Mercury NZ Limited/Announcement
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Quarterly Operational Update

Quarterly Update19 July 2020MCYUtilities

QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE
Three months ended 30 June 2020

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE01

HYDRO GENERATION DOWN 69GWh

DUE TO LOWEST WAIKATO CATCHMENT

INFLOW SEQUENCE FROM SEPTEMBER

REFLECTING DECLINING HYDRO STORAGE

AND DEMAND CLOSE TO NORMAL LEVELS

ELECTRICITY FUTURES PRICES

FALL FROM FY2022

>> QUARTERLY HIGHLIGHTS

SUSTAINED

LOW INFLOWS

HIGH

SPOT PRICES

POST COVID

LOCKDOWN

TIWAI EXIT

ANNOUNCED

>> COMMENTARY

BUSINESS ACTIVITYRESUMES, REFURBISHMENT COMPLETED AT WHAKAMARU AND ARATIATIA

Mercurysuccessfully executed a staged return to normal operations in Q4-FY2020, following the nationwide COVID-19 lockdown, with

office-based staff returning and construction resuming at the Turitea wind farm. Maintenance at our generation sites continued with major

refurbishments completed at Whakamaru and at Aratiatia early in July.

HYDRO GENERATION LOWER DUE TO DROUGHT; GEOTHERMAL STEADY

Mercury's hydro generation decreased from 796GWh in Q4-FY2019 to 727GWh in the most recent quarter due to exceptionally dry

hydrology with Q4-FY2020 Waikato catchment inflows at the 1

st

percentile

1

. Low rainfall in the quarter continued a sequence of low

hydrological conditions with inflows in H2-FY2020 also being at the 1

st

percentile

2

, resulting in full-year hydro generation decreasing from

4,006GWh in FY2019 to 3,712GWh in FY2020. Lake Taupo hydro storage tracked below-average during the quarter ending at 193GWh,

82GWh below average

3

.

Geothermal generation was maintained at 671GWh in Q4-FY2020 versus 679GWh in the same quarter in FY2019 seeing full year

geothermal production 3% lower than FY2019 due to major maintenance.

SALES YIELDS LIFT AS MERCURY FOCUSES ON CUSTOMER VALUE

Mercury's customer value focus saw Commercial & Industrial segment sales volumes increase from 666GWh in Q4-FY2019 to 731GWh in

Q4-FY2020 with the average sales yield (including both physical and financial sales) also lifting by 8.3% (from $86/MWh to $93/MWh).

The Mass Market segment yield increased by 6.4% from $128/MWh to $136/MWh with reduced acquisition activity resulting in lower

volumes.

POST-LOCKDOWN SPOT PRICES REFLECT RETURN TO NORMALITY AND DECLINING NATIONAL HYDRO STORAGE

Demand in the most recent quarter decreased by 4.2% on a temperature-adjusted basis (4.8% on an unadjusted basis) due to the COVID-

19 lockdown. National demand was 14% lower than the pcp in April, when activity restrictions were most severe, but returned to similar levels

to the pcp in May and June as lockdown restrictions eased.

Spot prices in the quarter followed demand, being significantly below-average at $48/MWh at Otahuhu and $42/MWh at Benmore in April.

The easing of lockdown restrictions combined with declining national hydro storage saw spot prices recover strongly, resulting in a quarterly

average spot price of $115/MWh in Auckland, in line with the prior comparable period.

HIGH FUTURES PRICES CHECKED BY TIWAI EXIT ANNOUNCEMENT

As at 30 June, FY2022 futures were $96/MWh and $80/MWh at Otahuhu and Benmore. Following the announcement of the Tiwai

aluminium smelter exit, FY2022 futures have reduced to $79/MWh and $53/MWh respectively, severely impacting the South Island dueto

known transmission constraints.

1

For quarters ended 30 June since 1927

2

For 6-monthly periods ended 30 June since 1927

3

For quarters ended 30 June since 1999

348373
307330

4143

4747

VWAP

1

VolumeVWAP

1

VolumeVWAP

1

VolumeVWAP

1

Volume

(GWh)(GWh)(GWh)(GWh)

1,1081,1534,3614,500

2

7358002,8923,182

3

3733531,4691,318

5458213229

4

1,1631,2114,5734,730

5

8077813,3773,148

3583131,3231,206

6

4494682,0541,942

183180747780

1,3981,4756,3276,703

7277963,7124,006

7

6716792,6152,697

5

46447514781,600

6

46447514781,600

8

1.011.011.021.02

1

VWAP is volume weighted average energy-only price sold to customers after lines, metering and fees

2

Mass market includes residential segments and non time-of-use commercial customers

3

Fixed-price, variable-volume (FPVV) sales to time-of-use commercial customers

4

Excludes spot customer purchases

5

Excludes FTR and trading ASX positions (including positions held to maturity which were previously disclosed in CfD volumes)

6

7

Includes Mercury's 65% share of Nga Awa Purua generation

8

Includes all physical and financial buys and sells except spot customer purchases

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE02

Spot Settlement of CfDs

PORTFOLIO LWAP/GWAP

101.29113.97

Geothermal (consolidated)

