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KFL – March 2020 monthly update

Operational Update11 March 2020KFLFinancials

1
Monthly Update

March 2020

A word from the Manager

The Kingfish adjusted NAV declined -3.5% in February,

compared to the local share market which returned

-3.9% (S&P/NZX50G). New Zealand outperformed global

markets which were down around twice this amount as the

Coronavirus outbreak in China began to spread more widely

internationally.

Portfolio Company Developments

a2 Milk delivered a first half fiscal 2020 result stronger

than expected including revenue of $807 million, ahead

of the top end of its revenue guidance range ($780-800

million) provided only in mid-November. It also flagged

stronger than expected sales in China during January and

February, probably due to heightened demand following the

Coronavirus outbreak. We continue to back management,

who are executing strongly against the strategy to grow

market share in China and are continuing to build a

meaningful US business.

Auckland Airport delivered its first half fiscal 2020 result and

provided updated guidance for the full year, a reduction of

$5 million on previously expected net profit. The guidance

incorporates a negative impact of Coronavirus in the second

half. The company indicated that the northern runway is

likely to be commissioned in the early 2030s rather than 2028,

which will likely delay its landing charge beyond 1 July 2020.

Delegat delivered a strong first half fiscal 2020 result off the

back of +10% growth in case sales. Disciplined cost control

meant the company grew profits at a similar rate despite the

headwind of a weaker 2019 harvest (where volumes were

down -11% and below long-term averages which elevated

the cost base on a per bottle basis). The company continues

to execute consistently against its long-term plan to grow

case sales at +6.7% annually out to fiscal 2022 and profits

commensurately based on continuing to develop its position

as a premium wine brand.

Fisher & Paykel Healthcare upgraded earnings expectations

again for fiscal 2020, following a number of profit upgrades in

2019 as the company outperforms its conservative guidance.

The higher sales have been in both Homecare and Hospital

divisions and includes better performance from both legacy

mask sales slowing less rapidly but also sales of its new

Vitera mask. However, most of the increase in demand has

been from hardware sales to China in its attempt to control

the Coronavirus outbreak. It is heartening that a company

we are invested in can directly assist some of those suffering

from the virus.

Freightways delivered a disappointing first half fiscal 2020

result. The express courier business met expectations but

the information management division missed expectations,

including the delayed start of its large digitisation project for

the Royal Commission which is now underway. The courier

business is performing broadly in line with expectations

but has suffered a market-based modest decline in same

customer volumes that has slowed earnings growth

(although healthy industry rate increases and Pricing For

Effort have lifted profitability). Management are evaluating

opportunities to refine the information management

division to the more attractive components. We had recently

reduced the size of the position and allocated this capital

elsewhere.

Meridian announced its first half fiscal 2020 result, strong

on favourable hydro conditions. The far greater focus has

been the possible outcome of Rio Tinto’s review into the

future of the Tiwai Point aluminium smelter. This is expected

to conclude in March and is currently creating significant

uncertainty around the future of the New Zealand electricity

sector. Aside from this, Meridian is operating well including

growing its retail, commercial and industrial, and Australian

renewable energy businesses. We had earlier reduced our

position at a time when little probability of a Rio Tinto exit

was being reflected in the share price.

Port of Tauranga announced its first half fiscal 2020 result

but also reduced its full year 2020 NPAT guidance by $2

million. This reflects the extended shutdown of China’s

ports due to Coronavirus which has meant shipping service

disruptions. Log inventories at China ports are at elevated

levels and there is some uncertainty around how long it

will take for a more normal log export environment to

resume from New Zealand. Despite the disruption, the

port continued to grow container volumes and extend its

position as New Zealand’s leading container port.

1

Share Price (Premium) / Discount to NAV (using NAV to four decimal places)

2

SaaS – Software as a service is a method of software delivery that allows access to data from any device with an internet

connection.

