, it is an overhang

weighing on their share prices. Alphabet, who is likely to be

most at risk given its dominance in online search (Google),

mobile operating systems (Android) and browsers (Chrome)

saw its share price fall 2% in June, against a market that was

up strongly. Antitrust cases are not quick (Microsoft’s case

took 7 years) and the case against Alphabet is complicated

given it is hard to claim its market position hurts consumers

when most of their products are free. These companies

have faced similar investigations in Europe, with the impact

being relatively minor to date. We continue to follow the

developments closely, but for now remain comfortable with

our investments in both Alphabet and Facebook.

Portfolio Changes

We made two changes to the portfolio in June, exiting both

Cerner and Core Laboratories (Core Labs).

Cerner is the world’s largest provider of software for

hospitals. The central issue for Cerner in recent years has

been a reduction in organic growth in its core Electronic

Health Records (EHR) business, which follows years of

regulatory support for EHR adoption that is now starting

to wane. The slowdown in growth also led to extra costs

creeping in to the business as Cerner invested in sales &

marketing and new product development to try to keep the

growth story alive. Overall we are not convinced growth will

be as easy to come by as it was in previous years and we

have decided to sell our holding.

We first invested in Core Labs following the sharp decline

in oil prices and energy stocks in 2016. Our view was that

the long-term growth in the business was linked more to

production volumes than the oil price itself. Oil demand

was (and still is) expected to increase for the foreseeable

1

Share Price Discount to NAV (using NAV to four decimal places)

2
Ashley Gardyne

Senior Portfolio Manager

Fisher Funds Management Limited

future, requiring increased investment particularly in more

challenging areas like offshore and deepwater, in turn driving

demand for services and technology from companies like

Core Labs. However, this has not played out as we expected.

Firstly, significant productivity gains in US shale wells, (helped

in small-part by Core Lab’s technologies) has meant that

more oil can be produced from fewer wells, decreasing the

amount of Core Labs products needed per barrel of oil.

Secondly, because of these gains US shale oil has been able

to meet the bulk of the incremental global oil demand and

customers have pushed out any meaningful investment in

deepwater exploration. We do not have clarity as to when

these headwinds will ease and given these uncertainties we

have decided to exit the stock.

Sector Split

as at 30 June 2019

Key Details

as at 30 June 2019

FUND TYPE

Listed Investment Company

INVESTS IN

Growing international companies

LISTING DATE

1 November 2007

FINANCIAL YEAR END

30 June

TYPICAL PORTFOLIO SIZE

25-35 stocks

INVESTMENT CRITERIA

Long-term growth

PERFORMANCE

OBJECTIVE

Long-term growth of capital and

dividends

TAX STATUS

Portfolio Investment Entity (PIE)

MANAGER

Fisher Funds Management

Limited

MANAGEMENT

FEE RATE

1.25% of gross asset value

(reduced by 0.10% for every 1% of

underperformance relative to the

change in the NZ 90 Day Bank Bill

Index with a floor of 0.75%)

PERFORMANCE

FEE HURDLE

Changes in the NZ 90 Day Bank

Bill Index + 5%

PERFORMANCE FEE

15% of returns in excess of

benchmark and high water mark

HIGH WATER MARK

$0.89

SHARES ON ISSUE

147m

MARKET CAPITALISATION

$132m

GEARING

None (maximum permitted 20%

of gross asset value)

26

%

CONSUMER

DISCRETIONARY

9

%

FINANCIALS

18

%

INFORMATION

TECHNOLOGY

19

%

COMMUNICATION

SERVICES

Geographical Split

as at 30 June 2019

16

%

WEST EUROPE

71

%

NORTH AMERICA

8

%

INDUSTRIALS

10

%


ASIA

The Marlin portfolio also holds cash.

18

%


HEALTHCARE

The funds from these sales were used to top up our

holdings in existing portfolio companies, including Abbott

Laboratories, Dollar General and Alibaba.

June’s Biggest Movers in local currency terms
Typically the Marlin portfolio will be invested 90% or more in equities.

ALIBABA GROUP

+14

%

ZOETIS INC

+12

%

ESSILORLUXOTTICA

+11

%

UNITED PARCEL

SERVICE

+11

%

5 Largest Portfolio Positions as at 30 June 2019

ALPHABET

9

%

FACEBOOK

6

%

ALIBABA GROUP

6

%

PAYPAL

5

%

MASTERCARD

5

%

The remaining portfolio is made up of another 20 stocks and cash.

