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Investor Presentation

Investor Presentation18 November 2019CENUtilities

UBS Australasia Conference
November 2019

Putting our energy where it matters

Disclaimer and important information
This presentation may contain projections or forward-looking statements regarding a variety of items.

Such forward-looking statements are based upon current expectations and involve risks and uncertainties.

Actual results may differ materially from those

stated in any forward-looking statement based

on a number of important factors and risks.

Although management may indicate and believe

that the assumptions underlying the forward-

looking statements are reasonable, any of the

assumptions could prove inaccurate or incorrect

and, therefore, there can be no assurance that

the results contemplated in the forward-looking

statements will be realised.

EBITDAF, underlying profit, free cash flow and

operating free cash flow are non-GAAP

(generally accepted accounting practice)

measures. Information regarding the

usefulness, calculation and reconciliation of

these measures is provided in the supporting

material.

Furthermore, while all reasonable care has been

taken in compiling this presentation, Contact

accepts no responsibility for any errors or

omissions.

This presentation does not constitute investment

advice.

Numbers in the presentation have not all been

rounded and might not appear to add.

All logos and brands are property of their

respective owners. All company, product and

service names used in this presentation are for

identification purposes only.

All references to $ are New Zealand dollars

2

This presentation has been abridged from the fulsome international investor
roadshow presentation delivered during October

Contact Energy / UBS conference presentation / November 2019

3

FURTHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ONLINE

https://contact.co.nz/aboutus/investor-centre/reports-and-presentations#Presentations


TIWAI POINT ALUMINIUM SMELTER

Production

+4kT¹

Staff

+18% over

3 years

Cash

tax paid

$21m in

FY18

3 year total

EBITDA

less capex²

+$71m

•Impact on the Southland and Taranaki

economy, loss of regional jobs.

•Carbon leakage from low carbon aluminum.

•Inefficient capital investment decisions.

•Risk to New Zealand's long-term

decarbonisation goals.

•Electricity would flow North, in a curtailment

scenario without grid upgrades.

•Reduced return on thermal assets and lower

natural gas demand.

•Transmission pricing delays –initial benefits to

NZAS have been eroded.

•Large closing costs (estimate >$300m on closure).

•Uncertainty from 12 month termination right.

•Infrastructure and supply chain to support NZAS.

•Retooling and reskilling –time and investment.

“Rio Tinto will work

with all stakeholders

including the government,

suppliers, communities

and employeesin order to

find a solution that will

ensure a profitable future

for this plant.”

Rio Tinto Aluminium

ChiefExecutive, Alf Barrios

22.10.19

Suppliers

Government

Communities

& employees

Target completion first quarter 2020

Independent analysis of smelter financial performance indicates positive cash flows.

4

> Demand growth

> Dairy electrification real

> Short gas book

> Close baseload thermal (TCC)

> Strong balance sheet

> Manage North Island reserves,

increase HVDC flow without

investment

Early Lower South Island transmission

upgrade

Contact Energy / UBS conference presentation / November 2019

> Thermal portfolio marginal at best

¹ Commissioned a 4th potline in late 2018, increasing production backed by a new electricity contract until

12/2022, ² Source Pacific Aluminium (New Zealand) Limited financial statements: EBITDAF is equal to Profit

before Income Tax; add back Depreciation, Finance costs and fair value movements in derivatives. Capex is

equal to cash payments for Plant, Property and Equipment

Sources: Productivity Commission's Low Emissions Economy Issues Paper, August 2017
and New Zealand's Action on Climate Change, September 2016

Meaningful reductions in carbon emissions

are possible with renewable electricity

displacing carbon intensive fuels.

CARBON REDUCTION OPPORTUNITY

With high

renewable

penetration,

electricity is the

solution to reducing

carbon emissions,

not the problem.

5

Contact Energy / UBS conference presentation / November 2019

=
Estimated total

capital cost

~11 to 12 cps

Operating free

cash flow yield

~$1bn

* Assumes debt

funded at current

rates with an

$75-85/MWh

wholesale price.

GEOTHERMAL POTENTIAL

Opportunity

Possible staging timing dependent on results of appraisal drilling,

demand growth and economic thermal substitution.

A world-class

geothermal

expertise with

consented

brownfield

development

potential.

in operating free cash flow from capital

deployment into an asset that we have

a 60 year track record of managing.

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Contact Energy / UBS conference presentation / November 2019

The focus on continuous improvement, in a period of flat
demand, has seen operational performance metrics improve.

Maintaining financial discipline

Controllable opexand capex costs ($m)

Rewarding shareholders

Ordinary dividends(cps)

391

357

301

272

260

FY17FY18FY16FY19FY20

target

1.9

3.3

3.2

5.2

1.3

FY19FY15FY17FY16FY18

Safe and engaged employees

Total recordable injury frequency rate

(Recordable injuries per million hours worked)

Employee engagement (%)

FY18

77%

68%

FY16FY17FY19FY20

target

56%

75%

>82%

FOCUS ON OPERATIONAL IMPROVEMENT

7

1111

13

1616

1515

19

2323

FY17FY16FY18FY19

32

FY20

target

2626

3939

Final dividend

Interim dividend

Contact Energy / UBS conference presentation / November 2019

* Operating Cash Flow less stay-in-business capex and net interest costs after adjusting for expected medium-term stay-in-business capital
expenditure, mean hydrology and appropriate Board consideration of a sustainable financial structure including targeting the long-term credit

rating of BBB from S&P.

Balance sheet capacity

Headroom to BBB ($m)

S&P net debt ($m)

Assuming medium-term

EBITDAF of $480m

2.8x

Net debt to

EBITDAF

With a new long-term user contracted to access AGS, S&P will no longer capitalise the storage service

payments from FY20.

DIVIDEND POLICY CERTAINTY

968

376

Ordinary

dividend of

of expected Operating

FreeCashFlow*

39 cps

At the closing share

price on 15 November

2019 of $6.90 per

share

Ordinary

dividend

Distribution

policy

8

Contact Energy / UBS conference presentation / November 2019

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