KFL NAV

$

1.61

SHARE PRICE

$

1.61

DISCOUNT

1

0.1

%


as at 29 February 2020

2
Key Details

as at 29 February 2020

FUND TYPE

Listed Investment Company

INVESTS IN

Growing New Zealand companies

LISTING DATE

31 March 2004

FINANCIAL YEAR END

31 March

TYPICAL PORTFOLIO

SIZE

15-25 stocks

INVESTMENT CRITERIA

Long-term growth

PERFORMANCE

OBJECTIVE

Long-term growth of capital and

dividends

TAX STATUS

Portfolio Investment Entity (PIE)

MANAGER

Fisher Funds Management

Limited

MANAGEMENT

FEE RATE

1.25% of gross asset value

(reduced by 0.10% for every

1% of underperformance

relative to the change in the

NZ 90 Day Bank Bill Index with

a floor of 0.75%)

PERFORMANCE

FEE HURDLE

Changes in the NZ 90 Day Bank

Bill Index + 7%

PERFORMANCE FEE

10% of returns in excess of

benchmark and high water mark

HIGH WATER MARK

$1.40

PERFORMANCE FEE CAP

1.25%

SHARES ON ISSUE

246m

MARKET

CAPITALISATION

$397m

GEARING

None (maximum permitted 20%

of gross asset value)

Sector Split

as at 29 February 2020

7

%

26

%

INDUSTRIALS

19

%


UTILITIES

INFORMATION

TECHNOLOGY

29

%

HEALTH

CARE

13

%

CONSUMER

STAPLES

The Kingfish portfolio also holds cash

Summerset confirmed its strong fiscal 2019 result which was

widely anticipated given its strong quarterly sales release.

It also announced the acquisition of a second development

site in Victoria in Torquay. Guidance for underlying net profit

for fiscal 2020 was flat as a result of higher care wages,

expectations to deliver around 400 units and development

margin to ease back to a more typical 20-25% (due to a

greater apartment mix and higher land acquisition costs

flowing through). We had anticipated these headwinds and

trimmed the position following the strong share price run

ahead of the result.

Vista delivered its fiscal 2019 result in line with revised

expectations. The core business continues to grow solidly,

and this was the first step in the journey to rebuild some

credibility lost after it missed its original guidance for circa

20% revenue growth by a wide margin. The SaaS

2

transition

project remains in its early days but on schedule. Sentiment

has been very negative as Vista China has been losing

around 80% of its revenue stream while cinemas in China

have closed as a precaution to contain Coronavirus, although

costs are highly variable and losses will be limited now that

cinemas are reopening.

Portfolio Changes

We have begun to add to several positions which have

reacted disproportionately in the broad market selloff.

However, we are conscious this is a dynamic environment and

so are taking a measured approach.

Sam Dickie

Senior Portfolio Manager

Fisher Funds Management Limited

33
Total Shareholder Return to 29 February 2020

Mar

2004

Mar

2006

Mar

2007

Mar

2008

Mar

2009

Mar

2010

Mar

2011

Mar

2012

Mar

2014

Mar

2015

Mar

2013

Mar

2016

Share Price/Total Shareholder Return

$

3.00

$

4.00

$

5.00

$

6.00

Share PriceTotal Shareholder Return

$

1.00

$

2.00

$

0.00

Mar

2017

Mar

2018

Mar

2019

Mar

2005

February’s Biggest Movers

Typically the Kingfish portfolio will be invested 90% or more in equities.

The remaining portfolio is made up of another 8 stocks and cash.

5 Largest Portfolio Positions as at 29 February 2020

FREIGHTWAYS

-16

%

PORT OF TAURANGA

-14

%

MERIDIAN ENERGY

-14

%

SUMMERSET

-12

%

DELEGAT GROUP

-12

%

THE A2 MILK

COMPANY

16

%

FISHER & PAYKEL

HEALTHCARE

16

%

INFRATIL

14

%

MAINFREIGHT

10

%

RYMAN HEALTHCARE

7

%

1 Month3 Months1 Year3 Years

(annualised)

5 Years

(annualised)

Company Performance

Total Shareholder Return(5.3%)+4.0%+29.9%+17.8%+13.7%

Adjusted NAV Return(3.5%)(0.1%)+19.3%+15.9%+13.5%

Portfolio Performance

Gross Performance Return(3.8%)+0.3%+23.7%+19.0%+16.4%

S&P/NZX50G Index(3.9%)(0.5%)+20.8%+16.2%+13.9%

Non-GAAP Financial Information

Kingfish uses non-GAAP measures, including adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return. The rationale for using such non-GAAP measures is as follows:

»adjusted net asset value – the underlying value of the investment portfolio adjusted for capital allocation decisions after expenses, fees and tax,

»adjusted NAV return – the net return to an investor after expenses, fees and tax,

»gross performance return – the Manager’s portfolio performance in terms of stock selection, before expenses, fees and tax, and

»total shareholder return – the return combines the share price performance, the warrant price performance, the net value of converting any warrants into shares, and the dividends paid to shareholders. It

assumes all dividends are reinvested in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan, and that shareholders exercise their warrants, (if they were in the money), at warrant expiry date.

