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MLN – June 2020 monthly update

Operational Update11 June 2020MLNFinancials

1
A WORD FROM THE MANAGER

Marlin’s gross performance for May was +7.4%, while the

Adjusted NAV return for the month was 6.5%. These returns

were ahead of our global benchmark which gained 5.2%.

May saw a continuation of April’s rebound in global equity

markets. Covid-19 once again dominated the news, although

increasingly focus turned to relaxation of lockdown measures

from the health crisis.

Clearly, reopening is a positive. Economies can start to grow again,

albeit from very low levels, and jobs will be restored. How much of

a recovery and how soon are the obvious open questions. To date,

equity markets have found cause for optimism.

In the US, the S&P 500 climbed to end the month 4.8% higher

and is now just 10% below the February peak. US corporate

earnings reports for the first quarter of 2020 drew to a close in

May. Defensive sectors such as consumer staples, utilities and

healthcare were more resilient and had positive earnings growth.

High demand for technology driven by more people working from

home helped to keep earnings in the IT sector robust. Financials,

energy and consumer discretionary were the worst hit sectors.

European and Japanese stock markets, typically more cyclical,

also ended the month higher. Much of the attention in Europe

has been over a European Union wide recovery plan.

Emerging market equities lagged during May, returning 0.8% in

local currency. Reports of Covid-19 cases trending down in Asia

was offset by large increases in India and Brazil putting pressure

on their economies.

Portfolio Company Developments

Among companies reporting first quarter earnings in May were

brick and mortar retailers TJX (+7.5%) and Floor and Décor

(+22.6%). TJX, which has a third of stores open, provided

positive commentary on sales being higher than last year at

stores open longer than a week. With plenty of excess inventory

in the marketplace, TJX expects to be able to purchase

high quality brands at large discounts, passing savings onto

customers. Floor and Décor management struck an optimistic

tone on their earnings call with investors. The share price has

been well supported throughout the month as States across

America reopen. This culminated with a sharp rally at month end

on US house sale data that was much better than expected.

Shares in aircraft component manufacturer, Heico (+15%),

had a strong May. This was driven by both the rotation into

more cyclical names and better-than-expected earnings.

While revenue from Flight Support Group, which supplies

aftermarket parts to airlines fell 18% in the quarter on a

significant decrease in global air travel, the rest of the business

performed better than expected. The Electronic Technologies

Group grew 2% highlighting the more defensive nature

of its core defence and space customers. Despite lower

revenues overall, the impact on profit margins was muted as

the company did a good job of managing costs. While the

recovery in the aerospace sector will take time, management

is hopeful that May marks the bottom of the crisis. Heico

expects to benefit from the recovery as its lower priced aircraft

parts are increasingly attractive to cash-strapped airlines.

Lastly, management commented that the current environment

is creating opportunities to acquire other niche manufacturers,

which has been a key part of Heico’s long-term growth story.

During the month, Facebook (+10%) share price responded

positively to the launch of Facebook Shops. This pushes the

company further towards e-commerce. The development

gives the 160 million predominantly small and medium sized

businesses across Facebook’s platforms the ability to provide

a seamless shopping experience for the platforms 2 billion odd

members. Users will be able to discover new products through

business storefronts on Facebook and Instagram or buy

products seen in ads or stories without leaving the platform.

Facebook will charge a fee on each purchase, but the majority

of monetisation will come from driving more advertising.

E-commerce platform, Alibaba (-2.3%) underperformed for the

month despite strong earnings results. Revenue grew 22% in

the first quarter even as China was impacted by Covid-19. Sale

of physical goods on the Tmall ecommerce marketplace grew

10% as China’s lockdown accelerated e-commerce adoption,

especially in categories like online groceries. The company

noted that growth rates have now recovered to near pre-Covid

levels. However, this positive news was overshadowed by

increasing tensions between the US and China. In addition

to the ongoing discussions around trade, US legislators have

proposed tightening the rules around foreign company listings

on US stock exchanges, with a threat of delisting if the rules are

not adhered too. Alibaba is also listed on the Hong Kong Stock

1

Share Price Discount to NAV (including warrant price on a pro-rated basis and using NAV to four decimal places).

