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KFL – August 2020 monthly update

Investor Presentation12 August 2020KFLFinancials

1
A WORD FROM THE MANAGER

In July Kingfish returned gross performance of +4.9% and

an Adjusted NAV return of +4.7%. This compares to our

benchmark (S&P/NZX50G) which was up +2.4%.

Mainfreight provided an update at its Annual Shareholders’

Meeting, including a trading update for the first 17 weeks of

the new financial year beginning 1 April, which demonstrated

outstanding performance despite the impacts of COVID.

Constant currency

2

revenue is up +5% on the prior year

and profit before tax an impressive +20%. This compares

favourably to the first 7 weeks per the company’s last update.

The strong performance has been driven by $67 million in

new business in the first quarter as Mainfreight’s sales teams

went into overdrive, targeting market share opportunities,

including taking business from lesser competitors who

delivered poor service or could not execute well against the

COVID backdrop. Australia was the standout region, where

profit before tax has grown +167% as a result of market

share gains, but also denser line haul utilisation improving

gross margins and other process improvements delivering cost

efficiency. In New Zealand there has been a strong recovery

following the Alert Level 4 lockdown. Our channel checks had

suggested activity had improved and we had increased our

position based on this view.

The New Zealand electricity sector was hit with the news that

Rio Tinto has given notice to Meridian, that it is terminating the

Tiwai Point aluminium smelter’s power contract. The smelter is

expected to wind down and close around August 2021. This

would release around 5500GWh of electricity generation

in the lower South Island, circa 13% of national demand.

The final outcome is still not entirely clear as Meridian has

made a last gasp offer of a lower electricity price and

the government may still get involved to try and keep the

smelter open. Closure would mean some hydro generation is

wasted and potentially a large fall in South Island wholesale

electricity prices before transmission upgrades enable power

to move further north and prices partially recover. Over time

electrification of proceses, like Fonterra’s coal boilers, may

also reduce the supply/demand imbalance. Regardless,

Meridian will face reduced earnings and dividends over the

next couple of years at least. We had trimmed our position

earlier in the year when we thought the risks of closure of

Tiwai Point were not being reflected in the share price.

Summerset provided its second quarter update for 2020

including first half net profit guidance of $40-45 million. This

was better than many had feared given the effects of Alert

Level 4 mid period. New sales of independent living units, a

key barometer for the company, have recovered strongly and

are currently growing solidly versus the same time last year.

This reflects the great job Summerset did to keep residents

safe from COVID which has generated positive word of

mouth. It also reflects the sustained momentum in the housing

market versus the fall many feared. Prospective residents can

sell their property and move in, assisted by some flexibility

around settlement timing that the company has introduced.

Our research had suggested these factors were in place

and the business could outperform expectations, so we had

increased our position recently.

Vista lagged during the month which reflected further

delays to the opening of cinemas in the US as blockbuster

movie ‘Tenet’ was further delayed until 3 September (Labor

Weekend in the US), having previously been delayed through

July and more recently until 12 August. The prolonged

COVID situation in several key US states has prevented

cinemas from successfully reopening. Studios will not release

new content until it can be played on a lot of screens (to

maximise box office). It is not economic for cinemas to widely

reopen unless they have new content to attract audiences

– a chicken and egg situation! However, cinemas outside

the US are gradually reopening which is more positive with

global release of ‘Tenet’ in 70 countries from 26 August. The

delay has been a short term negative for the industry and its

participants.

1

Share Price Discount to NAV (including warrant price on a pro-rated basis and using NAV to four decimal places)

2

Constant currency refers to a fixed exchange rate that eliminates fluctuations when calculating financial performance figures. Companies with significant

operations in other countries often represent their earnings in constant currency terms since floating exchange rates can often mask true performance.