All references to adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return in this monthly update are to such non-GAAP measures. The calculations applied to non-

GAAP measures are described in the Kingfish Non-GAAP Financial Information Policy. A copy of the policy is available at http://kingfish.co.nz/about-kingfish/kingfish-policies/

Performance to 29 February 2020

Disclaimer: The information in this update has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is
by necessity brief. The information and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Kingfish Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy

or completeness. The update is not intended to constitute professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from an

authorised financial adviser should be taken before making an investment. To the extent that the update contains data relating to the historical performance of Kingfish Limited or its portfolio companies,

please note that fund performance can and will vary and that future results may have no correlation with results historically achieved.

Kingfish Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740

Phone: +64 9 489 7094 | Fax: +64 9 489 7139

Email: enquire@kingfish.co.nz | www.kingfish.co.nz

4

Computershare Investor Services Limited

Private Bag 92119, Auckland 1142

Phone: +64 9 488 8777 | Fax: +64 9 488 8787

Email: enquiry@computershare.co.nz | www.computershare.com/nz

About Kingfish

Kingfish is an investment company

listed on the New Zealand Stock

Exchange. The company gives

shareholders an opportunity to

invest in a diversified portfolio

of between 15 and 25 quality

growing New Zealand companies

through a single, professionally

managed investment. The aim

of Kingfish is to offer investors

competitive returns through

capital growth and dividends.

Capital Management Strategies

Regular Dividends

»Quarterly distribution policy introduced in

June 2009

»Under this policy, 2% of average NAV is targeted

to be paid to shareholders quarterly

»Dividends paid by Kingfish may include dividends

received, interest income, investment gains

and/or return of capital

»Shareholders who prefer to have increased

capital rather than a regular income stream have

the opportunity to participate in the company’s

dividend reinvestment plan (DRP)

»Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3%

discount to market price

»Kingfish became a portfolio investment entity on

1 October 2007. As a result, dividends paid to

New Zealand tax resident shareholders have not

been subject to further tax

Share Buyback Programme

»Kingfish has a buyback programme in place

allowing it (if it elects to do so) to acquire its

shares on market

»Shares bought back by the company are held as

treasury stock

»Shares held as treasury stock are available to be

re-issued for the dividend reinvestment plan

Management

Kingfish’s portfolio is managed

by Fisher Funds Management

Limited. Sam Dickie (Senior

Portfolio Manager) and Matt Peek

(Investment Analyst) have prime

responsibility for managing the

Kingfish portfolio. Together they

have over 30 years combined

experience and are very capable

of researching and investing in the

quality New Zealand companies

that Kingfish targets. Fisher Funds

is based in Takapuna, Auckland.

Board

The Manager has authority

delegated to it from the

Board to invest according to

the Management Agreement

and other written policies.

The Board of Kingfish

comprises independent

directors Alistair Ryan (Chair),

Carol Campbell, and Andy

Coupe; and non-independent

director Carmel Fisher.

Warrants

»On 5 February 2020 a new issue of warrants (KFLWF)

was announced.

»The warrants were issued at no cost to eligible

shareholders and in the ratio of one warrant for

every four Kingfish shares held.

»The warrants were allotted to shareholders on 9

March 2020 and the warrants were listed on the

NZX Main Board from 10 March 2020. (Information

pertaining to the warrants was mailed/emailed to

shareholders in February 2020).

»The Exercise Price of each warrant is $1.64, to be

adjusted down for dividends declared during the

period up to the Exercise Date.

»The Exercise Date for the new warrants (KFLWF) is

12 March 2021.

»The final Exercise Price will be announced and an

Exercise Form will be sent to warrant holders in late

January 2021.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.