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Chorus Q3 FY20 Connections Update

Full Year Results8 April 2020CNUCommunication Services

Chorus Limited
Level 10, 1 Willis Street

P O Box 632

Wellington

New Zealand


Email: company.secretary@chorus.co.nz



STOCK EXCHANGE ANNOUNCEMENT


9 April 2020



Chorus Q3 FY20 Connections Update


The Q3 period saw the COVID-19 lockdown, from 25 March, confirm the utility role of

fixed line broadband.


Monthly average data usage for March grew to 346GB, up 18% from 293GB in

December;

• copper broadband usage grew to 225GB vs 429GB for fibre users, and

• the COVID-19 lockdown is reinforcing the value of unlimited datacaps, with

103GB average usage in just the last week of March, while two-way services

such as video conferencing drove 85% greater upload usage during daytime.

Broadband connections grew 4k in Chorus UFB and rural areas, while total broadband

connections reduced by 4k to 1,202,000 (Q2 FY20: no change; Q3 FY19: +5k);


• fibre demand remained strong with 32k connections added (Q2 FY20: +36k)

despite COVID-19 impacts (i.e. fewer returning students and reduced

installations during lockdown in late March),

• strong growth in 1Gbps connections to 105k (Q2: 87k), now 15% of mass

market fibre connections, and

• UFB uptake rose from 56% to 58% and fibre was extended past 13,000 more

customers.

Total fixed line connections declined by 13k to 1,419,000 (Q2 FY20: -12k; Q3 FY19: -

14k)

• copper voice line reductions continued to moderate in Q3 (Q3 -8k; Q2 -12k).


Authorised by

David Collins

Chief Financial Officer


ENDS


For further information:

Brett Jackson
Investor Relations Manager

Phone: +64 4 896 4039

Mobile: +64 (27) 488 7808

Email: brett.jackson@chorus.co.nz



Steve Pettigrew

Head of External Communications

Mobile +64 (27) 258 6257

Email: Steve.Pettigrew@chorus.co.nz

---

Q3 FY20 Connections Update
9April 2020

>Monthly average data usage for March grew to 346GB, up 18% from 293GB in December
▪copper broadband usage grew to 225GB vs 429GB for fibre users

▪the COVID-19 lockdown is reinforcing the value of unlimited datacaps, with 103GB average usage in just

the last week of March, while two-way services such as video conferencing drove 85% greater upload

usage during daytime

>Broadband connections grew 4k in Chorus UFB and rural areas, while total broadband

connections reduced by 4k to 1,202,000 (Q2 FY20: nochange; Q3 FY19: +5k)

▪fibre demand remained strong with 32k connections added (Q2 FY20: +36k) despite COVID-19 impacts

(i.e. fewer returning students and reduced installations during lockdown inlateMarch)

▪strong growth in 1Gbps connections to 105k (Q2: 87k), now 15% of mass market fibre connections

▪UFB uptake rose from 56% to 58% and fibre was extended past 13,000 more customers

>Total fixed line connections declined by 13k to 1,419,000 (Q2 FY20: -12k; Q3 FY19: -14k)

▪copper voice line reductions continued to moderate in Q3 (Q3 -8k; Q2 -12k)

9April 2020

Q3 FY20 overview

Q3 FY20 CONNECTIONS UPDATE

2

COVID-19 lockdown from 25 March confirms utility role of fixed line broadband

9April 20203
COVID-19: Keeping New Zealand connected

>Our network is supporting exponential growth in broadband traffic

▪record evening peak of 3Tbps on 27 March, up from Rugby World Cup record of 2.6Tbps

▪we’ve offered to enable existing connections in up to 50,000 non-broadband homes, free-of-charge

for six months, to support government initiatives for online schooling

>Field force activity reduced to essential work only; focus on maintaining workforce capability

▪UFB2 rollout, subdivision and proactive work paused, while network restoration continues

▪weareworkingcloselywithservicecompaniestoidentifysupportforthemandourtechnician

workforce, inthecontextoftheir significantly reduced workflow/revenue, so they can quickly return

to extending the fibre network and connecting a backlog of customers post-lockdown