Nov

2007

Nov

2008

Nov

2009

Nov

2010

Nov

2011

Nov

2012

Nov

2014

Nov

2013

Share Price/Total Shareholder Return

Share PriceTotal Shareholder Return

Nov

2015

$

1.00

$

0.50

$

0.00

$

1.50

Nov

2016

Nov

2017

$

2.50

$

2.00

Nov

2018

Total Shareholder Return to 30 June 2019

Performance to 30 June 2019

1 Month3 Months1 Year3 Years

(annualised)

5 Years

(annualised)

Company Performance

Total Shareholder Return+5.9%+12.0%+15.5%+15.3%+11.8%

Adjusted NAV Return+3.8%+4.5%+6.8%+15.4%+10.6%

Portfolio Performance

Gross Performance Return +4.5%+5.2%+10.1%+19.5%+14.5%

Benchmark Index^+4.2%+3.5%+2.1%+12.5%+12.5%

3

^Benchmark index: World Small Cap Gross Index until 30 September 2015 & S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap Index (50% hedged to NZD) from 1 October 2015

Non-GAAP Financial Information

Marlin uses non-GAAP measures, including adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return. The rationale for using such non-GAAP measures is as follows:

»adjusted net asset value – the underlying value of the investment portfolio adjusted for capital allocation decisions after fees and tax,

»adjusted NAV return – the net return to an investor after fees and tax,

»gross performance return – the Manager’s portfolio performance in terms of stock selection and currency hedging before fees and tax, and

»total shareholder return – the return to an investor who reinvests their dividends, and if in the money, exercises their warrants at warrant maturity date for additional shares.

All references to adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return in this monthly update are to such non-GAAP measures. The calculations applied to non-GAAP

measures are described in the Marlin Non-GAAP Financial Information Policy. A copy of the policy is available at http://marlin.co.nz/about-marlin/marlin-policies/

HEXCEL

CORPORATION

+11

%

Disclaimer: The information in this update has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is by
necessity brief. The information and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Marlin Global Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy

or completeness. The update is not intended to constitute professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from an

authorised financial adviser should be taken before making an investment. To the extent that the update contains data relating to the historical performance of Marlin Global Limited or its portfolio

companies, please note that fund performance can and will vary and that future results may have no correlation with results historically achieved.

Marlin Global Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740

Phone: +64 9 484 0365 | Fax: +64 9 489 7139

Email: enquire@marlin.co.nz | www.marlin.co.nz

4

Computershare Investor Services Limited

Private Bag 92119, Auckland 1142

Phone: +64 9 488 8777 | Fax: +64 9 488 8787

Email: enquiry@computershare.co.nz | www.computershare.com/nz

About

Marlin Global

Marlin is an investment company

listed on the New Zealand Stock

Exchange. The company gives

shareholders an opportunity to

invest in a diversified portfolio of

between 25 and 35 quality growing

international companies (excluding

New Zealand and Australia)

through a single, professionally

managed investment. The aim

of Marlin is to offer investors

competitive returns through capital

growth and dividends.

Capital Management Strategies

Regular Dividends

»Quarterly distribution policy introduced in

August 2010

»Under this policy, 2% of average NAV is targeted

to be paid to shareholders quarterly

»Dividends paid by Marlin may include dividends

received, interest income, investment gains

and/or return of capital

»Shareholders who prefer to have increased

capital rather than a regular income stream have

the opportunity to participate in the company’s

dividend reinvestment plan (DRP)

»Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3%

discount to market price

»Marlin became a portfolio investment entity on

1 October 2007. As a result, dividends paid to

New Zealand tax resident shareholders have not

been subject to further tax

Share Buyback Programme

»Marlin has a buyback programme in place allowing

it (if it elects to do so) to acquire up to 5.9m of its

shares on market in the year to 31 October 2019

»Shares bought back by the company are held as

treasury stock

» Shares held as treasury stock are available to be

re-issued for the dividend reinvestment plan

Warrants

»Warrants put Marlin in a better position to grow

further, operate efficiently and pursue other capital

structure initiatives as appropriate

»A warrant is the right, not the obligation, to

purchase an ordinary share in Marlin at a fixed price

on a fixed date

»There are currently no warrants on issue


Management

Marlin’s portfolio is managed

by Fisher Funds Management

Limited. Ashley Gardyne (Senior

Portfolio Manager), Chris

Waters and Harry Smith (Senior

Investment Analysts) have prime

responsibility for managing

the Marlin portfolio. Together

they have significant combined

experience and are very capable

of researching and investing in

the quality global companies that

Marlin targets. Fisher Funds is

based in Takapuna, Auckland.


Board

The Manager has authority

delegated to it from the

Board to invest according to

the Management Agreement

and other written policies.

The Board of Marlin

comprises independent

directors Alistair Ryan (Chair),

Carol Campbell, and Andy

Coupe; and non-independent

director Carmel Fisher.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.