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MLN – August 2020 monthly update

Investor Presentation12 August 2020MLNFinancials

1
A WORD FROM THE MANAGER

Marlin’s gross performance for July was +4.4%, while the

Adjusted NAV return for the month was +3.7%. These returns

were ahead of our global benchmark which gained +2.6%.

July saw the fourth consecutive month of positive returns for

the MSCI World index. China was one of the top performing

markets up 8.9% as emerging economies benefited from the

weaker US dollar, which declined around 4% against most

major currencies. The US was again a strong performer with

the S&P 500 index up 5.6% and the NASDAQ up 6.8%.

Markets continue to be supported by expansive monetary

and fiscal policy, combined with economic data showing a

continued rebound in the global economy. As an example,

data in the US shows that consumer spending has rebounded

strongly and is almost back to pre-pandemic levels. Offsetting

this however is the risk that a resurgence in COVID cases and

renewed restrictions could dampen the recovery.

While we do not believe we are out of the woods economically,

we are pleased with how our portfolio companies have been

navigating the pandemic. We are now halfway through the

second quarter earnings season and the results from most of

our companies have demonstrated surprising resilience.

Portfolio Company Developments

Alibaba (+16%) was our top contributor, (per our attribution

analysis), buoyed by both the strong performance of emerging

markets but also the announcement of the long-awaited IPO of

subsidiary Ant Financial. Known primarily for Alipay, one of the

leading Chinese mobile payments apps with over 900m users,

Ant Financial has expanded into many areas of digital financial

services including wealth management, lending and insurance.

With a rumoured valuation of US$200b, this listing would make

Ant Financial the most valuable fintech in the world. Alibaba

has a 33% share in the business.

StoneCo (+23%) also benefited from emerging markets

strength in addition to strong earnings results in the previous

month. We added StoneCo to the portfolio in May. It is a rapidly

growing payment service provider in Brazil that allows small

merchants to accept digital payments in-store and online. Digital

payment penetration is still low in Brazil but is increasing rapidly

due to the shift away from cash and growth in ecommerce - two

trends that have accelerated due to coronavirus. Our research

underpins our belief that StoneCo is an attractive founder-led

business with many years of growth ahead.

Amazon (+15%) continues to benefit from wider adoption

of online shopping and people working from home. This

was highlighted in Amazon’s quarterly earnings report with

North American e-commerce revenue growing 51% year-on-

year, the highest since 2011, off a much larger base. While

Amazon’s cloud computing division, AWS, grew 29% the

company’s backlog grew 65%, suggesting healthy demand

ahead. Perhaps the key takeaway for investors, for a firm that

continually reinvests earnings back into the business, was a

glimpse towards greater than 10% operating profit margins.

Facebook (+12%) showed 11% revenue growth despite a

depressed global advertising market. While global advertising

spend was hit by COVID during the quarter, high user

engagement on Facebook and Instagram during lockdown

and its attractive direct response ad formats allowed

Facebook to take significant market share. Importantly

Facebook’s results showed that growth continued to

accelerate in May and June from depressed levels in April.

Facebook’s reach has proved popular with small businesses

seeking to ramp up their ecommerce strategies and connect

with customers during lockdown. Facebook also disclosed

that its largest 100 advertisers account for just 16% of its

revenue. This shows the importance of small businesses

to Facebook, but also highlights the likely limited impact of

recent advertising boycotts by large brands.

Signature Bank (-4%) was dragged down with the broader

banking sector due to falling long-term interest rates –

despite the company reporting a strong set of financial

results in July (which showed strong deposit and asset

growth).

The other detractors from performance were largely

concentrated in the industries most exposed to a resurgence

of COVID-19 including aerospace, retail and hotels. The

challenges to these sectors are best highlighted by the recent

quarterly results from EssilorLuxottica (-2%) and Hexcel

(-18%). Essilor revenue was down 46% for Q2, falling by as

much as 70% during April due to widespread lockdown and

1

Share Price Premium to NAV (including warrant price on a pro-rated basis and using NAV to four decimal places).

