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2019 AGM – Chairman’s Address and Presentation

AGM7 October 2019AFIFinancials

8 October 2019



The Manager

ASX Market Announcements

Australian Securities Exchange

Exchange Centre

Level 4

20 Bridge Street

Sydney NSW 2000



Electronic Lodgement



Australian Foundation Investment Company Limited

2019 Annual General Meeting – Chairman’s Address and Presentation


Dear Sir / Madam


Please find attached the Chairman’s address and presentation that will be delivered

to shareholders at the Company’s Annual General Meeting to be held today.



Yours faithfully



Matthew Rowe

Company Secretary



Chairman’s Address


During the year there have been several changes on our board. As many of you will

be aware Terry Campbell retired from the AFIC board and chairmanship at the end of

the AGM last year. Terry had made a very valuable contribution to AFIC over 34 years.

In January Jacquie Hey retired from the board after nearly 6 years of service. Her

experience and skills in the telecommunications space had been of particular value to

us. We wish her well with her busy workload at Bendigo Bank, which she chairs,

Qantas, AGL and other non ASX listed roles. In May we were very pleased to

announce that Rebecca Dee-Bradbury had joined the board. She will provide some

observations on her experience and skills when we consider her election in item 4 of

our agenda. Suffice to say she brings great experience in consumer based markets,

both in Australia and offshore, along with a number of years board service on two ASX

listed companies – BlueScope steel and Graincorp – which has provided insights into

other quite different global markets.


The first item of business is consideration of the financial statements and accounts. As

usual I will place this item after the other items of business in order to maximize time

for questions or comment. However I will comment on a couple of matters which may

come up and which are relevant.


Topical is the fact that ASIC has recently doubled the potential size of shareholder

purchase plans from $15,000 to $30,000 per shareholder per annum.


We are cogniscent of the keenness of a number of our shareholders for SPP’s and we

do like to provide the opportunity for them to increase their shareholdings. However

there are a couple of very relevant considerations that I will mention. It would not make

sense for us to be raising additional equity at times when we do not see good

opportunities to invest profitably for you.


Secondly there is a fairness issue amongst our shareholders as a SPP proportionately

allows smaller shareholders a much greater opportunity to invest (in contrast to a

conventional rights issue) and consequently has a dilutionary effect on some of our

shareholders.


We have undertaken 3 SPP’s in the last decade and will certainly consider undertaking

another when we feel it is appropriate. Also our DRP has been in continual operation

for the last decade and our DSSP for the last six years.


The second issue which comes up regularly is the question of whether we should

publish all proxy votes which we lodge.


This is an issue that we consider regularly. To date we feel that we have more influence

presenting our views face to face with, often, the chair of the ASX companies in our

own board room. Where there is a significant difference of view, this can involve a

direct vote against an issue or an abstain with a warning that if our concerns are not


addressed by next year we will be voting against. We also believe our voting needs to

be tailored to the company e.g. what may be appropriate for a start-up business where

the CEO has a big shareholding exposure aligned with the shareholders may be

inappropriate in a top 10 company. Public disclosure of votes for /against or abstain

catch none of the detail and finer nuances of what can be very complex issues.

Annual General Meeting
2019

Annual General Meeting 2019
Disclaimer

Australian Foundation Investment Company Limited and its subsidiary AICS (AFSL 303209), their related

entities and each of their respective directors, officers and agents (together the Disclosers) have prepared

the information contained in these materials in good faith. However, no warranty (express or implied) is made

as to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of any statements, estimates or opinions or other information

contained in these materials (any of which may change without notice) and to the maximum extent permitted

by law, the Disclosers disclaim all liability and responsibility (including, without limitation, any liability arising

from fault or negligence on the part of any or all of the Disclosers) for any direct or indirect loss or damage

which may be suffered by any recipient through relying on anything contained in or omitted from these

materials.

This information has been prepared and provided by AICS. To the extent that it includes any financial product

advice, the advice is of a general nature only and does not take into account any individual’s objectives,

financial situation or particular needs. Before making an investment decision an individual should assess

whether it meets their own needs and consult a financial advisor.

