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KFL – October 2019 monthly update

Operational Update13 October 2019KFLFinancials

Sam Dickie
Senior Portfolio Manager

Fisher Funds Management Ltd

1

Monthly Update

October 2019

A word from the Manager

Market Overview

Kingfish posted an adjusted NAV return of +1.0% in

September, which slightly lagged the local share market

return of +1.6% (S&P/NZX50G).

Portfolio News

In September we attended a2 Milk’s Investor Strategy Day

and China Market Immersion in Shanghai, plus had many

other related meetings and store visits as part of the trip.

Overall the trip was very encouraging and allowed us to

witness first hand several of the concepts underpinning

our investment thesis. We sat in the living room of one

Chinese mother and heard first hand why she chooses to

use a2 Platinum infant formula for her 15 month old son.

We were very impressed by the passionate and ambitious

a2 management team including meeting and spending

time with new Chief Executive Greater China, Li Xiao.

Other key takeaways included the position that the brand

already holds in the market, and potential for a2 to grow

further into e-commerce and offline channels, where it is

under-represented. a2’s brand is well positioned for the fast

growing social e-commerce platforms including Pinduoduo

and Little Redbook. We believe the lacklustre market

response in the wake of the day reflects disappointment

that the company did not more tangibly illustrate the return

metrics it is seeing to justify an acceleration in investment

in marketing in China. However, it is consistent that a2

Milk decline to provide this level of detail as aspects are

commercially sensitive. We continue to back management to

deliver on the significant market share and opportunity for

sales growth.

Summerset acquired a retirement village site in Cranbourne

North, near Melbourne. This is its first site for development

in Australia. This type of acquisition was well foreshadowed

by the company and does not settle until early 2021.

The company will progress planning in the meantime. The

village adds to its New Zealand development pipeline and

units will likely be available for sale commencing late 2021 or

early 2022. We view this as Summerset executing to plan and

there are other similar opportunities in the pipeline.

Pushpay held an investor day in Seattle, and later in the

month also updated guidance for its 2020 financial year.

This provided some further assurances that new CEO Bruce

Gordon has made positive moves since starting, including

realigning the sales and customer service effort. The previous

approach had seen a soft start to the financial year under the

previous CEO. The company increased its operating earnings

expectation to be US$23.0-25.0 million (up US$4.5 million

from prior guidance), with the improvement primarily the

result of cost savings. The company is also looking to build

out its product to provide a more fulsome offering to its

church customers in a range of areas.

Portfolio Changes

Following the partial take-over of Restaurant Brands, we

were left with a small position. We used the high valuation

the company was trading at to exit the remaining position

during the month. Restaurant Brands remains on the fishing

pond list and we will potentially re-enter when the levels are

more attractive.

1

Share Price Discount to NAV (using NAV to four decimal places)

KFL NAV

$

1.52

SHARE PRICE

$

1.44

DISCOUNT

1

5.2

%

as at 30 September 2019

2
Key Details

as at 30 September 2019

FUND TYPE

Listed Investment Company

INVESTS IN

Growing New Zealand companies

LISTING DATE

31 March 2004

FINANCIAL YEAR END

31 March

TYPICAL PORTFOLIO

SIZE

15-25 stocks

INVESTMENT CRITERIA

Long-term growth

PERFORMANCE

OBJECTIVE

Long-term growth of capital and

dividends

TAX STATUS

Portfolio Investment Entity (PIE)

MANAGER

Fisher Funds Management

Limited

MANAGEMENT

FEE RATE

1.25% of gross asset value

(reduced by 0.10% for every

1% of underperformance

relative to the change in the

NZ 90 Day Bank Bill Index with

a floor of 0.75%)

PERFORMANCE

FEE HURDLE

Changes in the NZ 90 Day Bank

Bill Index + 7%

PERFORMANCE FEE

10% of returns in excess of

benchmark and high water mark

HIGH WATER MARK

$1.43

PERFORMANCE FEE CAP

1.25%

SHARES ON ISSUE

244m

MARKET

CAPITALISATION

$352m

GEARING

None (maximum permitted 20%

of gross asset value)

Sector Split

as at 30 September 2019

2

%

29

%

HEALTH CARE

18

%


UTILITIES


MATERIALS

29

%

INDUSTRIALS

12

%

CONSUMER

STAPLES

7

%

INFORMATION

TECHNOLOGY

The Kingfish portfolio also holds cash

Performance

to 30 September 2019

1 Month3 Months1 Year3 Years

(annualised)

5 Years

(annualised)

Company Performance

Total Shareholder Return+2.3%+3.4%+15.3%+12.7%+12.4%

Adjusted NAV Return+1.0%(0.1%)+11.3%+12.2%+13.2%

Portfolio Performance

Gross Performance Return+1.1%+0.5%+14.8%+14.9%+15.9%

S&P/NZX50G Index+1.6%+4.0%+16.8%+14.1%+15.8%

Non-GAAP Financial Information

Kingfish uses non-GAAP measures, including adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return. The rationale for using such non-GAAP measures is as follows:

»adjusted net asset value – the underlying value of the investment portfolio adjusted for capital allocation decisions after expenses, fees and tax,

» adjusted NAV return – the net return to an investor after expenses, fees and tax,

»gross performance return – the Manager’s portfolio performance in terms of stock selection, before expenses, fees and tax, and

»total shareholder return – the return to an investor who reinvests their dividends, and if in the money, exercises their warrants at warrant maturity date for additional shares.

