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Chorus Q2 FY20 Connections Update

Full Year Results16 January 2020CNUCommunication Services

Chorus Limited
Level 10, 1 Willis Street

P O Box 632

Wellington

New Zealand


Email: company.secretary@chorus.co.nz






STOCK EXCHANGE ANNOUNCEMENT


17 January 2020



Chorus Q2 FY20 Connections Update


The Q2 period saw the gigabit fibre uptake surge and the completion of the UFB1

rollout.


Total fixed line connections declined by 12k to 1,432,000 (Q1 FY20: -6k; Q2

FY19: -21k)

• copper voice line reductions moderated in Q2 (Q2 -12k; Q1 -16k) while seasonal

factors (e.g. holidays and student disconnections) meant reduced broadband

growth in Chorus UFB areas


Total broadband connections stable at 1,206,000 (Q1 FY20: +10k; Q2 FY19: -

4k)

• another strong quarter for fibre demand, with 36k connections added

• 1Gbps connections now 13% of mass market fibre connections, at 87k connections

(Q1: 69k)

• UFB uptake rose from 55% to 56%, with the UFB1 rollout now complete and a

further 52,000 customers able to connect to fibre across the UFB1 and 2 footprint

• UFB2 uptake already at 34%


Monthly average data usage for December grew to 293GB, up from 279GB in

September

• copper broadband usage grew to 200GB vs 363GB for fibre users




David Collins

Chief Financial Officer


ENDS


For further information:


Brett Jackson

Investor Relations Manager
Phone: +64 4 896 4039

Mobile: +64 (27) 488 7808

Email: brett.jackson@chorus.co.nz



Nathan Beaumont

Stakeholder Communications Manager

Mobile: +64 21 243 8412

Email: Nathan.beaumont@chorus.co.nz

---

Q2 FY20 Connections Update
17 January 2020

>Total fixed line connections declined by 12k to 1,432,000 (Q1 FY20: -6k; Q2 FY19: -21k)
▪copper voice line reductions moderated in Q2 (Q2 -12k; Q1 -16k) while seasonal factors (e.g.

holidays and student disconnections) meant reduced broadband growth in Chorus UFB areas

>Total broadband connections stable at 1,206,000 (Q1 FY20: +10k; Q2 FY19: -4k)

▪another strong quarter for fibre demand, with 36k connections added

▪1Gbps connections now 13% of mass market fibre connections, at 87k connections (Q1: 69k)

▪UFB uptake rose from 55% to 56%, with the UFB1 rollout now complete and a further 52,000

customers able to connect to fibre across the UFB1 and 2 footprint

▪UFB2uptakealreadyat34%

>Monthly average data usage for December grew to 293GB, up from 279GB in September

▪copper broadband usage grew to 200GB vs 363GB for fibre users

17 January 2020

Q2 FY20 overview

Q2 FY20 CONNECTIONS UPDATE

2

Gigabit fibre demand surges as UFB1 rollout ends

0
200000

400000

600000

800000

1000000

1200000

1400000

31-Dec-1831-Mar-1930-Jun-1930-Sep-1931-Dec-19

17 January 2020

31 Dec

2018

31 March

2019

30 June

2019

30 Sept

2019

31 Dec

2019

Unbundled copper

(no broadband)

39,00031,00024,00021,00018,000

Baseband copper

(no broadband)

244,000233,000214,000201,000192,000

Copper ADSL

(includes naked)

374,000352,000327,000304,000283,000

VDSL

(includes naked)

295,000283,000270,000257,000242,000

Fibre broadband

(GPON)

517,000556,000599,000645,000681,000

Data services

(copper)

5,0005,0005,0004,0004,000

Fibre premium

(P2P)

12,00012,00011,00012,00012,000

Total connections

1,486,0001,472,0001,450,0001,444,0001,432,000

Fibre (GPON)

VDSL

Copper ADSL

Unbundled copper

Baseband copper

Broadband connections steady at 1,206,000

Q2 FY20 CONNECTIONS UPDATE

>1,206,000 broadband connections comprises:

▪681,000 fibre (GPON) connections

▪525,000 VDSL/ADSL (copper) connections

Business premium

3

>Annual update to regulated copper pricing from mid
December

>36,000mass market fibre connections added in Q2 (vs

46k in Q1 FY20)

▪strong second tier RSP promotions of 1Gbps services,

together with RSP migration of 200Mbps customers,

drove 1Gbps connections from 69k to 87k

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Dec-18Mar-19Jun-19Sep-19Dec-19

% of

plans

Total mass market fibre uptake by plan type

50Mbps

100Mbps

1Gbps

17 January 2020

26% increase in Gigabit uptake

200Mbps

Q2 FY20 CONNECTIONS UPDATE

$60 p.m.

$46 p.m.

$42.50 p.m.

$55 p.m.