Annual General Meeting 2019
We wanted to thank you again for response to the

shareholder survey on franking

•A strong response with close to 17,000 replies received from AFIC

shareholders

•We acknowledge not all shareholders agreed with the approach – the vast

majority were however supportive

•Helped us formulate our approach and educate key stakeholders

•We are committed to supporting our shareholders when appropriate

•Your voice made a considerable contribution to the debate

Annual General Meeting 2019
Financial Results

Annual General Meeting 2019
Management expense ratio of 0.13%

Financial results

8 special dividend paid with interim dividend

Annual General Meeting 2019
Income per share in 2018/19 was high because of a number of

‘one-off’ factors

Note expenses and tax equate to approximately 2 cents per share for both financial years

2018/20192017/2018

Annual General Meeting 2019
Our Approach

Annual General Meeting 2019
Benefits of a

close end fund

Tax effective

Very low cost –

no performance

fees

Disciplined

investment

approach

How we operate as a Listed Investment Company

Transparent

Shareholders

own the

Company

Annual General Meeting 2019
Dividends are a key driver of shareholder returns in Australia

Annual General Meeting 2019
Effective yield (in yellow) on AFIC’s average cost base of $6.18 in

Transurbanhighlights the benefit of being a long term investor having

retained capital working for you

Annual General Meeting 2019
Market Settings and the

Portfolio

Annual General Meeting 2019
Market and key sector performance – Year to 30 September 2019

Includes dividends

Annual General Meeting 2019
Relative portfolio performance, including franking – per annum

returns to 30 September 2019

Annual General Meeting 2019
•Underweight REIT’s – risk of capital loss with share prices well above asset backing

•No exposure to Gold sector – not a typical AFIC stock: short mine life, volatile price, limited dividends

•Underweight Technology sector (i.e. hot stocks) – valuation growth far exceeding earnings growth

High P/E firms trade at a

73% premium to the market,

which is 23% above the long

term average

Recent AFIC portfolio performance relative to the index

Source: Goldman Sachs Research

Annual General Meeting 2019
•Trade Wars

•Brexit

•Middle East tensions/conflict

•Weakening manufacturing data globally

•Falling bond yields – unchartered territory

•Equity valuations elevated against long term averages

However this uncertain backdrop is providing selective opportunities to acquire

quality companies exhibiting value.

We are currently facing heightened volatility in equity markets

Annual General Meeting 2019
What we look for:

•Sustainable competitive advantage – unique assets producing strong returns on capital

•Strong management team and board

•Recurring, predictable earnings are preferred

•Financial strength – strong cash flow and balance sheet

•Businesses that can grow over the long term, producing growing dividends

•Nursery stocks – developing the above attributes

•Look to buy when we see long term value

AFIC offers a diversified portfolio of quality stocks

Annual General Meeting 2019
Portfolio attributes:

•Diversified portfolio of quality holdings

•Low turnover

Portfolio positioning:

•Reduced number of stocks with capital reinvested in quality companies

•Increased exposure to preferred companies

AFIC portfolio

Annual General Meeting 2019
A number of holdings have been sold – total holdings down

from 85 to 71 over the past 12 months

Concern about sustainable competitive advantage.

Concern about sustainable competitive advantage.

Concern about sustainable competitive advantage.

Low return profile.

Over geared balance sheet.

Annual General Meeting 2019
Using proceeds to increase exposure to preferred companies

Competitive advantage in growing green energy opportunities with

strong ROE and balance sheet.

High quality portfolio of difficult to replicate assets and fits well with an

ageing population. Strong financial metrics and management/board.

Global market-leader in the development of logistics property.

Has a strong growth profile, sound ROE and strong balance

sheet. Owner\Driver company.

Strong management team, high returns, lowest cost, good balance

sheet, investing for future earnings growth, strong growth profile.

Annual General Meeting 2019
Using proceeds to increase exposure to preferred companies continued

Very strong market position with broadening distribution network and

sustainable competitive advantage. Strong balance sheet.