MONTHLY UPDATE

August 2020

KFL NAV

$

1. 7 3

$

1. 6 9

Share Price

DISCOUNT

1

WARRANT PRICE

1.1

%$

0.0 8

as at 31 July 2020

Sam Dickie

Senior Portfolio Manager

Fisher Funds Management Limited

2
KEY DETAILS

as at 31 July 2020

FUND TYPE

Listed Investment Company

INVESTS IN

Growing New Zealand

companies

LISTING DATE

31 March 2004

FINANCIAL YEAR END

31 March

TYPICAL PORTFOLIO SIZE

10-25 stocks

INVESTMENT CRITERIA

Long-term growth

PERFORMANCE

OBJECTIVE

Long-term growth of capital and

dividends

TAX STATUS

Portfolio Investment Entity (PIE)

MANAGER

Fisher Funds Management Limited

MANAGEMENT

FEE RATE

1.25% of gross asset value

(reduced by 0.10% for every

1% of underperformance

relative to the change in the NZ

90 Day Bank Bill Index with a

floor of 0.75%)

PERFORMANCE

FEE HURDLE

Changes in the NZ 90 Day Bank

Bill Index + 7%

PERFORMANCE FEE

10% of returns in excess of

benchmark and high water mark

HIGH WATER MARK

$1.34

PERFORMANCE FEE CAP

1.25%

SHARES ON ISSUE

250m

MARKET CAPITALISATION

$423m

GEARING

None (maximum permitted 20%

of gross asset value)

SECTOR SPLIT

as at 31 July 2020

5

%

30

%

HEALTH CARE

18

%


UTILITIES

INFORMATION

TECHNOLOGY

32

%

INDUSTRIALS

13

%

CONSUMER

STAPLES

The Kingfish portfolio also holds cash

1 Month3 Months1 Year3 Years

(annualised)

5 Years

(annualised)

Company Performance

Total Shareholder Return+4.5%+15.3%+27.7%+21.1%+15.1%

Adjusted NAV Return+4.7%+16.5%+15.8%+17.6%+15.9%

Portfolio Performance

Gross Performance Return+4.9%+18.4%+19.1%+20.8%+19.0%

S&P/NZX50G Index+2.4%+11.4%+8.0%+15.1%+14.6%

Non-GAAP Financial Information

Kingfish uses non-GAAP measures, including adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return. The rationale for using such non-GAAP measures is as follows:

»adjusted net asset value – the underlying value of the investment portfolio adjusted for capital allocation decisions after expenses, fees and tax,

»adjusted NAV return – the net return to an investor after expenses, fees and tax,

»gross performance return – the Manager’s portfolio performance in terms of stock selection, before expenses, fees and tax, and

»total shareholder return – the return combines the share price performance, the warrant price performance, the net value of converting any warrants into shares, and the dividends paid to shareholders. It

assumes all dividends are reinvested in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan, and that shareholders exercise their warrants, (if they were in the money), at warrant expiry date.

All references to adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return in this monthly update are to such non-GAAP measures. The calculations applied to non-GAAP

measures are described in the Kingfish Non-GAAP Financial Information Policy. A copy of the policy is available at http://kingfish.co.nz/about-kingfish/kingfish-policies/

PERFORMANCE to 31 July 2020

33
TOTAL SHAREHOLDER RETURN to 31 July 2020

Mar

2004

Mar

2006

Mar

2007

Mar

2008

Mar

2009

Mar

2010

Mar

2011

Mar

2012

Mar

2014

Mar

2015

Mar

2013

Mar

2016

Share Price/Total Shareholder Return

$

3.00

$

4.00

$

5.00

$

6.00

$

7.00

Share PriceTotal Shareholder Return

$

1.00

$

2.00

$

0.00

Mar

2017

Mar

2018

Mar

2019

Mar

2020

Mar

2005

JULY’S SIGNIFICANT RETURNS IMPACTING

THE PORTFOLIO

during the month

Typically the Kingfish portfolio will be invested 90% or more in equities.

