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MLN – May 2020 monthly update

Operational Update14 May 2020MLNFinancials

1
A WORD FROM THE MANAGER

Marlin’s gross performance for April was +12.6%, while the

Adjusted NAV return for the month was 11.3%. These returns

were ahead of our global benchmark which gained 9.3%.

Equity markets bounced back strongly following the declines in

February and March. The US markets led the bounce with the

S&P up 12.8% - its best month since 1987 and a recovery of

nearly 60% of the prior decline. Global markets were also up,

but slightly more subdued with both MSCI Europe and MSCI

China up 6.3%.

While COVID-19 continues to spread globally, there was some

positive news flow during the month. Most countries seem

to be successfully bending the curve on daily new infection

rates, with many planning to begin gradually reopening their

economies. A clinical study for anti-viral drug remdesivir

showed some promising results in fighting the virus. Lastly,

there was unprecedented fiscal and monetary stimulus. The

US government passed a further $425 billion spending bill on

top of the $2 trillion bill passed at the end of March. This new

bill provides further support for employees, small businesses,

and investment in the healthcare system. Central banks are

also playing their part. The Federal Reserve recently announced

a $600b business-lending program, the latest in a range of

initiatives to support the economy and financial markets.

Despite the strong market returns and positive news, economic

data such as GDP growth, unemployment, and consumer

spending continue to trend down due to the global economic

shutdown. For now, the markets seem to be largely looking

beyond these lagging indicators, however, there is still significant

uncertainty as to what the path to recovery looks like as the world

emerges from the economic shutdown and what that means for

equity markets. We continue to closely monitor global events.

This was another busy month for the team as we focus on

finding new investment ideas and as another reporting season

gets underway.

Portfolio Company Developments

Earnings season resumed this month, with 11 of our

companies reporting.

Our top performer was Signature Bank (+33%), having been

a drag on our performance in recent months, falling with most

banks on concerns that plunging interest rates would crimp

bank profits. Signature Bank’s first quarter results showed

that it is weathering the storm better than most and it was

the top performer in the portfolio for the month. Their results

showed three key positives: (1) that the bank’s credit quality

and safe-haven status resulted in record deposit inflows, (2)

that its exposure to coronavirus impacted businesses was low

(resulting in limited loan loss provisions), and (3) that due to

the nature of its deposit base its net interest margins actually

expanded during the quarter, while most banks are seeing

margin contraction.

Our two largest portfolio holdings, Alphabet (+16%) and

Facebook (+23%) both reported strong financial results in

April and contributed strongly to our performance. YouTube,

Google, Facebook, and Instagram have all seen a material

jump in engagement in recent months as many had expected,

but their advertising businesses also proved more resilient

than many had expected. Users across Facebook’s various

platforms (Facebook, Instagram, Messenger and WhatsApp)

jumped 11% and now total almost 3 billion. While advertising

budgets are being cut globally, advertisers get more bang

for buck with direct response advertisements on Facebook,

Google and YouTube – which is helping these digital

advertising businesses take market share from traditional

media. Despite the weak economic backdrop, both Facebook

and Google are likely to report moderate revenue growth this

year and strong profitability. More importantly, rather than

laying off staff and taking a defensive stance in this downturn,

both businesses continue to hire more staff and rapidly

develop new products for users. Alphabet also made use of its

weaker share price in March by ramping up its share buyback

activity, at a time when many businesses are cancelling their

buybacks and dividends.

Hexcel (-7%) was again our worst performer given the

ongoing concerns around the health of the airline industry.

Hexcel is the leading supplier of composite parts for

aerospace manufacturers. With air-travel grinding to a halt

and airlines struggling financially – orders for new planes are

being deferred or even cancelled. In response – Airbus and

Boeing have cut aircraft production rates by up to half resulting

in lower demand for Hexcel products. We still see long-term

drivers for both increased air travel and higher composite

content, but recognise it will take a few years for travel, and

1

Share Price Discount to NAV (including warrant price on a pro-rated basis and using NAV to four decimal places).