ELECTRICITY GENERATION

Physical

90.8684.28 Buy CfDs

107.17108.62

84.2890.86Financial

134.90124.89

117.43121.59

Hydro

128.97117.19

86.0081.01

110.70109.24

85.79

Other Sell CfDs

117.16111.78

Physical Purchases

Financial

Spot Settlement of CfDs

End User CfDs

OPERATING INFORMATION

Three months ended

30 June 2020

Three months ended

30 June 2019

($/MWh)

Dual Fuel Customers

($/MWh)

South Island Customers

Includes Virtual Asset Swap volumes of 149 GWh for the 3 months ended 30 June 2020 and 149 GWh for the 3 months ended 30 June 2019 and of 601 GWh

for the 12 months ended 30 June 2020 and 599 GWh for the 12 months ended 30 June 2019

ELECTRICITY CUSTOMERS

('000s ICPs)

ELECTRICITY SALES

North Island Customers

Commercial & Industrial

Network Losses

93.07

128.19

100.05

Physical124.20117.45

Mass Market136.45

77.87

86.16

Spot Customer Purchases

83.11

($/MWh)($/MWh)

118.45116.35

Twelve months ended

30 June 2020

Twelve months ended

30 June 2019

115.14145.37

83.6379.60

82.1575.66

130.84126.78

94.0586.35

109.51138.75

117.03142.93

84.5982.04

101.15134.04

104.12136.99

98.81133.37

98.83132.54

83.6993.16

83.6993.16

>> OPERATING STATISTICS

> ELECTRICITY GENERATION BY COMPANY FOR THE THREE MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE
Source: Electricity Authority

> SHARE OF ELECTRICITY SALES (GWh) FOR THE THREE MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE (EXCLUDING CFDs)

Source: Mercury Purchases and Transpower SCADA

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE03

15%

35%

21%

18%

4%

7%

Financial Year Q4 2020

MERCURY

MERIDIAN

CONTACT

GENESIS

TRUSTPOWER / TILT

OTHER

>> MARKET DATA

15%

34%

24%

16%

4%

7%

Financial Year Q4 2019

14%

86%

Financial Year Q4 2020

MERCURY

OTHER

14%

86%

Financial Year Q4 2019

> OTAHUHU WHOLESALE PRICE AND NATIONAL HYDRO STORAGE LEVELS
Source: NZX Hydro and NZEM Pricing Manager (NZX)

> TAUPO STORAGE

Source: NZX Hydro

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE04

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

$140

$160

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

JulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJul

$/MWh

GWh

FY2020 NATIONAL STORAGEFY2019 NATIONAL STORAGE

AVERAGE NATIONAL STORAGEROLLING 12 MONTH AVERAGE OTA PRICE

ROLLING 12 MONTH AVERAGE BEN PRICE

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

JulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJul

GWh

AVERAGE SINCE 1999FY2019FY2020

> OTAHUHU ASX FUTURES SETTLEMENT PRICE
Source: ASX

> BENMORE ASX FUTURES SETTLEMENT PRICE

Source: ASX

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE05

$113.71

$98.54

$94.79

$122.57

$110.25

$95.68

$96.08

$94.10

$93.85

$106.18

$114.01

$95.65

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

$140

FY20FY21FY22

$/MWh

Financial Year

AS AT 30 JUNE 2019AS AT 31 DECEMBER 2019AS AT 31 MARCH 2020AS AT 30 JUNE 2020

$91.00

$86.19

$85.16

$95.96

$97.29

$85.11

$79.06

$78.63

$70.05

$88.43

$104.40

$79.83

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

FY20FY21FY22

$/MWh

Financial Year

AS AT 30 JUNE 2019AS AT 31 DECEMBER 2019AS AT 31 MARCH 2020AS AT 30 JUNE 2020

> NATIONAL CONSUMPTION (NON-TEMPERATURE ADJUSTED)
Source: Transpower Information Exchange

> AUCKLAND CLIMATE SUMMARY ( ⁰C)

FINANCIAL YEAR

Q1Q2Q3Q4

202012.316.719.514.4

201912.116.320.214.1

201812.317.220.714.3

201712.116.119.314.3

201611.416.020.615.3

Historical Average (since 1999)11.916.119.414.2

Source: Met Service

> MONTHLY TOTAL CONSUMER RETAIL SWITCHING (ICPs)

Source: Electricity Authority

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE06

8,778

8,593

8,865

9,022

8,824

8,418

1,255

1,261

1,251

1,252

1,307

1,223

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

Q4 2015Q4 2016Q4 2017Q4 2018Q4 2019Q4 2020

GWh

NATIONAL CONSUMPTIONTIWAI POINT ALUMINIUM SMELTER CONSUMPTION

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

45,000

50,000

Jul-10

Jan-11

Jul-11

Jan-12

Jul-12

Jan-13

Jul-13

Jan-14

Jul-14

Jan-15

Jul-15

Jan-16

Jul-16

Jan-17

Jul-17

Jan-18

Jul-18

Jan-19

Jul-19

Jan-20

% Churn

Monthly ICPs

NZ MARKET CHURN (LHS)ANNUAL NZ MARKET CHURN % (RHS)

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

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