High quality portfolio of pathology assets globally. Opportunities to

increase scale via industry consolidation. Medical leadership culture.

Attractive monopolistic assets which generate attractive returns.

Opportunities to invest to generate further growth. Strong

management team.

High quality portfolio of pipeline assets with high degree of earning

consistency. Have opportunities to add new projects over next few

years to drive growth.

Annual General Meeting 2019
Examples of what we look for – Wesfarmers

•Market leadership position in Australian

and New Zealand hardware

•Strong management team

•Consistent earnings growth

•Strong balance sheet post the demerger

of Coles

•Strong returns well above the cost

of capital

Source: FactSet.

$

Annual General Meeting 2019
Recent volatility has provided buying opportunities in quality

companies – James HardieIndustries

•Leadership position in FibreCement

exterior cladding market in the US

•FibreCement siding only represents

20% of the siding market

•Strong cash flow reinvested back into

the business at attractive returns –

plant/technology

•Large number of growth opportunities

•Quality leadership team

•‘Self help’ drivers delivering growth

above housing cycle growth

Source: FactSet.

$

Annual General Meeting 2019
Recent volatility has provided buying opportunities in quality

companies – National Australia Bank

•Maximum negative news around the

Royal Commission

•Stock was exhibiting value, yielding

6.7% fully franked

•However earnings growth likely to be

low in the short term

•Long term banks will remain a key part

of financing the Australian economy

•Still producing a good ROE

•Can use options to enhance yield

Source: FactSet.

$

Annual General Meeting 2019
Selected “Nursery” holdings

1.5% of the portfolio

0.7% of the portfolio

0.4% of the portfolio

•Dominate position in

logistics

•Moorebankopportunity is

significant

•Backable team of people,

owner/driver characteristics

•Leadership position in

accounting software

•Cloud based technology

•Dominant in Australia, NZ,

growing in the UK and US

•Invest heavily in their product

•Initially owner/driver

•Growing leadership position in

strongly growing data market

•Good ROIC when facilities fully

utilised

Annual General Meeting 2019
Top 20 holdings as at 30 September 2019

RankCompany% ofPortfolio

1

Commonwealth Bank of Australia

8.3%

2

BHP*

6.4%

3

CSL

6.4%

4

Westpac Banking Corporation

6.0%

5

National Australia Bank*

4.9%

6

Transurban

4.4%

7

Macquarie Group

3.6%

8

Wesfarmers

3.5%

9

Australia and New Zealand Banking Group*

3.4%

10

Woolworths Group

2.7%

* Options were outstanding against part of the holding.

Annual General Meeting 2019
RankCompany% of Portfolio

11

Rio Tinto

2.3%

12

Amcor

2.3%

13

Sydney Airport

2.0%

14

James HardieIndustries

2.0%

15

Telstra Corporation

1.8%

16

Woodside Petroleum*

1.8%

17

Brambles

1.8%

18

Oil Search*

1.7%

19

Mainfreight

1.5%

20

Sonic Healthcare

1.5%

Top 20 holdings as at 30 September 2019 continued

* Options were outstanding against part of the holding.

Annual General Meeting 2019
In strong markets AFIC’s share price can sometimes trade at a

discount to NTA – at end September 2019 the discount was 1.6%

Annual General Meeting 2019
Closing Remarks

Annual General Meeting 2019
Asset Prices are at extremes

•Gold price is very high

•Bond Prices are elevated

•US and Australian equity markets close to all time highs

•Equity valuations are extreme for many stocks in the Australian market

Annual General Meeting 2019
US is still holding up the global economy as others weaken

Source: J.P. Morgan

J.P. Morgan Forecast Revision Index

Cumulative % point revision to rolling forecast of GDP (Q-1, Q, Q+1, Q+2)

Annual General Meeting 2019
Heightened volatility in equity markets

Annual General Meeting 2019
We believe we have a very strong portfolio of high

quality companies exhibiting strong returns on

invested capital, that have strong balance sheets

that reduce risk and that provide strategic

flexibility for these businesses

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

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