Business/Education plans

4

-10

0

10

20

30

50Mbps100Mbps200Mbps1Gbps

Fibre plan movement by quarter

Q1Q2

Change in

connections

(‘000s)

Regulated copper pricingLine only (monthly)With broadband (monthly)

Prior pricing$31.19$42.02

From mid Dec 2019$31.68$42.35

17 January 2020
Connection changes by Zone (indicative)

Chorus UFB

zone*

Rural(non-

UFB) zone

Local Fibre

Company

UFB zone

Total connections at

31 Dec**

1,096,000196,000124,000

Broadband connections969,000154,00083,000

Copper (no broadband)

connections

127,00042,00041,000

* Includes planned UFB1, 2 and 2+ coverage

**Excludes 16k fibre premium and data services (copper) connections

Q2 FY20 CONNECTIONS UPDATE

No. of connections

5

02000004000006000008000001000000

Q1

Q2

Q1

Q2

Q1

Q2

Broadband connections

Copper (no broadband) connections

LFC

Zone

Rural

Zone

Chorus

UFB Zone

-7k-2k

-7k-3k

-2k

-2k+1k

+7k

+16k

-11k

-8k

N/C

Broadband mix in Chorus planned UFB zone
17 January 20206

Fibrenow 68% of Chorus broadband

connections

76% of Chorus broadband

connections in Auckland on fibre

-

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

800,000

900,000

1,000,000

Chorus UFB zone broadband mix

FibreCopper broadband

76

13

11

Auckland broadband connections

by type (%)

Fibre

Copper - VDSL

Copper - ADSL

Q2 FY20 CONNECTIONS UPDATE

No. of

connections

17 January 20207
Fibre continues to grow Wellington connections

Return to connection growth in recently completed UFB areas

1500

1600

1700

Sep-18Dec-18Mar-19Jun-19Sep-19Dec-19

Island Bay exchange

Q2 FY20 CONNECTIONS UPDATE

2500

2600

2700

2800

2900

3000

3100

3200

Sep-18Dec-18Mar-19Jun-19Sep-19Dec-19

Karori exchange

No. of

connections

No. of

connections

UFB rollout

UFB rollout

UFB1 rollout complete
>UFB uptake increased from 55% to 56% within completed

footprint

▪58%uptake across UFB1 footprint

▪uptake in UFB2 areas grew from 29% to 34%

(note: uptake includes some UFB2 areas that have been partially built, but not

yet submitted for Crown sign-off)

▪664,000 connections (Q1: 624,000) now within completed

footprint, including business premium

▪1,185,000customers able to connect (Q1: 1,133,000)

▪909,000 premises passed (Q1: 863,000) out of 1,054,000

target = UFB rollout 86% complete

>45,000fibre installations completed in Q2 (Q1: 53k)

▪customer satisfaction consistent at 7.8

▪field crew levels stable at ~670

▪weighted average lead times increased from 6 to 7 days

▪work in progress reduced from 23k (Q1) to 20k

Uptake

17 January 2020

Q2 FY20 CONNECTIONS UPDATE

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

18,000

20,000

JulyAugSeptOctNovDecJanFebMarAprilMayJune

Fibre installations (NZ wide)

FY18FY19FY20

8

0.00%
10.00%

20.00%

30.00%

40.00%

50.00%

60.00%

70.00%

Dec-18Mar-19Jun-19Sep-19Dec-19

% uptake

relative to

capable

addresses

UFB1 uptake: 58%

Q2 FY20 CONNECTIONS UPDATE

917 January 2020

Monthly average data usage now 293GB
>Monthly average data usage per connection on our network grew

to 293GBin Q2, up from 279GB (Sept)

▪363GBon fibre (Sept:360GB)

▪200GBon copper (Sept:187GB)

>Data usage growth typically slows in Q2 due to Christmas holidays

17 January 2020

200

363

293

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

Dec-14

Mar-15

Jun-15

Sep-15

Dec-15

Mar-16

Jun-16

Sep-16

Dec-16

Mar-17

Jun-17

Sep-17

Dec-17

Mar-18

Jun-18

Sep-18

Dec-18

Mar-19

Jun-19

Sep-19

Dec-19

CopperFibreAverage

Data

usage

(GB)

Monthly average data usage

per connection on our network

Q2 FY20 CONNECTIONS UPDATE

10

Peak time usage now typically more than 2Tbps: Christmas and New

Year’s Eve saw reduced data usage

Throughput (

Tbps

)

17 January 202011
Quality of fibre

broadband highlighted

in Commerce

Commission reporting

Source: Measuring Broadband New Zealand, Spring Report,

December 2019, Commerce Commission

>Fibre consistently enables multiple streams of

Ultra High Definition content while other

technologies have variable performance -see

Figure 11.

>Fibre ensures low latency performance. Latency

above 30ms can result in poor experience of

applications such as gaming or video calls -see

Figure 13.

Sam Knows testing showed:

Q2 FY20 CONNECTIONS UPDATE

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.