All references to adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return in this monthly update are to such non-GAAP measures. The calculations applied to non-GAAP

measures are described in the Kingfish Non-GAAP Financial Information Policy. A copy of the policy is available at http://kingfish.co.nz/about-kingfish/kingfish-policies/

3
Total Shareholder Return

to 30 September 2019

Mar

2004

Mar

2005

Mar

2006

Mar

2007

Mar

2008

Mar

2009

Mar

2010

Mar

2011

Mar

2012

Mar

2014

Mar

2015

Mar

2013

Mar

2016

Share Price/Total Shareholder Return

$

2.50

$

3.00

$

2.0 0

$

1.50

$

1.00

Share PriceTotal Shareholder Return

$

4.50

$

5.00

$

0.50

$

0.00

Mar

2017

$

3.50

Mar

2018

$

4.00

Mar

2019

September’s Biggest Movers

Typically the Kingfish portfolio will be invested 90% or more in equities.

The remaining portfolio is made up of another 9 stocks and cash.

5 Largest Portfolio Positions

as at 30 September 2019

FLETCHER BUILDING

+16

%

PUSHPAY HOLDINGS

+10

%

SUMMERSET

+10

%

RESTAURANT BRANDS

+8

%

THE A2 MILK COMPANY

-8

%

THE A2 MILK

COMPANY

14

%

FISHER & PAYKEL

HEALTHCARE

14

%

INFRATIL

14

%

MAINFREIGHT

9

%

SUMMERSET GROUP

8

%

Disclaimer: The information in this update has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is
by necessity brief. The information and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Kingfish Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy

or completeness. The update is not intended to constitute professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from an

authorised financial adviser should be taken before making an investment. To the extent that the update contains data relating to the historical performance of Kingfish Limited or its portfolio companies,

please note that fund performance can and will vary and that future results may have no correlation with results historically achieved.

Kingfish Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740

Phone: +64 9 489 7094 | Fax: +64 9 489 7139

Email: enquire@kingfish.co.nz | www.kingfish.co.nz

4

Computershare Investor Services Limited

Private Bag 92119, Auckland 1142

Phone: +64 9 488 8777 | Fax: +64 9 488 8787

Email: enquiry@computershare.co.nz | www.computershare.com/nz

About Kingfish

Kingfish is an investment company

listed on the New Zealand Stock

Exchange. The company gives

shareholders an opportunity to

invest in a diversified portfolio

of between 15 and 25 quality

growing New Zealand companies

through a single, professionally

managed investment. The aim

of Kingfish is to offer investors

competitive returns through

capital growth and dividends.

Capital Management Strategies

Regular Dividends

»Quarterly distribution policy introduced in

June 2009

»Under this policy, 2% of average NAV is targeted

to be paid to shareholders quarterly

»Dividends paid by Kingfish may include dividends

received, interest income, investment gains

and/or return of capital

»Shareholders who prefer to have increased

capital rather than a regular income stream have

the opportunity to participate in the company’s

dividend reinvestment plan (DRP)

»Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3%

discount to market price

»Kingfish became a portfolio investment entity on

1 October 2007. As a result, dividends paid to

New Zealand tax resident shareholders have not

been subject to further tax

Share Buyback Programme

»Kingfish has a buyback programme in place allowing

it (if it elects to do so) to acquire up to 9.7m of its

shares on market in the year to 31 October 2019

»Shares bought back by the company are held as

treasury stock

»Shares held as treasury stock are available to be re-

issued for the dividend reinvestment plan

Warrants

»Warrants put Kingfish in a better position to grow

further, operate efficiently and pursue other capital

structure initiatives as appropriate

»A warrant is the right, not the obligation, to purchase

an ordinary share in Kingfish at a fixed price on a

fixed date

»There are currently no warrants on issue

Management

Kingfish’s portfolio is managed

by Fisher Funds Management

Limited. Sam Dickie (Senior

Portfolio Manager) and Matt Peek

(Investment Analyst) have prime

responsibility for managing the

Kingfish portfolio. Together they

have over 30 years combined

experience and are very capable

of researching and investing in the

quality New Zealand companies

that Kingfish targets. Fisher Funds

is based in Takapuna, Auckland.

Board

The Manager has authority

delegated to it from the

Board to invest according to

the Management Agreement

and other written policies.

The Board of Kingfish

comprises independent

directors Alistair Ryan (Chair),

Carol Campbell, and Andy

Coupe; and non-independent

director Carmel Fisher.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.