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MLN – March 2020 monthly update

Operational Update11 March 2020MLNFinancials

1
A word from the Manager

Marlin Global’s gross performance for the month was down

-3.4%, while the adjusted NAV was down -2.8%. This compared

with our global benchmark, which was down -6.4%.

After reaching record highs on February 19th, US equity

markets led global stock exchanges sharply lower during the

last seven days of the month. In the last week of February, the

S&P 500 fell 11%, Britain’s FTSE 100 dropped 11% and the

German DAX declined 12%. Asia performed better with MSCI

China index and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index down 4%.

Global markets had been looking through the short-term

impact of a China slowdown and disruption to supply chains

from Coronavirus at the start of the month. This shifted with

growing concern about a potential global slowdown as the

spread of Coronavirus widened to other countries, most

notably Italy and South Korea.

The portfolio outperformed our benchmark thanks to strong

performance by some of the defensive stocks like Fresenius

Medical Care, Dollar General, TJX Companies Inc and

outperformance by Alibaba and Tencent as investors see their

online business models as more immune to fallout.

Portfolio Company Developments

One of our more defensive holdings, off-price retailer, TJX

Companies (+2%) updated the market with a healthy earnings

report. The company purchases branded inventory at a

discount from full-price retailers and manufacturers who have

excess product and difficulty selling it. The company passes

savings through to the customer. Combined with a quick

stock turnover, this creates a treasure hunt experience. In the

earnings update, TJX noted particularly strong performance

in Europe, thanks in part to economic weakness in the region.

This environment suits TJX unique merchandising model as

there is more inventory available to buy. Secondly, it provides

the opportunity for TJX to relocate stores or open new ones

in vacated premises. Lastly, the company is able to capture

market share as their value proposition becomes more

appealing to consumers.

Alibaba (+1%) reported a good set of results during the

month with revenue and profits both growing over 30%.

However, the focus of investors was largely on the impact

of Coronavirus, which is temporarily impacting the core

ecommerce business as the shutdown causes issues with the

supply and delivery of goods. On the other hand, Alibaba

believes the impact of the virus could drive incremental

demand longer term. As people in China are eating and

working more from home, the online-grocery delivery

and remote working services have actually seen growth

accelerate, and the company expects many of these

customers will continue to use these services even once

things return to normal. Our other Chinese holding, Tencent

(+3.5%), was a strong performer in February. The company

derives the majority of its revenue from video games and

therefore should benefit with people spending more time at

home.

Our two payments companies, Mastercard (-8%) and PayPal

(-5%), updated the market on the impact Coronavirus is

having on their operations. While Mastercard’s domestic

payment volumes are proving resilient to Coronavirus (they

don’t currently operate in China), it is impacting cross-border

travel payment volumes and as a result the company reduced

its revenue growth guidance for the current quarter to 9-10%

(a 2-3% reduction). PayPal also reduced its revenue guidance

due to Coronavirus, however only by 1% due to stronger than

expected performance in its domestic ecommerce business.

The uncertainty around the future progression of Coronavirus

makes it difficult to assess how long payment volumes will

remain depressed, but despite the challenging backdrop

both businesses continue to grow strongly and we remain

just as positive about their long-term growth potential.

In mid-February Adidas (-12%) announced, along with peers

Nike and Puma, store closures in China due to Coronavirus.

Also noting a significant reduction in customer traffic to

remaining stores. Even though China is a strategic growth

priority for the company, the share price held up well with

the market focusing on the long-term opportunity. However,

as news broke of the Coronavirus spread into Europe, the

Adidas share price came under pressure. At 30%, Western

Europe represents Adidas’s largest region by sales. It was

widely expected the company would benefit from the

upcoming football tournament, Euro 2020, scheduled

for June with games in Italy as well as other countries.

1

Share Price (Premium) / Discount to NAV (including warrant price on a pro-rated basis and using NAV to four decimal places).

