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MLN – October 2019 monthly update

Operational Update13 October 2019MLNFinancials

1
A word from the Manager

Global markets rebounded strongly in September following

August’s trade war inspired sell off. The US market has now

notched up gains every quarter this year, bringing the year-to-

date gain to 18.7% and making it the strongest start to a year

since 1997. Marlin’s gross performance for September was

+0.9%, behind our global benchmark which gained +2.2%.

Strong performance from LKQ, Dollar Tree and Descartes

during the month was more than offset by a sell-off that

impacted a number of our technology holdings. Cyclical

industries like banks and industrials rallied as economic

concerns receded and interest rates rebounded from August’s

decline. This switch back towards cyclical companies led to

the underperformance of many higher growth businesses.

This dynamic impacted our portfolio in September, with

marked underperformance by PayPal, MasterCard and

Facebook.

Portfolio Company Developments

Dollar Tree (+12%) shares have performed well following

results that highlighted positive developments on a number

of its strategic initiatives. The turnaround of its Family Dollar

banner is gaining momentum. The company is improving its

assortment, installing more coolers, and adding more food

items and necessities to drive foot traffic into the store. The

company has also been testing moving away from the $1

price point and including multiple price points in its Dollar

Tree stores. Management provided positive commentary on

the results of this trial, which could lead to a wider roll-out,

faster sales growth and greater profitability.

LKQ, the replacement car parts supplier, saw its shares rise

20% during the month. The company updated investors on

its strategy for its European business, setting out a pathway

to improved profit margins and stronger cash flow

generation. It was also disclosed that activist investor,

ValueAct had taken a 5% stake in the company. Activist

involvement correlates with recent shareholder friendly

moves, including fresh European leadership and a revised

incentive compensation plan to focus on profitability.

Another portfolio highlight this month was a strong set of

financial results from logistics software provider, Descartes

Systems (+13%). The company is growing its revenue

at 20% per annum and earnings even faster as it benefits

from strong operating leverage in its core business

and synergy gains from the recent acquisition of trade

compliance software provider Visual Compliance.

On the other side of the coin, Chinese ecommerce giant

Alibaba (-4%) dragged on performance this month.

Alibaba’s share price was hit by headlines suggesting the

US government may block listings by Chinese companies

on US stock exchanges. While the Trump administration

has since denied this rumour, sentiment has taken a hit

and investors now see risk that Alibaba is dragged into the

ongoing US-China trade war.

1

Share Price Discount to NAV (using NAV to four decimal places)

Monthly Update

October 2019

MLN NAV

$

1.01

SHARE PRICE

$

0.93

DISCOUNT

1

7.5

%

as at 30 September 2019

Ashley Gardyne

Senior Portfolio Manager

Fisher Funds Management Ltd

2
Sector Split

as at 30 September 2019

Key Details

as at 30 September 2019

FUND TYPE

Listed Investment Company

INVESTS IN

Growing international companies

LISTING DATE

1 October 2007

FINANCIAL YEAR END

30 June

TYPICAL PORTFOLIO

SIZE

25-35 stocks

INVESTMENT CRITERIA

Long-term growth

PERFORMANCE

OBJECTIVE

Long-term growth of capital and

dividends

TAX STATUS

Portfolio Investment Entity (PIE)

MANAGER

Fisher Funds Management

Limited

MANAGEMENT

FEE RATE

1.25% of gross asset value

(reduced by 0.10% for every

1% of underperformance

relative to the change in the

NZ 90 Day Bank Bill Index

with a floor of 0.75%)

PERFORMANCE

FEE HURDLE

Changes in the NZ 90 Day Bank

Bill Index + 5%

PERFORMANCE FEE

10% of returns in excess of

benchmark and high water mark

HIGH WATER MARK

$0.94

PERFORMANCE FEE CAP

1.25%

SHARES ON ISSUE

148m

MARKET

CAPITALISATION

$138m

GEARING

None (maximum permitted 20%

of gross asset value)

29

%

CONSUMER

DISCRETIONARY

9

%

FINANCIALS

17

%


HEALTH CARE

18

%

INFORMATION

TECHNOLOGY

Geographical Split

as at 30 September 2019

16

%

WEST EUROPE

74

%

NORTH AMERICA

8

%

INDUSTRIALS

10

%


ASIA

The Marlin portfolio also holds cash.