MONTHLY UPDATE

May 2020

MLN NAVWarrant Price

$

0.99

$

0.07

$

0.90

Share Price

DISCOUNT

1

6.9

%


as at 30 April 2020

2
SECTOR SPLIT

as at 30 April 2020

KEY DETAILS

as at 30 April 2020

FUND TYPE

Listed Investment Company

INVESTS IN

Growing international companies

LISTING DATE

1 October 2007

FINANCIAL YEAR END

30 June

TYPICAL PORTFOLIO

SIZE

25-35 stocks

INVESTMENT CRITERIA

Long-term growth

PERFORMANCE

OBJECTIVE

Long-term growth of capital and

dividends

TAX STATUS

Portfolio Investment Entity (PIE)

MANAGER

Fisher Funds Management Limited

MANAGEMENT

FEE RATE

1.25% of gross asset value

(reduced by 0.10% for every

1% of underperformance

relative to the change in the

NZ 90 Day Bank Bill Index

with a floor of 0.75%)

PERFORMANCE

FEE HURDLE

Changes in the NZ 90 Day Bank

Bill Index + 5%

PERFORMANCE FEE

10% of returns in excess of

benchmark and high water mark

HIGH WATER MARK

$0.89

PERFORMANCE FEE CAP

1.25%

SHARES ON ISSUE

151m

MARKET CAPITALISATION

$136m

GEARING

None (maximum permitted 20% of

gross asset value)

26

%

CONSUMER

DISCRETIONARY

11

%

FINANCIALS

17

%


HEALTH CARE

24

%

INFORMATION

TECHNOLOGY

GEOGRAPHICAL

SPLIT

as at 30 April 2020

11

%

WEST

EUROPE

78

%

NORTH AMERICA

3

%

INDUSTRIALS

10

%


ASIA

The Marlin portfolio also holds cash.

16

%

COMMUNICATION

SERVICES

therefore new plane demand to get back to prior levels. In the

meantime, Hexcel is carefully managing its cost base to reflect

lower demand and still expects growth in its defence and wind

businesses. We think the company will be in a strong position

when growth does eventually return to the aerospace industry.

Portfolio changes

We have used the recent weakness to find quality companies

that we think are being undervalued, and added three new

names to the portfolio in April - Hilton the global hotel

franchise, HEICO a leading manufacturer of replacement

parts for aerospace and defence, and Floor and Décor

a fast-growing flooring retailer. We have been following all

three companies for some time. These are quality businesses

Ashley Gardyne

Senior Portfolio Manager

Fisher Funds Management Limited

with long-term structural growth drivers and gaining share in

their respective industries. We felt the market was focussing

too much on the near-term challenges from lower travel and

discretionary spending, which allowed us to acquire these

quality names at what we consider attractive valuations.

3
APRIL’S BIGGEST MOVERS in local currency terms

Typically the Marlin portfolio will be invested 90% or more in equities.

SIGNATURE BANK

+33

%

PAYPAL HOLDINGS

+28

%

AMAZON

+27

%

DESCARTES

SYSTEMS

+23

%

5 LARGEST PORTFOLIO POSITIONS as at 30 April 2020

ALPHABET

8

%

FACEBOOK

8

%

PAYPAL HOLDINGS

6

%

SIGNATURE BANK

6

%

MASTERCARD

5

%

The remaining portfolio is made up of another 20 stocks and cash.

Nov

2007

Nov

2008

Nov

2009

Nov

2010

Nov

2011

Nov

2012

Nov

2014

Nov

2013

Share Price/Total Shareholder Return

Share PriceTotal Shareholder Return

Nov

2015

$

1.00

$

0.50

$

0.00

$

1.50

Nov

2016

Nov

2017

$

3.00

$

2.00

Nov

2018

$

2.50

Nov

2019

TOTAL SHAREHOLDER RETURN to 30 April 2020

PERFORMANCE to 30 April 2020

1 Month3 Months1 Year3 Years

(annualised)

5 Years

(annualised)

Company Performance

Total Shareholder Return+12.0%(14.4%)+13.9%+17.0%+11.7%

Adjusted NAV Return+11.3%(2.6%)+8.9%+13.0%+11.2%

Portfolio Performance

Gross Performance Return +12.6%(2.7%)+10.9%+16.1%+14.8%

Benchmark Index^+9.3%(13.1%)(6.8%)+3.6%+7.8%

^Benchmark index: World Small Cap Gross Index until 30 September 2015 & S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap Index (50% hedged to NZD) from 1 October 2015