Monthly Update

March 2020

MLN NAV

$

1.01

WARRANT PRICE

$

0.09

DISCOUNT

1

0.5

%

as at 29 February 2020

SHARE PRICE

$

0.98

2
Sector Split

as at 29 February 2020

Key Details

as at 29 February 2020

FUND TYPE

Listed Investment Company

INVESTS IN

Growing international companies

LISTING DATE

1 October 2007

FINANCIAL YEAR END

30 June

TYPICAL PORTFOLIO

SIZE

25-35 stocks

INVESTMENT CRITERIA

Long-term growth

PERFORMANCE

OBJECTIVE

Long-term growth of capital and

dividends

TAX STATUS

Portfolio Investment Entity (PIE)

MANAGER

Fisher Funds Management

Limited

MANAGEMENT

FEE RATE

1.25% of gross asset value

(reduced by 0.10% for every

1% of underperformance

relative to the change in the

NZ 90 Day Bank Bill Index

with a floor of 0.75%)

PERFORMANCE

FEE HURDLE

Changes in the NZ 90 Day Bank

Bill Index + 5%

PERFORMANCE FEE

10% of returns in excess of

benchmark and high water mark

HIGH WATER MARK

$0.92

PERFORMANCE FEE CAP

1.25%

SHARES ON ISSUE

149m

MARKET

CAPITALISATION

$146m

GEARING

None (maximum permitted 20%

of gross asset value)

25

%

CONSUMER

DISCRETIONARY

11

%

FINANCIALS

22

%


HEALTH CARE

23

%

INFORMATION

TECHNOLOGY

Geographical Split

as at 29 February 2020

16

%

WEST EUROPE

72

%

NORTH AMERICA

4

%

INDUSTRIALS

12

%


ASIA

The Marlin portfolio also holds cash.

15

%

COMMUNICATION

SERVICES

However, as sporting events are cancelled or played behind

closed doors, expectations for Adidas have changed from

sales benefit to potentially having excess inventory. This may

pressure profit margins over the next couple of quarters.

Long-term we remain positive on the outlook for Adidas. The

company (along with Nike) have a significant scale advantage

over competitors and should benefit from the ongoing trend

of casualisation in attire.

After a year of strong market performance and relative calm,

the Coronavirus outbreak has driven a significant spike in

market volatility. This is no doubt unsettling for investors

and we are monitoring the situation and the impact on our

portfolio companies closely. High quality businesses like those

in the Marlin portfolio are more resilient than most in difficult

Ashley Gardyne

Senior Portfolio Manager

Fisher Funds Management Limited

economic times and we believe our portfolio companies

remain well positioned to grow strongly over the long-term.

While the ongoing impact of Coronavirus remains to be seen,

we continue to hunt for new investments should market panic

present attractive opportunities.

3
February’s Biggest Movers in local currency terms

Typically the Marlin portfolio will be invested 90% or more in equities.

HEXCEL CORP

-13

%

ADIDAS AG

-12

%

SIGNATURE BANK

-12

%

ESSILOR LUXOTTICA

-12

%

5 Largest Portfolio Positions as at 29 February 2020

ALPHABET

9

%

FACEBOOK

7

%

ALIBABA GROUP

6

%

PAYPAL HOLDINGS

6

%

TJX COMPANIES

6

%

The remaining portfolio is made up of another 18 stocks and cash.

Nov

2007

Nov

2008

Nov

2009

Nov

2010

Nov

2011

Nov

2012

Nov

2014

Nov

2013

Share Price/Total Shareholder Return

Share PriceTotal Shareholder Return

Nov

2015

$

1.00

$

0.50

$

0.00

$

1.50

Nov

2016

Nov

2017

$

3.00

$

2.00

Nov

2018

$

2.50

Nov

2019

Total Shareholder Return to 29 February 2020

Performance to 29 February 2020

1 Month3 Months1 Year3 Years

(annualised)

5 Years

(annualised)

Company Performance

Total Shareholder Return(8.8%)+0.5%+27.9%+19.4%+13.6%

Adjusted NAV Return(2.8%)(0.6%)+16.6%+16.4%+10.8%

Portfolio Performance

Gross Performance Return (3.4%)(0.5%)+18.9%+19.9%+14.3%

Benchmark Index^(6.4%)(5.4%)+5.4%+8.2%+9.5%

^Benchmark index: World Small Cap Gross Index until 30 September 2015 & S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap Index (50% hedged to NZD) from 1 October 2015

