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Wellington International Airport reviews impact of Covid-19

Operational Update20 March 2020IFTUtilities

Infratil Limited 5 Market Lane, PO Box 320, Wellington, New Zealand Tel +64-4-473 3663 www.infratil.com




20 March 2020




Wellington International Airport reviews impact of Covid-19


Attached is a market release from Wellington International Airport Limited (WIA) advising that it is

continuing to assess the impact of Covid-19 on its business (including as a result of the New Zealand

Government’s announcement to close its border to international travellers) and that S&P have placed

all rated Australian and New Zealand Airports on CreditWatch Negative as a result of the reduction in

passenger numbers.


Infratil is the 66% shareholder in WIA.



Any enquiries should be directed to:


Mark Flesher, Investor Relations, Infratil Limited

mark.flesher@infratil.com

---

Wellington Airport reviews impact of Covid-19

Wellington International Airport Limited (WIA) is continuing to assess the impact of Covid-19 on its

business, including as a result of the New Zealand Government’s announcement to close its border

to international travellers.

While the full impact of Covid-19 on both international and domestic air traffic is uncertain, we know

it will materially impact WIA’s revenues for an as yet unknown period of time. However, WIA is a

resilient business, with available bank facilities and supportive shareholders. Like other companies

affected by this situation, WIA is deferring capital projects and is under strict cost management.

Notwithstanding, S&P have placed all rated Australian and New Zealand Airports on CreditWatch

Negative as a result of the reduction in passenger numbers (see attached).

WIA continues to work with our airline partners and remains committed to airport operations and

supporting the Government and border agencies.



Ends


For further information please contact:

Melanie Nunn

Communications Manager

Melanie.Nunn@wellingtonairport.co.nz

Ratings On Australian And New Zealand Airports
Placed On CreditWatch Negative

March 19, 2020

- The rapid spread of the new coronavirus across the globe and intense border control measures

by various countries have triggered an unprecedented drop in passenger traffic across airports

in Australia and New Zealand (ANZ).

- While there will be pressure on near-term cash flows, liquidity remains adequate at all the

rated airports, there are no immediate debt payment concerns, and we believe the sector

should see a slow recovery over the next 12 to 24 months.

- On March 20, 2020, S&P Global Ratings placed the ratings on five Australian airports and three

New Zealand airports on CreditWatch with negative implications.

- We will look to resolve the CreditWatch after assessing the airports' trend in traffic recovery,

future earnings profile, and cash conservation measures to support liquidity and service debt.

MELBOURNE (S&P Global Ratings) March 20, 2020--S&P Global Ratings today placed the ratings

on five Australian airports and three New Zealand airports on CreditWatch with negative

implications (see list).

We placed the ANZ airports on CreditWatch with negative implications to reflect the current

extraordinary curtailment of air travel across the globe caused by the rapid spread of the

coronavirus and border controls by various countries. The uncertainty on the duration of the travel

curtailment makes it difficult to forecast a recovery pattern, which will differ across airports.

However, given that airports are essential infrastructure assets, we do not think that this

represents a secular risk to the sector and its historical investment-grade profile.

Importantly, all rated airports have adequate liquidity, including sufficient cash and undrawn bank

lines to meet capital-market debt maturities. Airports are prudently managing capital spending

and dividends to weather the earnings impact in 2020. For example, Auckland airport has

cancelled the interim dividends announced as part of their half-year results. We expect airports to

arrange additional banking lines, if needed, to enhance their liquidity positions and avoid any

short-term refinancing risk. In addition, all airports have indicated tight controls on operating

costs and will curtail capital spending in 2021 as a start.

The outlook for passenger traffic has significantly worsened since our most recent update (see

"Australian And New Zealand Airports Brace For More Pain With Coronavirus Outbreak," published

Feb. 4, 2020). This is due to certain travel restrictions and a mandatory 14-day self-isolation

period implemented by the ANZ governments to inbound visitors following the rapid spread of

COVID-19. In addition, rapidly deteriorating conditions affecting the airlines industry are also

spreading from the international to the ANZ domestic markets, with airlines across both

geographies substantially reducing capacity over at least the next three to six months. This is on

Ratings On Australian And New Zealand Airports

Placed On CreditWatch Negative

March 19, 2020

PRIMARY CREDIT ANALYST

Parvathy Iyer

Melbourne

(61) 3-9631-2034

parvathy.iyer

@spglobal.com

SECONDARY CONTACT

Meet N Vora

Sydney

(61) 2-9255-9854

meet.vora

@spglobal.com

www.spglobal.com/ratingsdirectMarch 19, 2020 1

top of a downturn in passenger traffic due to travel bans to China and South Korea from February
2020.