MONTHLY UPDATE

August 2020

MLN NAVWarrant Price

$

1. 0 7

$

0 .1 4

$

1. 0 8

Share Price

PREMIUM

1

4.5

%


as at 31 July 2020

2
SECTOR SPLIT

as at 31 July 2020

KEY DETAILS

as at 31 July 2020

FUND TYPE

Listed Investment Company

INVESTS IN

Growing international companies

LISTING DATE

1 October 2007

FINANCIAL YEAR END

30 June

TYPICAL PORTFOLIO

SIZE

20-35 stocks

INVESTMENT CRITERIA

Long-term growth

PERFORMANCE

OBJECTIVE

Long-term growth of capital and

dividends

TAX STATUS

Portfolio Investment Entity (PIE)

MANAGER

Fisher Funds Management Limited

MANAGEMENT

FEE RATE

1.25% of gross asset value

(reduced by 0.10% for every

1% of underperformance

relative to the change in the

NZ 90 Day Bank Bill Index

with a floor of 0.75%)

PERFORMANCE

FEE HURDLE

Changes in the NZ 90 Day Bank

Bill Index + 5%

PERFORMANCE FEE

10% of returns in excess of

benchmark and high water mark

HIGH WATER MARK

$1.03

PERFORMANCE FEE CAP

1.25%

SHARES ON ISSUE

152m

MARKET CAPITALISATION

$164m

GEARING

None (maximum permitted 20% of

gross asset value)

35

%

CONSUMER

DISCRETIONARY

5

%

FINANCIALS

19

%


HEALTH CARE

19

%

INFORMATION

TECHNOLOGY

GEOGRAPHICAL

SPLIT

as at 31 July 2020

11

%

WEST

EUROPE

77

%

NORTH AMERICA

5

%

INDUSTRIALS

12

%


ASIA

The Marlin portfolio also holds cash.

14

%

COMMUNICATION

SERVICES

retail closures. Hexcel’s revenue in its core commercial aerospace

segment fell 50% as aerospace manufacturers cut production in

the face of reduced air-travel. These businesses are among the

most severely impacted by COVID in our portfolio. While they

are currently under pressure, they are high quality businesses

and we expect their operations to rebound strongly as the global

economy reopens and travel eventually resumes.

Ashley Gardyne

Senior Portfolio Manager

Fisher Funds Management Limited

3
JULY’S SIGNIFICANT RETURNS IMPACTING

THE PORTFOLIO

during the month

Typically the Marlin portfolio will be invested 90% or more in equities.

STONECO

+23

%

ALIBABA GROUP

+16

%

AMAZON.COM

+15

%

HEXCEL CORP

+14

%

5 LARGEST PORTFOLIO POSITIONS as at 31 July 2020

FACEBOOK

7

%

ALPHABET

7

%

ALIBABA

7

%

SIGNATURE BANK

5

%

TENCENT

5

%

The remaining portfolio is made up of another 21 stocks and cash.

Nov

2007

Nov

2008

Nov

2009

Nov

2010

Nov

2011

Nov

2012

Nov

2014

Nov

2013

Share Price/Total Shareholder Return

Share PriceTotal Shareholder Return

Nov

2015

$

1.00

$

0.50

$

0.00

$

1.50

Nov

2016

Nov

2017

$

3.00

$

3.50

$

2.00

Nov

2018

$

2.50

Nov

2019

TOTAL SHAREHOLDER RETURN to 31 July 2020

PERFORMANCE to 31 July 2020

1 Month3 Months1 Year3 Years

(annualised)

5 Years

(annualised)

Company Performance

Total Shareholder Return+11.0%+23.8%+27.7%+23.2%+14.5%

Adjusted NAV Return+3.7%+10.3%+16.6%+16.3%+10.5%

Portfolio Performance

Gross Performance Return +4.4%+12.5%+20.7%+19.7%+14.3%

Benchmark Index^+2.6%+9.0%+1.2%+6.7%+6.6%

^Benchmark index: World Small Cap Gross Index until 30 September 2015 & S&P Large Mid Cap/S&P Small Cap Index (50% hedged to NZD) from 1 October 2015

Non-GAAP Financial Information

Marlin uses non-GAAP measures, including adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return. The rationale for using such non-GAAP measures is as follows:

»adjusted net asset value – the underlying value of the investment portfolio adjusted for capital allocation decisions after expenses, fees and tax,

»adjusted NAV return – the net return to an investor after expenses, fees and tax,

»gross performance return – the Manager’s portfolio performance in terms of stock selection and currency hedging before expenses, fees and tax, and

»total shareholder return – the return combines the share price performance, the warrant price performance, the net value of converting any warrants into shares, and the dividends paid to shareholders. It

assumes all dividends are reinvested in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan, and that shareholders exercise their warrants, (if they were in the money) at warrant expiry date.