Non-GAAP Financial Information

Marlin uses non-GAAP measures, including adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return. The rationale for using such non-GAAP measures is as follows:

»adjusted net asset value – the underlying value of the investment portfolio adjusted for capital allocation decisions after expenses, fees and tax,

»adjusted NAV return – the net return to an investor after expenses, fees and tax,

»gross performance return – the Manager’s portfolio performance in terms of stock selection and currency hedging before expenses, fees and tax, and

»total shareholder return – the return combines the share price performance, the warrant price performance, the net value of converting any warrants into shares, and the dividends paid to shareholders. It

assumes all dividends are reinvested in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan, and that shareholders exercise their warrants, (if they were in the money) at warrant expiry date.

All references to adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return in this monthly update are to such non-GAAP measures. The calculations applied to non-GAAP

measures are described in the Marlin Non-GAAP Financial Information Policy. A copy of the policy is available at http://marlin.co.nz/about-marlin/marlin-policies/

FACEBOOK

+21

%

Disclaimer: The information in this update has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is by necessity
brief. The information and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Marlin Global Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy or completeness.

The update is not intended to constitute professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from an authorised financial adviser

should be taken before making an investment. To the extent that the update contains data relating to the historical performance of Marlin Global Limited or its portfolio companies, please note that fund

performance can and will vary and that future results have no correlation with results historically achieved.

Marlin Global Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740

Phone: +64 9 484 0365 | Fax: +64 9 489 7139

Email: enquire@marlin.co.nz | www.marlin.co.nz

4

Computershare Investor Services Limited

Private Bag 92119, Auckland 1142

Phone: +64 9 488 8777 | Fax: +64 9 488 8787

Email: enquiry@computershare.co.nz | www.computershare.com/nz

ABOUT

MARLIN GLOBAL

Marlin is an investment company

listed on the New Zealand Stock

Exchange. The company gives

shareholders an opportunity to

invest in a diversified portfolio of

between 25 and 35 quality growing

international companies (excluding

New Zealand and Australia) through

a single, professionally managed

investment. The aim of Marlin

is to offer investors competitive

returns through capital growth and

dividends.

CAPITAL MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES

Regular Dividends

»Quarterly distribution policy introduced in August

2010

»Under this policy, 2% of average NAV is targeted

to be paid to shareholders quarterly

»Dividends paid by Marlin may include dividends

received, interest income, investment gains

and/or return of capital

»Shareholders who prefer to have increased

capital rather than a regular income stream have

the opportunity to participate in the company’s

dividend reinvestment plan (DRP)

»Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3%

discount to market price

»Marlin became a portfolio investment entity on

1 October 2007. As a result, dividends paid to

New Zealand tax resident shareholders have not

been subject to further tax

Share Buyback Programme

»Marlin has a buyback programme in place allowing it (if it

elects to do so) to acquire its shares on market

»Shares bought back by the company are held as treasury

stock

» Shares held as treasury stock are available to be

re-issued for the dividend reinvestment plan

Warrants

»On 17 October 2019, a new issue of warrants (MLNWD)

was announced

»The warrants were issued at no cost to eligible

shareholders and in the ratio of one warrant for every four

Marlin shares held

»Exercise Price = $0.94 per warrant, to be adjusted

down for dividends declared during the period up to the

Exercise Date

»Exercise Date = 6 November 2020

»The final Exercise Price will be announced and an

Exercise Form will be sent to warrant holders in

September 2020


MANAGEMENT

Marlin’s portfolio is managed

by Fisher Funds Management

Limited. Ashley Gardyne (Senior

Portfolio Manager), Chris

Waters and Harry Smith (Senior

Investment Analysts) have prime

responsibility for managing

the Marlin portfolio. Together

they have significant combined

experience and are very capable

of researching and investing in

the quality global companies that

Marlin targets. Fisher Funds is

based in Takapuna, Auckland.


BOARD

The Manager has authority

delegated to it from the Board

to invest according to the

Management Agreement and

other written policies. The

Board of Marlin comprises

independent directors Alistair

Ryan (Chair), Carol Campbell,

and Andy Coupe; and non-

independent director Carmel

Fisher.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.