>We’re working with RSPs to address industry-wide challenges

▪fast tracking handover and backhaul capacity upgrades that keep services congestion free

▪CPI increase on wholesale charges delayed until October, possibly longer

▪introducing a process for RSP business customers so they can temporarily disconnect lines to limit

network charges while they aren’t trading, and waiving our reconnection fee

Q3 FY20 CONNECTIONS UPDATE

9 April 20204
COVID-19: post lockdown connection impact

>Fibre installations have slowed significantly to ~100 per day vs ~650 prior as a result of

alert Level 4 restrictions

▪broadband installations limited to premises with no existing fixed line broadband, or customers

with essential business or educational requirements not met by an existing broadband service

▪number of active connection crews has reduced from ~640 pre-lockdown to ~260

▪we have suspended our door-to-door fibre migration programme, but have a new RSP incentive

campaign focused on ~50k addresses where fibre is ready to activate remotely

▪non-essential installations are currentlybeingscheduledto resume in May, with WIP expected to

grow from current level of 18k orders

>Broadband serviceupgradesarecontinuingviaremoteprovisioning

▪1Gbps upgrade orders grew ~50% in the first two weeks of lockdown; 3k upgrades to 1Gbps

were completed in March (excluding RSP bulk migrations)

▪ADSL to VDSL upgrades have also increased since the lockdown began

>Expect to see an increase in network disconnections as economic slowdown affects

businesses and our temporary disconnection process is utilised

Q3 FY20 CONNECTIONS UPDATE

0
200000

400000

600000

800000

1000000

1200000

1400000

31-Mar-1930-Jun-1930-Sep-1931-Dec-1931-Mar-20

9April 2020

31 March

2019

30 June

2019

30 Sept

2019

31 Dec

2019

31 March

2020

Unbundled copper

(no broadband)

31,00024,00021,00018,00017,000

Baseband copper

(no broadband)

233,000214,000201,000192,000185,000

Copper ADSL

(includes naked)

352,000327,000304,000283,000261,000

VDSL

(includes naked)

283,000270,000257,000242,000228,000

Fibre broadband

(GPON)

556,000599,000645,000681,000713,000

Data services

(copper)

5,0005,0004,0004,0004,000

Fibre premium

(P2P)

12,00011,00012,00012,00011,000

Total connections

1,472,0001,450,0001,444,0001,432,0001,419,000

Fibre (GPON)

VDSL

Copper ADSL

Unbundled copper

Baseband copper

Fibre now makes up 51% of Chorus connections

Q3 FY20 CONNECTIONS UPDATE

>1,202,000 broadband connections comprises:

▪713,000 fibre (GPON) connections

▪489,000 VDSL/ADSL (copper) connections

Business premium

5

32,000mass market fibre connections added
▪1Gbps connections grew from 87k to 105k,

helped by RSP migration of 200Mbps

customers, and now represent 15% of mass

market fibre

▪100Mbps retained 70% share at 494k

▪50Mbps connections were flat at 88k or 12%

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Dec-18Mar-19Jun-19Sep-19Dec-19Mar-20

% of

plans

Total mass market fibre uptake by plan type

50Mbps

100Mbps

1Gbps

9April 2020

1Gbps plans grew from 13% to 15%

200Mbps

Q3 FY20 CONNECTIONS UPDATE

$60 p.m.

$46 p.m.

$42.50 p.m.

$55 p.m.

Business/Education plans

6

-10

0

10

20

30

50Mbps100Mbps200Mbps1Gbps

Fibre plan movement by quarter

Q1Q2Q3

Change in

connections

(‘000s)

9April 2020
Connection changes by Zone (indicative)