The remaining portfolio is made up of another 8 stocks and cash.

5 LARGEST PORTFOLIO POSITIONS as at 31 July 2020

SUMMERSET

+22

%

MAINFREIGHT

+20

%

A2 MILK

+3

%

PUSHPAY HOLDINGS

-10

%

VISTA GROUP

-12

%

FISHER & PAYKEL

HEALTHCARE

17

%

MAINFREIGHT

17

%

INFRATIL

14

%

THE A2 MILK

COMPANY

11

%

SUMMERSET

9

%

Disclaimer: The information in this update has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is by
necessity brief. The information and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Kingfish Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy or

completeness. The update is not intended to constitute professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from an authorised

financial adviser should be taken before making an investment. To the extent that the update contains data relating to the historical performance of Kingfish Limited or its portfolio companies, please note that

fund performance can and will vary and that future results may have no correlation with results historically achieved.

Kingfish Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740

Phone: +64 9 489 7094 | Fax: +64 9 489 7139

Email: enquire@kingfish.co.nz | www.kingfish.co.nz

4

Computershare Investor Services Limited

Private Bag 92119, Auckland 1142

Phone: +64 9 488 8777 | Fax: +64 9 488 8787

Email: enquiry@computershare.co.nz | www.computershare.com/nz

ABOUT KINGFISH

Kingfish is an investment company

listed on the New Zealand Stock

Exchange. The company gives

shareholders an opportunity to

invest in a diversified portfolio

of between 10 and 25 quality

growing New Zealand companies

through a single, professionally

managed investment. The aim

of Kingfish is to offer investors

competitive returns through capital

growth and dividends

CAPITAL MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES

Regular Dividends

»Quarterly distribution policy introduced in

June 2009

»Under this policy, 2% of average NAV is targeted

to be paid to shareholders quarterly

»Dividends paid by Kingfish may include dividends

received, interest income, investment gains

and/or return of capital

»Shareholders who prefer to have increased

capital rather than a regular income stream have

the opportunity to participate in the company’s

dividend reinvestment plan (DRP)

»Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3%

discount to market price

»Kingfish became a portfolio investment entity on

1 October 2007. As a result, dividends paid to

New Zealand tax resident shareholders have not

been subject to further tax

Share Buyback Programme

»Kingfish has a buyback programme in place

allowing it (if it elects to do so) to acquire its shares

on market

»Shares bought back by the company are held as

treasury stock

»Shares held as treasury stock are available to be

re-issued for the dividend reinvestment plan

MANAGEMENT

Kingfish’s portfolio is managed

by Fisher Funds Management

Limited. Sam Dickie (Senior

Portfolio Manager) and Matt Peek

(Investment Analyst) have prime

responsibility for managing the

Kingfish portfolio. Together they

have over 30 years combined

experience and are very capable

of researching and investing in the

quality New Zealand companies

that Kingfish targets. Fisher Funds

is based in Takapuna, Auckland.

BOARD

The Manager has authority

delegated to it from the Board

to invest according to the

Management Agreement and

other written policies. The

Board of Kingfish comprises

independent directors Alistair

Ryan (Chair), Carol Campbell,

Andy Coupe and Carmel

Fisher.

Warrants

»On 5 February 2020 a new issue of warrants

(KFLWF) was announced

»The warrants were issued at no cost to eligible

shareholders and in the ratio of one warrant for every

four Kingfish shares held

»The warrants were allotted to shareholders on 9

March 2020 and the warrants were listed on the

NZX Main Board from 10 March 2020. (Information

pertaining to the warrants was mailed/emailed to

shareholders in February 2020)

»The Exercise Price of each warrant is $1.64, to be

adjusted down for dividends declared during the

period up to the announcement of the Exercise Price.

»The Exercise Date for the new warrants (KFLWF) is

12 March 2021

»The final Exercise Price will be announced and an

Exercise Form will be sent to warrant holders in late

January 2021

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.