Mercury NZ Limited/Announcement
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Quarterly Operational Update

Quarterly Update19 April 2020MCYUtilities

QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE
Three months ended 31 March 2020

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE01

SALES PORTFOLIO REFLECTS

CONTINUED FOCUS ON

CUSTOMER VALUE

LWAP/GWAP DECREASES AS

ISLAND PRICE SEPARATION

REDUCES PURCHASE COSTS

HYDRO GENERATION FORECAST

DOWN 100GWh DUE TO

LOW INFLOWS

>> QUARTERLY HIGHLIGHTS

SALES FOCUS

MAINTAINED

PORTFOLIO

POSITIONING

3,800 GWh

>> COMMENTARY

MERCURY TRANSITIONS TO OPERATING UNDER LOCKDOWN; COVID-19 IMPACTS PROJECTWORKS, DEMAND

Mercury's robust business continuity planningenabled a smooth transition to operating under the COVID-19 lockdown. The safety

and wellbeing of our people continues to be a priority with almost all office-based staff now working from home. Work at the Turitea

Wind Farm and geothermal drilling is on hold pending the easing of restrictions. The lockdown is impacting electricity demand which

decreased by 15% in the two weeks from 26 March 2020 versus the same period last year.

HIGHSTORAGE POSITION ENABLES INCREASED HYDRO GENERATION DESPITE LOW INFLOWS

Mercury's highTaupo storage position at the start of the period enabled increased hydro generation despite significantly below-

average inflows. Hydro generation of 839GWh was 77GWh higher than the prior comparable period, despite Waikato catchment

inflows at the 2

nd

percentile

1

, with geothermal generation slightly lower at 658GWh in the quarter versus 660GWh in FY2019-Q3. Due

to low inflows over the quarter, Mercury's mid-point FY2020 hydro forecast has been reduced by 100GWh to 3,800GWh.

HIGH SOUTH ISLAND STORAGE MODERATES SPOT PRICES DESPITE HVDC OUTAGE; ISLAND PRICE SEPARATION WIDENS

Spot prices decreased compared to FY2019-Q3 as high national storage at the start of the quarter was supplemented by 93

rd

percentile

1

South Island inflows in February, maintaining national hydro storage well above average across the quarter and mitigating

the effect of HVDC and thermal fuel supply outages. Prices decreased from record highs in FY2019-Q3, going from $162/MWh at

Otahuhu and $145/MWh at Benmore to $82/MWh and $52/MWh respectively. Mercury's portfolio of North Island generation was

able to benefit from price separation between the North and South Islands (basis) resulting in the LWAP/GWAP ratio decreasing

favourably to 1.00 from 1.04 in the prior comparable period.

Futures prices decreased significantly in the quarter reflecting the impact of the COVID-19 lockdown with prices for FY2021

decreasing from $123/MWh to $96/MWh at Otahuhu and from $96/MWh to $79/MWh at Benmore. FY2022 futures also decreased

in the quarter by $2/MWh at Otahuhu (from $96/MWh to $94/MWh) and by $15/MWh (from $85/MWh to $70/MWh) at Benmore

with a significant increase in basis spread likely driven by the pending Rio Tinto review of continued operations at the Tiwai aluminium

smelter.

SALES PORTFOLIO PERFORMANCE REFLECTS CONTINUED FOCUS ON CUSTOMER VALUE

Mercury's continued focus on customer value resulted in the Commercial & Industrial average sales yield (including both physical and

financial sales) increasing by 12.7%, from $82/MWh in the same quarter in FY2019 to $92/MWh in the current quarter. Sales

volumes in the channel also increased by 82GWh from 657GWh in FY2019-Q3 to 739GWh in FY2020-Q3. Other CFD volumes and

yields were up reflecting increased trading activity.

The yield on Mass Market sales also increased by 2.8% from $125/MWh in FY2019-Q3 to $129/MWh in the most recent quarter.

Mercury's portfolio management strategy, which included the exit of Farm Source contracts, resulted in sales volumes in the Mass

Market channel decreasing by 77GWh from 679GWh in FY2019-Q3 to 602GWh in FY2020-Q3.

1

For quarters ended 31 March since 1927

353379
311335

4244

4748

VWAP

1

VolumeVWAP

1

VolumeVWAP

1

VolumeVWAP

1

Volume

(GWh)(GWh)(GWh)(GWh)

1,0111,0293,2523,348

2

6026792,1572,382

3

4093501,095966

4952158171

4

1,0591,0813,4113,519

5

8686512,5702,368

330307965894

6

5383441,6051,474

184188563600

1,4971,4224,9265,227

8397622,9823,210

7

6586601,9442,017

5

32446010141,125

6

32446010141,125

8

1.001.041.021.03

1

VWAP is volume weighted average energy-only price sold to customers after lines, metering and fees

2

Mass market includes residential segments and non time-of-use commercial customers

3

Fixed-price, variable-volume (FPVV) sales to time-of-use commercial customers

4

Excludes spot customer purchases

5

Excludes FTR and trading ASX positions (including positions held to maturity which were previously disclosed in CfD volumes)

6

7

8

Includes all physical and financial buys and sells except spot customer purchases