MONTHLY UPDATE

June 2020

MLN NAVWarrant Price

$

1. 0 5

$

0 .1 0

$

0.98

Share Price

DISCOUNT

1

4.4

%


as at 31 May 2020

2
SECTOR SPLIT

as at 31 May 2020

KEY DETAILS

as at 31 May 2020

FUND TYPE

Listed Investment Company

INVESTS IN

Growing international companies

LISTING DATE

1 October 2007

FINANCIAL YEAR END

30 June

TYPICAL PORTFOLIO

SIZE

25-35 stocks

INVESTMENT CRITERIA

Long-term growth

PERFORMANCE

OBJECTIVE

Long-term growth of capital and

dividends

TAX STATUS

Portfolio Investment Entity (PIE)

MANAGER

Fisher Funds Management Limited

MANAGEMENT

FEE RATE

1.25% of gross asset value

(reduced by 0.10% for every

1% of underperformance

relative to the change in the

NZ 90 Day Bank Bill Index

with a floor of 0.75%)

PERFORMANCE

FEE HURDLE

Changes in the NZ 90 Day Bank

Bill Index + 5%

PERFORMANCE FEE

10% of returns in excess of

benchmark and high water mark

HIGH WATER MARK

$0.89

PERFORMANCE FEE CAP

1.25%

SHARES ON ISSUE

151m

MARKET CAPITALISATION

$148m

GEARING

None (maximum permitted 20% of

gross asset value)

27

%

CONSUMER

DISCRETIONARY

10

%

FINANCIALS

17

%


HEALTH CARE

24

%

INFORMATION

TECHNOLOGY

GEOGRAPHICAL

SPLIT

as at 31 May 2020

11

%

WEST

EUROPE

79

%

NORTH AMERICA

5

%

INDUSTRIALS

10

%


ASIA

The Marlin portfolio also holds cash.

14

%

COMMUNICATION

SERVICES

Exchange, which we think lowers the overall risk to the company.

We continue to closely follow any further developments on this

proposal and the wider US-China tensions.

Portfolio changes

We added Stone Co (+18.7%) to the portfolio in May. Stone is

a rapidly growing payment service provider in Brazil that allows

small merchants to accept digital payments in-store and online.

Stone was founded in 2012 by Andre Street and Eduardo

Pontes in response to deregulation in the Brazilian payments

market, which allowed competition with the two bank-owned

payment providers for the first time. Stone’s technology, service

and unique business model has proven disruptive and enabled

them to gain significant traction in only six years since the launch

of its service. They are now the largest independent payment

service provider in Brazil with 7% market share and grew

Ashley Gardyne

Senior Portfolio Manager

Fisher Funds Management Limited

payment volumes by 55% in 2019. Digital payment penetration

is still in its infancy in Brazil compared to other markets, but is

increasing rapidly. This shift is driven by the move away from

cash in physical stores and growth in e-commerce, two secular

trends which have recently accelerated as a result of Covid-19.

All considered we believe Stone is an attractive founder-led

business with many years of growth ahead.

3
MAY’S BIGGEST MOVERS in local currency terms

Typically the Marlin portfolio will be invested 90% or more in equities.

PAYPAL HOLDINGS

+26

%

DOLLAR TREE

+23

%

FLOOR & DÉCOR

HOLDINGS

+23

%

TYLER

TECHNOLOGIES

+19

%

5 LARGEST PORTFOLIO POSITIONS as at 31 May 2020

ALPHABET

7

%

FACEBOOK

7

%

PAYPAL HOLDINGS

6

%

MASTERCARD

5

%

SIGNATURE BANK

5

%

The remaining portfolio is made up of another 21 stocks and cash.

Nov

2007

Nov

2008

Nov

2009

Nov

2010

Nov

2011

Nov

2012

Nov

2014

Nov

2013

Share Price/Total Shareholder Return

Share PriceTotal Shareholder Return

Nov

2015

$

1.00

$

0.50

$

0.00

$

1.50

Nov

2016

Nov

2017

$

3.00

$

2.00

Nov

2018

$

2.50

Nov

2019

TOTAL SHAREHOLDER RETURN to 31 May 2020

PERFORMANCE to 31 May 2020

1 Month3 Months1 Year3 Years

(annualised)

5 Years

(annualised)

Company Performance

Total Shareholder Return+9.4%+2.6%+26.1%+19.1%+12.7%

Adjusted NAV Return+6.5%+6.7%+21.2%+14.8%+11.4%

Portfolio Performance

Gross Performance Return +7.4%+8.1%+24.7%+18.0%+15.1%

Benchmark Index^+5.2%(2.4%)+3.2%+5.5%+7.1%

^Benchmark index: World Small Cap Gross Index until 30 September 2015 & S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap Index (50% hedged to NZD) from 1 October 2015