Non-GAAP Financial Information

Marlin uses non-GAAP measures, including adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return. The rationale for using such non-GAAP measures is as follows:

»adjusted net asset value – the underlying value of the investment portfolio adjusted for capital allocation decisions after expenses, fees and tax,

»adjusted NAV return – the net return to an investor after expenses, fees and tax,

»gross performance return – the Manager’s portfolio performance in terms of stock selection and currency hedging before expenses, fees and tax, and

»total shareholder return – the return combines the share price performance, the warrant price performance, the net value of converting any warrants into shares, and the dividends paid to shareholders. It

assumes all dividends are reinvested in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan, and that shareholders exercise their warrants, (if they were in the money) at warrant expiry date.

All references to adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return in this monthly update are to such non-GAAP measures. The calculations applied to non-

GAAP measures are described in the Marlin Non-GAAP Financial Information Policy. A copy of the policy is available at http://marlin.co.nz/about-marlin/marlin-policies/

ABBOTT LABRATORIES

-8

%

Disclaimer: The information in this update has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is by
necessity brief. The information and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Marlin Global Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy

or completeness. The update is not intended to constitute professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from an

authorised financial adviser should be taken before making an investment. To the extent that the update contains data relating to the historical performance of Marlin Global Limited or its portfolio

companies, please note that fund performance can and will vary and that future results have no correlation with results historically achieved.

Marlin Global Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740

Phone: +64 9 484 0365 | Fax: +64 9 489 7139

Email: enquire@marlin.co.nz | www.marlin.co.nz

4

Computershare Investor Services Limited

Private Bag 92119, Auckland 1142

Phone: +64 9 488 8777 | Fax: +64 9 488 8787

Email: enquiry@computershare.co.nz | www.computershare.com/nz

About

Marlin Global

Marlin is an investment company

listed on the New Zealand Stock

Exchange. The company gives

shareholders an opportunity to

invest in a diversified portfolio of

between 25 and 35 quality growing

international companies (excluding

New Zealand and Australia)

through a single, professionally

managed investment. The aim

of Marlin is to offer investors

competitive returns through capital

growth and dividends.

Capital Management Strategies

Regular Dividends

»Quarterly distribution policy introduced in

August 2010

»Under this policy, 2% of average NAV is targeted

to be paid to shareholders quarterly

»Dividends paid by Marlin may include dividends

received, interest income, investment gains

and/or return of capital

»Shareholders who prefer to have increased

capital rather than a regular income stream have

the opportunity to participate in the company’s

dividend reinvestment plan (DRP)

»Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3%

discount to market price

»Marlin became a portfolio investment entity on

1 October 2007. As a result, dividends paid to

New Zealand tax resident shareholders have not

been subject to further tax

Share Buyback Programme

»Marlin has a buyback programme in place allowing it (if

it elects to do so) to acquire its shares on market

»Shares bought back by the company are held as

treasury stock

» Shares held as treasury stock are available to be

re-issued for the dividend reinvestment plan

Warrants

»On 17 October 2019, a new issue of warrants (MLNWD)

was announced

»The warrants were issued at no cost to eligible

shareholders and in the ratio of one warrant for every

four Marlin shares held

»Exercise Price = $0.94 per warrant, to be adjusted down

for dividends declared during the period up to the

Exercise Date

»Exercise Date = 6 November 2020

»The final Exercise Price will be announced and an

Exercise Form will be sent to warrant holders in

September 2020


Management

Marlin’s portfolio is managed

by Fisher Funds Management

Limited. Ashley Gardyne (Senior

Portfolio Manager), Chris

Waters and Harry Smith (Senior

Investment Analysts) have prime

responsibility for managing

the Marlin portfolio. Together

they have significant combined

experience and are very capable

of researching and investing in

the quality global companies that

Marlin targets. Fisher Funds is

based in Takapuna, Auckland.


Board

The Manager has authority

delegated to it from the

Board to invest according to

the Management Agreement

and other written policies.

The Board of Marlin

comprises independent

directors Alistair Ryan (Chair),

Carol Campbell, and Andy

Coupe; and non-independent

director Carmel Fisher.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.