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE02

91.87146.92

95.95140.59

83.4294.13

83.4294.13

106.08144.76

112.68147.40

86.3681.70

98.61141.74

99.88144.55

110.42155.07

84.2779.13

80.8074.88

128.93126.31

92.0083.90

($/MWh)($/MWh)

116.49114.08

Nine months ended

31 March 2020

Nine months ended

31 March 2019

Includes Virtual Asset Swap volumes of 149 GWh for the 3 months ended 31 March 2020 and 148 GWh for the 3 months ended 31 March 2019 and of 451

GWh for the 9 months ended 31 March 2020 and 450 GWh for the 9 months ended 31 March 2019

ELECTRICITY CUSTOMERS

('000s ICPs)

ELECTRICITY SALES

North Island Customers

Commercial & Industrial

Network Losses

85.94

125.02

97.92

Physical116.15111.73

Mass Market128.54

76.84

95.18

Spot Customer Purchases

77.65

OPERATING INFORMATION

Three months ended

31 March 2020

Three months ended

31 March 2019

($/MWh)

Dual Fuel Customers

($/MWh)

South Island Customers

88.28170.71

91.2577.27

154.8378.10

84.83

Other Sell CfDs

77.94159.19

Physical Purchases

Financial

Spot Settlement of CfDs

End User CfDs

Spot Settlement of CfDs

PORTFOLIO LWAP/GWAP

153.3066.76

Geothermal (consolidated)

ELECTRICITY GENERATION

Physical

99.3184.18 Buy CfDs

76.80151.69

84.1899.31Financial

94.98168.82

160.8386.99

Hydro

>> OPERATING STATISTICS

> ELECTRICITY GENERATION BY COMPANY FOR THE THREE MONTHS ENDED 31 MARCH
Source: Electricity Authority

> SHARE OF ELECTRICITY SALES (GWh) FOR THE THREE MONTHS ENDED 31 MARCH (EXCLUDING CFDs)

Source: Mercury Purchases and Transpower SCADA

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE03

16%

36%

21%

17%

3%

7%

Financial Year Q3 2020

MERCURY

MERIDIAN ENERGY

CONTACT ENERGY

GENESIS ENERGY

TRUSTPOWER / TILT

OTHER

>> MARKET DATA

15%

34%

20%

18%

4%

9%

Financial Year Q3 2019

13%

87%

Financial Year Q3 2020

MERCURY

OTHER

13%

87%

Financial Year Q3 2019

> OTAHUHU WHOLESALE PRICE AND NATIONAL HYDRO STORAGE LEVELS
Source: NZX Hydro and NZEM Pricing Manager (NZX)

> TAUPO STORAGE

Source: NZX Hydro

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE04

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

$140

$160

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

JulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJun

$/MWh

GWh

AVERAGE NATIONAL STORAGEFY2019 NATIONAL STORAGE

FY2020 NATIONAL STORAGEROLLING 12 MONTH AVERAGE OTA PRICE

ROLLING 12 MONTH AVERAGE BEN PRICE

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

JulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJun

GWh

AVERAGE SINCE 1999FY2019FY2020

> OTAHUHU ASX FUTURES SETTLEMENT PRICE
Source: ASX

> BENMORE ASX FUTURES SETTLEMENT PRICE

Source: ASX

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE05

$111.81

$92.54

$89.54

$139.10

$111.93

$102.79

$122.57

$110.25

$95.68

$96.08

$94.10

$93.85

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

$140

$160

FY20FY21FY22

$/MWh

Financial Year

AS AT 31 MARCH 2019AS AT 30 SEPTEMBER 2019AS AT 31 DECEMBER 2019AS AT 31 MARCH 2020

$98.30

$83.13

$80.86

$121.22

$98.96

$91.80

$95.96

$97.29

$85.11

$79.06

$78.63

$70.05

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

$140

FY20FY21FY22

$/MWh

Financial Year

AS AT 31 MARCH 2019AS AT 30 SEPTEMBER 2019AS AT 31 DECEMBER 2019AS AT 31 MARCH 2020

> NATIONAL CONSUMPTION (NON-TEMPERATURE ADJUSTED)
Source: Transpower Information Exchange

> AUCKLAND CLIMATE SUMMARY ( ⁰C)

FINANCIAL YEAR

Q1Q2Q3Q4

202012.316.719.5-

201912.116.320.214.1

201812.317.220.714.3

201712.116.119.314.3

201611.416.020.615.3

Historical Average (since 1999)11.916.119.414.2

Source: Met Service

> MONTHLY TOTAL CONSUMER RETAIL SWITCHING (ICPs)

Source: Electricity Authority

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE06

8,233

8,240

8,185

8,045

8,244

8,329

1,240

1,256

1,237

1,235

1,320

1,291

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

Q3 2015Q3 2016Q3 2017Q3 2018Q3 2019Q3 2020

GWh

NATIONAL CONSUMPTIONTIWAI POINT ALUMINIUM SMELTER CONSUMPTION

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

45,000

50,000

Jul-10

Jan-11

Jul-11

Jan-12

Jul-12

Jan-13

Jul-13

Jan-14

Jul-14

Jan-15

Jul-15

Jan-16

Jul-16

Jan-17

Jul-17

Jan-18

Jul-18

Jan-19

Jul-19

% Churn

Monthly ICPs

NZ MARKET CHURN (LHS)ANNUAL NZ MARKET CHURN % (RHS)

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

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