All references to adjusted net asset value, adjusted NAV return, gross performance return and total shareholder return in this monthly update are to such non-GAAP measures. The calculations applied to non-GAAP

measures are described in the Marlin Non-GAAP Financial Information Policy. A copy of the policy is available at http://marlin.co.nz/about-marlin/marlin-policies/

FLOOR AND DÉCOR

HOLDINGS

-18

%

Disclaimer: The information in this update has been prepared as at the date noted on the front page. The information has been prepared as a general summary of the matters covered only, and it is by necessity
brief. The information and opinions are based upon sources which are believed to be reliable, but Marlin Global Limited and its officers and directors make no representation as to its accuracy or completeness.

The update is not intended to constitute professional or investment advice and should not be relied upon in making any investment decisions. Professional financial advice from an authorised financial adviser

should be taken before making an investment. To the extent that the update contains data relating to the historical performance of Marlin Global Limited or its portfolio companies, please note that fund

performance can and will vary and that future results have no correlation with results historically achieved.

Marlin Global Limited

Private Bag 93502, Takapuna, Auckland 0740

Phone: +64 9 484 0365 | Fax: +64 9 489 7139

Email: enquire@marlin.co.nz | www.marlin.co.nz

4

Computershare Investor Services Limited

Private Bag 92119, Auckland 1142

Phone: +64 9 488 8777 | Fax: +64 9 488 8787

Email: enquiry@computershare.co.nz | www.computershare.com/nz

ABOUT

MARLIN GLOBAL

Marlin is an investment company

listed on the New Zealand Stock

Exchange. The company gives

shareholders an opportunity to

invest in a diversified portfolio of

between 20 and 35 quality growing

international companies (excluding

New Zealand and Australia) through

a single, professionally managed

investment. The aim of Marlin

is to offer investors competitive

returns through capital growth and

dividends.

CAPITAL MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES

Regular Dividends

»Quarterly distribution policy introduced in August

2010

»Under this policy, 2% of average NAV is targeted

to be paid to shareholders quarterly

»Dividends paid by Marlin may include dividends

received, interest income, investment gains

and/or return of capital

»Shareholders who prefer to have increased

capital rather than a regular income stream have

the opportunity to participate in the company’s

dividend reinvestment plan (DRP)

»Shares issued to DRP participants are at a 3%

discount to market price

»Marlin became a portfolio investment entity on

1 October 2007. As a result, dividends paid to

New Zealand tax resident shareholders have not

been subject to further tax

Share Buyback Programme

»Marlin has a buyback programme in place allowing it (if it

elects to do so) to acquire its shares on market

»Shares bought back by the company are held as treasury

stock

» Shares held as treasury stock are available to be

re-issued for the dividend reinvestment plan

Warrants

»On 17 October 2019, a new issue of warrants (MLNWD)

was announced

»The warrants were issued at no cost to eligible

shareholders and in the ratio of one warrant for every four

Marlin shares held

»Exercise Price = $0.94 per warrant, to be adjusted

down for dividends declared during the period up to the

Exercise Date

»Exercise Date = 6 November 2020

»The final Exercise Price will be announced and an

Exercise Form will be sent to warrant holders in

September 2020


MANAGEMENT

Marlin’s portfolio is managed

by Fisher Funds Management

Limited. Ashley Gardyne (Senior

Portfolio Manager), Chris

Waters and Harry Smith (Senior

Investment Analysts) have prime

responsibility for managing

the Marlin portfolio. Together

they have significant combined

experience and are very capable

of researching and investing in

the quality global companies that

Marlin targets. Fisher Funds is

based in Takapuna, Auckland.


BOARD

The Manager has authority

delegated to it from the Board

to invest according to the

Management Agreement and

other written policies. The

Board of Marlin comprises

independent directors Alistair

Ryan (Chair), Carol Campbell,

Andy Coupe; and Carmel

Fisher.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.