We assume global air traffic will decline by 20%-30% compared with that in 2019. Full recovery

will likely only occur in 2022-2023, noting that the situation is highly uncertain and rapidly

changing. This view takes into account COVID-19's rapid spread to over 125 countries and the

severity of lockdown measures to contain the virus, given the risk of contagion.

The extent of passenger decline in 2020, as well as the recovery over 2021 and 2022, across the

different airports will vary. The recovery timing is uncertain and could start sometime around end

June 2020 to September 2020, with perhaps some normalcy returning in the first quarter of 2021.

Airports' competitive positions, as well as local conditions, will influence the trends. For example,

in New Zealand, we would expect Auckland airport to recover faster than Wellington or

Christchurch airport, given its dominant position as the gateway airport in the country. Similarly,

we believe that the recovery in passenger traffic could be faster for Sydney and Melbourne

airports, compared with Adelaide, Brisbane, or Perth airports.

While airports' EBITDA and cash flows will fall in 2020 and not meet our ratings thresholds, our

focus will be on the rebound and ramp-up of traffic. Despite airports' diverse revenue streams, the

plunge in passenger numbers will also affect non-aeronautical revenues from retail space such as

duty free, shopping, food and beverage outlets. This is in addition to lower revenue from car

parking and ground transportation.

In our view, the drop in non-aero revenue will not only come from lower passenger numbers but

also potentially from airports supporting struggling retailers. As such, it's difficult to predict the

overall impact on airports' EBITDA for fiscal 2020, which could range between 20% and 40%

compared to the prior year.

We would seek to resolve the CreditWatch over the next few months by assessing various factors

such as the airports':

- Operating environment;

- Trend in traffic recovery based on airline strategy and capacity additions, health of the airline

industry, global and regional economic conditions, and changes to airline schedules;

- Speed of recovery, noting that the trajectory might be different for different airports;

- EBITDA and cash flows over this period, and the trend-line in metrics;

- Policies with respect to shareholder distributions and deferral of nonmandatory capital

expenditure; and

- Liquidity position along with covenant compliance.

While there continues to be a high degree of uncertainty about the rate of spread and timing of the

peak of the coronavirus outbreak, some government authorities are estimating late Q2 to mid

Q3—which we've used in assessing economic and credit implications. In any case, the COVID-19

pandemic has likely pushed the global economy into recession and could cause a surge of defaults

among nonfinancial corporate borrowers (see "COVID-19 Macroeconomic Update: The Global

Recession Is Here And Now" and "COVID-19 Credit Update: The Sudden Economic Stop Will Bring

Intense Credit Pressure," published March 17). As the situation evolves, we will update our

assumptions and estimates accordingly.

www.spglobal.com/ratingsdirectMarch 19, 2020 2

Ratings On Australian And New Zealand Airports Placed On CreditWatch Negative

Related Criteria
- General Criteria: Group Rating Methodology, July 1, 2019

- Criteria | Corporates | General: Corporate Methodology: Ratios And Adjustments, April 1, 2019

- Criteria | Corporates | General: Reflecting Subordination Risk In Corporate Issue Ratings, March

28, 2018

- General Criteria: Methodology For Linking Long-Term And Short-Term Ratings, April 7, 2017

- General Criteria: Rating Government-Related Entities: Methodology And Assumptions, March

25, 2015

- Criteria | Corporates | General: Methodology And Assumptions: Liquidity Descriptors For Global

Corporate Issuers, Dec. 16, 2014

- Criteria | Corporates | General: The Treatment Of Non-Common Equity Financing In

Nonfinancial Corporate Entities, April 29, 2014

- General Criteria: Methodology: Industry Risk, Nov. 19, 2013

- Criteria | Corporates | Industrials: Key Credit Factors For The Transportation Infrastructure

Industry, Nov. 19, 2013

- Criteria | Corporates | General: Corporate Methodology, Nov. 19, 2013

- General Criteria: Country Risk Assessment Methodology And Assumptions, Nov. 19, 2013

- General Criteria: Methodology: Management And Governance Credit Factors For Corporate

Entities, Nov. 13, 2012

- General Criteria: Use Of CreditWatch And Outlooks, Sept. 14, 2009

Related Research

- COVID-19 Macroeconomic Update: The Global Recession Is Here And Now, March 17, 2020

- COVID-19 Credit Update: The Sudden Economic Stop Will Bring Intense Credit Pressure, March

17, 2020

- The Coronavirus Pandemic Could Reduce Global Air Passengers By Up To 30% In 2020, March

17, 2020

- U.S. Transportation Infrastructure Sector Outlook Update: Now Negative For All Sectors, March

16, 2020

- Australian And New Zealand Airports Brace For More Pain With Coronavirus Outbreak, Feb. 4,

2020

www.spglobal.com/ratingsdirectMarch 19, 2020 3

Ratings On Australian And New Zealand Airports Placed On CreditWatch Negative

RATINGS LIST
* * * * * * * * * * * * * Adelaide Airport Ltd. * * * * * * * * * * * * *

Ratings Affirmed; CreditWatch/Outlook Action

ToFrom

Adelaide Airport Ltd.