Non-GAAP Financial Information

Marlin uses non-GAAP measures, including adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return. The rationale for using such non-GAAP measures is as follows:

»adjusted net asset value – the underlying value of the investment portfolio adjusted for capital allocation decisions after expenses, fees and tax,

»adjusted NAV return – the net return to an investor after expenses, fees and tax,

»gross performance return – the Manager’s portfolio performance in terms of stock selection and currency hedging before expenses, fees and tax, and

»total shareholder return – the return combines the share price performance, the warrant price performance, the net value of converting any warrants into shares, and the dividends paid to shareholders. It

assumes all dividends are reinvested in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan, and that shareholders exercise their warrants, (if they were in the money) at warrant expiry date.

All references to adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return in this monthly update are to such non-GAAP measures. The calculations applied to non-GAAP

measures are described in the Marlin Non-GAAP Financial Information Policy. A copy of the policy is available at http://marlin.co.nz/about-marlin/marlin-policies/

STONECO

+17

%

Disclaimer: The information in this update has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is by necessity
brief. The information and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Marlin Global Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy or completeness.

The update is not intended to constitute professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from an authorised financial adviser

should be taken before making an investment. To the extent that the update contains data relating to the historical performance of Marlin Global Limited or its portfolio companies, please note that fund

performance can and will vary and that future results have no correlation with results historically achieved.

Marlin Global Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740

Phone: +64 9 484 0365 | Fax: +64 9 489 7139

Email: enquire@marlin.co.nz | www.marlin.co.nz

4

Computershare Investor Services Limited

Private Bag 92119, Auckland 1142

Phone: +64 9 488 8777 | Fax: +64 9 488 8787

Email: enquiry@computershare.co.nz | www.computershare.com/nz

ABOUT

MARLIN GLOBAL

Marlin is an investment company

listed on the New Zealand Stock

Exchange. The company gives

shareholders an opportunity to

invest in a diversified portfolio of

between 25 and 35 quality growing

international companies (excluding

New Zealand and Australia) through

a single, professionally managed

investment. The aim of Marlin

is to offer investors competitive

returns through capital growth and

dividends.

CAPITAL MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES

Regular Dividends

»Quarterly distribution policy introduced in August

2010

»Under this policy, 2% of average NAV is targeted

to be paid to shareholders quarterly

»Dividends paid by Marlin may include dividends

received, interest income, investment gains

and/or return of capital

»Shareholders who prefer to have increased

capital rather than a regular income stream have

the opportunity to participate in the company’s

dividend reinvestment plan (DRP)

»Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3%

discount to market price

»Marlin became a portfolio investment entity on

1 October 2007. As a result, dividends paid to

New Zealand tax resident shareholders have not

been subject to further tax

Share Buyback Programme

»Marlin has a buyback programme in place allowing it (if it

elects to do so) to acquire its shares on market

»Shares bought back by the company are held as treasury

stock

» Shares held as treasury stock are available to be

re-issued for the dividend reinvestment plan

Warrants

»On 17 October 2019, a new issue of warrants (MLNWD)

was announced

»The warrants were issued at no cost to eligible

shareholders and in the ratio of one warrant for every four

Marlin shares held

»Exercise Price = $0.94 per warrant, to be adjusted

down for dividends declared during the period up to the

Exercise Date

»Exercise Date = 6 November 2020

»The final Exercise Price will be announced and an

Exercise Form will be sent to warrant holders in

September 2020


MANAGEMENT

Marlin’s portfolio is managed

by Fisher Funds Management

Limited. Ashley Gardyne (Senior

Portfolio Manager), Chris

Waters and Harry Smith (Senior

Investment Analysts) have prime

responsibility for managing

the Marlin portfolio. Together

they have significant combined

experience and are very capable

of researching and investing in

the quality global companies that

Marlin targets. Fisher Funds is

based in Takapuna, Auckland.


BOARD

The Manager has authority

delegated to it from the Board

to invest according to the

Management Agreement and

other written policies. The

Board of Marlin comprises

independent directors Alistair

Ryan (Chair), Carol Campbell,

and Andy Coupe; and non-

independent director Carmel

Fisher.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.