17

%

COMMUNICATION

SERVICES

Performance

to 30 September 2019

1 Month3 Months1 Year3 Years

(annualised)

5 Years

(annualised)

Company Performance

Total Shareholder Return+1.0%+5.5%+8.2%+17.1%+12.8%

Adjusted NAV Return+0.7%+7.0%+8.8%+16.0%+11.4%

Portfolio Performance

Gross Performance Return +0.9%+6.9%+11.6%+19.7%+15.1%

Benchmark Index^+2.2%+3.1%+1.0%+11.8%+12.1%

^Benchmark index: World Small Cap Gross Index until 30 September 2015 & S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap Index (50% hedged to NZD) from 1 October 2015

Non-GAAP Financial Information

Marlin uses non-GAAP measures, including adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return. The rationale for using such non-GAAP measures is as follows:

»adjusted net asset value – the underlying value of the investment portfolio adjusted for capital allocation decisions after expenses, fees and tax,

»adjusted NAV return – the net return to an investor after expenses, fees and tax,

»gross performance return – the Manager’s portfolio performance in terms of stock selection and currency hedging before expenses, fees and tax, and

»total shareholder return – the return to an investor who reinvests their dividends, and if in the money, exercises their warrants at warrant maturity date for additional shares.

All references to adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return in this monthly update are to such non-GAAP measures. The calculations applied to non-GAAP

measures are described in the Marlin Non-GAAP Financial Information Policy. A copy of the policy is available at http://marlin.co.nz/about-marlin/marlin-policies/

Total Shareholder Return
to 30 September 2019

3

September’s Biggest Movers in local currency terms

Typically the Marlin portfolio will be invested 90% or more in equities.

LKQ CORPORATION

+20

%

DESCARTES SYSTEMS

+13

%

DOLLAR TREE

+12

%

PAYPAL HOLDINGS

+6

%

5 Largest Portfolio Positions

as at 30 September 2019

ALPHABET

8

%

ALIBABA GROUP

6

%

FACEBOOK

6

%

TJX COMPANIES

5

%

ADIDAS

5

%

The remaining portfolio is made up of another 21 stocks and cash.

ADIDAS

-5

%

Nov

2007

Nov

2008

Nov

2009

Nov

2010

Nov

2011

Nov

2012

Nov

2014

Nov

2013

Share Price/Total Shareholder Return

Share PriceTotal Shareholder Return

Nov

2015

$

1.00

$

0.50

$

0.00

$

1.50

Nov

2016

Nov

2017

$

2.50

$

2.00

Nov

2018

Disclaimer: The information in this update has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is by
necessity brief. The information and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Marlin Global Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy

or completeness. The update is not intended to constitute professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from an

authorised financial adviser should be taken before making an investment. To the extent that the update contains data relating to the historical performance of Marlin Global Limited or its portfolio

companies, please note that fund performance can and will vary and that future results may have no correlation with results historically achieved.

Marlin Global Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740

Phone: +64 9 484 0365 | Fax: +64 9 489 7139

Email: enquire@marlin.co.nz | www.marlin.co.nz

4

Computershare Investor Services Limited

Private Bag 92119, Auckland 1142

Phone: +64 9 488 8777 | Fax: +64 9 488 8787

Email: enquiry@computershare.co.nz | www.computershare.com/nz

About

Marlin Global

Marlin is an investment company

listed on the New Zealand Stock

Exchange. The company gives

shareholders an opportunity to

invest in a diversified portfolio of

between 25 and 35 quality growing

international companies (excluding

New Zealand and Australia)

through a single, professionally

managed investment. The aim

of Marlin is to offer investors

competitive returns through capital

growth and dividends.

Capital Management Strategies

Regular Dividends

»Quarterly distribution policy introduced in

August 2010

»Under this policy, 2% of average NAV is targeted

to be paid to shareholders quarterly

»Dividends paid by Marlin may include dividends

received, interest income, investment gains

and/or return of capital

»Shareholders who prefer to have increased

capital rather than a regular income stream have

the opportunity to participate in the company’s

dividend reinvestment plan (DRP)

»Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3%

discount to market price

»Marlin became a portfolio investment entity on

1 October 2007. As a result, dividends paid to

New Zealand tax resident shareholders have not

been subject to further tax

Share Buyback Programme

»Marlin has a buyback programme in place allowing

it (if it elects to do so) to acquire up to 5.9m of its

shares on market in the year to 31 October 2019

»Shares bought back by the company are held as

treasury stock

» Shares held as treasury stock are available to be

re-issued for the dividend reinvestment plan

Warrants

»Warrants put Marlin in a better position to grow

further, operate efficiently and pursue other capital

structure initiatives as appropriate

»A warrant is the right, not the obligation, to

purchase an ordinary share in Marlin at a fixed price

on a fixed date

»There are currently no warrants on issue


Management

Marlin’s portfolio is managed

by Fisher Funds Management

Limited. Ashley Gardyne (Senior

Portfolio Manager), Chris

Waters and Harry Smith (Senior

Investment Analysts) have prime

responsibility for managing

the Marlin portfolio. Together

they have significant combined

experience and are very capable

of researching and investing in

the quality global companies that

Marlin targets. Fisher Funds is

based in Takapuna, Auckland.


Board

The Manager has authority

delegated to it from the

Board to invest according to

the Management Agreement

and other written policies.

The Board of Marlin

comprises independent

directors Alistair Ryan (Chair),

Carol Campbell, and Andy

Coupe; and non-independent

director Carmel Fisher.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.