Chorus UFB

zone*

Rural(non-

UFB) zone

Local Fibre

Company

UFB zone

Total connections at

31 March**

1,094,000196,000114,000

Broadband connections972,000155,00075,000

Copper (no broadband)

connections

122,00041,00039,000

* Includes planned UFB1, 2 and 2+ coverage

**Excludes 15k fibre premium and data services (copper) connections

Q3 FY20 CONNECTIONS UPDATE

7

3

7

16

1

1

-8

-7

-7

-5

-8

-11

-1

-2

-2

-2

-2

-3

-15-5515

Q3

Q2

Q1

Q3

Q2

Q1

Q3

Q2

Q1

Broadband connections

Copper (no broadband) connections

LFC

Zone

Rural

Zone

Chorus

UFB Zone

N/C

Change in connections (‘000s) by zone**

>Chorus UFB zone: 3kbroadband growth despite

signs of wireless migration of copper broadband

customers earlier in Q3 and lower fibre volumes in

March as a result of COVID-19, while copper voice line

loss continued to slow

>LFC zone: a clear reduction in VDSL disconnects in

March, with LFC and wireless competition in prior

months moderating

>Rural: positive broadband growth, with VDSL/fibre

adds exceeding ADSL reductions

Broadband mix in Chorus planned UFB zone
9April 20208

Fibrenow 71% of Chorus broadband

connections in planned UFB zone

80% of Chorus broadband

connections in Auckland on fibre

80

11

9

Chorus’ Auckland broadband

connections by type (%)

Fibre

Copper - VDSL

Copper - ADSL

Q3 FY20 CONNECTIONS UPDATE

No. of

connections

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

800,000

900,000

1,000,000

ADSLVDSLFibre

UFB rollout 87% complete
>UFB uptake increased from 56% to 58% within completed

footprint

▪uptake in UFB1 areas grew from 58% to 60%

▪uptake in UFB2 areas grew from 34% to 35%

(note: uptake includes some UFB2 areas that have been partially built, but not yet

submitted for Crown sign-off)

▪695,000 connections (Q2: 664,000) now within completed

footprint, including business premium

▪1,198,000customers able to connect (Q2: 1,185,000)

▪920,000 premises passed (Q2: 909,000) out of 1,054,000

target = UFB rollout 87% complete

>38,000fibre installations completed in Q3 (Q2: 45k)

▪customer satisfaction increased from 7.8 to 7.9

▪9kinstallationsthroughourmanagedmigrationsprogramme

Uptake

9April 2020

Q3 FY20 CONNECTIONS UPDATE

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

18,000

20,000

JulyAugSeptOctNovDecJanFebMarAprilMayJune

Fibre installations (NZ wide)

FY18FY19FY20

9

0.00%
10.00%

20.00%

30.00%

40.00%

50.00%

60.00%

70.00%

Jun-19Sep-19Dec-19Mar-20

% uptake

relative to

capable

addresses

UFB1 uptake: 60%

Q3 FY20 CONNECTIONS UPDATE

109April 2020

Monthly average data usage grew 18% in Q3
>monthly average data usage per connection on our network

grew to 346GBin Q3, up from 293GB (Dec)

▪429GBon fibre (Dec:363GB)

▪225GBon copper (Dec:200GB)

>data usage in the last week of March averaged 103GBas New

Zealanders spent time at home for the COVID-19 lockdown

▪theincreaseindataneedsisdrivingincreasedconsumer

awareness of datacaplimitations, along with upload/latency

requirements

>continued growth in demand for EdgeCentrecolocation

capability in Auckland; extending footprint to Tauranga

9April 2020

200

225

363

429

293

346

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

Dec-14

Mar-15

Jun-15

Sep-15

Dec-15

Mar-16

Jun-16

Sep-16

Dec-16

Mar-17

Jun-17

Sep-17

Dec-17

Mar-18

Jun-18

Sep-18

Dec-18

Mar-19

Jun-19

Sep-19

Dec-19

Mar-20

CopperFibreAverage

Data

usage

(GB)

Monthly average data usage

per connection on our network

Q3 FY20 CONNECTIONS UPDATE

11

>Download traffic set a new record of 3.03Tbps on 27 March, well within Chorus’ network capacity.
>Daytime upload traffic has grown ~85% as Kiwis use services such as video conferencing, requiring greater bandwidth

and low latency (latency above 30ms can result in poor experience of applications such as gaming and video calls –see

Measuring Broadband NZ,Spring Report, December 2019 -Figure 13).

9April 202012

COVID-19 effect on network traffic

Chorus download traffic

Q3 FY20 CONNECTIONS UPDATE

Chorus upload traffic

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.