Issuer Credit RatingBBB/Watch Neg/--BBB/Stable/--

New Terminal Financing Co. Pty Ltd.

Senior SecuredBBB/Watch NegBBB

* * * * * * * * * * Auckland International Airport Ltd. * * * * * * * * *

Ratings Affirmed; CreditWatch/Outlook Action

ToFrom

Auckland International Airport Ltd.

Issuer Credit RatingA-/Watch Neg/A-2A-/Stable/A-2

Auckland International Airport Ltd.

Senior UnsecuredA-/Watch NegA-

Commercial PaperA-2/Watch NegA-2

* * * * * * * * * Australia Pacific Airports Corp. Ltd. * * * * * * * * *

Ratings Affirmed; CreditWatch/Outlook Action

ToFrom

Australia Pacific Airports Corp. Ltd.

Australia Pacific Airports (Melbourne) Pty Ltd.

Issuer Credit RatingA-/Watch Neg/NRA-/Stable/NR

Australia Pacific Airports (Melbourne) Pty Ltd.

Senior SecuredA-/Watch NegA-

* * * * * * * * * * * * * * BAC Holdings Ltd. * * * * * * * * * * * * * *

Ratings Affirmed; CreditWatch/Outlook Action

ToFrom

Brisbane Airport Corp. Pty Ltd.

Issuer Credit RatingBBB/Watch Neg/NRBBB/Stable/NR

Brisbane Airport Corp. Pty Ltd.

Senior SecuredBBB/Watch NegBBB

* * * * * * * * * Christchurch International Airport Ltd. * * * * * * * *

Ratings Affirmed; CreditWatch/Outlook Action

ToFrom

Christchurch International Airport Ltd.

Issuer Credit RatingA-/Watch Neg/A-2A-/Stable/A-2

Christchurch International Airport Ltd.

Senior UnsecuredA-/Watch NegA-

Commercial PaperA-2/Watch NegA-2

www.spglobal.com/ratingsdirectMarch 19, 2020 4

Ratings On Australian And New Zealand Airports Placed On CreditWatch Negative

* * * * * * * * * Perth Airport Development Group Pty Ltd * * * * * * * *
Ratings Affirmed; CreditWatch/Outlook Action

ToFrom

Perth Airport Pty Ltd.

Issuer Credit RatingBBB/Watch Neg/NRBBB/Stable/NR

Perth Airport Pty Ltd.

Senior SecuredBBB/Watch NegBBB

* * * * * * * * Southern Cross Airports Corp. Holdings Ltd. * * * * * * *

Ratings Affirmed; CreditWatch/Outlook Action

ToFrom

Southern Cross Airports Corp. Holdings Ltd.

Issuer Credit RatingBBB+/Watch Neg/NRBBB+/Stable/NR

Sydney Airport Finance Co. Pty Ltd.

Senior SecuredBBB+/Watch NegBBB+

S&P Underlying RatingBBB+/Watch NegBBB+/Stable

* * * * * * * * * Wellington International Airport Ltd. * * * * * * * * *

Ratings Affirmed; CreditWatch/Outlook Action

ToFrom

Wellington International Airport Ltd.

Issuer Credit RatingBBB+/Watch Neg/A-2BBB+/Stable/A-2

Wellington International Airport Ltd.

Senior UnsecuredBBB+/Watch NegBBB+

Commercial PaperA-2/Watch NegA-2

Certain terms used in this report, particularly certain adjectives used to express our view on rating relevant factors,

have specific meanings ascribed to them in our criteria, and should therefore be read in conjunction with such

criteria. Please see Ratings Criteria at www.standardandpoors.com for further information. Complete ratings

information is available to subscribers of RatingsDirect at www.capitaliq.com. All ratings affected by this rating

action can be found on S&P Global Ratings' public website at www.standardandpoors.com. Use the Ratings search

box located in the left column.

AUSTRALIA

S&P Global Ratings Australia Pty Ltd holds Australian financial services license number 337565 under the Corporations

Act 2001. S&P Global Ratings' credit ratings and related research are not intended for and must not be distributed to any

person in Australia other than a wholesale client (as defined in Chapter 7 of the Corporations Act).

www.spglobal.com/ratingsdirectMarch 19, 2020 5

Ratings On Australian And New Zealand Airports Placed On CreditWatch Negative

www.spglobal.com/ratingsdirectMarch 19, 2020 6
Ratings On Australian And New Zealand Airports Placed On CreditWatch Negative

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